North America will be the epicenter within 7 days

[Goat Milk]

Malaria kills 500,000 - 1 mll per year. Mostly kids 5 years old and under. Sad. Maybe this is a wake up call for all these countries who are more privileged.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Catastrophists like Randall Carlson have warned about the cycles of human civilization. CoranaV may just be the latest catastrophe that decimates the human population.

What areas are most insulated from this virus? My understanding is that Africa has not been hit too bad YET.

[TheLock]

CoranaV may just be the latest catastrophe that decimates the human population.
.

Are you aware that there are 7.5 BILLION humans alive today?

13,000 humans have died from COVID-19 so far.

Do you understand how astronomically far away we are from “decimation”?

[jjgold]

Laker sticking to his model

[blackbart]

USA will be Italy in week
overwhelmed

[ace7550]

Pretty good read.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hell-coming-mathematical-proof-185019616.html

[TheLock]

Pretty good read.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hell-...185019616.html

Interesting read. It says the United States will have 12,800 deaths by April 7th.

So roughly 20,000 fewer deaths than we had for last years seasonal flu.

[JohnGalt2341]

Interesting read. It says the United States will have 12,800 deaths by April 7th.

So roughly 20,000 fewer deaths than we had for last years seasonal flu.

More than half of those will likely be in the first week of April alone. And 20K by mid April. That's scary shit.

[lakerboy]

Interesting read. It says the United States will have 12,800 deaths by April 7th.

So roughly 20,000 fewer deaths than we had for last years seasonal flu.

Bro on gambling we see eye to eye. On this you are sleeping at the wheel.

America is the third most infected country in the world and this all happened in the last 7 days.

You think people will die that quick?

Let's talk death tolls in two weeks.

Don't be ignorant here.

You have over 26000 cases. When the thread was made last Saturday you had how many?

Your death toll will be staggering. The flu guys will go into the woods.

[PAULYPOKER]

Laker sticking to his modelcommonsense

Fixed........

[cyclingbettor]

One of the interesting things about exponential growth is that the numbers don't get really large until the end.

In that penny example, after 15 days you have $163. After 30 days you have $5,368,709. (Or maybe it's $10,737,418, I might be off by 1 day. Which sort of illustrates how fast it is growing at the end.) So, if you managed to stop the progression after 15 days, everyone would wonder why you were so worried about $163. Just an interesting thought to consider.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I saw some early projections on CoronaV. In USA...gonna be one of the top3 killers for 2020 year. Up there w/ heart disease + Cancer.

[Mr KLC]

[TheLock]

Bro on gambling we see eye to eye. On this you are sleeping at the wheel.

America is the third most infected country in the world and this all happened in the last 7 days.

You think people will die that quick?

Let's talk death tolls in two weeks.

Don't be ignorant here.

You have over 26000 cases. When the thread was made last Saturday you had how many?

Your death toll will be staggering. The flu guys will go into the woods.

I’m very aware that many, many more people (vast majority being elderly who were not far from death prior to the outbreak) will die in the coming weeks. And that is awful


However, I was just pointing out that we aren’t even close to seasonal flu levels yet and this will not be the demise of humanity.

[Big Bear]

I’m very aware that many, many more people (vast majority being elderly who were not far from death prior to the outbreak) will die in the coming weeks. And that is awful


However, I was just pointing out that we aren’t even close to seasonal flu levels yet and this will not be the demise of humanity.

so we can start the damn MLB season?????

let them play without fans

[TheLock]

Laker, 36,000 Americans die in a typical flu season. Not one person even considers (rightfully so) tanking the economy to tackle that issue.

So let’s say ultimately 125,000 Americans (out of 327 million) die from COVID-19:

Will it have been worth it to obliterate our economy? We are going to have historic unemployment, we are going to start writing checks to people so they can eat, the housing market is going to be a disaster. It’s going to take years to recover from this. Printing money and mailing it to millions of Americans is going to cause inflation (financial guys chime in here).

[Big Bear]

lol good point not one person considers tanking the economy over the flu

[Easy-Rider 66]

Laker, 36,000 Americans die in a typical flu season. Not one person even considers (rightfully so) tanking the economy to tackle that issue.

So let’s say ultimately 125,000 Americans (out of 327 million) die from COVID-19:

Will it have been worth it to obliterate our economy? We are going to have historic unemployment, we are going to start writing checks to people so they can eat, the housing market is going to be a disaster. It’s going to take years to recover from this. Printing money and mailing it to millions of Americans is going to cause inflation (financial guys chime in here).

this COVID -19 ain't the flu. horse of another color.

[cyclingbettor]

Laker, 36,000 Americans die in a typical flu season. Not one person even considers (rightfully so) tanking the economy to tackle that issue.

So let’s say ultimately 125,000 Americans (out of 327 million) die from COVID-19:

Will it have been worth it to obliterate our economy? We are going to have historic unemployment, we are going to start writing checks to people so they can eat, the housing market is going to be a disaster. It’s going to take years to recover from this. Printing money and mailing it to millions of Americans is going to cause inflation (financial guys chime in here).

