Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Cmon Dallas hold this shit
You know there's some MFers out there who took Cowboys ML . This is for them

[Da Manster!]

Good hit
I played both.
STRAIGHT BET NOV 08 12:03 PM
NFL [456] TENNESSEE TITANS -6½-110 (TV BROADCAST: FOX) WIN TICKET

clint...we "Fly Me" crew hit at least 60% or above but the bottom line is to wind up in the black!......I always hit several long shot lottery type of teasers and parlays throughout the season...but as long as we keep our winnings in the family I'm a happy guy...IMO, the best cappers on SBR are the "Fly Me" crew...and with Nasher being a valuable addition as well...

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Just so you can see i don't bitch about this stuff only when its against me

LAST PLAY: 3RD & 10 AT PIT 21WIN %: 50.1
(4:03) (Shotgun) B.Roethlisberger pass incomplete deep right to C.Claypool [J.Smith]. Incomplete on a deep "seam" route. PENALTY on DAL-J.Smith, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at PIT 21 - No Play.



Now look , that was a win for Dallas there ,yet penalty continues drive and bet Pitts scores . If just never ends
These players on defense losing games for their team like that .

[Da Manster!]

hope steelers lose str8 up lol

I do too!..it would eliminate around 30-40% of my survivor pool contestants!...

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Yeah, I like me some Nash

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Gonna tune in for a minute and see if the Dallas QB can do a 2 minute drill

[Da Manster!]

oh fuk...4th and 8!...come on cowgirls!

[Da Manster!]

damn it!...now gotta hope JETS upset the Pats and eliminate around 20-30% or whatever the amount it is.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

How could anyone back Cowboys there
Unless its purely system plays
Pitts could of outscored them by 24 in the 4th quarter alone right now of they absolutely needed that last drive

[KVB]

clint...we "Fly Me" crew hit at least 60% or above but the bottom line is to wind up in the black!......I always hit several long shot lottery type of teasers and parlays throughout the season...but as long as we keep our winnings in the family I'm a happy guy...IMO, the best cappers on SBR are the "Fly Me" crew...and with Nasher being a valuable addition as well...

Yeah a solid year so far all around. Even the haymaker fud started out hot so all it's recent losses haven't been that tragic.

It is the Haymaker Fund after all, it's not designed to get a lot of actual wins with those double digit dogs.

Good Stuff ll around Fly ME.

[Da Manster!]

Air Force +3.5 online. Boy did Circa fukk that one up with a +8 opener...lol....or did they?

Air Force-Wyoming game cancelled...

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Yeah a solid year so far all around. Even the haymaker fud started out hot so all it's recent losses haven't been that tragic.

It is the Haymaker Fund after all, it's not designed to get a lot of actual wins with those double digit dogs.

Good Stuff ll around Fly ME.

Yup . Not a easy feat

[KVB]

How could anyone back Cowboys there
Unless its purely system plays
Pitts could of outscored them by 24 in the 4th quarter alone right now of they absolutely needed that last drive

Remember, the Cowboys were a solid team before the season began. Sure there are some losses, but they are still mostly that NFL team. In the NFL, 14.5 points is a lot.

It's like stocks, I bought Dallas on a low, they could have always gone lower, but my metrics showed we are at a low.

It paid off.

But if we go with the "they play to win the game" theory then Dallas may have covered for us bettors, but they are still hugging that low, although must feel better about themselves.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Sure did pay off .
Gilbert certainly got himself another game as a starter id say.

[KVB]

Air Force-Wyoming game cancelled...

Noooooooooooooooooooooooooooo!!!!

[KVB]

This can't be, no!!

I got so much in Vegas of the crashing line. Fuuuuuukkkkkkkkkk!

[KVB]

Sure did pay off .
Gilbert certainly got himself another game as a starter id say.

Don't forget, if I'm buying Dallas low, I'm selling Steelers at a high in this instance.

Sometimes it's about backing a team, sometimes fading a team, and in this case both.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Cuz of Covid?

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Not gonna go on another rant about China
But did you all know that THEY are acting pissed AT US

Yup, you read that right . They are posturing at us
After wtf they caused and hid , that's acts of war right there. Yet,they are threatening us over selling weapons to Taiwan

[KVB]

Cuz of Covid?

Probably.

All three military teams were off yestrerday from the gotdamn KUNG FLU!!!

The muthfukkin' CHINA PLAGUE!!!!

Fuuuukkkk!!!!!!!!!!!

[KVB]

Hey DDD,

Vandy is currenlty at +17.5.

I have the open at +18 and said I was going to hit 17.5. Making some moves now.

Let's see how long it takes to go onto 17.

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Hey DDD,

Vandy is currenlty at +17.5.

I have the open at +18 and said I was going to hit 17.5. Making some moves now.

