Donk VINDICATION: TOP EXPERTS DOWN TO 81,766 EXPECTED DEATHS....

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  • Auto Donk
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-03-13
    • 43558

    #1
    Donk VINDICATION: TOP EXPERTS DOWN TO 81,766 EXPECTED DEATHS....
    and guess what? the 2017 COMMON FLU season resulted in 85,000 deaths......

    now, birx and fauci's "model", recalibrated with data from what is actually happening, is now predicting only 81,766 total deaths from coronavirus in the US.....

    feeling kinda stupid for buying into the hype, topgamedope and vitturd????

    this has been a travesty from day one.... the second the goddam liberals/democrats/msm saw a chance to attack trump with it -- in light of everything else having failed -- they whipped up this horrible goddam terrifying watch the fuk out pandemic that is gonna wind up killin' about the same number of people that our 2017 COMMON FLU season killed..............

    someone please refresh my recollection? did we crash the economy in 2017? why not, a particularly deadly flu season was upon us, thousands of americans dying, and trump was president.... OH, THAT'S RIGHT, WE STILL HAD the MUELLER REPORT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    so, no need to raise hysteria then.... but now???? shit, watch cnn, you'd swear the f'n world was coming to an end....

    i feel sorry for fools who get their news from that shithole, msnbc, abc or nbc.... (don't follow cbs at all, but in all likelihood they're in the same boat)....

    bottom line, we just fukked ourselves due to media hysteria and bullshit about yet another asian flu bug, of the same type as sars and h1n1, which, because trump wasn't president, hardly made the f'n news.....


    here's the latest update on the expected mortality after the model was "adjusted' to some actual data on the ground instead of mad liberal scientist "predictions".....




    and here's an early 2018 article for your fear mongers like that idiot who kept calling me out yesterday, topgamesomething or another, showing how -- in any other year -- this bullshit we've just cratered the world's economy would be simply considered a particularly bad flu season -- and we'd all move the fuk on............

  • RudyRuetigger
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-24-10
    • 65084

    #2
    what would be the deaths without "social distancing"?


    probably higher, so your point is invalid



    what is valid is that those deaths will happen next time if it is seasonal


    i dont give a fukk either way
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      Auto thank you for updating us
      Comment
      • JohnGalt2341
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-31-09
        • 9138

        #4
        That's by August 4th. And 81K by May 21st. You didn't seem to read your own link.

        Today the IMHE model used by the CDC and Dr. Birx and Dr. Fauci estimate the total US coronavirus deaths to be 81,766 by August 4th.
        And 81,000
        by May 21st.

        They are predicting only 766 deaths from May 21st until August 4th? Something is not right.

        This is morbid... but if ANY of you fools wants to bet me that there won't be AT LEAST 100K deaths by the end of the year I will take any and all action. If not... you're just talking out of your ass like you always do. Put your money where your mouth is for once. I will, will you?
        Comment
        • topgame85
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-30-08
          • 12325

          #5
          This is assuming total social distancing. You chose the right username, a true donk.
          Comment
          • Auto Donk
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-03-13
            • 43558

            #6
            Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
            what would be the deaths without "social distancing"?


            probably higher, so your point is invalid



            what is valid is that those deaths will happen next time if it is seasonal


            i dont give a fukk either way
            if no social distancing, ie, FAUCI'S "LET IT RIP", they predicted 2M americans would die., absolute worst case.... there are 330 M americans these days, so worst case is 2/330 = .61 percent of the population death rate...........

            chalk it up to, as we called it in 2017, a particularly bad flu season.......

            we didn't wreck shit then, and we shouldn't have now........

            the KUNG FLU is a darwinian dream........ natural selection at its finest......

            and, with all the old folks homes being wiped out, expect an influx of new money as degenerates finally get their grubby paws on their long-awaited inheritances.........
            Comment
            • topgame85
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-30-08
              • 12325

              #7
              Mortality rate is % of those infected that die, not % population. Unless you are assuming 100% population gets infected you clearly botched this calculation. At least now I can see where you got the false rate of .6% that I argued you about the other day. GIGO
              Comment
              • RudyRuetigger
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 08-24-10
                • 65084

                #8
                Originally posted by topgame85
                Mortality rate is % of those infected that die, not % population. Unless you are assuming 100% populatikn gets infectef? Now I see where you got .6% the other day. GIGO
                itll be lower than even .6% dumbass

                go back to that thread d2bets looks like a dumbass and explain the death rate
                Comment
                • Auto Donk
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-03-13
                  • 43558

