2019 Tennis Season - Picks and Analysis

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  • Jeff_Black
    SBR MVP
    • 04-04-15
    • 3571

    #211
    Aye thanks, shame about the other one but ey? Lol

    103 - 103 - 8 (+20.466u)

    Subtracting the units I lost on outrights as they were an utter disaster this week. Lot of upsets. Oh well it happens.

    Dubai will be the tournament of focus this next week. Good draw with plenty of good players in it.

    ATP Marseille 250, Men’s Singles, Final
    Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Mikhail Kukushkin
    Set Handicap: Stefanos Tsitsipas -1.5 Sets, 1.98 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 4u play

    ATP Dubai 500, Men’s Singles, Qualifiers
    Thomas Fabiano vs Antoine Hoang
    Moneyline: Antoine Hoang, 2.02 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Dubai 500, Men’s Singles, Qualifiers
    Jiri Vesely vs Egor Gerasimov
    Moneyline: Jiri Vesely, 2.18 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Dubai 500, Men’s Singles, Qualifiers
    Ricardis Berabkis vs Mirza Basic
    Total games: Over 22 Games, 1.98 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play
    Comment
    • Jeff_Black
      SBR MVP
      • 04-04-15
      • 3571

      #212
      105 - 105 - 8 (+23.366u)

      I'm not really going to touch any Dubai outrights. Initially I thought Marin Cilic at 11.00 was okay but he's got a tough first round match against Gael Monfils and hasn't played since the Australian Open. That doesn't bother me too much, as when he is healthy he can beat anyone in the top half of that draw including Nishikori. But there is a lot of uncertainty with him as he carried an injury in to his 4th round loss to Roberto Bautista Agut. So it's understandable that he hasn't played since the Australian Open. But he's a guy to keep an eye out for while the odds are good.
      And whilst I like someone like Berdych at the odds presented in the bottom half of that draw, at some point if he makes it deep he may run into Federer. While it's a good time to catch Federer at the moment who is off a long break I don't trust Berdych to beat guys who are mentally camped in side his head. He's been in good form so far in 2019 but as we have seen before when he plays guys like Federer and Nadal he clams up. Plus Federer makes more money then anyone by just showing up to this tournament. So unless an opponent actually brings it to him he's not just going to show up for a bit of match practice before moving on to Indian Wells and Miami. He's here to win a title, his 100th in fact.
      With that his odds are way too short to consider it a serious bet.

      As for Acupalco. There is a player I like which has some degree of risk and that's Stan Wawrinka. He's at 11.60 on Pinnacle so i'll add that as a play. He is in Nadal's Quarter which is tricky enough but he has shown so far he can compete with the big guys. I thought his form in Rotterdam was outstanding, and even earlier in Australia he played well. He will need to have some rhythm on his serve and I think the court speed should suit him. If he loses, he loses, no harm done. But I think he can beat any of the big serving Americans if he makes them or on the other side Zverev or anyone else.
      I am not relying on Nadal to drop out earlier but considering he has not played since Australia and was 'injured' leading up to the tournament it'll be interesting to see how he follows up his form since then. He is drawn to potentially play Nick Kyrgios in round 2 and while Nick has to beat Andreas Seppi I really think he could be up for this match. A few years ago he beat Novak Djokovic here and followed it up by beating him in Indian Wells. I can see him relishing the criticism despite hinting an injury and playing out of his skin a little.
      But that said I do think Stan has the confidence and form to beat Nadal too. He's done it before in recent times, and he has the classy shot making to handle what ever Nadal throws at him.

      On a side note, I do like Sascha Zverev to navigate through his side of the draw and make the Final, potentially winning the tournament, but at 4.00 or so the odds are also too short.

      I'll have a play on one player in Sau Paulo, and I'm happy with the outright odds offered with Pablo Cuevas. He's got a rematch with Auger-Alliasime who I think he can beat and get revenge on for their Rio SF, and it's a good spot to beat a young kid who just came off a 2 hour final. From there he is drawn to play seeded players Malek Jaziri and Guido Pella who has shown some good form on clay, but I think he can beat them both. Plus he is a three time title winner going from 2015-2017. I think he can do it again this year with the draw at present.

