Tennis thread

**gregm** · 07-17-12, 12:28 PM

King/Wickmayer/Russell +128 risk 2

King/Wickmayer/Ram +281 risk 1

King/Wickmayer/Harrison -106 risk 1.06

Russell -3.5 -106 risk 1.06

**younghandicapper** · 07-17-12, 12:38 PM

What do you think about Malisse?

**gregm** · 07-17-12, 01:03 PM

I am already on Malisse -2.5 games from last night. Malisse hasnt played in Atlanta much but made it to the finals back in 2001 and quarters in 2010. Malisse definitely has experience in this humidity here and just came off a great wimbledon where he beat Simon and Verdasco and took a set off Fed. Soeda is 27 years old and has excellent numbers on this surface but they have mainly been in challengers and not really facing guys of the level of Malisse, he did have a decent scalp against Wawrinka but his career has been on the challenger level for the most part.

Soeda is playing in the olympics while Malisse is not and it looks to be a very humid afternoon in Atlanta. I wish Malisses numbers were better on this surface, his best surface is grass, and normally this may be one to look at the over but I don't really see much here for Soeda to compete for on a humid afternoon with the Olympics a little over a week away.

**beefcake** · 07-17-12, 03:41 PM

Dam you greg, need soda can to cash my 6 teamer..

..Well at least one of us will win..

**gregm** · 07-17-12, 04:04 PM

Good luck Beef. Soeda has far better numbers on this surface than Malisse does though most were at challenger level, and you never know who is going to tank and who is not. Verdasco was an obvious tank job today, Atp scheduling is really tough for these guys. When you have Nadal complaining about the length of the tennis year and the amount of tournaments these guys are required to play in, you know the year is too long.

Scheduling is really crazy this year with the olympics, its not easy getting a read on these matches with motivation and win the case of Atlanta, the humidity and fatigue.

**gregm** · 07-18-12, 10:26 AM

YTD 249-234 +40.97

Fish to win BB&T Atlanta +406 risk 2

Isner to win BB&T Atlanta +240 risk 2

Roddick to win BB&T Atlanta +583 risk 1

After yesterday with Verdasco obviously tanking before the Olympics, Wickmayer saying she has a bad back and retiring but she is participating in the olympics, I am really going to stay away from wagering too much this week. I was lucky to get away yesterday being down only a couple of units, I am just going to ride out these futures and make a few wagers here and there.

Cilic/Roddick/Nishikori +110 risk 1

Cilic/Anderson/Watson +112 risk 1

Lepchenko +114 risk 1

**Dad** · 07-18-12, 10:37 AM

I shoulda made the drive up the road to Carlsbad to watch these matches.

Good luck today, Greg.

**younghandicapper** · 07-18-12, 10:52 AM

Russel vs. Anderson
Soeda vs. Kunitsyn
Roddick vs. Mahut
Berankis vs. Nishikori

What do you think?

**gregm** · 07-18-12, 11:13 AM

Thanks dad. That would be a great tourney to check out, I went one time when I lived in northern california. Saw the caverns and there are some rally nice beaches there. Cheers

YH, of these

Russel vs. Anderson
Soeda vs. Kunitsyn
Roddick vs. Mahut
Berankis vs. Nishikori

I would personally save your bankroll for the Olympics though, this is a crap shoot this week with London so close. Anderson is not playing there and neither is Kunitsyn, but he is in horrible form. Soeda didnt tank yesterday and he is in the Olympics so who knows.

**younghandicapper** · 07-18-12, 11:28 AM

Thanks, gregm!

I'm leaning also those. Think Anderson will win easily against Russell. Soeda looks good against Malisse, so I might take him. Berankis I think has a chance though, lol.

**gregm** · 07-18-12, 06:56 PM

I dont know why I am going to the well again here, I just tipped Bartoli at Stanford and she could barely get a first serve in. She is not participating in the olympics and in most of her interviews seems to really putting alot on this Us Open series. You should know at the first of the match if her serve is working, there is no way in hell I am touching this -3.5 games though after seeing her serve at Stanford. Bartoli has much better numbers on the surface than King and is the far superior player, she should win this. Should is the key word here.

Bartoli -190 risk 3.8

Bartoli/ Isner (thursday)/ Kohli ( thursday) +152 risk 3

Sock +129 risk 2 Ridiculous line.

Bartoli -1.5 sets +118 risk 1

Kohlschreiber -234 risk 2.34

**gregm** · 07-19-12, 12:42 AM

Isner/Chardy/Monaco -133 risk 2.66

Isner played college tennis here in Georgia and has shown exceptional numbers here, especially with his powerful serve and aces the 2 years he had played here. He is on the olympic team but its highly doubtful he will win a medal, he should take this US Open series tourney seriously and is a huge fan favorite who has made it to the finals 2 years in a row here in Atlanta.