                  #9
                  Originally posted by topgame85
                  Mortality rate is % of those infected that die, not % population. Unless you are assuming 100% populatikn gets infectef? Now I see where you got .6% the other day. GIGO
                  talking overall population reduction/mortality, and no, CNN'S NUMBER the other day was .66 mortality rate (NOT MINE, BUT CNN'S).... i posted the link for ya....

                  but obviously you don't read much....
                  Comment
                  • Auto Donk
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 09-03-13
                    • 43558

                    #10
                    Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                    itll be lower than even .6% dumbass

                    go back to that thread d2bets looks like a dumbass and explain the death rate
                    I'm starting to think this "topgame" dope is anderson cooper or jim acosta.... maybe don lemon.........

                    possibly that blonde ho brooke baldwin........


                    on a totally unrelated subject, some people really, really want boris johnson dead.....

                    I f'n hope he makes it through this shit.......
                    Comment
                    • topgame85
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-30-08
                      • 12325

                      #11
                      Even if I gave you the benefit of the doubt on your clearly faulty data analysis and calculation at .6% COVID is 6x as deadly as a bad flu year, or 600% as deadly. For context you are about 7 times, 700%, more likely to be in a fatal car accident drunk than you are sober. So this is the equivalent of risk driving sober vs risk driving drunk.

                      Now- if we said screw it, lets keep everything open but everyone has to drive drunk for 3 months would you want your family out on the roads?
                      Last edited by topgame85; 04-06-20, 03:47 PM.
                      Comment
                      • Wabashwonders
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-28-20
                        • 813

                        #12
                        I can’t believe we still have people trying to compare this to the flu.
                        Comment
                        • topgame85
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-30-08
                          • 12325

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Auto Donk
                          talking overall population reduction/mortality, and no, CNN'S NUMBER the other day was .66 mortality rate (NOT MINE, BUT CNN'S).... i posted the link for ya....

                          but obviously you don't read much....
                          You are conflating two completely different statistics. Mortality rate vs percent of total population that dies? Foolish.
                          Comment
                          • JohnGalt2341
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 12-31-09
                            • 9138

                            #14
                            This thread WILL NOT age well. If anyone wants to wager me on this... you name the price.

                            The intellectual laziness from Trump and his supporters is ASTOUNDING. They don't know the difference between what they WANT to be true and what is actually true. This is exactly the same reason why they lose so much money betting on sports.

                            If I am wrong... there is no need for the onslaught of name calling that I will likely be the target of from this post. Just wager me... that's all you have to do. If any of you fools wants to wager me that there won't be AT LEAST 100K deaths by the end of this year.... you name the price. I will take any and all action. I fully expect to get no offers.

                            YOU CAN'T GASLIGHT A VIRUS!
                            Comment
                            • habitualwinning
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-22-12
                              • 1569

                              #15
                              Autodonk and Rudy top 5 posters on this forum. Two of the only people on here that I see who consistently get it. Gd there are some stupid fukkin people on this forum otherwise.
                              Comment
                              • Wabashwonders
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 02-28-20
                                • 813

                                #16
                                Originally posted by habitualwinning
                                Autodonk and Rudy top 5 posters on this forum. Two of the only people on here that I see who consistently get it. Gd there are some stupid fukkin people on this forum otherwise.
                                You may be right but this a stupid thread. Anyone trying to continue to compare this to the flu is an idiot. Sorry but that’s the truth.
                                Comment
                                • topgame85
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-30-08
                                  • 12325

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                  This thread WILL NOT age well. If anyone wants to wager me on this... you name the price.

                                  The intellectual laziness from Trump and his supporters is ASTOUNDING. They don't know the difference between what they WANT to be true and what is actually true. This is exactly the same reason why they lose so much money betting on sports.

                                  If I am wrong... there is no need for the onslaught of name calling that I will likely be the target of from this post. Just wager me... that's all you have to do. If any of you fools wants to wager me that there won't be AT LEAST 100K deaths by the end of this year.... you name the price. I will take any and all action. I fully expect to get no offers.

                                  YOU CAN'T GASLIGHT A VIRUS!
                                  You are absolutely spot on. They won't bet you, because they know they'd lose. If they believed their BS they'd be out beg, borrow and stealing every penny they could and dumping it into the market. Not here proving they don't even understand how a mortality rate is calculated.
                                  Comment
                                  • topgame85
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-30-08
                                    • 12325

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Auto Donk
                                    I'm starting to think this "topgame" dope is anderson cooper or jim acosta.... maybe don lemon.........