      So to recap

      Acupalco Winner: Stan Wawrinka, 11.60 on Pinnacle, Stake: 1u
      Sao Paulo Winner: Pablo Cuevas, 8.30 on Pinnacle, Stake: 1.5u

      BOL


      Last edited by Jeff_Black; 02-24-19, 11:56 PM.
      Comment
      • Jeff_Black
        SBR MVP
        • 04-04-15
        • 3571

        #213
        ATP Dubai 500, Mens Singles, R1
        Damir Dzuhmur vs Marton Fuscovics
        Handicap: Marton Fuscovics -3.5, 1.925 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 1u play

        ATP Dubai 500, Mens Singles, R1
        Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Karen Khachanov
        Handicap: Nikoloz Basilashvili +3, 1.909 on Pinnacle
        Moneyline: Nikoloz Basilashvili, 2.73 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 1u & 0.5u plays

        ATP Dubai 500, Mens Singles, R1
        Milos Raonic vs Jan Lennard Struff
        Total Games: Over 22.5 Games, 1.819 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 1.5u play

        ATP Dubai 500, Mens Singles, R1
        Roberto Bautista Agut vs Rakumar Ramanthan
        Total Games: Under 19.5 Games, 1.925 on Pinnacle
        Stake: 1u play
        Comment
        • Maizey
          SBR High Roller
          • 08-11-18
          • 226

          #214
          Nice analysis, looks like you know a lot about the sport. I love to play tennis, watch tennis and bet tennis. However, the majority of my focus is on the women's side, which it doesn't look like you cover.
          Comment
          • Jeff_Black
            SBR MVP
            • 04-04-15
            • 3571

            #215
            Originally posted by Maizey
            Nice analysis, looks like you know a lot about the sport. I love to play tennis, watch tennis and bet tennis. However, the majority of my focus is on the women's side, which it doesn't look like you cover.
            Thanks. And yes I focus on the Men's Side. There is plenty of tennis going on around the world on all sorts of levels and surfaces that I feel it pays to just focus on one aspect. Sometimes in the big tournaments when it's deep and there are less matches i'll look at the womens card but that's not often. Whatever works for everyones else I guess.

            110 - 105 - 8 (+28.219u)

            ATP Dubai 500, Mens Singles, R1
            Ricardis Berankis vs Daniil Medvedev
            Handicap: Daniil Medvedev -4.5, 1.80 on Pinnacle
            Stake: 1.5u play

            ATP Dubai 500, Mens Singles, R1
            Egor Gerasimov vs Robin Haase
            Moneyline: Egor Gerasimov, 2.05 on Pinnacle
            Stake: 1u play

            ATP Dubai 500, Mens Singles, R1
            Borna Coric vs Mikhail Kukushkin
            Handicap: Mikhail Kukushkin +4, 1.862 on Pinnacle
            Stake: 1.5u play

            ATP Dubai 500, Mens Singles, R1
            Tomas Berdych vs Illya Ivashka
            Total Score: Under 20.5 Games, 2.04 on Pinnacle
            Stake: 1u play

            ATP Dubai 500, Mens Singles, R1
            Marin Cilic vs Gael Monfils
            Moneyline: Gael Monfils, 1.99 on Pinnacle
            Stake: 1u play
            Comment
            • Jeff_Black
              SBR MVP
              • 04-04-15
              • 3571

              #216
              Nishikori’s odds were a bit better for the -4.5, was really tempting now because it seems like Paire folds against these bigger players.
              With the shocker on Medvedev and unpredictability I’ll sit out though.
              Hopefully no regret on missing out
              Comment
              • Igor_1965
                SBR MVP
                • 04-18-15
                • 2631

                #217
                Can Medvedev please be serious
                Comment
                • Jeff_Black
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-04-15
                  • 3571

                  #218
                  Originally posted by Igor_1965
                  Can Medvedev please be serious
                  Haha yep it was a terrible pick by me but losing to a guy like Berankis so easily? Bleeeeeehhhh

