Yeah you already got plus 4 or 5 this set. Sheesh. WTF Woz.
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Wow, I didn't even realise this match had started already. Too busy watching Feli.
Have faith guys. Woz is a master at adjusting and finding a way to force her opponent into errors. Petko is error prone as it is so don't lose hope yet.
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Petkovic played like a woman that game and Woz got the break. That's her only chance. Doublefaults and UEs.Comment -
Another plus is that when Petko wins big matches, she usually starts off slow. Her whole stupid "diesel engine" thing.
The fact that she's gunning so hard at the beginning could mean she's blowing her load early and will burn out.
And there you go - break Woz
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Stop pumping your first, you German bitch!!Comment -
It was a completely lucky break. Petkovic is still throwing her all over the court.Comment -
Wozniacki is extremely mentally strong. She was down 4 break points that game and served well and kept her shots in. I'm just praying Petkovic's game calms down. Her serve is still really strong, so I believe she's gonna win the set. She made some errors and a double fault the one serve game she was broken that were really unusual so far. And Wozniacki still had to get to deuce to do it.Comment -
Petkovic starting the horrible errorsComment -
Woz will be ok. Petko's errors are starting to come through which is what I was banking on yesterday when I took Jankovic.
The thing with Woz is that she's patient. I hate her style of play more than probably any female on the Tour but she's effective at it. Just keep the balls in play and wait for your opponent to make errors. The very definition of a Pusher.
Just cheer for my +4 please because Woz will win this match. I'm fairly certain of that.
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I took the over 21 total games in this match.
Hope the +4 works out for you.
I like the +6 in the last match as well. I will probably tail you on that one.Comment -
Petkovic played amazing to get it to 4-1, but she turned into an error machine. Did you see the overhead smashes she missed two in a row? Horrible
I do get annoyed with Wozniacki's play, but not now that I'm betting on her. Her mental fortitude is amazing.
I'm not celebrating yet, but if Petkovic couldn't win that first set playing as awesome as she started, I have my doubts she can maintain that level to win two sets and win this.Comment -
Yeah big turnaround. Looks like Felicity is in good shape today, must be the perm.Comment -
I have a bad feeling Woz is gonna romp in this 2nd set.Comment -
Im not gonna lie. I can't take the drama. I want an easy second set for Wozniacki.Woz will be ok. Petko's errors are starting to come through which is what I was banking on yesterday when I took Jankovic.
The thing with Woz is that she's patient. I hate her style of play more than probably any female on the Tour but she's effective at it. Just keep the balls in play and wait for your opponent to make errors. The very definition of a Pusher.
Just cheer for my +4 please because Woz will win this match. I'm fairly certain of that.
I follow your spreadsheet. You're on a roll. You can afford itComment -
3 straight forehand winners for Petkovic down 0-30 on her serve. She's not going away damnit.Comment -
Wow. Wozniacki is amazing defensively.Comment -
Who would you say her men's equivalent is? I'm not really good at breaking the sport down completely. I know Ferrer is awesome on clay, whereas Caro doesn't really have the complete game yet for clay. But when I watch Ferrer sometimes and Caro, they remind me of each other. I don't see a ton of winners, but I see a ton of amazing saves.Comment -
Say goodbye to your Petkovic +4. I cannot believe Wozniacki turned this around down 1-4Comment -
Ferrer's actually a really good example. Probably Murray is the closest that I'd think of but Ferrer is right up there. They're like walls that you can't penetrate unless you hit an amazing shot out of your ass and even then, they pull out amazing shots of their own from time to time. Ferrer's obviously a bit more shaky on other surfaces other than clay but his defence is still great. It's not the most exciting tennis to watch but it's effective. Woz wouldn't last against Serena when she's healthy but she doesn't need to. The way the rankings work, you just need to show up and grind and Woz is excellent at that.Comment -
ok 7 straight games petkovic, you can do this.Comment -
I totally believe it. The only chance Petko had was to win the first set. I was debating taking her as the 1st set winner or just the handicap but the handicap is obviously safer overall.
Normally I'm a bit surprised when I lose a bet because I put quite a bit of effort in it before I put my money on it, but I'm not that surprised with this one. It helps that I'm stressing over Feli now so my attention is distracted.
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ok 6 more games Petkovic, you can do this.Comment -
Barrois +6, youre nextComment -
She looked unbeatable when she was up 4-1, I swear. Wozniacki didn't know which way to go. Petkovic was whipping her all over the court and smashing winners every opening. Wozniacki was actually the one making the errors, since she was so flustered. But after that, Petkovic gradually started playing a WTA player, missing overhead smashes, unforced errors, an untimely double fault, and even stopped nailing really big first serves. A great part of that was Wozniacki's mental fortitude and upping her game a bit. But I don't believe Caro could have won had Petkovic continued her early play. It was insanely good.I totally believe it. The only chance Petko had was to win the first set. I was debating taking her as the 1st set winner or just the handicap but the handicap is obviously safer overall.
