Its real bad
Thursday Plays??Anyone Walking The Card?
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#1Thursday Plays??Anyone Walking The Card?Tags: None -
Sam OdomSBR Aristocracy
- 10-30-05
- 58063
#2couple $mall wagersComment -
flyingilliniSBR Aristocracy
- 12-06-06
- 41219
#3Go to WhatsApp Mr. Slatsהמוסד
המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים
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hubie69SBR Hall of Famer
- 09-16-10
- 7329
#4A couple small bets, like sammy.
Once I get done with this conference call I'll do some POWER WALKING through the card.Comment -
FishheadSBR Aristocracy
- 08-11-05
- 40179
#5Why don't you walk yourself right off this site???Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#8Sims are ok but small
We use a model guy for Sims and gives us the playsComment -
pologqSBR Posting Legend
- 10-07-12
- 19899
#9have the model guy give us those plays. help us JJ. we need $$$ for Christmas.Comment -
FishheadSBR Aristocracy
- 08-11-05
- 40179
#10ChristmasComment -
vividjohn45SBR Hall of Famer
- 11-21-10
- 6331
#11Jj got spoiled by. All the great cbb tourney games this week. You still got 6 top 25 cbbs today with 2 of those postponed. Draftkings has a late ariz state #25 showdown toniteComment -
FishheadSBR Aristocracy
- 08-11-05
- 40179
#12Do video of your Christmas tree JJgold
Make yourself usefulComment -
GzaTheGeniusSBR MVP
- 02-12-13
- 4181
#13Walking the card right to the bankComment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#15More College hoop blind bet guessing again today..
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BIGDAYSBR Aristocracy
- 02-17-10
- 48245
#17University North TXComment -
Chi_archieSBR Aristocracy
- 07-22-08
- 63172
#18looking for a mid day soccer bangerComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#20The KVB Family of Funds with links...
The NCAAF UPSET Basket is in action tonight...
Not to mention The NCAAB Technical Value Fund...323 3-Dec LOUSIANA TECH +107
And a new hoops moneyline strategy this year, The KVB NCAAB Momentum Fund...774 3-Dec CAL +7.5 (-108)
The Hoops Momentum Fund is one where we begin teaching professional handicapping techniques at SBR. I figure 1 in 1000 bettors will appreciate the intricacies. That will amount to about 3.6 to 4 posters at most times here at SBR.747 3-Dec MARSHALL -125
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JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83686
#21^^^ LolComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#25Take a look at Montana vs Southern Utah today as well.
On Montana here, but not really tracking that Fund at SBR, it's too much work to outline each day in trying to prep readers for the volatility.
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#26do not bet todayComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#29I didn't, yet I made all my bets for today in previous days.
Because I only increase my chances to you win long term. We don't gamble, Gold. There's too much at stake.
Unless of course The NCAAB Contrarian Fund comes into play, that, obviously, needs some market maturity to bet into.
The NCAAB Contrarian Fund to date...
617 1-0 25-Nov TOLEDO +3 (-109) 0.92 2 625 2-0 27-Nov UC DAVIS +7.5 (-102) 0.98 3 853 3-0 30-Nov ST JOHNS +1 (-103) 0.97 -4 674 4-0 2-Dec RHODE ISLAND +2 (-103) 0.97 -13 Total 3.84
The right column is a margin of victory for each game and those familiar with some of the trading strategies, not just with the Contrarian Fund, but with trading around the contrarian Fund for aggressive profits, will see a pattern here and can assess the near term viablilty of the trades.
Because that's what we do with Contrarian Fund analysis.
<iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/FearfulSandyHapuku' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='404'></iframe>Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#31La Tech -1
liked them before and now that the public has been betting North Texas
even more so, but the pick isn't about the public...
https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb...-schedule.html
Take advantage of the value.323 3-Dec LOUSIANA TECH +107
Good Luck to us either way, I just hope it isn't a Lous Tech 1 point win, there's no excuse for buying into the push here.
You would be better off passing.
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SamsNCharge99SBR Aristocracy
- 10-22-08
- 41242
#32i'm walkingComment -
veriableoddsSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-22-17
- 5093
#33SNOWY lol.. we'll it is that time of year
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SnowballBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 11-15-09
- 30058
#34Snowy get better than -1. They've been a dog since the line was up there.
