TomJSports Soccer Picks - Bundesliga/Champ League/Internat'l/Other

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  • TomJSports
    SBR MVP
    • 08-31-11
    • 1177

    #106
    Originally posted by wilt
    I think the San Pauli bet is -1,5 richtig?
    Ended up not so. 3-1 Aue in the 90' right now. At least the over hit and Paderborn hit. Wish I played more on those two.
    Comment
    • decado
      SBR MVP
      • 08-23-10
      • 2392

      #107
      Hamburg completely changed their lineup. Looking at your 20x on Stuttgart, I'd worry a bit now. Especially because Stuttgart ain't exactly what you call a good team either.

      Hope for you though, Stuttgart wins. I will watch the game and decide on live-betting instead.
      Comment
      • The Special One
        Restricted User
        • 01-08-11
        • 3972

        #108
        like always ill be on the opposite side from you Bundesliga Friday...

        im thinking Stuttgart DRAW today.. GL though
        Comment
        • TomJSports
          SBR MVP
          • 08-31-11
          • 1177

          #109
          Originally posted by decado
          Hamburg completely changed their lineup. Looking at your 20x on Stuttgart, I'd worry a bit now. Especially because Stuttgart ain't exactly what you call a good team either.

          Hope for you though, Stuttgart wins. I will watch the game and decide on live-betting instead.
          Yeah, you've got to be really scared with the coaching change. Cardoso will be fiery and demand a good first game. I was going by initial reports VfB was feeling a full team and 'not taking Hamburg lightly'. Now it appears they're playing a bit of an odd lineup. I like Cacau against that HSV defense though. Not as confident, but moderately confident. It's a game the should win, but like the VfB coach said, HSV shouldn't be at the bottom of the table to begin with.

          I wish the US books have live betting on football, made game a hell of a lot of fun. Hopefully they have it with hockey.
          Comment
          • TomJSports
            SBR MVP
            • 08-31-11
            • 1177

            #110
            Originally posted by The Special One
            like always ill be on the opposite side from you Bundesliga Friday...

            im thinking Stuttgart DRAW today.. GL though
            Definitely not a bad play with the new coach in tow. HSV on the road, not as much pressure, can get creative. Especially with the lineup VfB is fielding. Good luck.
            Comment
            • TomJSports
              SBR MVP
              • 08-31-11
              • 1177

              #111
              Originally posted by TomJSports
              Bundesliga:
              Stuttgart -1 EV 20x

              2.Bundesliga:
              Paderborn +110 5x +5
              St. Pauli +1.5 +125 10x -8
              St. Pauli/Aue o2.75 -115 5x +5

              Other Leagues:
              (Gambrinus) Viktoria Plzeň -1 -105 5x
              (Ligue 2) Tours -105 5x
              (Ligue 2) Metz/Istres o2.5 +125 5x
              (Eerste Divisie) Oss/Fortuna Sittard o3 -130 10x
              (Eerste Divisie) Willhem II -1 -110 5x
              (Nemzeti Bajnokság I) Videoton FC (aka Fehérvár) -1.5 -130 5x +5
              (Eliteserien) Molde -1 -105 10x
              (Portugal) Porto/Benefica o2.5 -110 5x
              3-0-1 and +7 isn't a bad start, hope it keep up. Molde is scoreless at half, which is a bit annoying. I have to head out soon, so best of luck on your plays for the weekend.

