Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

[KVB]

The chicken garlic is my way of hedging against inconsistency through diversification with a nice white sauce.

MORE CHEESE

i hope you don't eat garbage food all the time KVB

It's getting bad. So busy with stocks and sports, always in pain, eat like shit anymore.

The family does better than me, I often cook but eat very little.

[KVB]

...The negative trend working here is that, while at home, Cleveland has hit 79% OVERs when playing relatively poor base running teams that average .5 or less stolen bases per game. The sample is only 24 games...

Many reasons for this, some counterintuitive and others backed by other evidence.

Crazy stat yo, imagine what my office looks like and then you know why I don't eat much or inhale half ass pizza to get back to work.

[KVB]

Paul Casey lost a stroke of his lead, I bought him to win again...

Aaaand now it's a 4 stroke lead.

[turtledoves]

you say there are many ways to skin a cat, but then you post about it what it takes to win. you talk like you know what other people are doing to win. do you really know how everyone else does things? maybe your models aren't sharp enough. maybe how you operate is you need to combine market data with your inefficient models to correlate winners. is your ability to predict up to par? maybe other people have unique approaches in ways you never even though of.

you think you have it figured out. it's a puzzle. put the pieces together. is it a puzzle? you created the puzzle. your puzzle. there are many puzzles. be the puzzle.

[KVB]

The Detroit winner isn't a bad shot either.

Decent trends that could indicate...

When they play a pitcher that strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season, Detroit is 19-11.

Cleveland is 21-29 against those same poor base running teams mentioned earlier.

Those are decent, but there's more...

That stacking forecast has Detroit winning basically 4-3 and the public is heavy on the moneyline and the run line.

I took Detroit +233 over Cleveland and the contest too...


Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Indians Under 8.5 (-106)MLB [General]
06/23/18 06:10 PM ET


Detroit Tigers +237MLB [General]
06/23/18 06:10 PM ET

[turtledoves]

It's getting bad. So busy with stocks and sports, always in pain, eat like shit anymore.

The family does better than me, I often cook but eat very little.

sorry to hear about the pain bro, does that decrease your appetite? do what you can to get the nutrition in, don't get too caught up in your job and lose focus of things. you need to live long for your family. providing for them financially is good, but being there for them is most important. do what you can to live long and avoid an early exit due to cancer or disease. the choices you make on how you live your life and take care of your self might determine how long your children have a father for. lets all do what we can to beat these diseases through education and action.

https://health.gov/dietaryguidelines/2015/guidelines/

[KVB]

you say there are many ways to skin a cat, but then you post about it what it takes to win. you talk like you know what other people are doing to win. do you really know how everyone else does things? maybe your models aren't sharp enough. maybe how you operate is you need to combine market data with your inefficient models to correlate winners. is your ability to predict up to par? maybe other people have unique approaches in ways you never even though of.

you think you have it figured out. it's a puzzle. put the pieces together. is it a puzzle? you created the puzzle. your puzzle. there are many puzzles. be the puzzle....

Yes, long ago it was decided to track all million ways to skin the cat and compile the information. We watched money ebb and flow between strategies.

We saw well known players sellout and write books. We saw those books effect the line.

There is always a need to stay ahead but it is important to never forget that it is dynamic and constantly moving forward, until it moves backwards.

In the end, finding stretched markets and the signals that imply they will regress is the name of the game. Sound familiar?...stock trading.

And that's just it. It is a puzzle. Have I figured everything out? No. But what I do know is a key to the puzzle that allows us to approach the markets year in and year out.

Creating winning formula is the easy part. Spot picking winners is the easy part.

The hard part is avoiding all the other factors that force a gambler to lose. Some of the "funds" I wanted to start involve those factors.

The market knows them and originators and books exploit them...no matter the sport.

But even with the key, and excellent vig beating capping, a gambler is nothing without patience and discipline.

SBR posting and posting plays, and contests, even betpoints, all serve to be an outlet for a lack of patience and I apologize for not posting better strategy plays, getting the funds explained, or giving everything.

You can see, even from the above posts, that I am trying to become more transparent.

Also, models are always in need of improvement and you are right, while I post the long term forecast, I often tweak it with market data and post altered plays, giving back to the forecast.

The trading plan starts with the forecasts, then builds from there. As far as who is doing what and how much is there, I have resources you could only imagine, including phone calls and subscriptions but I won't post them. It is also my turn to pay for valuable information that I will share if I get the fund strategies going. To this end, it's not the information, it's how you use it.

