Nunya's Official only talking about MMA betting except when I'm not thread.

[MD]

i think that would be everyone. lol.

this should have been explained several weeks ago... i just didnt have the heart to do it. guys were having a lot of fun, it seemed.

I was pretty sure it was just Jibbby. The whole thing is pretty clear if they bother to read the thread.

[Vaughany]

I explained a couple weeks ago when jibbeh or somebody else thought i was recommending a world cup play (think it was croatia pk against cameroon which was an error in the contest as should of been croatia -0.5) but was jus talkin about the contest!

[JIBBBY]

To be clear for those who aren't understanding what I'm doing here, I'm picking the game with the most value against the market line. I'm not listing plays that should be made on the ML or anything else.

Outguessing the market in MLB is not a way to make money.

Received and understood!!!!! Won't happen again on my part..

Just plugging in my two cents for what ever it's worth to win games without even really considering the value imposed.. With that being said Nunya - Good luck with the Boston pic today and that Green Monster wall which I will always consider a archetectual abomination for a playing field..

[PunisherIND]

today's pick

REDS -1 (GAME 1 - CUETO)

[getlucky2win]

i thought we were just pickin winnerz. #wtfisvalue

[PunisherIND]

i thought we were just pickin winnerz. #wtfisvalue

that alls I did. Ml was around -160 when I checked

[getlucky2win]

cin -1 -141 when i checked 5d. steam on brazil. got em 1h pk -103. nate silver also likes em fwiw

[NunyaBidness]

cin -1 -141 when i checked 5d. steam on brazil. got em 1h pk -103. nate silver also likes em fwiw

What does being a penetrating nerd have to do with sports?

[MD]

What does being a penetrating nerd have to do with sports?

What does being a child molester have to do with accounting? Either way, I'm still not allowed in a bank if there are kids in there.

[NunyaBidness]

Moving in the right direction:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/sportsbooks-industry/2919501-5dimes-sportsbook-add-bitcoin-payment-option.html

[NunyaBidness]

WTF 3 goals in 2 minutes?

[Ronald S.]

Nunya/Pun or anyone else... I was wondering if I could trouble you guys for some advice in the contest. I'm on a W3 and missed out on the CIN -1 pick this morning

I was thinking of going with BAL +1, ATL -1, or CHW +1... Any thoughts?

[Vaughany]

Lol my Germany pk bet at evens not lookin too bad right now!

[NunyaBidness]

Nunya/Pun or anyone else... I was wondering if I could trouble you guys for some advice in the contest. I'm on a W3 and missed out on the CIN -1 pick this morning

I was thinking of going with BAL +1, ATL -1, or CHW +1... Any thoughts?

Atlanta Dream over 156.5

[NunyaBidness]

Lol my Germany pk bet at evens not lookin too bad right now!

How's my Germany does not make the finals at -240 looking?

[Vaughany]

How's my Germany does not make the finals at -240 looking?

Haha very nice! To be fair id of said tht was reasonable value at start of tournament!

[NunyaBidness]

Haha very nice! To be fair id of said tht was reasonable value at start of tournament!

Cold comfort.

[Vaughany]

No way you could of anticipated tht Brazil would play them in semis and be without their two most importsnt players!

[NunyaBidness]

Germany on track to get more goals this game than they got the entire rest of the tournament.

Why do you think the line was so far off? Home field advantage being overplayed? As Getlucky said, Nate Silver had them as about 65% to win the game even with the players missing.

[Ronald S.]

Atlanta Dream over 156.5

Appreciate it!

[Ronald S.]

Germany on track to get more goals this game than they got the entire rest of the tournament.

Why do you think the line was so far off? Home field advantage being overplayed? As Getlucky said, Nate Silver had them as about 65% to win the game even with the players missing.

What an insane game... Of all the ways the game could have played out, this has to be an outlier right? I mean Algeria held them to 0-0 for 90 minutes!

[NunyaBidness]

What an insane game... Of all the ways the game could have played out, this has to be an outlier right? I mean Algeria held them to 0-0 for 90 minutes!

Yeah, pretty nuts. I stopped watching after the 3rd goal.

Pounded Brazil to not score at +190 live, closed at like -500, then they score in the last minute.

Damn game cost me all of my profit for the month.

[Ronald S.]

Yeah, pretty nuts. I stopped watching after the 3rd goal.

Pounded Brazil to not score at +190 live, closed at like -500, then they score in the last minute.

Damn game cost me all of my profit for the month.

Ugh... saw that. Brutal

[Vaughany]

Germany on track to get more goals this game than they got the entire rest of the tournament.

Why do you think the line was so far off? Home field advantage being overplayed? As Getlucky said, Nate Silver had them as about 65% to win the game even with the players missing.

Ha Does Nate Silver know anything about football?! He was probably basing it on stats like "Brazil have never lost a game against Germany" and "Brazil havent lost at home in 5 decades...blah blah".

but yee like you say the home advantage was main factor and was definitely exagerrated...people often dont consider the other aspect of being the home nation with all the expectation tho - the added pressure it brings. Always a good chance tht the pressure becomes too much and teams fold. One of the main reasons i bet on germany was because brazil captain and pretty much only leader Thiago Silva was suspended...one of the few players tht you know can deal with pressure. The significance of thiago silva and neymar's absence not being considered enough was also a big factor.

