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Nathaniel Lowe #30 and Josh Jung #6 of the Texas Rangers celebrate as we look at our Rangers vs. Diamondbacks World Series Game 5 prediction
Nathaniel Lowe #30 and Josh Jung #6 of the Texas Rangers celebrate after beating the Arizona Diamondbacks 11-7 in Game Four of the World Series at Chase Field on October 31, 2023 in Phoenix, Arizona. Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images via AFP.

The Texas Rangers are on the precipice of the franchise’s first World Series title as they took a 3-1 series lead over the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday, and we give our best prediction for Rangers vs. Diamondbacks World Series Game 5 based on the best MLB odds.

The Texas Rangers were the only team to win nine consecutive road games in a single postseason after their 3-1 win in Game 3 on Monday, and they furthered that record with an 11-7 victory on Tuesday, improving to 10-0 on the road in the playoffs.

Texas is now tied with the 2012 Los Angeles Kings for the most consecutive road wins in the same postseason among MLB/NHL/NBA teams. The Rangers have not had a 10-game road winning streak in the previous ten seasons, saving this impressive streak for when it mattered most.

The Arizona Diamondbacks' 11-7 loss was their first at home in a Game 4 and dropped them to 3-2 following a loss this postseason.

To complement our Rangers vs. Diamondbacks MLB player props, here is our best Rangers vs. Diamondbacks prediction for Game 5 of the World Series (odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks prediction: World Series Game 5

Rangers first five innings ML (-105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

History is against the Diamondbacks to dig out of a 3-1 hole, as just six of the 47 teams who have trailed 3-1 in a World Series have come back to win. However, all they need to focus on is getting one victory in Game 5, which will be easier said than done, given Texas’s historic road success.

Arizona has reason for optimism, given that it saved its three best relievers (Ryan Thompson, Kevin Ginkel, Paul Sewald) for tonight despite deploying a bullpen game yesterday. Those three relievers are a huge reason Arizona’s bullpen entered yesterday with a 2.31 ERA, .197 OBA, and a 104-36 K-BB ratio since September 1. However, getting to those three with a lead will be an arduous task against a Rangers lineup that entered Game 4 averaging 6.1 runs per game with a starting pitching ERA of 2.56 on the road in the postseason and whose run differential in 10 road games is +37.

Texas received the disappointing news that it would need to remove Adolis Garcia and Max Scherzer from its World Series roster after each suffered injuries in Game 3. But the Rangers lineup made up for the loss of their slugger, especially with players like Marcus Semien stepping up. Semien was 2-for-16 with runners in scoring position in the first three postseason series but had come through with hits in his first two at-bats with runners in scoring position in this series. His Game 4 heroics were a big reason Texas became the third team in World Series history to score 10 or more runs in the first three innings and the first in postseason history to score five-plus runs with two outs in consecutive innings.

We expect the Rangers to jump on Zac Gallen early, as the Diamondbacks ace is fatiguing down the stretch. Gallen pitched to a 3.18 ERA in his first two postseason starts, but that has spiked to a 6.75 ERA in his last three. Arizona has lost Gallen’s previous three starts by a combined 17-9, so we are getting great value on a Rangers team that has won all five of Nathan Eovaldi’s postseason starts.


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Rangers vs. Diamondbacks best odds

bet365 (-105)


It is interesting to see the Rangers favored at BetMGM for the first five innings while underdogs at FanDuel and bet365. The latter is our go-to shop from our best sports betting apps at -105 odds, as we are excited to back a Rangers team that has covered the run line in 10 straight road games.

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks odds

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks odds analysis

FanDuel is the only one of our best sports betting sites that does not have this game as a virtual pick’em (-110 odds on each side), as it pegs the Diamondbacks as -116 moneyline favorites. Caesars went to Arizona (-115) overnight on Wednesday but returned to -110 by early morning. There has been solid two-way betting action on the moneyline thus far, with 53% of the wagers backing the Diamondbacks.

All of our sites with the best sportsbook promos are in unison with a total of 8.5 runs. FanDuel is juiced the least to the Over at -114, while BetRivers is on the high end with a price of -118 to back that side. The Under is 7-2 in Arizona’s last nine home games.    

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks game info: World Series Game 5

  • When: Wednesday, Nov. 1 at 8:03 p.m. ET
  • Where: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
  • How to watch: FOX
  • Weather: Indoors

Rangers-Diamondbacks pick made 11/1/2023 at 6:38 a.m. ET.

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Diamondbacks pick made 11/1/2023 at 6:38 a.m. ET.