Chardy is not playing in the olympics and he just demolished Reister a few weeks ago in Germany. Monaco is playing in the olympics but will most likely not win a medal and this is a 500 tourney he could certainly win. Monaco has much better numbers on clay than Nava and has made it the round of 16 in his previous appearances here.

**gregm** · 07-19-12, 12:59 AM

YTD 252-236 +43.21

Fish to win BB&T Atlanta +406 risk 2
Isner to win BB&T Atlanta +240 risk 2
Roddick to win BB&T Atlanta +583 risk 1

Final card

Isner/Chardy/Monaco -133 risk 2.66

Bartoli/ Isner (thursday)/ Kohli ( thursday) +152 risk 3

Sock +129 risk 2

Kohli -3.5/Chardy ml +141 risk 1

Kohlschreiber -234 risk 2.34

Brown/Dimitrov o21 -120 risk 1.2

**gregm** · 07-19-12, 11:24 AM

Arvidsson/Almagro -104 risk 1.04

Arvidsson/Mchale -121 risk 1.21

Cibulkova/Mchale/Fish +111 risk 1

**gregm** · 07-20-12, 12:31 AM

YTD 258-238 +53.76

Isner to win BB&T Atlanta +240 risk 2
Roddick to win BB&T Atlanta +583 risk 1

Parlays still open
Arvidsson/Almagro(Thursday) -104 risk 1.04
Arvidsson/Mchale(thursday) -121 risk 1.21

Cilic/Monaco/Tipsarevic -102 risk 1.02

Cilic/Monaco/Dimitrov +156 risk 1

Cilic/Roddick/Dimitrov +132 risk 1

Dimitrov -210 risk 2.10

Gulbis +129 risk 1

Bellucci/Lopez o22 -120 risk 1.2

Mayer/Haas o23 +103 risk 1

Almagro -2 -110 risk 1.10

I am in the minority in this one judging from the boards but Hamburg is a 500 that should mean alot more to Nicos year than the Olympics. Nico has pretty much no chance at a medal, Almagro has dismal numbers on grass. Almagro made it the finals here last year in Hamburg and will be defending points and he beat Kohli here in 2011.

I assume everyone is going on Kohli because of his pretty impressive run lately, he was impressive at Wimbledon but has pretty average numbers on clay and Phau took him to 3 sets here. Probably most punters are tipping based on Almagros shoulder concerns. Here are a few of Nicos few comments on his shoulder on twitter earlier this week. I thought he looked really strong against Davy and Kamke.

Nico Almagro @ NicoAlmagro July 17

Happy with my game today, but moreso that the shoulder is allowing me to play! Tough match on Thursday, some dinner now!

Reply Retweet Favorite

17 Jul Nico Almagro @ NicoAlmagro

G'morning. My shoulder's feeling a bit better this morning so I'm going to try to play. Last year I had a great week here & it gives me hope

**MagicDiceFlow** · 07-20-12, 12:53 AM

Whats up Gregm, totally agree with you on Almagro. Two best plays on the board tomorrow is Almagro & Mayer. Everyone is riding on Kohlschreiber's grass success but he's not the same player on clay. Almagro's too much of a beast on this surface, I think Almagro destroys Kohl tomorrow rather easily.

Best of Luck tomorrow.

**gregm** · 07-20-12, 01:04 AM

Thanks Magic. This is a tough one to call with Almagros shoulder worries but I certainly dont see why he shouldnt want to win Hamburg, highly doubtful he will have any chance at a medal at the Olympics with his dismal numbers on grass. These guys are never truly open on twitter and interviews about their injuries. If he is 100%, he should beat Kohli like he did last year and make it to the finals again and probably win it but Monaco is creeping up there, pretty soon he should be top 10. Cheers.

**gregm** · 07-20-12, 11:37 AM

Muller -1.5 +107 risk 2

5dimes with a horrible number on the spread once again. Neither player has great numbers on the surface but Muller has always played really well here in Atlanta falling to Isner last year in the semis and Isner the year before in the round of 16.

Nishikori/ Roddick/Isner -133 risk 1.33

Lepchenko +3 -106 risk 1.06

**younghandicapper** · 07-20-12, 11:43 AM

What do you think about Radwanska against Cibulkova?

**Dad** · 07-20-12, 11:45 AM

Keep killing it, Greg.

**gregm** · 07-20-12, 12:11 PM

Thanks Dad. YH, I just looked at the match and Cibulkova really doesnt have good numbers on the surface and Radwanska has better numbers on hard and is putting up great numbers the last few months. Both are playing in the Olympics, I would probably take the +3 games with Radwanska if I were playing it.

