KVB Post Your Contrarian Fund Report

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  • KVB
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-29-14
    • 74817

    #281
    Here's the latest NBA Contrarian Fund Playoff summary...

    Originally posted by KVB
    Here's the KVB NBA Contrian Fund playoffs...

    1 Unit
    Record Date NBA Contrarian Fund Playoffs per bet
    567 19-May SA +4 (-101) 0
    579 21-May MEM +5 (-108) 0.93
    501 23-May ATL +1.5 (-110) 0.91
    543 26-May ATL +2 (-103) -1
    872 29-May MIA +5 (-110) -1
    578 MEM +5.5 (-110) -1
    506 30-May BOS +8.5 (+100) -1
    512 31-May WAS +9 (-108) 0.93
    514 MEM +5.5 (-103) -1
    574 6-Jun LAC -6.5 (-105) 0.95
    554 13-Jun DEN +3.5 (-110) -1
    Total -2.28
    ...
    It's a grind, as expected.


    Comment
    • homie1975
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-24-13
      • 15442

      #282
      KVer keep grinding. these GIFS especially this one ^ are making me hard !!
      Comment
      • KVB
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 05-29-14
        • 74817

        #283
        Here's the latest MLB Contrarain Fund Backbone summary...

        Originally posted by KVB
        ...Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Backbone after 132 plays.

        902 13-Jun WAS -104 0.96
        904 NYM +114 -1
        907 COL +146 -1
        Sun -1.04
        Week 1-4 5.03
        Week 5-8 -3.32
        Week 9 3.75
        Week 10 -0.9
        Mon -1
        Tue -4
        Wed -2
        Thu -1
        Fri -3
        Sat 1.49
        Total -5.99
        Here's the chart.

        After covering the gap we immediately build a higher high and slightly higher low, just off the low of the season, using the SMA 10 as apparent resisitance...


        ...
        We remain in the SELL signal and it remains to be seen whether or not we are in a tradeable sideways and up market or if this is a small dead cat bounce.
        <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/EnormousEarnestHound' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='1182'></iframe>
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #284
          Here are the MLB BAckbone plays so far...

          Originally posted by KVB
          The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

          951 14-Jun PIT +116
          965 BAL +147
          These are backbone plays...
          <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/ShockedSimplisticDungenesscrab' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='1180'></iframe>
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388189

            #285
            small bounce but line chart has zero strength
            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #286
              Originally posted by jjgold
              small bounce but line chart has zero strength
              You could be right, we could be headed for bear territory, we can not discount that Head and Shoulders and now how we've covered the gap from the end of last year.



              Here's something I posted in one thread but added some commentary in FlyME...

              Originally posted by KVB
              On Zona and Mets in the broader contrarian fund.

              Contrarian plays aren't always underdog, like the mets in the broader Fund, but here's what happened this year so far risking the same unit on every favorite of the season.

              Notice the last rise coinciding with our market shakeout in the backbone...

              Comment
              • KVB
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-29-14
                • 74817

                #287
                Added two more with Miami and Colo to the Fund...

                Originally posted by KVB
                The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

                957 14-Jun MIA +181
                960 COL +142
                Backbone plays...
                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #288
                  The Fund backbone picked up the Angels...

                  Originally posted by KVB
                  The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

                  973 14-Jun LAA +131
                  ...
                  That's 5 plays...

                  951 14-Jun PIT +116
                  957 MIA +181
                  960 COL +142
                  965 BAL +147
                  973 LAA +131


                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388189

                    #289
                    Very nice
                    Comment
                    • homie1975
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-24-13
                      • 15442

                      #290
                      KVer I've fallen in love like 8x in this thread. Good Lord have mercy on me. This last chick two posts above is otherworldly
                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #291
                        Here's the latest summary and analysis...

                        Originally posted by KVB
                        Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Backbone after Monday...

