Oregon vs. Washington Predictions, Picks & Odds: Pac-12 Championship Game
Washington Huskies QB Michael Penix Jr. could have a productive day as a volume passer in the Pac-12 Championship vs. the Oregon Ducks on Friday, and we have you covered with our Oregon vs. Washington prediction based on the best college football odds at our best college football betting sites.
In the Pac-12 Championship Game, the Oregon Ducks (11-1) aim to avenge their October defeat against the undefeated Washington Huskies (12-0) in a rematch of one of the premier matchups of the college football season.
The latest Pac-12 Championship odds indicate that the Ducks are favored to achieve this revenge. Yet we like Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. to find his stride given the various possibilities for this game script, regardless of whichever side claims the rematch. Our C Jackson Cowart discusses how one of his receivers may fare in his Oregon vs. Washington player props.
As part of our Conference Championship predictions and college football best bets, here is our best Oregon vs. Washington prediction and our college football picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Oregon vs. Washington prediction
Michael Penix Jr. Over 300.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Penix has built a reputation on remarkable passing prowess, though he did experience a dip in performance toward the end of the regular season.
Across the initial 10 games, Penix consistently surpassed substantial passing totals in eight outings. A standout moment came in the Oct. 14 triumph against Oregon, where he shone brightly, accumulating 302 passing yards and launching four touchdown passes — underscoring his capacity for significant passing accomplishments and solidifying his standing as an impressive quarterback.
In a dome environment for the Pac-12 Championship Game, conditions should be prime for both explosive offenses to run at their respective capacities. Oregon scored 30-plus points in every game this season, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see another moderate shootout between the Ducks and Huskies.
The best sportsbooks seem to expect a revenge narrative for Oregon, as the Ducks are favored by nearly double digits as of this writing. While that’s a lofty spread, it’s conceivable that Oregon could cover it with the way it has fared in recent weeks. But the benefit of Penix's passing line is that the Washington QB could achieve it through multiple game scripts.
Whether the Huskies' offense returns to form or finds itself trailing and in need of aggressive downfield passes to make its way back into the contest, it seems that Penix’s arm will be necessary for a team that ranked outside the FBS top 100 in rushing offense. At 62nd in the nation in opponent passing yards, Oregon’s pass defense isn’t enough of a shutdown unit to keep Penix from putting up a fight.
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Oregon vs. Washington best odds
FanDuel (-114)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 300.5 passing yards | Over 300.5 passing yards | n/a | n/a | Over 300.5 passing yards |
| -115 | -114 | n/a | n/a | -115 |
All of our best sports betting apps list Penix's passing yardage total at 300.5 yards. While the odds differences are negligible, FanDuel provides a slight edge with a -114 price on the Over.
We would take Penix’s passing total as a three-star recommendation up to 309.5 passing yards at any of our college football betting sites.
Oregon vs. Washington odds
Oregon vs. Washington odds analysis
Oregon opened as an 8.5-point favorite and has increased to -9.5 across our best sports betting sites. Spread wagers have been split down the middle to this point.
The total opened at 67.5 and now floats between 65.5 and 66.5 across our best sportsbooks. The majority of wagers have come in on the Over at our best college football betting sites.
Oregon vs. Washington game info
- When: Friday, Dec. 1, 2023 at 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
- How to watch: ABC
- Weather: Indoors
Oregon-Washington prediction made 11/29/2023 at 2:00 p.m. ET.
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