Stock Market Discussion -- started 03/06/2018 -- updated daily !!!

[homie1975]

Looking for Guitar Josh to check in

[guitarjosh]

the market will probably go higher

[RoyBacon]

STWD earnings in line with expectations! Stock is up a little.

I'll read through it later and listen in to the CC.

[homie1975]

the market will probably go higher

LOL. JOSHer give us some reasons for your prediction. And please list your stocks like you used to. You were beating the S&P most weeks.

[antifoil]

I don’t really want to post my picks. It’s just small positions that will net or lose only 100 dollars. I do it on a commission free app that o don’t fully trust so I only have 5k on it for the action.

Today I am buying splunk.

[homie1975]

I don’t really want to post my picks. It’s just small positions that will net or lose only 100 dollars. I do it on a commission free app that o don’t fully trust so I only have 5k on it for the action.

Today I am buying splunk.

you must be using the Robinhood app?

SPLK on a nice run the past few mos. GL brotha

[KVB]

Guys
Let's look for some opportunities together and help each other out.
Back in May 2018, i noticed BIDU dropped big and it was Not due to an earnings call. Apparently the COO who was a big part of the AI portion of the business, suddenly left. I believed the BIDU holders overreacted and sold off too quickly. the price dropped from about 285/share down to 240 at the bottom of the sell off. i bought around 260 and again at 242 so my base was around 251. then, within a month, the stock soared back up to the 270's and I sold for a nice 8% or so profit in less than a month.

Let's help each other look for these opportunities, when a stock suddenly drops for a reason that is Not tied to earnings or future guidance.
i think this is an area we can make some money.

today i noticed INGN has plummeted 20% after the earnings call so i obviously this would not fit the parameters of the BIDU situation from last May.

Getting Back into the swing here.

Here are the top 20 decliners so far today with last trade over 5 and avg 5 day volume over 250,000...

Symbol	Last Trade	Change	% Change	Description
BKNG	1,698.00	-208.00	-10.91	BOOKING HOLDINGS INC
WES	33.26	-16.29	-32.88	WESTERN GAS PARTNERS LP
SYNH	41.27	-10.74	-20.65	SYNEOS HEALTH INC
ESTC	89.93	-9.14	-9.23	ELASTIC NV
SHW	431.56	-8.76	-1.99	SHERWIN-WILLIAMS CO
SRPT	143.18	-8.50	-5.60	SAREPTA THERAPEUTICS INC
PANW	246.54	-8.34	-3.27	PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC
WCG	254.93	-8.27	-3.14	WELLCARE HEALTH PLANS INC
CELG	83.37	-7.62	-8.37	CELGENE CORP
UNH	243.20	-6.88	-2.75	UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC
GWW	305.06	-6.06	-1.95	GRAINGER (W W) INC
CI	174.76	-5.96	-3.30	CIGNA CORP
EXAS	90.99	-5.51	-5.71	EXACT SCIENCES CORP
EXPE	122.98	-5.21	-4.06	EXPEDIA GROUP INC
SPOT	139.94	-5.06	-3.49	SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA
MOH	135.34	-4.99	-3.56	MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC
BOX	20.16	-4.72	-18.97	BOX INC
ANTM	301.41	-4.66	-1.52	ANTHEM INC
TDOC	64.34	-4.64	-6.73	TELADOC HEALTH INC
BLUE	156.15	-4.59	-2.86	BLUEBIRD BIO INC

[KVB]

STWD strong as ever.

I've been holidng LNG and CQP for a while now. CQP is a limited partnership and has been on a run with Q$ going well.

LNG has a little higher BETA.

I like what homie said though. I've been a in a bit of a rut in that I have been trading the same things over and over.

Like GME. Went back in at about 11.40 anticipating a run for the 13% dividend. So far so good.

Getting familiar with an issue and understanding how it trades is valuable, but I need to get back to broadening the horizons.

Instead of just the 20 decliners, I'm going to run a few more screens and start from sectors and work down.

See what we can get out of it. I'm also going to start listening again to some basic Schwab broadcasts that go over sectors.

I should be doing more on the stock front.

[homie1975]

KVBer
I'm looking at GME right now. trading at 11.80. just Eighty Cents over the 52 week low. tasty 13% divvy.
what do you see going forward for this guy?