Let's see how long it takes to go onto 17.

[KVB]

I'll say this much. FanDuel in NJ was a pushover.

They went fro 17.5 earlier (when I was buying openers) straight to 16.5.



The broader online marketplace, especially now that all the books are getting online, is a solid 17.5 and much more resilient.

That said, pressure is on and coming.

Last weeks Baylor at 14 was nearly impossible to budge...lol...but it was a winner.

[KVB]

Any readers who were around during my opening buy blitz chime in somehow, either with a nomination, reply, a point, or something.

I'm considering a live stream but it's kind of a busy, boring time. Well it's not boring, actually it's kind of crazy. I only post tidbits of all the nuttiness, a livestream might be the only way to really appreciate what happens while everyone is sweating the early NFL bets.

I would also answer any specific questions, if anyone has any. I know there are many that want to stay low key, pm me if you want.

I'm ready to go into the "metrics of the markets" to give an inside look, at least to some extent.

Doves, where you at? Higher? Where you at? I know how many will read this post, and it will be less than 1/10th of those reading the blitz of openers (I know the numbers).

So I might bump this post once more before doing any videos.

<iframe src="https://giphy.com/embed/slaZi1VSB9NOo" width="480" height="426" frameBorder="0" class="giphy-embed" allowFullScreen></iframe>

[KVB]

Air Force-Wyoming game cancelled...

It's true, it's true. It's fukkin tru.

Fukkk!!!

[KVB]

Losing Air Force in two Funds, but The Visiting Dog Fund really hurts...

139		14-Nov	VANDERBILT +18 (-110)
141			TCU +3 (-110)
173			CAL +4.5 (-110)
177			AIR FORCE +7 (-110)
195			UTEP +5 (-110)
221			S MISS +8 (-110)

Had it down to 4 before the Kung Flu took over.

Let's hope we don't have a replay of last week where the UPSET Basket got gutted.

Brees is #1, Brady #2 all time in passing attempts.
Brady is #1, Brees #2 all time passing TDs. (561-560)
They are a combined 84 years old.

Winner of this game has the lead in the division.

Hopefully the winner does something like this to the loser during the post game handshake...

[KVB]

I'll say this much. FanDuel in NJ was a pushover.

They went fro 17.5 earlier (when I was buying openers) straight to 16.5...

Fan Duel NJ down to 14.5, DDD.

[RonT73]

I'll say this much. FanDuel in NJ was a pushover.
They went fro 17.5 earlier (when I was buying openers) straight to 16.5.



The broader online marketplace, especially now that all the books are getting online, is a solid 17.5 and much more resilient.

That said, pressure is on and coming.

Last weeks Baylor at 14 was nearly impossible to budge...lol...but it was a winner.

So are u saying to bet Vandy at 17.5 now?

[KVB]

The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund Summary

So are u saying to bet Vandy at 17.5 now?

I'm buying the +17.5, yes, and I think it's best to use my capping and compare to your own. I'll do a summary so you have more info on how the strategy has done.

It goes into this strategy...

The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund seeks to use a stacking percentages forecast that is enhanced by both market analysis and situational factors that allow adjustments to the forecast. Some of those adjustments can be sizeable and a bet can be triggered as the adjusted prediction falls within the offered spread. Further, it’s not always about the visiting dog, it can be about failure on the home favorite’s part of the equation.

There will be no moneylines in this Fund and the target circle and number of plays will vary each week as the stacking forecast methods will be enhanced by different factors, many of them determined by the ever changing market. The target circle will be much wider than that of the ATS/ML Fund and as always it is expected to be a grind.

The factors and thresholds being used in this fund, while they have been known to be volatile within a season (making it ideal for a Total Return Fund) move, have produced double digit ROI’s over thousands of plays. Some of these factors, over more than a dozen years, have been positive to the forecast enhancement every year. One major factor has shown recent weakness, and over the years that has been followed by major success, every time.

From a numbers perspective, next to Totals, the visiting dogs are where it’s at in college football and we expect big things from the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund...

Here are the pending plays this week...

139		14-Nov	VANDERBILT +18 (-110)
141			TCU +3 (-110)
173			CAL +4.5 (-110)
177			AIR FORCE +7 (-110)
195			UTEP +5 (-110)
221			S MISS +8 (-110)

We lost Air Force to disease.

Let's do the summary too...

Here's the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund through all 35 plays this season with links to each play. The Fund is 21-13-1, +6.44 units and is 22-6-7 against the close averaging +1.21 points against it.

This last week was a big week with +5.4 units and a 7-1 record.
Here's the summary with links...