                                    possibly that blonde ho brooke baldwin........


                                    on a totally unrelated subject, some people really, really want boris johnson dead.....

                                    I f'n hope he makes it through this shit.......
                                    Boris-Wish him a full recover. On that topic, how many 55 yr old world leaders do you know that have been put in the ICU by the flu ?

                                    Trump has taken two COVID tests already. Think he believes this is the same as the flu?
                                    Comment
                                    • DiggityDaggityDo
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 11-30-08
                                      • 81450

                                      #19
                                      81,766?

                                      That's a pretty fukkin specific number.

                                      why not 81,765 or 81,767?

                                      Why 81,766?
                                      Comment
                                      • hostile takeover
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-06-09
                                        • 2258

                                        #20
                                        Donk, you're not going to win this argument.

                                        Models can claim millions upon millions of people **could** die.

                                        But if we all listen to what the establishment tells us to do, than we can all be saved.

                                        **Only** 81k will die... thanks of course to the elite media and politicians (who got this frenzy going in the first place).

                                        What a catch 22
                                        Comment
                                        • hawkwind
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-25-11
                                          • 4057

                                          #21
                                          Why, It is a Flu, so you think it is the cold?
                                          Originally posted by Wabashwonders
                                          I can’t believe we still have people trying to compare this to the flu.
                                          Comment
                                          • RudyRuetigger
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 08-24-10
                                            • 65084

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Auto Donk
                                            I'm starting to think this "topgame" dope is anderson cooper or jim acosta.... maybe don lemon.........

                                            possibly that blonde ho brooke baldwin........


                                            on a totally unrelated subject, some people really, really want boris johnson dead.....

                                            I f'n hope he makes it through this shit.......
                                            i thought he was FAIRLY SMART

                                            since he lives in washington and is touting this bullshit


                                            im leaning more towards FAIRLY instead of SMART
                                            Comment
                                            • RudyRuetigger
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 08-24-10
                                              • 65084

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by hawkwind
                                              Why, It is a Flu, so you think it is the cold?
                                              symptoms are both

                                              i dont have facts on that, just what is reported


                                              are you suggesting you have facts?
                                              Comment
                                              • Wabashwonders
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-28-20
                                                • 813

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by hawkwind
                                                Why, It is a Flu, so you think it is the cold?
                                                If you are that stupid to not understood what I meant, then you’re an idiot also.
                                                Comment
                                                • Wabashwonders
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 02-28-20
                                                  • 813

                                                  #25
                                                  Here is an example for those who don’t understand the difference and say they are both the flu.

                                                  im the manager of a baseball team and you are the other manager. We both have catchers on our teams but your catcher will not be allowed to wear any protection and mine will. They are both catchers still so what’s the problem. Your catcher is living in the world of the Covid virus and his chances of getting hurt are astronomical, where as mine is in the normal flu season and well protected. That’s the difference in the 2.

                                                  We have protection from the flu, we have none from this. Why is it so hard for supposedly intelligent people to understand this?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SBR_Guest_Pro
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-10-15
                                                    • 3955

                                                    #26
                                                    thanks for the real update. penetrate CNN
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JohnGalt2341
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-31-09
                                                      • 9138

                                                      #27
                                                      It's never been more important for Trump and his supporters to live in reality. You're putting real lives at risk here. Go to Donk's first link and read some of the comments below. Here are a few:

                                                      stormy_skye 5 hours ago"Lives have been RUINED because of this HOAX.
                                                      Countries have been RUINED because of this HOAX.
                                                      And what’s going to happen to those who perpetrated this HOAX?"


                                                      SWAMPxYANKEE 6 hours ago edited"The coronahoax. Mass manipulation of the planet. Trump has to fire Fauci and the other Bill gates puppet. He must change course to get out of this NWO NOW!!!"


