Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

[turtledoves]

umass/bc under 63.5

forgot to get it in

[KVB]

umass/bc under 63.5 next
wvu -9.5

C MICH/UK over 49.5

stacking random indicators has this at 56.6

think i made a mistake with WVU

I agree it is a mistake.

Truthfully, in the middle of the night, I was going to do one quick game write up, just one game.

That game was going to be Tenn +10.

It's not in my ATS/ML Fund, but I own this play. I have seen nothing but what I consider sharp money on Tenn +10, even in the middle of the night. This line was lighting up for me like crazy.

Let's see what happens and who gets taken down in this first week, but I think Tenn is the answer.

Crazy market action and the line should have fallen more, that's good news for you.

[turtledoves]

way too much value to pass up

[KVB]

WASHST/WYO over 44.5

way too much value to pass up, got this at a 59.5

NCAAF Totals Fund added..

WASH ST/WYOMING UNDER 45.5 (-102).

Good Luck.

Interesting Doves, because this game has a lot of volume and the tickets are as weighted on the Over as the money I see coming in is weighted on the Under.

It's a big discrepancy and, at these levels, causes what looks to be a valid adjustment to the line.

The stacking percentages forecast only shows a 50 point game before looking at the market factors and adjusting down, below the offered line. Sharon may have to come out here, but regressing market factors, to my knowledge, is only done by me. I know of no other that has even a clue as to where to start.

[KVB]

WASHST/WYO over 44.5

way too much value to pass up, got this at a 59.5

This is the first week anyway, how the hell are you deriving a reliable score?

Even I said that the market analysis will compensate for the weak early season initial forecasts.

[KVB]

[turtledoves]

nothing remotely close to reliable. having a lot of fun coming up with these numbers though



thanks for providing the context and insights into the methodology

[KVB]

On my basic HP keyboard there is a little white light on the corner of the caps lock button. It comes on when caps lock is on.

I think it's a bright led, because I was directly over it, standing, and looked at it.

It's bright as fuk.

Going to order another keyboard though, maybe a badass gaming key and mouse for the Omen. Need another computer and two more screens going. I want the 42" as the main screen on one computer and the other to have dual monitors.

Could be a sick setup.

While the tv is big, I'm tired of switching windows.

Paul Simon good stuff, Hitman OG with Gorilla Glue #5 mixed in the bowl is also good stuff.

Taking a break.

[KVB]

stacking random indicators puts auburn total at 53.8, taking the over

Score right away, maybe a kickoff return.

[KVB]

The NCAAF Totals Fund has picked up.

KENT/ILLINOIS UNDER 56.5 (-105)
...

Nice.

[KVB]

Added some plays to the Contrarian Fund...

Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Under 10 (+100)MLB [General]
09/01/18 08:05 PM ET


Cleveland Indians -115MLB [General]
09/01/18 07:10 PM ET


Pittsburgh Pirates +126MLB [General]
09/01/18 07:10 PM ET


Baltimore Orioles -112MLB [General]
09/01/18 07:15 PM ET


Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics Under 8 (-115)MLB [General]
09/01/18 09:05 PM ET

[turtledoves]

plays:

[KVB]

Ok, one more Fund.

The KVB NCAAF Market Reads Fund will consist of market reads based on the action we've seen during the day. It will consist of forecast predictions and overlay the same market analysis as the other NCAAF Funds but will add one more element. It will overlay existing market conditions to further refine potential market reads.

This will not be a basket, but could comprise more than one play some nights. The manager element comes into play as I will need to choose the best market reads for the evening based on what ever perceived edges we can find. I will not play every "advanatagous" play uncovered, I will personally try to weed out the losers.

This can result in manager error, something I try avoid with most Funds, but this risk is what makes this fund different.

The first play in this fund is BYU +10 (-104) over Arizona.

Good Luck.

[KVB]

I plan to cash on these market reads and am accumulating BYU as much as I am allowed.

Taking a bite here.

[turtledoves]

picked

[KVB]

Would have taken the Under, everyone on the Over, but not a big sample, not a lot of bets.

Shit game to analyze.

[KVB]

picked up IDAHO/FRESNO over 43
have this at 57.1

UTSA/AZ ST at 56.36
BYU/ARIZ at 59.47

I know you were saying things were random but if you are using the same methods for the plays, track them in rotation order and graph the money or win loss in rotation order.

If they are different methods, then separate the graphs.

[turtledoves]

there's a boss in town

[turtledoves]

random

[turtledoves]

im winning eating masala while you gonna lose the dolla

[KVB]

picking up ARIZ, have this one at -14.9

there's a new boss in town

The Under might be the best play there. Almost made it a Market Read but shouldn't try for both.