                        951 14-Jun PIT +116 -1
                        957 MIA +181 -1
                        960 COL +142 1.42
                        965 BAL +147 -1
                        973 LAA +131 -1
                        Mon -2.58
                        Week 1-4 5.03
                        Week 5-8 -3.32
                        Week 9 3.75
                        Week 10 -0.9
                        Week 11 -10.55
                        Total -8.57
                        The market is stepping down and not much to report except to say the new support line is now resistance as the SMA 10 acts as about the same as it flattens into a curve. There is a lot of season left so I'm keeping the outlook the same and neither trying catch a falling knife here nor overacting to the shakeout and reducing out units. The SMA situation is dismal and the SELL signal is strong.


                        ...
                        Here's a little further back for context...



                        One thing the markets always do is recover, often with a bounce...

                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #292
                          Here we go, Cubs, Phillies and Rangers in action...

                          Originally posted by KVB
                          The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                          903 15-Jun CHI +120
                          913 PHI +140
                          921 TEX +164
                          Backbone plays....
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388189

                            #293
                            This is called the market crash what’s going to happen now, could be a time to sell your assets
                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #294
                              Originally posted by jjgold
                              This is called the market crash what’s going to happen now, could be a time to sell your assets
                              This is one Fund Gold, and just the backbone of it.

                              It's ok Gold, it's very dangerous to overreact. There has been a shift in win percentage in the form of a shakeout. It doesn't represent a loss of edge or anything fundamentally wrong here. We are still generating plays and the market still offers value all over the place.

                              This is where the patience part of patience and discipline shows it's need. Be patient Gold.

                              Don't ever fear a market drop, embrace the drop.

                              Just make sure you have all the right equipment to be able to land and move on, to fly again...

                              <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/AlienatedNeighboringHippopotamus' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='524'></iframe>
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388189

                                #295
                                I am
                                Panicking
                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #296
                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                  I am
                                  Panicking
                                  If we get to the red support line I'll zoom the chart out for more reference. We had a good run last year, it's ok to get volatile and pull back a bit.

                                  Patience.

                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388189

                                    #297
                                    This could be an outlier move which could be scary I bailed out of your fund, they called me and said get out right now and wait for a real bottom
                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #298
                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                      This could be an outlier move which could be scary I bailed out of your fund, they called me and said get out right now and wait for a real bottom
                                      Not a bad look, deep sell signal, depressed market, but you may have waited too long and never forget things can move fast. We've only lost about -12 units during the crash.

                                      Just -12 units over a week. Look at the beginning of 2020, 8 straight losses and it got worse before a +20 unit run.

                                      Look at how deep we went in 2019, there's a -25 units drop there. That might be the broader Fund in the chart below, but even the Backbone dropped -16 units going from +15 units to -1 units during that time before recovering to +21 units.

                                      Never forget just how volatile these markets are, Gold. Don't let a shakeout shake you from your edges, Gold, that's what the market wants. That's what separates the men from the boys. Be patient.

                                      Never forget...

                                      Comment
                                      • jjgold
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 07-20-05
                                        • 388189

                                        #299
                                        You’re not using Bollinger Bands

                                        Charts flawed with out it
                                        Comment
                                        • KVB
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 05-29-14
                                          • 74817

                                          #300
                                          Originally posted by jjgold
                                          You’re not using Bollinger Bands

                                          Charts flawed with out it
                                          Of course I am Gold. I made posts at SBR teaching about Bol Bands, what they are, and how to create them. A lot of that work was done in NCAAF too, where I showed the effects of BUY and SELL signals in football.

                                          Of course we chart the Bands, Gold...

                                          Comment
                                          • jjgold
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 07-20-05
                                            • 388189

                                            #301
                                            Ok ✅ that is good then

                                            Your very complex in and out of the bedroom
                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #302
                                              Just look at that SMA 20 creep over the upper band.

                                              Yikes.

                                              It's time turn sideways here, if not rise up a bit.
                                              Comment
                                              • KVB
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-29-14
                                                • 74817

                                                #303
                                                The first bacbone play today is St Louis.

                                                Here's the play and the recent summary...

                                                Originally posted by KVB
                                                The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                                952 16-Jun STL -108
                                                Backbone play.

                                                Here are yesterday's results...

