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Max Scherzer of the Texas Rangers pitches against the Houston Astros during the second inning at Globe Life Field, and we offer our top World Series Game 3 prediction based on the best MLB odds.
Max Scherzer of the Texas Rangers pitches against the Houston Astros during the second inning at Globe Life Field. Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images via AFP.

The Diamondbacks tied the World Series at 1 game apiece, and we give our best prediction for the Rangers vs. Diamondbacks World Series Game 3 as the series shifts to Arizona based on the best MLB odds.

The Arizona Diamondbacks won their first-ever World Series road game on Saturday with a 9-1 triumph over the Texas Rangers in Game 2. In doing so, Arizona also put an end to the Rangers' streak of six consecutive Game 2 victories when leading a series 1-0, which was tied for the second-longest such run of all time. Notably, the Diamondbacks recorded the most hits in a World Series game since 2014 with their 16. 

The Texas Rangers have demonstrated remarkable success on the road during the 2023 MLB postseason, boasting a record-tying streak of eight consecutive playoff road victories. This remarkable achievement has solidified their reputation as a formidable force away from home, showcasing their resilience and prowess in critical away games.

In conjunction with our Rangers vs. Diamondbacks World Series Game 3 player props, here is our best Rangers vs. Diamondbacks prediction for Game 3 of the World Series (odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks prediction: World Series Game 3

Under 9 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

The Under is likely to be an unpopular play, as each of the first two games of this series has gone Over the projected total, with double-digit runs scored in each.

However, the Over cashing in Game 1 required Paul Sewald’s first blown postseason save. In Game 2, just three runs were scored through the first six innings, and the floodgates opened after that when Texas saved most of its high-leverage relievers after using them in Game 1.

Arizona scored an unsustainable seven two-out runs in Game 2 after scoring zero in Game 1. The Diamondbacks also got incredible production from the bottom of the lineup, with their seven through nine hitters going 5-for-10 with four runs scored and three RBIs. However, Christian Walker remains unproductive from the heart of the order, as he is now 2-for-13 with runners in scoring position this postseason after a regular season in which he hit 33 home runs and drove in 103 runs.

Arizona held Texas to its fewest hits (four) and runs in a postseason game this season. The pitching staff, primarily Merrill Kelly, did a much better job throwing strikes than in Game 1, when it combined to walk 10 batters and allow 20 total baserunners. If throwing strikes is what is needed to keep Texas off the basepaths, rookie Brandon Pfaadt should comply, as he has a 22-3 K-BB ratio through four starts this postseason.

Rangers righty Max Scherzer has been tagged for seven earned runs through 6 2/3 innings this postseason. However, we expect positive regression from the veteran, as he still induced eight whiffs in a poor ALCS Game 3 outing and allowed just two barrels on his nine hard-hit balls. And Scherzer’s velocity was up on four of his five primary pitches in Game 7, which suggests he has a lot left in the tank after missing over a month at the end of the regular season.

This is a contrarian three-star play despite Texas averaging 7.4 runs per game with 13 home runs and 32 extra-base hits in eight postseason games thus far.  

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Rangers vs. Diamondbacks best odds

bet365 (-110)

DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars bet365
9 9 9 9 9
Under (-110) Under (-110) Under (-110) Under (-110) Under (-110)

All of our best sports betting apps offer the same total and price on the Under, so you can head to any of them to place this bet. We would only play the Under at a line of 9.0 runs or higher, as the Over is 7-1 in Texas’s last eight games.

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks odds

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks odds analysis

The O/U has remained frozen at our best sportsbooks’ opening number of 9.0 runs, with the only movement of significance to this point being that FanDuel initially went from -105 to -102 to back the Under but caught up with the rest of its competitors and is now offering -110 odds on both the Over and Under. There is dead-even two-way action on the total to this point.

Most sportsbooks have the game as a virtual coin flip with -110 moneyline odds for each team. BetRivers is slightly lower with Texas at -109, and the Rangers are as high as -112 at FanDuel. Fifty-nine percent of the early moneyline wagers have backed the Rangers, but Arizona is 5-0 in its last five home games following a road win.       

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks game info: World Series Game 3

  • When: Monday, Oct. 30 at 8:03 p.m. ET
  • Where: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
  • How to watch: FOX
  • Weather: Indoors

Rangers-Diamondbacks pick made 10/29/2023 at 1:50 p.m. ET.

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