Because there's always someone with more information.

For me, automation is the problem and I need to correct that. You can help.

[KVB]

No appetite with pain and my wife is adamant about making sure there is some GrandDaddy Purple in the house.

Thank God, I needs the Oxy's, have them, but manage to not take them. Took them once every day this year (sometimes twice) with 2 consecutive days without them every single week...no exception.

When June rolled around, I dropped to taking them only two days a week to basically nothing. But I need them.

Trying to manage that shit takes energy.

Will save them for vacations and will likely take more right before the next procedure.

[DiggityDaggityDo]

I’ll wait for the cliff notes version.

[KVB]

And yeah, models have failed or gone into two to three year "hibernations" before roaring back.

You never know with sports.

[KVB]

I’ll wait for the cliff notes version.

[turtledoves]

thanks for taking the time answering. your posts and theories are motivational and thought inspiring, big up. let me know what you need built out for automation, i can give some ideas on capabilities.

just wish your mlb picks were better, knew the under was a loser when KVB was on it



always have an answer for everything

[KVB]

I see that De Niro gif in the reply window...lol.

...That stacking forecast has Detroit winning basically 4-3...

Will be laughing when Detroit wins 4-3.

[DiggityDaggityDo]

I would love to hit that.

Not like “Chris Brown hit it”.

I mean like get in that vag.

[KVB]

Or not, score is 4-1.

[KVB]

I would love to hit that.

Not like “Chris Brown hit it”.

I mean like get in that vag.

Dude, not cool...

[KVB]

DDD, you need to wreck pussies the old fashioned way, because your idea is a little off...

[KVB]

No worries though, you can always hire some muscle to fight your battles...

[KVB]

"and if the bitch talks shit, she'll have to put the smack down"...

[DiggityDaggityDo]

DDD, you need to wreck pussies the old fashioned way, because your idea is a little off...

That’s Fukkin HOT.

Like 2 jalapeños getting it on.

Fukkin hot.

[DiggityDaggityDo]

What did the O say to the Q?

Dude, your dick’s hanging out.

[KVB]

UNDER a good bet Doves.

The better than 2-1 dog shot that I added, not this time.

It's not as unhealthy as my diet or lack thereof, it's just, at times, very volatile. It is the nature of sports in general.

For now in these markets, we still ok Doves, we still ok.

[KVB]

On thing I left out of some of those posts.

The impact and importance of volume.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

4th of July coming up

[Fidel_CashFlow]

[KVB]

Put it in reverse, Terr!!

Whatcha whatcha whatcha doing Terry!!

[KVB]

Almost as classic as...

[KVB]

Man that makes me laugh every time.

Doves, I had New York steak, red potatoes, nice little salad, and some peas.

I ate plenty of everything this time.

Bought Hou -200 live, it's top of the 12th gonna trade out or take the win.

[KVB]

Now Hou -600/+400, in the money but holding.

Limits an issue so I can only make one more trade, I think.

[KVB]

At least something good came out of Houston, because this guy isn't cutting it...

[KVB]

Limits always a problem when I live trade like that, but I'm opening up more and more outs with outs.

Anyone want to be an out at an out?

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Oh man, good timing to check in. This is so funny.

[KVB]

Ok, about to take a much needed break, but here's my position in Golf after Live trades, that were posted, were made at mulitple places.

I have 8.125 units at risk. If Paul Casey fails to place in the top 5 I lose it all.

If Paul Casey wins, I win 4.4035 units.

If Paul Casey loses, but stays in the top 5, I break dead even.

These are my only golf bets this week and were made when Casey had a two stroke lead during round 3.

Here's the current top 10...

1	Paul Casey	65	67	62	-8	-16
2	Russell Henley	66	65	67	-3	-12
T3	Brian Harman	64	66	69	-1	-11
T3	J.B. Holmes	66	68	65	-5	-11
T3	Anirban Lahiri	67	67	65	-5	-11
T6	Ryan Blaum	69	65	66	-4	-10
T6	Jason Day	66	68	66	-4	-10
T6	Bubba Watson	70	63	67	-3	-10
T6	Beau Hossler	65	67	68	-2	-10
T6	Bryson DeChambeau	66	66	68	-2	-10

[KVB]

By the way, as previously posted, those golf win-loss numbers involve the serious consumption of chalk...

[KVB]

One last time, LAA -105 LIVE over Toronto.