Originally posted by omedo
"
-
Comment -
shit is deepComment -
Comment -
Grape flavored lil baby faggggotComment -
girlfriend just left to run a errand and grabbing this for me as its being released in 20 minutes
Comment -
Havent even hit the power button on the playstation 4 in 5 months
that changes tonight my negro's
look at the detail
Comment -
Comment -
Comment -
Comment -
Comment -
Comment -
Hairy armpits @ 1:06!....
Comment -
Comment -
England - League One
Sheffield Utd vs Millwall
My sharp forecast gives Sheffield Utd 1,73 vs Millwall 0,65 giving a total of 2,38.
The numbers opened on 25 of Mar
ML: 1,62 - 3.60 - 5.85
Total 2,5: over 1,80 - 2,00 under
The day after the pinnacle enter the market and the juice drops. The correction is made on the draw and underdog side giving:
ML: 1,62 - 4.03 - 6.24
Total 2,5: over 1,88 - 2,02 under
Since then the numbers went favoring the underdog.
The public gauge says Sheffield Utd Win, not by much but a WIN none the less.
And this is very weird. Even thou some people tend to see this as a close game, they tend to not bet against the favorite.
The total moved slightly towards my number staying right now at:
Total 2,5: over 1,98 - 1,92 under
The public gauge says Over 2,5, they are expecting a game with the away team scoring at least one goal with the home team, the clear favorite having to score at least 2 to win the game giving an easy over 2,5 in their point of view. My forecast is against this point of view.
in this game the bookies are moving the ML and Total against public perception. One towards my forecast, and one against. Let's see what the rest of the day brings.
Comment -
England - League One
Oxford Utd vs Bury
My sharp forecast gives Oxford Utd 1,76 vs Bury 0,95 giving a total of 2,71.
The numbers opened on 25 of Mar
ML: 1,82 - 3.50 - 4.42
Total 2,5: over 1,85 - 1,95 under
Right after the line opened, moved down a little on the favorite to 1,77 to bounce back and more till it reached 2,02. Right now it is at ML: 1,96 - 3.70 - 4.07
We can see that the line adjusted on the favorite and draw side, and even with the drop on the juice, the underdog number went down giving a similar number on the draw as an away win.
The total had some minor movements, the juice drop went on the over side.
Right now it is: Total 2,5: over 1,95 - 1,95 Under.
The public gauge is divided between an Oxford Utd Win or not win and the bookies went towards to the public gauge.
Regarding the totals the public is on the over as my sharp forecast. The bookies didn't move much leaving an total right on the spot.
Comment -
England - League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Rochdale
My sharp forecast gives AFC Wimbledon1,45 vs Rochdale 1,10 giving a total of 2,55.
The numbers opened on 25 of Mar
ML: 2,27 - 3.40 - 3.09
Total 2,5: over 2,05 - 1,75 under
Right after the line opened, it moved down a little on the favorite to 2,12 but it had an brutal movement till 2,85 to change the favorite to Rochdale.
It stand on: ML: 2,78 - 3.48 - 2.66
Rochdale is getting some hype, and the great majority of the public is at least on the side that Rochdale will not lose this game. The bookies sided with the public pressure and even made the Rochdale favorite.
The total indicated that it was an low scoring game, but even tho the public gauge says its a clear over it didn't move much and even the under assimilated the juice drop.
It stands on: Total 2,5: over 2,05 - 1.86 under.
It seems that the bookies gave what the public wanted till the numbers get too far. It seems that in this game we have public on one side and some type of other money on the other side.
Comment -
I have now the public gauge.Originally posted by omedo"Ohh no, not soccer again..."
England - League Two
Accrington vs Cambridge Utd
My sharp forecast gives Accrington 1,20 vs Cambridge Utd 0,88 giving a total of 2,08.
The numbers opened on 18 of Feb
ML: 2,27 - 3.40 - 3.09
Total 2,5: 1,90 - 1,90
For the money line, the early numbers get an hit and go as high as 2,64 on the first day.
Since then, they move down slowly till they get today on the same price than the opening. staying on 2,25 for the win, 3,40 for the draw but since the juice went down, they increased the away win to 3,48 and 3,58 at pinnacle, the highest number available.
The Asian Handicap stays on +0,25 @ 1,93 - 1,99.
The total 2,5 is right now @ over 2,15 - 1,79 under
But the thing that intrigues me is the movement from the openers.
The first day reaction goes about right with my numbers, but after that its strange. Any thoughts?
I don't have any numbers on public gauge, probably that's the piece that completes the puzzle.
Regarding the ML the public is in accordance with the numbers.
But in the Total is a total diferente story.
The public is on the over side, specifically massive on Both teams to score side.
The total is now at: over 2.01 - 1.89 under.
The numbers moved to that public pressure.
I will take a position on UNDER 2.5 @ 1.89
I don't know if the odd's will move closer to the game hour, but i will take the position now.
Let's see if i had read this right.Comment -
Comment -
Uh oh KVB , omedo showing you the forecast bizznizzComment -
England - League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Rochdale
AFC Wimbledon to win @ 2,92
I took the home team @ 2,92. I would prefer the AH +0,5 thus creating less variance but that number didn't move very much.
I will counter the public and follow my forecast. I think that bookies are going with the Hype on Rochdale and i'm trying to get some of that.
Sheffield Utd vs Millwall
Under 2,5 @ 1,94
Another public counter and a slight counter of my forecast.
Oxford Utd vs Bury
Over 2,5 @ 1,90
The public is all over the place with this game as they probably should. I will just follow my forecast as the total didn't moved.
The bookies faded the odds towards Oxford Utd but i dont see them as the clear winner.
Hope i get something right.
Or at least get some good lessons here.
Comment -
Cash has me going back in the thread.Originally posted by PerfectGrape
Comment -
He's bringing it strong with this pic...Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
Originally posted by omedo...Comment -
Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlowOriginally posted by DwightShrute
Comment -
The forecat has spoken for the NIT...
GTech 71, Bakersfield 67
UCF 72, TCU 69.
Take TCU, I believe they are winning this one.
Comment -
Comment -
Ask ur fukkin friend if my fukkin jaw muscles will ever feel fukkin normal again
they tight as a butthole kvbComment -
Well, now that's all relative...Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
Comment -
The -2 and -2.5's are starting to pressure toward 3.Originally posted by KVB
It's still early but I believe we're looking at a TCU winner tonight.
Comment -
But seriously, are you talking like the jaw muscles you use to chew and talk, or still down the cheek toward the front a bit?
Comment -
going down this saturday
Comment -
Are those the guys that went to a fans house and smoked em out? Seems familiar.
Hash Bash sounds fun.Comment -
Comment -
Originally posted by KVBBut seriously, are you talking like the jaw muscles you use to chew and talk, or still down the cheek toward the front a bit?
Comment -
shit always feels achy like it needs oiled or some shit
painful to stretch open mouth
not sure what treatment I should do for it
active release, friction massage or just heat and timeComment -
He says it starts in the jaw and then the next thing you know you're living in a bowl...
Comment