Normally I'm a bit surprised when I lose a bet because I put quite a bit of effort in it before I put my money on it, but I'm not that surprised with this one. It helps that I'm stressing over Feli now so my attention is distracted.
You did seem to handicap the match well. Petko with her wild unforced errors seems like a bad matchup against Caro. I was hating that German broad early though. She was like Nadal on clay, every shot.
Howcome people like Raonic and F-Lo are winning matches on clay? They are big serving dicks. I thought clay neutralized the serve and power game.
I'm already sick of that stupid big-serving dick, Raonic. The guy bails his ass out with the serve all the time. He's even doing it on clay now. I guess, he's pretty strong mentally. He seems to serve an ace exactly when he needs it.
Part of summing up my hatred for Raonic can be explained by the fact I bet on him against Simon Gruel in South Africa and Ryan Harrison at Indian Wells. Guy has beaten some top dogs this year, but has lost to two of the weaker players he's played. Of course, I bet on him on those occassions.Comment -
Raonic has been training on clay. He moved to Spain to train with Ferrer's coach for awhile. What you're seeing now is the result of that. I've backed him from the beginning solely because he's a Canadian even when he was considered shithouse, as did Stacocakes, but that was purely patriotic with a bit of tennis love in there. Then beefy was the first one to clue in that this guy was actually on a serious upswing and had the chance to really win some great matches and a few of us started to take him seriously.
Even on TI, his matches are the most debated, the most talked about, the most viewed. Not sure why. I think partly it's because people don't like to see a young "upstart" come in and beat guys that they "shouldn't" and then the other part is that you just can't deny that the guy has talent. Even without his serving. People either love him or hate him.
When he played Ferrer at the Aussie Open he should've been killed. But Ferrer was dishing up errors, some of them that Milos could capitalise on but most of them he just wasn't skilled enough to figure out how to hit yet. But the fact that he was forcing him into them was a big warning sign - this kid isn't just an Isner with a serve and nothing else. He has a court game. He just needs to perfect it now.
Feli - He's a gun at home. A mod at TI (HeeHawwwww here at SBR) told me how to do it so I can figure out his ROI in Spain. He's made me some great money this week and his serve has been great. Even his 2nd serve. Normally my stomach drops a bit when someone's on their 2nd serve at 15-30 or whatever but he's been like the Na Li of the Aussie Open this week - I don't worry at all about his 2nd serve.
That being said I think it may be time for me to jump off the Feli train as the stress is a bit too much to make a couple hundred dollars here or there. Not worth it I don't think.Comment -
And just to add to my long crap above - this is why I'm very protective of the SBR tennis gang and became angry at reformed. All of us help each other out so much, especially now during 'smaller' tourneys when the rest of the public is focused on baseball/NBA playoffs/beating off, etc... I answer every PM I get (unless I miss one by accident), welcome every newcomer to my thread, respond to every question in here, cheer every person on who starts a thread, etc... as do the rest of the tennis regulars.
We share every piece of info we can and we actually never argue. There's never any "you're shit", "your plays suck", or whatever in here. You don't see us posting threads in Players Talk or arguing with people - all of us just do our own thing and support each other. The majority of people just flock to our threads during the Slams as that's when the media is all over tennis. But in actuality, all of us are helping each other out, cheering each other on (even if we're on opposite plays) and trying to share as much info as we can 50 weeks out of the year.Comment -
I am shit, don't you dare say different.
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Ya I have backed Raonic because he is Canadian as well. I am not a huge fan of his, his defence and return game needs some work in my opinion. But you did get great value for him early on when there was a buzz about him.
This Barrois girl is a fighter, long hard fought games so far.
Hopefully she can keep it up!Comment -
Well, yeah, ok you're shit but everyone else is ok so they don't mind carrying your sorry ass through.
You're actually one of the best tennis cappers I've ever come across and you've helped me out too many times to count. Especially when my son was sick and I didn't have the time or desire to cap anything on my own. You know how this shit goes - today's hero is tomorrow's zero is the next day's hero.
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Yeah the value on Raonic is long gone. We've had many discussions on here - a lot of them in this thread with beefy as the ringleader - that we needed to jump on Milos as a dog because it'd be a long time before the bookies made that mistake again. Fortunately they kept making it for awhile so most of us profited. But now I can't take him at $1.68 or whatever. That's out of my comfort zone for most people unless they're seasoned vets of the Tour. To do it on him is just too hard for me, especially when I'm posting bets that someone may tail, so I'll just cheer him on instead.Comment