                  At least guys like Karen and Coric have been out of form for a while

                  Saw that Kei was struggling early in that match but covered by the hook. Probably not worth the sweat It be like that sometimes.
                  Comment
                  • Jeff_Black
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-04-15
                    • 3571

                    #219
                    112 - 107 - 9 (+27.719u)

                    ATP Dubai 500, Mens Singles, R2
                    Denis Kudla vs Ricardis Berankis
                    Total Games: Over 22 Games, 1.943 on Pinnacle
                    Stake: 1u play

                    ATP Dubai 500, Mens Singles, R2
                    Kei Nishikori vs Hubert Hurkacz
                    Handicap: Kei Nishikori -4.5, 1.892 on Pinnacle
                    Stake: 1u play

                    ATP Dubai 500, Mens Singles, R2
                    Roberto Bautista Agut vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
                    Handicap: Roberto Bautista Agut -3.5, 1.98 on Pinnacle
                    Stake: 1u play

                    ATP Dubai 500, Mens Singles, R2
                    Fernando Verdasco vs Roger Federer
                    Handicap: Fernando Verdasco +4.5, 1.84 on Pinnacle
                    Stake: 1u play

                    ATP Dubai 500, Mens Singles, R2
                    Tomas Berdych vs Borna Coric
                    Handicap: Tomas Berdych -2, 1.806 on Pinnacle
                    Stake: 2u play
                    Comment
                    • Jeff_Black
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-04-15
                      • 3571

                      #220
                      113 - 111 - 9 (+23.559u)

                      ATP Dubai 500, Men's Singles, QF
                      Gael Monfils vs Ricardis Berankis
                      Handicap: Gael Monfils -4.5, 1.98 on Pinnacle
                      Stake: 1u play

                      ATP Dubai 500, Men's Singles, QF
                      Hubert Hurkacz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
                      Handicap: Stefanos Tsitsipas -4, 1.90 on Pinnacle
                      Stake: 1u play

                      ATP Dubai 500, Men's Singles, QF
                      Marton Fuscovics vs Roger Federer
                      Handicap: Roger Federer -4.5, 2.11 on Pinnacle
                      Stake: 1u play

                      ATP Dubai 500, Men's Singles, QF
                      Borna Coric vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
                      Handicap: Nikoloz Basilashvili +1, 1.943 on Pinnacle
                      Stake: 1u play
                      Comment
                      • Jeff_Black
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-04-15
                        • 3571

                        #221
                        115 - 113 - 9 (+23.439u)

                        ATP Dubai 500, Men's Singles, SF
                        Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Gael Monfils
                        Moneyline: Stefanos Tsitsipas, 2.179 on Pinnacle
                        Stake: 2u play

                        ATP Dubai 500, Men's Singles, SF
                        Borna Coric vs Roger Federer
                        Set Handicap: Roger Federer -1.5 Sets, 2.31 on Pinnacle
                        Stake: 2u play

                        Initially decided on Monfils, but flipped and changed my mind. Hoping not to regret it. Think Tsitsipas can adjust to the loss in Sofia and I think he has somewhat of an edge on the slower outdoor hardcourts.
                        Comment
                        • Jeff_Black
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-04-15
                          • 3571

                          #222
                          117 - 113 - 9 (+28.417u)

                          I’ll have a crack at Acapulco since I’ve been following it with interest with the draw it has as well...

                          ATP Acapulco 500, Men’s Singles, SF
                          Cameron Norrie vs Alexander Zverev
                          Handicap: Alexander Zverev -4.5, 2.11 on Pinnacle
                          Stake: 2u

                          ATP Acapulco 500, Men’s Singles, SF
                          Nick Kyrgios vs John Isner
                          Moneyline: Nick Kyrgios, 1.787 on Pinnacle
                          Stake: 3u play
                          Comment
                          • Conqueror
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-08-13
                            • 16777

                            #223
                            Kyrgios has the edge here but you never know what his motivation level will be.
                            Comment
                            • DavidGoliath5003
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-20-18
                              • 4100

                              #224
                              Did you guys watch the end of last nights match? Kyrgios could barely walk. Hes probably got a set in him. I know hes got a load of talent but i think it will be tough to beat Isner today
                              Comment
                              • DavidGoliath5003
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-20-18
                                • 4100