Would it make you feel any differently if the number was 2-3 million Americans, over a 4 month period?

[JohnGalt2341]

One of the interesting things about exponential growth is that the numbers don't get really large until the end.


In that penny example, after 15 days you have $163. After 30 days you have $5,368,709. (Or maybe it's $10,737,418, I might be off by 1 day. Which sort of illustrates how fast it is growing at the end.) So, if you managed to stop the progression after 15 days, everyone would wonder why you were so worried about $163. Just an interesting thought to consider.

I was just watching FOX News and they just showed a similar example of the penny example except they used tripled instead of doubled. And of course it didn't start with .01 it started with 3 and of course they were using humans instead of pennies. In this example it gets into the millions in just a couple of weeks.

[Big Bear]

Laker was right

[Mr KLC]

[JohnGalt2341]

That's great KLC. It would be nice if Trump practiced what he preaches. All of his products at TrumpStore.com are made in China. You would think if he was that concerned about manufacturing in the USA he would have his own products made here.

[JayLA]

That's just protectionism 101

[shocka1212]

he also referred to this as a hoax. he also overlooked what had been happening in china since November. He likes to point the finger but pointing the finger won't save lives. He also approved a stimulus to the banks before approving the funding for respirators, masks and medical supplies. should tell you everything you need to know.

[dark star]

that's great klc. It would be nice if trump practiced what he preaches. All of his products at trumpstore.com are made in china. You would think if he was that concerned about manufacturing in the usa he would have his own products made here.

this

[Mr KLC]

[5mike5]

My god the delusions here never disappoint

[cyclingbettor]

Possibly some positive news, it sounds like Wuhan is coming out of lockdown, and Italy may be slowing down.

---------------------------------------------------------------

After nearly 2 months, Wuhan (the epicenter of the pandemic in China) announced today that it would be loosening the lockdown by gradually resuming public transportation and allowing healthy people to go back to work. [source]

China had put Wuhan and other cities into lockdown on Jan. 23 when a total of 25 deaths had been reported in the country. After about 3 weeks of lockdown, the number of new deaths reached its peak in China [see graphs] and then began declining.

Italy went into a similar lockdown on March 11, when 827 deaths had already been reported.

5560 new cases and 651 new deaths in Italy: 15% decline in new cases and 18% decline in new deaths with respect to yesterday [source] [source]

• "We expect to see the first effects of the stringent lockdown measures adopted on March 11 after 2-3 weeks, so the coming week will be absolutely crucial in this sense: we expect to finally see a sign of trend reversal," said Franco Locatelli, President of the Health Council [source]

---------------------------------------------------------------

I copied that stuff straight from worldometers, so hopefully they are not misleading me.

My takeaway would be that lockdown results in a decline a few weeks later. So, if you are not already in lockdown, you should probably do so.

[Mr KLC]

[Mr KLC]

[ace7550]

Laker, 36,000 Americans die in a typical flu season. Not one person even considers (rightfully so) tanking the economy to tackle that issue.

So let’s say ultimately 125,000 Americans (out of 327 million) die from COVID-19:

Will it have been worth it to obliterate our economy? We are going to have historic unemployment, we are going to start writing checks to people so they can eat, the housing market is going to be a disaster. It’s going to take years to recover from this. Printing money and mailing it to millions of Americans is going to cause inflation (financial guys chime in here).

I think I agree with you here Lock. I would have told anyone over 70 to isolate themselves and told the general public to respect the 6-feet of separation rule. But I would have let all businesses stay open.
I think our economy will be ruined after this and it will cause a lot more pain and suffering (over a much longer period of time) than the Chinese bat plague would have.
Just my two cents.

[cyclingbettor]

One of the interesting things about exponential growth is that the numbers don't get really large until the end.

In that penny example, after 15 days you have $163. After 30 days you have $5,368,709. (Or maybe it's $10,737,418, I might be off by 1 day. Which sort of illustrates how fast it is growing at the end.) So, if you managed to stop the progression after 15 days, everyone would wonder why you were so worried about $163. Just an interesting thought to consider.

I was just watching FOX News and they just showed a similar example of the penny example except they used tripled instead of doubled. And of course it didn't start with .01 it started with 3 and of course they were using humans instead of pennies. In this example it gets into the millions in just a couple of weeks.

It's nice that they're trying to teach exponential growth to the masses. Somehow I doubt if it's going to work well.

[TheLock]

Would it make you feel any differently if the number was 2-3 million Americans, over a 4 month period?

Yes, I would feel differently.

But I don’t think it would be that hard to:

A) not obliterate our economy

B) not have 2-3 million people die


These two things could be accomplished by mandating that those over 65 years old stay at home, everyone practice social distancing as much as possible but keep the workforce open and not have a 30% unemployment rate (which is where we are heading and is larger than the unemployment rate in the Great Depression).

[semibluff]

9 days...and counting.