              Originally posted by TomJSports
              I wanted to play the GIF/Brommapojkarna, but I couldn't. I like both the over and the GIF road win, but not enough to play it. GIF has been over in 6 of the last 8, and BP 5 of the last 7. Probably a decent play. GIF also has had much better form lately, so between the two teams in the promotion hunt, I like GIF.
              GIF up 2-0 at half!
              Comment
              • TomJSports
                SBR MVP
                • 08-31-11
                • 1177

                #112
                Originally posted by TomJSports
                Bundesliga:
                Stuttgart -1 EV 20x

                2.Bundesliga:
                Paderborn +110 5x +5
                St. Pauli +1.5 +125 10x -8
                St. Pauli/Aue o2.75 -115 5x +5

                Other Leagues:
                (Gambrinus) Viktoria Plzeň -1 -105 5x -5.25
                (Ligue 2) Tours -105 5x -5.25
                (Ligue 2) Metz/Istres o2.5 +125 5x +5
                (Eerste Divisie) Oss/Fortuna Sittard o3 -130 10x PUSH
                (Eerste Divisie) Willhem II -1 -110 5x -5.5
                (Nemzeti Bajnokság I) Videoton FC (aka Fehérvár) -1.5 -130 5x +5
                (Eliteserien) Molde -1 -105 10x -10.5
                (Portugal) Porto/Benefica o2.5 -110 5x
                Ehh, figured I was due for a bad day, bring it a smidge back down to earth after a good week. 4-1-5 for -14.5. A lot still hinges on VfB. They should get a two goal win, but with how Hamburg is playing, I have my reservations about even a push with the -1. 1-0 in O Clássico thus far, so hopefully is picks up in the second.
                Comment
                • Kaizen
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 03-31-11
                  • 147

                  #113
                  Hamburg scored
                  Comment
                  • TomJSports
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-31-11
                    • 1177

                    #114
                    Gökhan Töre's corners are fantastic.
                    Comment
                    • decado
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-23-10
                      • 2392

                      #115
                      Originally posted by TomJSports
                      Gökhan Töre's corners are fantastic.
                      That's true.

                      Stuttgart should've led like 3-0 by half-time. Hamburg go better in 2H and deserved the win in the end, I guess.. Sorry about the bet, maybe never put high stakes when big changes were done.
                      Comment
                      • The Special One
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-08-11
                        • 3972

                        #116
                        wow wtf... they couldnt tie it up for me?
                        Comment
                        • TomJSports
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-31-11
                          • 1177

                          #117
                          Bundesliga:
                          Stuttgart -1 EV 20x -20

                          2.Bundesliga:
                          Paderborn +110 5x +5
                          St. Pauli +1.5 +125 10x -8
                          St. Pauli/Aue o2.75 -115 5x +5

                          Other Leagues:
                          (Gambrinus) Viktoria Plzeň -1 -105 5x -5.25
                          (Ligue 2) Tours -105 5x -5.25
                          (Ligue 2) Metz/Istres o2.5 +125 5x +5
                          (Eerste Divisie) Oss/Fortuna Sittard o3 -130 10x PUSH
                          (Eerste Divisie) Willhem II -1 -110 5x -5.5
                          (Nemzeti Bajnokság I) Videoton FC (aka Fehérvár) -1.5 -130 5x +5
                          (Eliteserien) Molde -1 -105 10x -10.5
                          (Portugal) Porto/Benefica o2.5 -110 5x +5


                          Ehh, wish I held off on the VfB game until I saw the lineups. Probably would've played it lighter. Didn't think I would have time, though. Other 'big' regrets are not playing GIF, or playing O Clássico and Metz/Istres higher. But I can't complain after a good week, even though I was bad (0-1-3 today) on the big bets.

                          Club play today: 5-1-6 -29.5 (exact wash of the +29.5 yesterday )
                          Club play this week: 17-3-11 +55.99 (+5.6%)
                          Club play last week: 6-0-8 -23.125 (-2.31%)
                          Club play total: 48-4-33 +138.58


                          Of interest, I was 3-1-0 on o/u plays today, which would be good news if I weren't 2-0-6 on others.

                          Time to go work for 60, see ya Sunday or Monday Good luck the rest of the weekend!
                          Comment
                          • TomJSports
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-31-11
                            • 1177

                            #118
                            Originally posted by decado
                            That's true.