                                #225
                                I like the zverev play
                                Comment
                                • Jeff_Black
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-04-15
                                  • 3571

                                  #226
                                  Originally posted by Conqueror
                                  Kyrgios has the edge here but you never know what his motivation level will be.
                                  Just concerned that Isner was up until last 2am playing his last match and he’s backing it up again much sooner.
                                  Of course taking Kyrgios is always a risk but I don’t mind the spot against Isner who was a bit fortunate Millman was broken serving out that first set.
                                  He’s a better server/returner then Millman who will be pumped to win a title but I wonder how much of the matches Isner has played already in Delray and NY has caught up with him.
                                  Comment
                                  • Jeff_Black
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-04-15
                                    • 3571

                                    #227
                                    Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                    Did you guys watch the end of last nights match? Kyrgios could barely walk. Hes probably got a set in him. I know hes got a load of talent but i think it will be tough to beat Isner today
                                    Yeah it’s gonna be tough for both guys but he’s playing Isner though so I think he should just focus on holding his serve for as long as possible. Isners played a lot of matches since too. Just gonna have to hope he has recovered well enough and relies on a bit of Adrenalin too.
                                    Comment
                                    • DavidGoliath5003
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-20-18
                                      • 4100

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                                      Just concerned that Isner was up until last 2am playing his last match and he’s backing it up again much sooner.
                                      Of course taking Kyrgios is always a risk but I don’t mind the spot against Isner who was a bit fortunate Millman was broken serving out that first set.
                                      He’s a better server/returner then Millman who will be pumped to win a title but I wonder how much of the matches Isner has played already in Delray and NY has caught up with him.
                                      Yeah you’re probably right. Ill take the chance that Kyrgios legs are good to go
                                      Comment
                                      • Jeff_Black
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-04-15
                                        • 3571

                                        #229
                                        Of course we never know wth Kyrgios either ey? Lol. Normally I’d never back him as a short priced favourite but he plays well in best of three sets.

                                        Zverev falls short on the hook,nice work going with Zverev two sets there , a better idea in hindsight. -4 was 1.74 which I didn’t really think was worth the risk but I’ve gotten more of those that are over +100 then not so can’t complain heh.
                                        Comment
                                        • DavidGoliath5003
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-20-18
                                          • 4100

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                                          Of course we never know wth Kyrgios either ey? Lol. Normally I’d never back him as a short priced favourite but he plays well in best of three sets.

                                          Zverev falls short on the hook,nice work going with Zverev two sets there , a better idea in hindsight. -4 was 1.74 which I didn’t really think was worth the risk but I’ve gotten more of those that are over +100 then not so can’t complain heh.
                                          Yeah, i think it will be a hold fest vs Isner. In theory Zverev -4.5 sounded good but i notice he can slack at times when ahead and Norrie is a really good fighter. I can understand why you tried -4.5 hes held serve all week really. This court suits him. He will beat isner or kyrgios
                                          Comment
                                          • Jeff_Black
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-04-15
                                            • 3571

                                            #231
                                            Yeah serving second was kind of bad luck too as he got the early break and then broken when serving for the set. Almost grabbed a second break in that first set too.
                                            Even still he would have needed two breaks on the second set to cover because he was serving second.
                                            Still been a solid tournament for him.

                                            Will see if there are any to win his qtr bets in Indian wells if his odds are good and I’m hoping they will be with a full draw playing.
                                            Comment
                                            • Conqueror
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-08-13
                                              • 16777

                                              #232
                                              Nice inputs here.
                                              Comment
                                              • Jeff_Black
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-04-15
                                                • 3571

                                                #233
                                                Discussion is always encouraged!!

                                                Anyway I’m going to have a dabble in all three tournaments with stuff I like.

                                                ATP Dubai 500, Men’s Singles, Final
                                                Roger Federer vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
                                                Set Handicap: Roger Federer -1.5 Sets, 1.98 on Pinnacle
                                                Stake: 5u play

                                                I still can’t believe I backing a 37 year old Federer to win matches in straight sets but admittedly he’s gotten better as the tournament as gone on. Their matches have been close and with the 100th title on the line it’ll be the perfect preparation and maybe less pressure going into IW/Miami.