                                                      AjI 4 hours ago"To get rid of the Corona virus, I have just three things to say:
                                                      1. Fire Fauci
                                                      2. Fire Fauci
                                                      3. Fire Fauci"


                                                      Downeast Despicable Deplorable 6 hours ago25k max

                                                      • Buster Downeast Despicable Deplorable 6 hours agoI think we are at peak now, could be even less

                                                        There are likely MILLIONS of other Trump supporters that share these same sentiments. These are the most ignorant and dangerous people on the planet right now. The more people we have like the ones above... the WORSE it's going to be. And Trump is the one that has planted the seeds in these people's heads.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • JohnGalt2341
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-31-09
                                                        • 9138

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by SBR_Guest_Pro
                                                        thanks for the real update. penetrate CNN
                                                        Did you click on Donk's link? It says 81K by May 21st. That's the REAL update. Donk made a false claim for which he WILL NOT wager me on... and then he posted a link that says 81K by May 21st. It's MIND BOGGLING how intellectually lazy you people are. You contradict YOUR OWN link and then make up your own numbers and then pretend that it's the reality. It's SO bizarre.

                                                        Let me know how much you want to wager that there won't be AT LEAST 100K deaths by the end of the year.
                                                        Last edited by JohnGalt2341; 04-06-20, 04:45 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JIBBBY
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-10-09
                                                          • 83686

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                          what would be the deaths without "social distancing"?


                                                          probably higher, so your point is invalid



                                                          what is valid is that those deaths will happen next time if it is seasonal


                                                          i dont give a fukk either way

                                                          Dating sites suffering. Single men and women suffering more..

                                                          6 feet apart and social distancing is the ultimate coock block.. Worst then the hot chick that's drunk and the fat girl sober friend taking care of her at the club or bar telling you to go away.. ..

                                                          Last edited by JIBBBY; 04-06-20, 04:47 PM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mpaschal34
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-04-13
                                                            • 12087

                                                            #30
                                                            Not as bad as 1957 (when there was way less people in the world).

                                                            In February 1957, a new influenza A (H2N2) virus emerged in East Asia, triggering a pandemic (“Asian Flu”). This H2N2 virus was comprised of three different genes from an H2N2 virus that originated from an avian influenza A virus, including the H2 hemagglutinin and the N2 neuraminidase genes. It was first reported in Singapore in February 1957, Hong Kong in April 1957, and in coastal cities in the United States in summer 1957. The estimated number of deaths was 1.1 million worldwide and 116,000 in the United States.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • funnyb25
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 07-09-09
                                                              • 39663

                                                              #31
                                                              Comment
                                                              • big joe 1212
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 06-01-08
                                                                • 19380

                                                                #32
                                                                They always put out higher numbers than they actually expect that way they can pat themselves on their backs for saving us with the measures they take
                                                                Comment
                                                                • StackinGreen
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-09-10
                                                                  • 12140

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by topgame85
                                                                  Even if I gave you the benefit of the doubt on your clearly faulty data analysis and calculation at .6% COVID is 6x as deadly as a bad flu year, or 600% as deadly. For context you are about 7 times, 700%, more likely to be in a fatal car accident drunk than you are sober. So this is the equivalent of risk driving sober vs risk driving drunk.
                                                                  Now- if we said screw it, lets keep everything open but everyone has to drive drunk for 3 months would you want your family out on the roads?
                                                                  They wouldn't be on the roads because you forgot the most important part, even if your relative risk claims were correct ... HALF THE PEOPLE WOULD BE ON THE ROAD SINCE YOU DESTROYED THEIR JOBS AND LIVELIHOOD.

                                                                  Learn how to make an argument, even if you are faking it, make it somewhat interesting.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • King Mayan
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 09-22-10
                                                                    • 21326

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Everybody is a fukking scientist on this site.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • StackinGreen
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-09-10
                                                                      • 12140

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Wabashwonders
                                                                      We have protection from the flu, we have none from this. Why is it so hard for supposedly intelligent people to understand this?

                                                                      Do we have protection from the flu? Why do so many people die from it then? I await your (non) answer --- math shows you that even with "protection from the flu" the flu still kills more people = COVID not that lethal.


                                                                      Why do you keep ignoring that this isn't a vacuum of public policy choices. We don't get to just "save lives" (not that we're really even doing that), we just shut down most of the developed world's economy, and you're only comparing some relative risk you don't even understand.

                                                                      Why is it so hard for you to be honest about the totality of what's going on? On what basis do you make your claim that this is some extraordinary flu? The fact is, it isn't. And the most important part again (read this 5 times for it to sink in) is that we shut down the whole economy for something we already know isn't that lethal, given that we live with similar lethality every year.

                                                                      I didn't see you make threads about the horrible flu that killed 80k in 2017. I wonder why. Not a peep.
                                                                      Comment
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