Tonight we seek the spread.

But oh boy is a that Under tasty but I think the everyone get's their Over as BYU makes it competitive.

[turtledoves]

[turtledoves]

was thinking

[KVB]

im winning eating masala while you gonna lose the dolla

Indeed.

I haven't eaten yet, missed dinner and am eating late.

[turtledoves]

forgot i sprinkled ucla under 63 as well, another win for the king

[turtledoves]

[KVB]

[KVB]

Here's the Upset basket. Honestly, I am happy that we are about even after week 1. I do believe that with all these funds there will be an early struggle. If that struggle means even or just less, then I will take it.

I am optimistic here.

Date	NCAAF UPSET Basket	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ML
		per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
30-Aug	KENNESAW ST +130	-1	120	Y	0.10
	UC DAVIS +120	1.2	120	PUSH	0.00
1-Sep	MARSHALL +120	1.2	-102	Y	0.22
	SMU +150	-1	143	y	0.07
	MTENN ST +130	-1	134	N	0.04
	Total	-0.6		3-1-1	0.09

Still listening to that last Dead jam.

Going to spank NCAAF with these remaining Funds, I am getting a little more organized.

[KVB]

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after 229 plays, SBR prices, links, etc.

Got blanked today. It has happened before. Wait until you see the graph of results. That's the cool part.

1-Sep	PIT +126	-1
	CLE -115	-1
	BAL -112	-1
	MIN/TEX UNDER 10 (+100)	-1
	SEA/OAK UNDER 8 (-115)	-1
	Sat	-5
	Week 1	3.64
	Week 2	4.73
	Week 3	-5.88
	Week 4	2.15
	Week 5	1.32
	Week 6	-1.04
	Mon	3.09
	Tue	0.96
	Wed	-1.56
	Thu	1.24
	Fri	3.46
	Total	7.11

[KVB]

The Totals record is in the Total Return thread but here's the ATS/ML Fund.

Early season weakness but, could see it dip 7 or 8 units, maybe more, before coming back, could see it come back...

Record	Date	NCAAF ATS/ML Fund	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ATS	BTC ML
ATS			per bet	Line	Closer?	Average	Average
0-1	30-Aug	WAKE -6.5 (-105)	-1	-7.5	Y	1
	1-Sep	MIA (OH) -125	-1	-110	N		0.15
0-2		SMU +3.5 (-109)	-1	3	Y	0.5
1-2		WASH ST -3 (-103)	0.97	3	PUSH	0
		MICH -130	-1	-151	Y		0.21
1-2		Total	-3.03		3-1-1	0.5	0.18

[KVB]

...The KVB NCAAF Market Reads Fund will consist of market reads based on the action we've seen during the day...

...The first play in this fund is BYU +10 (-104) over Arizona.

...These plays are the fruits of the labor of the war room...

[KVB]

The Under might be the best play there. Almost made it a Market Read but shouldn't try for both.

Tonight we seek the spread.

But oh boy is a that Under tasty but I think the everyone get's their Over as BYU makes it competitive..

Under looking good here, bring the sharks out for the spread. Who scored first? Oh yeah, BYU.

Swimming with sharks.

[turtledoves]

got some az live including 1h spread

[turtledoves]

From some reddit guide:

You almost certainly don't need a "gaming" keyboard: These brands tend to be overpriced, low build quality, and have gaudy LEDs and plastic strapped all over the place. You may like this, but you can achieve the same look with a better built keyboard at a similar price. Brands like Razer are the worst about this. Keyboards like the POK3R, Ducky, etc. have similar features (backlighting, customization) and are of generally higher quality. Also, once you want a custom keycap set, many gaming boards will require child sets (more $), or simply not be compatible with the set.

gonna buy a mechanical keyboard myself soon, you can put on different switches that are different loudness/feel.

https://mechanicalkeyboards.com/shop/index.php?l=product_detail&p=3900

<a href="https://mechanicalkeyboards.com/shop/index.php?l=product_detail&amp;p=3900" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">

[turtledoves]

i have 1 horizontal 27" 1440p, 1 vertical 24" 1080p, big screen tv ahead to left. monitors are dell ultrasharps. also have a ball jar.

text looks a little small but you can adjust global zoom to 125% in Windows

windows snap (Windows Key + Left Arrow, etc) also helps for working on big monitors like a 42". you don't need to expand a window to full screen, you can snap it to sections of the screen. many people who have big monitors like that are not expanding the window to the whole screen