				1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC
	Record	Date	NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund	per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
119	1-0-0	19-Sep	SYRACUSE +21 (-110)	0.91	21	PUSH	0
133	2-0-0		NAVY +4.5 (-105)*	0.95	4.5	PUSH	0
155	2-0-1		ABILENE CHRIST +4 (-110)	0	8	N	-4
437	2-1-1	26-Sep	KENTUCKY +9.5 (-110)	-1	6	Y	3.5
449	2-2-1		DUKE +6 (-105)	-1	4	Y	2
321	3-2-1		CAMPBELL +36 (-110)	0.91	32.5	Y	3.5
323903	4-2-1		E KENTUCKY +10 (-115)	0.87	8.5	Y	1.5
435	5-2-1		VANDY +30.5 (-103)	0.97	31.5	N	-1
105	6-2-1	3-Oct	S FLORIDA +24 (-110)	0.91	21.5	Y	2.5
115	6-3-1		MISSOURI +11 (-110)	-1	10	Y	1
121	7-3-1		NC STATE +14 (-104)	0.96	14	PUSH	0
153	7-4-1		AUBURN +7.5 (-110)	-1	7.5	PUSH	0
315	8-4-1	10-Oct	E CAROL +4 (-104)	0.96	5.5	N	-1.5
321	8-5-1		TENNESSEE +14 (-103)	-1	12.5	Y	1.5
329	9-5-1		ARKANSAS +16.5 (-105)	0.95	13.5	Y	3
339	9-6-1		TEXAS ST +7 (-105)	-1	7	PUSH	0
113	9-7-1	17-Oct	PIT +10.5 (-107)	-1	11.5	N	-1
127	10-7-1		KANSAS +22 (-106)	0.94	21	Y	1
133	11-7-1		KENTUCKY +6 (-105)	0.95	6	PUSH	0
137	11-8-1		W KENTUCKY +13 (-110)	-1	10.5	Y	2.5
313	11-9-1	24-Oct	FLORIDA ST +6.5 (-110)	-1	5	Y	1.5
339	12-9-1		RUTGERS +16.5 (-110)	0.91	9.5	Y	7
359	12-10-1		KANSAS +20 (-114)	-1	18.5	Y	1.5
393	13-10-1		M TENN ST +4 (-107)	0.93	3.5	Y	0.5
115	13-11-1	31-Oct	UTSA +7.5 (-110)	-1	4.5	Y	3
117	13-12-1		KANSAS ST +4 (-110)	-1	5	N	-1
161	14-12-1		N'WESTERN +3.5 (-110)	0.92	-1	Y	4.5
311	15-12-1	6-Nov	SJSU +9.5 (-102)	0.98	10	N	-0.5
329	16-12-1	7-Nov	UL MONROE +19.5 (-110)	0.91	18.5	Y	1
345	17-12-1		BAYLOR +14 (-107)	0.93	14	PUSH	0
349	17-13-1		MICHIGAN ST +7 (-112)	-1	5.5	Y	1.5
387	18-13-1		VANDERBILT +18.5 (-107)	0.93	18	Y	0.5
393	19-13-1		NEW MEXICO +16.5 (-110)	0.91	13.5	Y	3
395	20-13-1		W KENTUCKY +11.5 (-110)	0.91	6.5	Y	5
407	21-13-1		N ALABAMA +17.5 (-120)	0.83	17	Y	0.5
	21-13-1		Total	6.44		22-6-7	1.214286

The very first two plays of the Fund were posted as the games went off, but they qualified, and it was noted then as now and with every summary.

Here are the two year charts and they are all based on posted plays.

Here is the 2018 Summary
Here is the 2019 Summary





In the summary last week I said this Fund seem healthy and you can see be bounced right off of that 50 play moving average. Remember, I also said that the Totals ratio spot portion of plays do track the market to a certain extent.

This year's performance against the close is also bringing the two year average up and that too is a good sign. If we make a chart like in the past removing outlier lines, some of which moved our way, then we still have a solid avg vs. the close.

<iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/AnchoredLongIcterinewarbler' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='403'></iframe>

[KVB]

So are u saying to bet Vandy at 17.5 now?

There's one more thing about those plays, which I consider the sharpest plays I post (along with the NCAAB Technical Value Fund).

This post, made with the Fund description above, describes the nature of the different spots that get incorporated into the Forecasts...

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/saloon/2399514-fly-me-3-resurrection-sports-talk-good-tunes-great-times-anything-goes-p2129.html#post28043488

Also, do we think she knows about her ? You know, like how fuggin big they are?

<iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/ComposedWhisperedCockatiel' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='684'></iframe>

[dlowilly]

Show me a better ass than what you see at :06

[RonT73]

I'm buying the +17.5, yes, and I think it's best to use my capping and compare to your own. I'll do a summary so you have more info on how the strategy has done.

It goes into this strategy...


Here are the pending plays this week...