                                                ATP Acupalco 500, Men’s Singles, Final
                                                Nick Kyrgios vs Alexander Zverev
                                                Handicap: Nick Kyrgios +2.5, 1.952 on Pinnacle
                                                Stake: 2u play

                                                I’ll ride with him for another match, in a final. Sascha has been solid but he’s also had a bit of a cupcake draw going forward. Even if Nick doesn’t win I feel like he can hold his own serve wise.

                                                ATP Sau Paulo 250, Mens Singles, SF
                                                Guido Pella vs Laslo Djere
                                                Handicap: Laslo Djere +3, 1.97 on Pinnacle
                                                Stake: 2u play
                                                Comment
                                                • Conqueror
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-08-13
                                                  • 16777

                                                  #234
                                                  The Fed keeps going.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Jeff_Black
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-04-15
                                                    • 3571

                                                    #235
                                                    Yeah he was superb. Volleyed like a magician, had a bumpy ride toward the end of the first set and looked like a tough second set until he broke at the end of it.
                                                    You could tell how relieved he was to win his 100th with the way he reacted. I’m happy for him.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Jeff_Black
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-04-15
                                                      • 3571

                                                      #236
                                                      121 - 114 - 9 (+35.552u)

                                                      ATP Sau Paulo, Men’s Singles, Final
                                                      Guido Pella vs Christian Garmin
                                                      Handicap: Guido Pella -3, 2.02 on Pinnacle
                                                      Stake: 3u play
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Maizey
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 08-11-18
                                                        • 226

                                                        #237
                                                        Helluva week buddy. Seems like you were the only one who kept believing that Kyrgios could continue his run despite being extended match after match with no rest in between. I rode Kenin the whole tournament but she let me down in the finals. Oh well, still made some nice profit on her overall.

                                                        One thing I noticed is that you bump you play size as the tournaments progress. That seems a bit odd to me. The softer lines appear early in the tournaments, at least that’s what I have observed, plus there are more matches to choose from. Either way, I can’t argue with your success so far.

                                                        Looking forward to Indian Wells and the full field that participates.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Jeff_Black
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-04-15
                                                          • 3571

                                                          #238
                                                          Originally posted by Maizey
                                                          One thing I noticed is that you bump you play size as the tournaments progress. That seems a bit odd to me. The softer lines appear early in the tournaments, at least that’s what I have observed, plus there are more matches to choose from. Either way, I can’t argue with your success so far.

                                                          Looking forward to Indian Wells and the full field that participates.
                                                          Just a personal thing for mine but I feel more confident in the later stages then I do earlier. Sometimes I feel confident in a player but he could lose in the first or second round to someone who’s decent. It’s like that sometimes.
                                                          Even if I lose I can live with. Federer going for his 100th title was a good example. He got better as the tournament went along and while he didn’t have an overly difficult draw he still played some players who could throw a spanner in the works. And he played well anyway.

                                                          Also normally I try to think day or two ahead in who I think will win and how I think it’ll pan out in when it comes to those later stages, right or wrong either way I feel more confident. That’s just me.

                                                          Other times there is definitely value in fading big guns sometimes early for example like Fognini who has been arse on clay in the early rounds.

                                                          As for Kyrgios, Yeah once he had a few matches under his belt I think he got more confident in himself. And as soon as he said Nadal was in the draw and he was looking forward to the challenge you kind of felt he’d be up for it. He had some luck go his way at times like that net cord on one of the match points but he also went for it at times too.

                                                          122 - 114 - 9 (+38.612u)

                                                          From what I saw there are only women’s qualifiers on the schedule today so I might just look at the Men’s side for tommorow and see if there is anything worth getting on early or just see what the market does.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DavidGoliath5003
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-20-18
                                                            • 4100

                                                            #239
                                                            Good work in here, Jeff. As for the wagers it makes sense to increase as you get confident with the players current form at such events.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Jeff_Black
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-04-15
                                                              • 3571

                                                              #240
                                                              Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                                              Good work in here, Jeff. As for the wagers it makes sense to increase as you get confident with the players current form at such events.
                                                              Cheers man, keep on grinding yourself too haha.