Take advantage of the value.323 3-Dec LOUSIANA TECH +107
Good Luck to us either way, I just hope it isn't a Lous Tech 1 point win, there's no excuse for buying into the push here.
You would be better off passing.
too late, I been taking this since it was -2.
not an incredibly important play.
but anything of course would be nice to add going into Sunday
i won't be watching, Verizon doesn't give me CBS Sports Network.
yeah, I still watch "tv".Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#35Marshall in, Louis Tech trying to hang on, and Cal yet to play...
The KVB Family of Funds with links...
The NCAAF UPSET Basket is in action tonight...
Not to mention The NCAAB Technical Value Fund...323 3-Dec LOUSIANA TECH +107
And a new hoops moneyline strategy this year, The KVB NCAAB Momentum Fund...774 3-Dec CAL +7.5 (-108)
The Hoops Momentum Fund is one where we begin teaching professional handicapping techniques at SBR. I figure 1 in 1000 bettors will appreciate the intricacies. That will amount to about 3.6 to 4 posters at most times here at SBR...747 3-Dec MARSHALL -125
All I know is UPSET Basket my ass. Last wk 5 of 8 games closed favorites, 6 of 9 the wk before.
1 for 1 already this week with Louis Tech. Smashing the close, yes. Is it healthy? Hmm.
It doesn't matter whether you compare the open and close across the markets, or within books. These plays, when triggered, are healthily beating the close. 55-25-1 on the year. While down -11 units on the year, we are still within range of a normal cycle. If we lose another 5 or 6 units, it could get interesting.
Here's the record...
Date NCAAF UPSET Basket 1 Unit Closing Beat BTC ML per bet Line Closer? Average 241 5-Sep M TENN ST +155 -1 151 Y 0.04 243 7-Sep BYU -120 0.83 -119 N -0.01 403 12-Sep COAST CAR +150 1.5 170 N -0.20 107 19-Sep WAKE +125 -1 -131 Y 0.56 115 MIA +110 1.1 -124 Y 0.34 125 LOUIS TECH +170 1.7 232 N -0.62 155 ABILENE CHRIST +163 -1 245 N -0.81 401 26-Sep LOUISVILLE +150 -1 126 Y 0.24 109 3-Oct E CAROLINA -102 -1 -123 Y 0.25 125 MEMPHIS +115 -1 105 Y 0.10 131 NAVY -110 -1 -250 Y 1.40 135 T TECH +160 -1 -117 Y 0.77 159 S MISS +105 1.05 110 N -0.05 307 10-Oct MISS ST +130 -1 135 N -0.05 315 E CAROL +155 1.55 169 N -0.14 105 15-Oct GA ST +150 -1 147 Y 0.03 117 17-Oct NAVY +103 1.03 -166 Y 0.69 119 DUKE +160 -1 142 Y 0.18 121 VIRGINIA +117 -1 104 Y 0.13 135 TEXAS ST +125 -1 164 N -0.39 139 MISSISSIPPI (+102) -1 -114 Y 0.16 157 N TEXAS +153 1.53 145 Y 0.08 165 GEORGIA +172 -1 180 N -0.08 309 23-Oct LAFAYETTE +105 1.05 -126 Y 0.31 311 24-Oct GTECH +161 -1 137 Y 0.24 313 FLORIDA ST +165 -1 178 N -0.13 347 CINCI +125 1.25 -103 Y 0.28 349 IOWA ST +155 -1 115 Y 0.40 361 SC +188 -1 178 Y 0.10 375 HAWAII +165 1.65 119 Y 0.46 389 GA ST +103 1.03 111 N -0.08 393 M TENN ST +110 1.1 150 N -0.40 103 29-Oct S ALABAMA +170 -1 151 Y 0.19 157 29-Oct COLORADO ST -102 -1 -127 Y 0.25 141 30-Oct HAWAII +102 -1 -135 Y 0.37 115 31-Oct UTSA +170 -1 175 N -0.05 117 31-Oct K STATE +140 -1 169 N -0.29 155 RICE +144 1.44 -112 Y 0.56 161 N'WESTERN +156 1.56 -119 Y 0.75 163 TEXAS +135 1.35 154 N -0.19 169 TEMPLE +106 -1 198 N -0.92 173 31-Oct TROY +122 1.22 143 N -0.21 175 TCU -110 0.91 -126 Y 0.16 181 LSU -110 -1 -110 PUSH 0.00 285 4-Nov BALL ST +155 -1 -104 Y 0.59 287 E MICH +161 -1 170 N -0.09 295 OHIO -110 -1 -135 Y 0.25 319 7-Nov PITT -110 0.91 -116 Y 0.06 325 TROY -103 -1 -132 Y 0.29 361 WASH ST +106 1.06 133 N -0.27 379 NEBRASKA +161 -1 152 Y 0.09 119 11-Nov TOLEDO +115 -1 105 Y 0.10 141 14-Nov TCU +124 -1 142 N -0.18 155 MIAMI +110 1.1 104 Y 0.06 161 WISCONSIN -110 0.91 -249 Y 1.39 165 N'WESTERN -110 0.91 -168 Y 0.58 197 BAYLOR -103 -1 102 N -0.05 203 ARMY +170 -1 139 Y 0.31 207 SMU +102 -1 -127 Y 0.29 225 LOUISVILLE +135 -1 183 N -0.48 313 18-Nov W MICH -103 0.97 -107 Y 0.04 327 20-Nov PURDUE -110 -1 -132 Y 0.22 333 21-Nov IOWA +108 1.08 -110 Y 0.18 341 E CAROL +108 1.08 -259 Y 2.67 359 LIBERTY +132 -1 155 N -0.23 365 GA SOUTH +161 -1 139 Y 0.22 375 RICE +108 -1 104 Y 0.04 387 SDSU +105 -1 -110 Y 0.15 393 LSU +115 1.15 -121 Y 0.36 137 27-Nov STANFORD +110 1.1 -117 Y 0.27 143 IOWA ST +115 1.15 -132 Y 0.47 157 28-Nov GA SOUTH +104 -1 123 N -0.19 181 PENN ST +160 1.6 -103 Y 0.63 185 DUKE -110 -1 -136 Y 0.26 219 N TEXAS +125 -1 103 Y 0.22 289 LOUISVILLE +102 -1 -102 Y 0.02 299 SDSU +140 -1 187 N -0.47 Total -11.13 51-25-1 0.16
Techinically, we are at a support for the cyclical fund, but there are some concerns, probably COVID caused, that I should point out. First the basics...
Here's the closing line comparison and the units right below...
That tanking SMA 50 is a concern.
Here we see it crashing below the 100 and 200 SMA...
Here's an oldie but goodie some will remember, the Bollinger Bands. I made a long post explaining what the Bands, if anyone needs a reminder.
Here's the chart...
The good news is that the 10 are 20 are starting to converge again, we've seen that before...
But I want to remove that orange line and remind us about the post I made regarding the "blips" on the Bollinger Bands, circled in red.
We can do the same thing on the lower end of the bands, circled in blue.
But we don't have that on this recent slide. we've bounced off support, but our lagging signal isn't there, I marked that purple.
So when was the last time we saw the lagging signal. I marked it in yellow. I cirlced the whole pattern, readers will remember the optimism that week.
It just so happens to be the same weekend where we lost 5 of 9 plays to COVID and we have been losing them since.
Here's the chart...
This is just one piece of the puzzle that gives us a picture of just how the Kung Flu has ravaged the markets. Others inlcude beating the line at the times games were taken off the board.
I sense some sideways and having only lost the Houston -108 (which was -125 when pulled from the board) this week could be a good one, sideways to positive.
Here's the pending, a strong slate of plays...
323 3-Dec LOUSIANA TECH +107 -113 Y 0.20 327 4-Dec UL LAFAYETTE +138 349 5-Dec FLORIDA ST +130 357 NEBRASKA +103 361 FAU -110 363 BG +132 365 BALL ST +115 383 5-Dec UCLA +161 393 5-Dec OK ST -106 429 MEMPHIS +110 437 ARKANSAS +140 445 5-Dec SJSU -105 Comment
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