                            Stuttgart should've led like 3-0 by half-time. Hamburg go better in 2H and deserved the win in the end, I guess.. Sorry about the bet, maybe never put high stakes when big changes were done.
                            Definite take home message. I also thing Hamburg saw they were getting breaks from the posts and other plays and stepped it up in a big fashion. Loved the fight out of HSV, and hope they can keep it up as I said. Love how they played (at least in the second, and end of first) for Cardoso, and eagerly awaiting their home bout with Schalke next week.
                            Comment
                            • TomJSports
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-31-11
                              • 1177

                              #119
                              2.Bundesliga:
                              Dresden/Frankfurt o2.75 -105 10x

                              Other Leagues:
                              (Gambrinus) Sparta Prague -1.5 +110 5x
                              (Danish Superliga) AaB -1 -140 5x
                              (Portugal) Académica -0.5 +110 5x
                              (Allsvenskan) Gefle +160 10x
                              (Superettan) Ängelholm EV 5x
                              (Superettan) Västerås/Hammarby o3 -115 5x


                              Locked these in and hope to get off to a good start this week.
                              Comment
                              • decado
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-23-10
                                • 2392

                                #120
                                good thing your back

                                had a disastrous futbol sunday. probably lost all bets, but i ended being up a little thanks to nfl.
                                Comment
                                • TomJSports
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-31-11
                                  • 1177

                                  #121
                                  Frankfurt was a 1.Bundesliga team and Dresden was a 3.Liga team last year. So Frankfurt should win this on the road. But at similar odds, I like the over 2.75 between teams that averaged 4.5 and 3 combined goals per game respectively. Frankfurt is also a team that comes out scoring on the road and has 13 goals in the last 4 road games and is 3-1-0. Definitely like the over.

                                  I like Sparta Prague to win this Gambrinus league this year as they've jumped out to a great start, while other squad have question marks. At home, against a bottom tier squad, this should be a big win. The biggest problem is this Sparta squad seems to be a win by 1 at home and a win by 2 on the road. I think they make a statement this game and get it by two or three for the home fans.

                                  Lyngby is a very poor squad, but is downright pathetic on the road. Match them up against a top half AaB squad in Aalborg (despite last week's loss to Nordsjælland), I like AaB to win this one. Protecting by not bumping to 1.25 though.

                                  Académica wants to stay in the continental hunt this year, and despite a very strong start, especially the showing against FC Porto, Feirense is still a promoted squad and I think feels the effect against a good squad in Académica.

                                  Kalmar and Gefle are two middle of the road squad in Allsvenskan. I give the edge to Gefle based on Kalmar's poor record recently. Kalmar is 2-2-4 in the last 8 and 0-1-3 in the last 4 on the road. Gefle has also won the past two at home.

                                  Ängelholm is shooting for the league title and Jönköpings Södra is a bottom half squad. Jönköping is fighting to avoid relegation and
                                  will want to get a win at home where they are 3-1 in their last 4. So I don't like it a whole bunch, as I normally would, but I definitely like Ängelholm in this one.

                                  Västerås and Hammarby are two teams fighting to avoid relegation and met earlier for a 3-1 match. In the last eight for Västerås, the o3 would be 6-1-1, and for Hammarby 3-3-2. Given their neighbouring standing, I think once a team gets a goal, the other presses for the equalizer and the floodgates will open.

                                  Good luck in your plays today!
                                  Comment
                                  • TomJSports
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-31-11
                                    • 1177

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by decado
                                    good thing your back

                                    had a disastrous futbol sunday. probably lost all bets, but i ended being up a little thanks to nfl.
                                    Yeah, looking at the results, it was probably a good thing I had a busy weekend. I probably only would've been ~50% with German plays, but probably 25% with some of the other leagues' results I finished 50/50 in the capping leagues for NFL, too, so doubt that would've helped!