                                                              I just do whatever works for me, for others it might be different, if someone has a way which makes them a steady profit then by all means!
                                                              There is no right or wrong way to do it in my opinion.

                                                              Sometimes I don't like to increase wagers because a few losses and your profits take a hit like it did with me at times already this season. So I'm learning the hard way too haha. End of the day the only result that matters (to me) is the result at the end of the tennis season when the last match of the season has concluded. Other times of course I am not as confident. Thankfully I have been more right then wrong which helps too lol.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jeff_Black
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-04-15
                                                                • 3571

                                                                #241
                                                                Men's Indian Wells Qualifiers beginning over the next 12-24 hours...

                                                                ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
                                                                Darian King vs Elias Ymer
                                                                Moneyline: Darian King, 2.04 on Pinnacle
                                                                Stake: 1u play

                                                                ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
                                                                Egor Gerasimov vs Evgeny Donskoy
                                                                Moneyline: Egor Gerasimov, 1.813 on Pinnacle
                                                                Stake: 1u play

                                                                ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
                                                                Noah Rubin vs Yannick Maden
                                                                Moneyline: Noah Rubin, 2.12 on Pinnacle
                                                                Stake: 1u play

                                                                ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
                                                                Casper Ruud vs Tatsuma Ito
                                                                Moneyline: Tatsuma Ito, 2.90 on Pinnacle
                                                                Stake: 1u play

                                                                ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
                                                                Juan Ignacio Londero vs Christian Harrison
                                                                Moneyline: Christian Harrison, 2.88 on Pinnacle
                                                                Stake: 1u play

                                                                ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
                                                                Prajnesh Gunneswaran vs Jason Jung
                                                                Moneyline: Jason Jung, 1.787 on Pinnacle
                                                                Stake: 1u play
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Jeff_Black
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-04-15
                                                                  • 3571

                                                                  #242
                                                                  126 - 116 - 9 (+42.325u)

                                                                  Nice to have the best value odds picks get up as well I guess heh. I was a bit disappointed that King did not handle the rain delay as well as his opponent, but anyway.

                                                                  ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
                                                                  Ugo Humbert vs JJ Wolf
                                                                  Handicap: Ugo Humbert -4, 1.884 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 1u play

                                                                  ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
                                                                  Marcos Jiron vs Miomir Kecmanovic
                                                                  Handicap: Miomir Kecmanovic -3, 1.909 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 1u play

                                                                  ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
                                                                  Christopher Eubanks vs Alex Bolt
                                                                  Moneyline: Alex Bolt, 2.04 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 1u play

                                                                  ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
                                                                  Denis Istomin vs Egor Gerasimov
                                                                  Moneyline: Egor Gerasimov, 2.21 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 1u play

                                                                  ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
                                                                  Christian Harrison vs Elias Ymer
                                                                  Moneyline: Christian Harrison, 2.48 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 1u play

                                                                  ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
                                                                  Dan Evans vs Noah Rubin
                                                                  Handicap: Noah Rubin +4, 1.84 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Moneyline: Noah Rubin, 3.20 on Pinnacle
                                                                  Stake: 2u & 1u plays
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Jeff_Black
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-04-15
                                                                    • 3571

                                                                    #243
                                                                    A few early plays for Indian Wells as well for the First Round, for the markets that are out. I've identified a few others I like but I think they might drift out a bit more and I prefer to wait. The ones here I prefer to get on now...

                                                                    ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                                    Tomas Berdych vs Feliciano Lopez
                                                                    Moneyline: Feliciano Lopez, 5.23 on Pinnacle
                                                                    Stake: 0.5u play

                                                                    This is a little bit of both, in no way I believe Berdych should be this short as he is not as much of a 'sure thing' as he may have been in the past, against Feliciano Lopez who owns a 8-6 h2h against him so he knows how to beat him. Lopez also performs well at Indian Wells, making it to the fourth round in his last 4 or 5 years as well as a QF appearance. I would have expected the odds to be shorter for him and Berdych to be longer but I think he will fancy his chances here behind his serve especially in a first round match where there can be upsets.
                                                                    I am only getting ML odds at the moment but if they offer a good line or total maybe I will look into that with a unit but for now i'll leave it at this.