                                                903 15-Jun CHI +120 -1
                                                913 PHI +140 -1
                                                921 TEX +164 -1
                                                Thu -3
                                                Week 1-4 5.03
                                                Week 5-8 -3.32
                                                Week 9 3.75
                                                Week 10 -0.9
                                                Week 11 -10.55
                                                Mon -2.58
                                                Total -11.57
                                                Comment
                                                • KVB
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                  • 74817

                                                  #304
                                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                                  If we get to the red support line I'll zoom the chart out for more reference. We had a good run last year, it's ok to get volatile and pull back a bit...
                                                  Here's the most recent chart.

                                                  Gold we may have to zoom out yet, let's see what the next few games bring...



                                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                                  Here's the recent chart.

                                                  I was hoping we wouldn't have to zoom out for context, but we just might have to yet...


                                                  ...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #305
                                                    Added COL to the Fund, great at +170 or better for sure...

                                                    Originally posted by KVB
                                                    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

                                                    956 16-Jun COL +176
                                                    Backbone play.

                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #306
                                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                                      This could be an outlier move which could be scary I bailed out of your fund, they called me and said get out right now and wait for a real bottom
                                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                                      the broader Contrarian Fund has triggered Pit and LAA today.

                                                      Given the deep market crash, I thought I’d share these broader Fund plays...
                                                      We could be seeing some very positive signs here Gold.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #307
                                                        Add Philly to the list...

                                                        Originally posted by KVB
                                                        The broader Contrarian Fund picked up Philly a this +128/+130 or better level...
                                                        I'm posting these now because the market volatility is high, the drop has occurred, then a small dead cat bounce and a final shakeout ending with the SF Giants Grand slam last night and the Philly loss.

                                                        Remember, it's only after you can appreciate what they bring that you can truly appreciate how they bring it.



                                                        Going to be hot today, the swimming pool may be in my future once these markets stabilize.

                                                        <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/RigidAdolescentIcefish' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='404'></iframe>
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jjgold
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-20-05
                                                          • 388189

                                                          #308
                                                          KVB your thinking too
                                                          Much

                                                          Don’t over think
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KVB
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-29-14
                                                            • 74817

                                                            #309
                                                            Originally posted by jjgold
                                                            KVB your thinking too
                                                            Much

                                                            Don’t over think
                                                            Gold don't be a fool, this isn't about thinking or not, I am disciplined and srugical in the objective strikes here.

                                                            My office is on high alert and taking advantage of the current market.

                                                            I'm just sharing the conclusions we reach, when we reach them.

                                                            Pay attention Gold, decades of successful work at play here.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • flyingillini
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 41219

                                                              #310
                                                              Kvster, please post asians in stockings please, I am waiting to release to your thread but I need asian stockings. Thanks!
                                                              המוסד‎
                                                              המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KVB
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-29-14
                                                                • 74817

                                                                #311
                                                                Originally posted by flyingillini
                                                                Kvster, please post asians in stockings please, I am waiting to release to your thread but I need asian stockings. Thanks!
                                                                Natural or plastic?

                                                                Comment
                                                                • flyingillini
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 41219

                                                                  #312
                                                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                                                  Natural or plastic?

                                                                  Natural , Vietnamese or Taiwanese please. I only can release to them. Hurry up. I’m waiting!
                                                                  המוסד‎
                                                                  המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #313
                                                                    Originally posted by flyingillini
                                                                    Natural , Vietnamese or Taiwanese please. I only can release to them. Hurry up. I’m waiting!
                                                                    Did you want working professionals or working girls?

                                                                    Or both?...

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jjgold
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                                      • 388189

                                                                      #314
                                                                      KVB when you taking a week off?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • flyingillini
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 41219

                                                                        #315
                                                                        Originally posted by KVB
                                                                        Did you want working professionals or working girls?

                                                                        Or both?...

                                                                        Those are not Vietnamese girls. I want stockings from a viet housewife I’m waiting on you. Don’t let me down.
                                                                        המוסד‎
                                                                        המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                                                        Comment
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