                                    But good to be back. I taped the Bayern game to watch during my break, but slept ~10 of the 12 hours I was off. Dunno if I'll watch it since I have already read about it thoroughly.
                                    Comment
                                    • beeps220
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-29-10
                                      • 4227

                                      #123
                                      This German over looking great Tom 1-2 and not even the half
                                      Comment
                                      • TomJSports
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-31-11
                                        • 1177

                                        #124
                                        Yeah, got to hope these two hit, I'm 1-1-3 and -13.25 on the day.
                                        Comment
                                        • beeps220
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-29-10
                                          • 4227

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by TomJSports
                                          Yeah, got to hope these two hit, I'm 1-1-3 and -13.25 on the day.
                                          Oh hell Let's hope this hit's buddy
                                          Comment
                                          • TomJSports
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-31-11
                                            • 1177

                                            #126
                                            Excellent, Frankfurt scored late to finally hit the over. Académica is also up 3-0 at half. Looks like I may have jumped back into a positive day. Scandinavia let me down bigtime today, though.
                                            Comment
                                            • TomJSports
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-31-11
                                              • 1177

                                              #127
                                              2.Bundesliga:
                                              Dresden/Frankfurt o2.75 -105 10x +10

                                              Other Leagues:
                                              (Gambrinus) Sparta Prague -1.5 +110 5x +5
                                              (Danish Superliga) AaB -1 -140 5x -7
                                              (Portugal) Académica -0.5 +110 5x +5
                                              (Allsvenskan) Gefle +160 10x -6.25
                                              (Superettan) Ängelholm EV 5x -5
                                              (Superettan) Västerås/Hammarby o3 -115 5x PUSH


                                              Académica and the 2.Bundesliga match salvaged what would've been a bad first day back. Scandinavia let me down big time, especially AaB which decide to lose, at home, to a bad team. Gefle was a slight reach, but at home with great odds against an evenly matched team, of course ended in a draw. Bottom-dwelling Jönköpings Södra gave the home crowd something to cheer about finally with a 3-0 win over top-tier Ängelholm. So 0-1-3 in Scandinavian plays and 3-0-0 in everything else. Can't complain about being in the black, though.

                                              Club play today: 3-1-3 +1.75
                                              Club play last week: 17-3-11 +55.99 (+5.6%)
                                              Club play total: 51-5-36 +140.33
                                              Comment
                                              • Blue_Chips
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 08-20-10
                                                • 1775

                                                #128
                                                Good job on the Dresden over!

                                                Comment
                                                • TomJSports
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-31-11
                                                  • 1177

                                                  #129
                                                  Champions League:
                                                  Bayern Munich -110 10x
                                                  Napoli -0.75 -110 10x
                                                  Inter/CSKA draw +230 5x
                                                  Trabzonspor +200 5x
                                                  Trabzonspor/Lille scoreless after half +300 5x
                                                  Basel to score +115 10x
                                                  Lyon -1.5 +110 5x
                                                  Lyon/Zagreb o2.75 +105 5x
                                                  Ajax to score -115 5x


                                                  Didn't put nearly as many units in play as I did two weeks ago, since that ended poorly for a lot of people. I had to pick Bayern, or I couldn't look myself in the mirror , besides Bayern is lights out while ManCity is borderline struggling. I like Napoli to get a needed win at home against a struggling Villarreal. Inter should win the matchup with CSKA, but they've been struggling mightily, and CSKA is well a draw machine. So I played the draw. Trabzonspor was more or less a for fun play. Lille is a decent team, but I think the home Turkish crowd will be amazing. Both teams are also second half teams, so I really think this will be scoreless at half. I think with how beat up ManU is, Basel will certainly score in this one. Zagreb proved to be a tough squad against Real, but they're away from home and Lyon will want to pack on goal differential, so I like the Lyon spread and over. Lastly, even though they're against Real, I cannot see Ajax being shut out in consecutive CL matches.

                                                  Good luck on your plays today!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TomJSports
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-31-11
                                                    • 1177

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by Blue_Chips
                                                    Good job on the Dresden over!

