Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Friday, Aug. 7
📡 SBR Edge: Dodgers Stay Hot Early vs. Kelly
My best NRFI bets today feature Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks YRFI (-110) and Rockies vs. Cardinals NRFI (-104). L.A. has been productive offensively early in recent games, while Kyle Leahy hasn't allowed a first-inning run in seven straight starts.
βΎ Best NRFI bets today: Aug. 7
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| βΎ NRFI pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks YRFI (-110 via BetMGM) | 2.2u β 2u | The Dodgers have scored 4 first-inning runs across their last 3 games. |
| Rockies vs. Cardinals NRFI (-104 via FanDuel) | 1.56u β 1.5u | Leahy hasn't allowed a first-inning run in 7 straight starts. |
Total wagered: 3.76 units | Max profit: 3.5 units
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π° Best NRFI bet today
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks YRFI (9:40 p.m. ET)
- Roki Sasaki (4.64 ERA) vs. Merrill Kelly (5.04 ERA)
- NRFI records: Dodgers (57-58) vs. Diamondbacks (52-64)
The Dodgers have lost six straight, but their offense hasn't been that bad - especially early in games. Los Angeles has scored a total of four runs in the first innings of its last three contests, including a leadoff Shohei Ohtani home run Wednesday at Wrigley Field.
Ohtani has a favorable matchup against Merrill Kelly today - which I break down further in my best home run predictions today - and I wouldn't be surprised if this YRFI cashes before the middle of the inning. Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks YRFI (-110) at BetMGM is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.
📡 SBR Edge: Dodgers' Lineup vs. Kelly
Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, and Max Muncy are a combined 28-for-76 (.368) against Kelly in their careers, with four home runs and 10 RBIs.
π₯ More NRFI picks today
Rockies vs. Cardinals NRFI (8:15 p.m. ET)
- Ryan Feltner (5.75 ERA) vs. Kyle Leahy (3.44 ERA)
- NRFI records: Rockies (41-74) vs. Cardinals (63-52)
People see the Rockies' 41-74 NRFI record and assume that the YRFI is the smart play, but that isn't the case on the road. Their NRFIs hit at a much higher clip when they're on the road (26-30), and they should struggle to score against Leahy today.
The Cardinals righty has not allowed a first-inning run in any of his last seven starts, and Rockies batters are hitting just .118 against him in their careers. While Ryan Feltner is more likely to give up a run in the first inning, he hasn't done so in either of his last two starts.
Rockies vs. Cardinals NRFI (-104) at FanDuel is the best line available among the top sports betting apps.
π Best NRFI parlay today
Parlaying these two bets at BetMGM pays +249.
💵 Best NRFI parlay today
- Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks YRFI
- Rockies vs. Cardinals NRFI
Best odds: +249 via BetMGM
π΅ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 25.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-25-4 | -0.46 units β | -1.4% β |
| Player props | 6-17-3 | +0.5 units β | 2.8% β |
| Game props | 2-2 | -0.78 units β | -9.5% β |
| Moneylines | 1-1-1 | +0.11 units β | 1.7% β |
| Parlays | 0-5 | -0.3 units β | -100% β |
β NRFI betting FAQ
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of a NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.
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