                                                                    ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                                    Mateo Berreteni vs Sam Querrey
                                                                    Moneyline: Sam Querrey, 1.609 on Pinnacle
                                                                    Stake: 5u play

                                                                    This one I feel a lot more confident in. I've seen enough of Querrey's form in the states to believe he can win his first round match, in a tournament where he has only lost in the first round ONCE in twelve appearances. As well as a QF appearance last year where he will want to defend as many of those points as possible.
                                                                    He's playing Mateo Berreteni who came in last year as a Lucky Loser and who is accustomed more to the Indoor Hardcourts. He's coming straight from the indoor European hardcourts to the outdoor American hardcourts. As mentioned in other threads the Indian Wells hardcourts are slower and more humid then the hardcourts Berreteni has been accustomed to for the last few weeks and I think Querrey comes out on top here and takes advantage of being more accustomed to playing here in general.

                                                                    ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                                    Damir Dzumhur vs Albert Ramos Vinolas
                                                                    Moneyline: Damir Dzumhur, 1.84 on Pinnacle
                                                                    Stake: 1u play

                                                                    ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                                    Felix Auger Aliassime vs Cameron Norrie
                                                                    Moneyline: Felix Auger Aliassime, 2.20 on Pinnacle
                                                                    Stake: 1u play
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Jeff_Black
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-04-15
                                                                      • 3571

                                                                      #244
                                                                      127 - 121 - 10 (+37.365u)

                                                                      Yikes.

                                                                      ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                                      Pierre Hueges Herbert vs Philipp Kohlscrieber
                                                                      Moneyline: Philipp Kohlscriebber, 1.735 on Pinnacle
                                                                      Stake: 2u play

                                                                      ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                                      Ivo Karlovic vs Matthew Ebden
                                                                      Moneyline: Ivo Karlovic, 2.03 on Pinnacle
                                                                      Stake: 1u play

                                                                      ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                                      Federico Delbonis vs Jordan Thompson
                                                                      Moneyline: Federico Delbonis, 2.639 on Pinnacle
                                                                      Handicap: Federico Delbonis +3, 1.833 on Pinnacle
                                                                      Stake: 0.5u and 1.5 plays

                                                                      ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                                      John Millman vs Jan-Lennard Struff
                                                                      Moneyline: Jan-Lennard Struff, 3.07 on Pinnacle
                                                                      Handicap: Jan-Lennard Struff +3.5, 1.925 on Pinnacle
                                                                      Stake: 0.5u and 1.5 plays

                                                                      ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
                                                                      Reilly Opeika vs Leonard Mayer
                                                                      Moneyline: Leonardo Mayer, 2.44 on Pinnacle
                                                                      Stake: 1u play
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Jeff_Black
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-04-15
                                                                        • 3571

                                                                        #245
                                                                        134 - 123 - 10 (+48.718u)

                                                                        ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, R1
                                                                        Donald Young vs Hubert Hurkacz
                                                                        Moneyline: Donald Young, 3.05 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 1u play

                                                                        ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, R1
                                                                        Ernests Gulbis vs Alex Bolt
                                                                        Moneyline: Ernests Gulbis, 1.671 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 2u play

                                                                        ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, R1
                                                                        Tatsuma Ito vs Jared Donaldson
                                                                        Moneyline: Tatsuma Ito, 2.09 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 1u play

                                                                        ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, R1
                                                                        Jaime Munar vs Alexei Popyrin
                                                                        Moneyline: Alexei Popyrin, 1.90 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 1u play

                                                                        ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, R1
                                                                        Mackenzie McDonald vs Joao Sousa
                                                                        Moneyline: Joao Sousa, 2.38 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 1u play

                                                                        ATP Indian Wells Masters 1000, R1
                                                                        Taro Daniel vs Dusan Lajovic
                                                                        Total Score: Over 22.5 Games, 1.98 on Pinnacle
                                                                        Stake: 1u play
                                                                        Comment
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