**gregm** · 07-20-12, 12:23 PM

I just noticed that tennis insight tips were 18-4 in favor of Cibulkova. That would definitely make me feel better about taking Radwanska and the 3 games , they have some of the worst punters on there. I think people just place wagers to gain a better record, I dont see how people can see feel like Dominika is that much more dominant looking at their numbers over the last few months and hard court numbers but who knows.

I have enough on my plate worrying about Cilic coming through here, I do like Lepchenko +3, I may play rad later tonight if cilic comes through .

Edit: nm Match starts in a little bit

**Fayt13** · 07-20-12, 01:47 PM

I'm on the Nishikori/Roddick/Isner parlay with you. Good luck. For some odd reason I'm more worried about Nishikori than Roddick though.

**Fayt13** · 07-20-12, 03:47 PM

God I'm an idiot for taking Nishi

**gregm** · 07-20-12, 05:29 PM

He has been really poor lately but I really don't know how many of these guys are just ready to get to London and are just tanking. I didn't watch this but its been happening all week, Soeda is really racking up some scalps though. Roddick or Isner should win Atlanta pretty easily I would imagine. Shame about Fish.

21-5 on Mchale as small dog against Bartoli on TI. Bartoli is really is having an atrocious year but I thought about just the betting numbers here but little worried about that hip with Marion. Bartoli is not playing for France and has talked alot about the Us open series as big for her year so at least if she loses this it wont be because she just tanked to get to London. I was really surprised to see her do bad at Stanford where she has done well before but it was a horrible serving performance and probably her hip . She dropped a set to King and this is probably going to be like that Almagro match where you are wondering about his shoulder, is Bartolis hip really going to continue to mess up her mechanics with her serve?

Here goes nothing, hopefully she is 100% with the hip and the serve is working

Bartoli -1.5 sets +201 risk 1

Isner/ Roddick / Barthel (saturday) +102 risk 1

**Dad** · 07-20-12, 05:46 PM

Tailing you Greg. Lets cash this!

**gregm** · 07-20-12, 05:56 PM

I hope it was on the parlay and not the Bartoli wager Dad. It is like slow torture watching her serve lately, I wouldnt put much on bartoli at all if you are betting her, just too many questions with her hip and her serve. I like the parlay with Roddick and Isner and barthel alot more. I am adding this one with a canadian football game.

Roddick/Isner/BC -155 risk 1.55

**gregm** · 07-21-12, 12:53 AM

YTD 267-244 +57.70

Isner to win BB&T Atlanta +240 risk 2
Roddick to win BB&T Atlanta +583 risk 1

Parlay still open

Isner/ Roddick / Barthel (saturday) +102 risk 1

Cilic -180 risk 3.6

Cilic -3 +107 risk 1

Muller +104 risk 1

Almagro -3 +104 risk 1

Almagro/de Bakker +162 risk 1

de Bakker -140 risk 1.4

Janowicz/Tipsarevic -121 risk 1.21

**gregm** · 07-21-12, 01:17 AM

Larsson +122 risk 1( Should have been Johansson +122)

**freshguy222** · 07-21-12, 03:56 AM

you must mean johansson right, otherwise you woulndt get +122. like her today as well

**hotelis** · 07-21-12, 06:58 AM

<br>is it larsson or johansson then?

**gregm** · 07-21-12, 09:05 AM

Sorry about that guys , that what happens when you post after 1 am after a few pints. The "ssons"get mixed up.

**beefcake** · 07-21-12, 10:29 AM

Surprised you like Muller, Soda can has been on fire here..Soda will want to rally and Muller wants to keep it at 4 shots or less..

**gregm** · 07-21-12, 10:56 AM

Its been a great week for Soeda but Nishi still seems to be hurt and I saw that Kunitsyn match, Kunitsyn had a first serve percentage of 42% and just looked awful as usual. Of course , Soda wasnt much better on first serve but at least he won the ones he got in. If you look at Soedas career its been pretty much on the challenger level and Muller has done really well here in Atlanta making it to the semis last year abd the the round of 16 the year before, losing both to Isner. If Muller continues his dominant serving he should hold serve pretty easily Soeda seems vulnerable on serve at times from looking at the numbers.

He has had an incredible run thorugh challengers and this week but I hope Muller continues his good run here in Atlanta of the past few years and we can get Soeda to London .Of course, I thought Cilic would beat Haas pretty easily the way he has been playing, but it may be one of those days. Cheers

**gregm** · 07-21-12, 11:20 AM

Cilic is up 6-3 in the tiebreak and loses the set and just implodes and the 34 year old kicks his ass in the second. This 500 seems like a tourney he could have won, I just dont see Cilic getting anything in the olympics after way Murray dominated him at Wimbledon and with his little amount of play on grass.

Isner -1.5 +111 risk 2

I was going to just ride out my futures here but it its going to be a losing day and I feel like its a very good number on Isner here judging from Roddicks struggles this year and Isners tiebreak record. A total of 25.5 games. LOL. This is some boring tennis