139		14-Nov	VANDERBILT +18 (-110)
141			TCU +3 (-110)
173			CAL +4.5 (-110)
177			AIR FORCE +7 (-110)
195			UTEP +5 (-110)
221			S MISS +8 (-110)

We lost Air Force to disease.

Let's do the summary too...

Here's the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund through all 35 plays this season with links to each play. The Fund is 21-13-1, +6.44 units and is 22-6-7 against the close averaging +1.21 points against it.

This last week was a big week with +5.4 units and a 7-1 record.
Here's the summary with links...

				1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC
	Record	Date	NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund	per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
119	1-0-0	19-Sep	SYRACUSE +21 (-110)	0.91	21	PUSH	0
133	2-0-0		NAVY +4.5 (-105)*	0.95	4.5	PUSH	0
155	2-0-1		ABILENE CHRIST +4 (-110)	0	8	N	-4
437	2-1-1	26-Sep	KENTUCKY +9.5 (-110)	-1	6	Y	3.5
449	2-2-1		DUKE +6 (-105)	-1	4	Y	2
321	3-2-1		CAMPBELL +36 (-110)	0.91	32.5	Y	3.5
323903	4-2-1		E KENTUCKY +10 (-115)	0.87	8.5	Y	1.5
435	5-2-1		VANDY +30.5 (-103)	0.97	31.5	N	-1
105	6-2-1	3-Oct	S FLORIDA +24 (-110)	0.91	21.5	Y	2.5
115	6-3-1		MISSOURI +11 (-110)	-1	10	Y	1
121	7-3-1		NC STATE +14 (-104)	0.96	14	PUSH	0
153	7-4-1		AUBURN +7.5 (-110)	-1	7.5	PUSH	0
315	8-4-1	10-Oct	E CAROL +4 (-104)	0.96	5.5	N	-1.5
321	8-5-1		TENNESSEE +14 (-103)	-1	12.5	Y	1.5
329	9-5-1		ARKANSAS +16.5 (-105)	0.95	13.5	Y	3
339	9-6-1		TEXAS ST +7 (-105)	-1	7	PUSH	0
113	9-7-1	17-Oct	PIT +10.5 (-107)	-1	11.5	N	-1
127	10-7-1		KANSAS +22 (-106)	0.94	21	Y	1
133	11-7-1		KENTUCKY +6 (-105)	0.95	6	PUSH	0
137	11-8-1		W KENTUCKY +13 (-110)	-1	10.5	Y	2.5
313	11-9-1	24-Oct	FLORIDA ST +6.5 (-110)	-1	5	Y	1.5
339	12-9-1		RUTGERS +16.5 (-110)	0.91	9.5	Y	7
359	12-10-1		KANSAS +20 (-114)	-1	18.5	Y	1.5
393	13-10-1		M TENN ST +4 (-107)	0.93	3.5	Y	0.5
115	13-11-1	31-Oct	UTSA +7.5 (-110)	-1	4.5	Y	3
117	13-12-1		KANSAS ST +4 (-110)	-1	5	N	-1
161	14-12-1		N'WESTERN +3.5 (-110)	0.92	-1	Y	4.5
311	15-12-1	6-Nov	SJSU +9.5 (-102)	0.98	10	N	-0.5
329	16-12-1	7-Nov	UL MONROE +19.5 (-110)	0.91	18.5	Y	1
345	17-12-1		BAYLOR +14 (-107)	0.93	14	PUSH	0
349	17-13-1		MICHIGAN ST +7 (-112)	-1	5.5	Y	1.5
387	18-13-1		VANDERBILT +18.5 (-107)	0.93	18	Y	0.5
393	19-13-1		NEW MEXICO +16.5 (-110)	0.91	13.5	Y	3
395	20-13-1		W KENTUCKY +11.5 (-110)	0.91	6.5	Y	5
407	21-13-1		N ALABAMA +17.5 (-120)	0.83	17	Y	0.5
	21-13-1		Total	6.44		22-6-7	1.214286

The very first two plays of the Fund were posted as the games went off, but they qualified, and it was noted then as now and with every summary.

Here are the two year charts and they are all based on posted plays.

Here is the 2018 Summary
Here is the 2019 Summary





In the summary last week I said this Fund seem healthy and you can see be bounced right off of that 50 play moving average. Remember, I also said that the Totals ratio spot portion of plays do track the market to a certain extent.

This year's performance against the close is also bringing the two year average up and that too is a good sign. If we make a chart like in the past removing outlier lines, some of which moved our way, then we still have a solid avg vs. the close.

<iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/AnchoredLongIcterinewarbler' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='403'></iframe>

So if i'm understanding correctly, I should bet every game in the fund, same units and wait until kickoff to bet them?

[turtledoves]

ticked off like an intermatic

been thinking of rap lines

[Da Manster!]

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Manster call me.

On the 867 line