Other factors such as touch of nostalgic/emotional/romantic betting as well...the old "Brazil are destined to win this in honour of Neymar". Also the whole conspiracy thing tht FIFA wanted Brazil to win the competition and tht the ref would aid Brazil. All Just pure conjecture tho. Lets ignore the fact tht this is a brazil side tht on the wholr is rather average and has a combination of players tht are past their prime (like Maicon);overrated players (Luiz Gustavo, Dante, Jo, Fred) players tht can be great but were just not in form (Hulk, Dani Alves) and young talented players who dont know how to deal with any adversity or high pressure situations like this today and go missing when the chips are down (Oscar, Bernard, David luiz).
i could go on with more... An overrated stubborn manager tht is obsessed with certain players such as Fred, and who didnt call up some of the best performing Brazilians in Europe last season such as Filipe and Miranda who were both part of the best defence in the World with Atletico Madrid, tht was just a joke of a decision.

[NunyaBidness]

Ha Does Nate Silver know anything about football?! He was probably basing it on stats like "Brazil have never lost a game against Germany" and "Brazil havent lost at home in 5 decades...blah blah".

but yee like you say the home advantage was main factor and was definitely exagerrated...people often dont consider the other aspect of being the home nation with all the expectation tho - the added pressure it brings. Always a good chance tht the pressure becomes too much and teams fold. One of the main reasons i bet on germany was because brazil captain and pretty much only leader Thiago Silva was suspended...one of the few players tht you know can deal with pressure. The significance of thiago silva and neymar's absence not being considered enough was also a big factor.

Not to mention the whole rigamarole with him drawing a gun on his wife, got to affect the whole team morale.

Nate wasn't using those sorts of statistics, he's doing a basic power rating. It's interesting because generally player absences are wildly overvalued with the idea that no one will pick up the slack. I'm quite certain you can make a profit just by fading star absence line movement in NBA.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-neymars-injury-affects-brazils-chances-at-the-world-cup/

[Vaughany]

Not to mention the whole rigamarole with him drawing a gun on his wife, got to affect the whole team morale.

Nate wasn't using those sorts of statistics, he's doing a basic power rating. It's interesting because generally player absences are wildly overvalued with the idea that no one will pick up the slack. I'm quite certain you can make a profit just by fading star absence line movement in NBA.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...the-world-cup/

Hehe


hmm ill have a look at tht nate silver thing tomorrow at work

[Vaughany]

[Grabaka]

Man i lost a bunch too on that stupid game

[MD]

Brazil no more play for the cup. Germany the champion now. Is normal.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Yeah, pretty nuts. I stopped watching after the 3rd goal.

Pounded Brazil to not score at +190 live, closed at like -500, then they score in the last minute.

Damn game cost me all of my profit for the month.

Never forget! 2014/07/08

[TheCalculator]

Damn game cost me all of my profit for the month.

I'll cradle you if you promise to cradle me next time I lose big ok?

[Vaughany]

Most embarrassing semi since I went to see Brokeback Mountain with my dad.

[Vaughany]

someone make a mental note that the weather (rain) apparently has a detrimental effect on how many weiners you can swallow in 10 minutes

actually, that's not very surprising. what is surprising is they didnt cover these focks with a tent

Very dangerous "sport" by looks of it...

Man chokes to death during hot dog eating competition

Walter Eagle Tail, 47, is believed to have suffocated after the food got stuck in his throat

<figure class="inline-image clearfix " style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-weight: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; position: relative; zoom: 1;">Facebook
<figcaption style="color: rgb(68, 68, 68); float: left; font-size: 14px; padding: 0.5em 0px 0.75em; font-weight: 700;">Walter Eagle Tail died after choking on hot dogs in an eating competition</figcaption></figure>A man has choked to death while taking part in a hot dog eating competition.
Walter Eagle Tail, 47, died during the contest in Custer, South Dakota, over the Fourth of July weekend when the food got lodged in his throat.
A pie eating contest had been planned for the next in the town, but it was cancelled as a result of Mr Tail's death.
Custer County Sheriff Rick Wheeler said: "There was someone doing CPR when we arrived. Basically he probably just suffocated. It got lodged in his throat and they couldn't get it out.
"It all happened within minutes. I think everybody was pretty well shocked about it."
The Rapid City Journal newspaper described the death as putting 'a damper on the festivities' and organisers are considering changes to the competitive eating contest next year.
Friend Ardis McRae told the paper: "Walter was just being Walter, having fun when he entered this contest. He was just having a good time."
She added that he made people smile and was an outgoing person.

[PunisherIND]

Most embarrassing semi since I went to see Brokeback Mountain with my dad.

[mirinquads]

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/google/10953379/Germany-to-meet-Argentina-in-World-Cup-final-tech-firms-predict.html

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/microsoft/10942732/Intelligent-software-up-8-0-on-World-Cup-predictions.html

Interesting stuff, nunya get on write this with your math skillz please, could use some winnerz