                                                    Thanks, a lot of the 2.Bundesliga games have solid over squads. Eintracht Frankfurt, 1860 München, and St Pauli are great winning over squads. Dresden, Ingolstadt, Cottbus, and Union Berlin are great mid tier over teams. And the 3.Liga teams at the bottom like getting beaten 4-0. All of that combined, of course leads it to being a decent over league, and why you sometimes see the o/u set at 3.5
                                                    Comment
                                                    • decado
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-23-10
                                                      • 2392

                                                      #131
                                                      Let's take down City tonight!

                                                      I opened Bayern/City thread as well, it's an interesting read there.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TomJSports
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-31-11
                                                        • 1177

                                                        #132
                                                        Excellent, thanks decado.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Fl6j66
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 06-20-10
                                                          • 961

                                                          #133
                                                          G-Omez
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TomJSports
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-31-11
                                                            • 1177

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by Fl6j66
                                                            G-Omez
                                                            Love that man. I still miss Klose, but Gómez is the man!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TomJSports
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-31-11
                                                              • 1177

                                                              #135
                                                              Champions League:
                                                              Bayern Munich -110 10x +10
                                                              Napoli -0.75 -110 10x +10
                                                              Inter/CSKA draw +230 5x -2.17
                                                              Trabzonspor +200 5x -2.5
                                                              Trabzonspor/Lille scoreless after half +300 5x -1.67
                                                              Basel to score +115 10x +10
                                                              Lyon -1.5 +110 5x +5
                                                              Lyon/Zagreb o2.75 +105 5x -4.76
                                                              Ajax to score -115 5x -5.75


                                                              Solid day today, and despite a losing record of 4-5, I was up 1.8%, thanks to 3-0 on my big bets. And a humourous 1-5 on my small bets. But the 'for fun' Trab bets and Inter draw all didn't hit. I'm very surprised Ajax didn't score, though. Hope for a another good day tomorrow.

                                                              Champions League Plays Today: 4-0-5 +18.15
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TomJSports
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-31-11
                                                                • 1177

                                                                #136
                                                                CONCACAF Champions League:
                                                                Herediano +1.75 +115 5x
                                                                Herediano/Monterray o3 -115 5x
                                                                Comunicaciones/Seattle o2.5 +110 5x


                                                                Psuedo-following cogiditopapa and beeps. Don't steer me wrong, boys
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TomJSports
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-31-11
                                                                  • 1177

                                                                  #137
                                                                  CONCACAF Champions League:
                                                                  Herediano +1.75 +115 5x +5
                                                                  Herediano/Monterray o3 -115 5x -5.75
                                                                  Comunicaciones/Seattle o2.5 +110 5x +5


                                                                  Not a bad night for CONCACAF.

                                                                  Club play today: 2-0-1 +9.25
                                                                  Club play this week: 5-1-4 +11.00
                                                                  Club play last week: 17-3-11 +55.99 (+5.6%)
                                                                  Club play total: 51-5-36 +149.58
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • cogiditopapa
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-03-10
                                                                    • 3489

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Good job bud!!!! you are becoming a Concacaf fan now
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TomJSports
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-31-11
                                                                      • 1177

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Other Leagues:
                                                                      (Ondrášovka Cup) Jablonec -1.5 -115 10x
                                                                      (Ondrášovka Cup) Slovácko -0.5 -115 5x


                                                                      Second place Jablonec is destroying teams at home and playing a mediocre Dukla Prague squad. Slovácko is only a decent team, but Baník Ostrava is a terrible team and hasn't won against a top flight team for some time. Baník Ostrava is also dead last in the Gambrinus with no wins and a 4-0 and 5-0 loss on the road. If Slovácko were a better club that had scored more than eight in eight, I'd play it more. Also, in the history of the Cup, the better teams often do win, much unlike, say, English Cups.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SiMON2g
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-01-10
                                                                        • 1157

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Loving your form lately! 51-36 is a great record man!
                                                                        Comment
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