Fox News anti-bullish on this one: https://www.foxnews.com/tech/gamesto...-secure-buyout

[homie1975]

pharma and healthcare stocks getting hit hard right now

[Brock Landers]

pharma and healthcare stocks getting hit hard right now

BPMC and LLY, two major parts of my portfolio have never been better

[KVB]

GME is dangerous. It could be trouble. I think the buyout news was great, but we saw what happened when it fell through.

They have so many stores and such potential for distributions, even if it were for unrelated sales.

As far as the business model, I just have to believe it's on it's way out. So many games are bought online and places like Wal Mart will out sell the consoles.

Kind of strange this one. Tough to have a good outlook for the company, but the stock may still have some life in it.

They really need someone to buy into it so I would be careful.

Like I said, at this point I was just buying at near the low in anticipation of the dividend play. Not really sure how many more times we can do that.

[homie1975]

BPMC and LLY, two major parts of my portfolio have never been better

a year ago BPMC was in the 90's, well above the $82 right now. but yes, LLY doing fantastic. this is very good for you.

Look at KVB list above of the Top 20 decliners. most are pharma or HC stocks

[KVB]

Pharma's did well last year. Sometimes it just rotates.

I've liked PFE for a long time, dividend and all and ran it up to these levels. I still think, for it's price, it's a good way to get into pharmas.

Mixed signals with some companies doing well. ^DRG up today, that's the NYSA Arca Pharm Index.

MRK breaking through it's high recently.

There is some health in this sector, pun intended...lol.

[KVB]

JNJ up too.

It doesn't feel like pharmas are on there way to a big, harmful pullback. It still feels like a bull run for them and they look like they are being accumulated by investors, kind of that early stage of another bull run.

I could always be wrong there and would love to here a trader chime in on those thoughts.

[antifoil]

It seems to me the best sectors are cloud technology and security software.

[guitarjosh]

It seems to me the best sectors are cloud technology and security software.

Semiconductors & equipment is doing well too, most of my stocks are tech.

[homie1975]

Semiconductors & equipment is doing well too, most of my stocks are tech.

i'm in SOXL. do you play a chip ETF? if so, SOXX? SOXL? other?

[guitarjosh]

no, just stocks

[Sanity Check]

It doesn't feel like pharmas are on there way to a big, harmful pullback.

There are investigations under way cracking down on illicit big pharma trade. Here's one example, there are other investigations underway which could be as damaging.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/purdue-pharma-lawsuit-massachusetts-attorney-general-blames-sackler-family-for-creating-opioid-crisis-oxycontin/

I would guess that's behind latest price corrections.

If Trump's healthcare reforms pass, some of his plans call for cheaper healthcare via cutting into big pharma profits. There definitely will be a hit.

[antifoil]

The long term view is when when everything becomes automated like cars the info has to be stored somewhere, protected by some security software, and analyzed by some big data software.

[RoyBacon]

TSLA making $35k cars starting today.

All sales to be online as of today.

I'm going to short this baby in the AM. Love the company but I think clouds will form over this "great" news.

[RoyBacon]

TSLA making $35k cars starting today.

All sales to be online as of today.

I'm going to short this baby in the AM. Love the company but I think clouds will form over this "great" news.

Well darn. TSLA was $309 down $10 already. I'll give a short a shot above $303 but looks like it could be lower.

Transitioning to all online puts a LOT of uncertainty in the mix.

[KVB]

There are investigations under way cracking down on illicit big pharma trade. Here's one example, there are other investigations underway which could be as damaging.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/purdue-pharma-lawsuit-massachusetts-attorney-general-blames-sackler-family-for-creating-opioid-crisis-oxycontin/

I would guess that's behind latest price corrections.

If Trump's healthcare reforms pass, some of his plans call for cheaper healthcare via cutting into big pharma profits. There definitely will be a hit.

No.

Even if these pharmas never sold another opiate again, it wouldn't really touch the bottom line.

Understand that those drugs make up a very small percentage of overall revenue. Be careful not to watch too much TV, it is full of misinformation.

As far as pricing, that could have a much bigger effect if congress does something. Trump entertained this last year and the pharmas thrived in that environment.

The Democrats are still so hurt over the last election, still not over it, that they will disagree with Trump, no matter what he says.

It will never be about "Tump's Healthcare" as much as it will be about the House democratic leadership stumbling all over themselves.

Shit, if Trump suggests cutting prices, Dems will likely work to raise them. It's a shame half of the government is so easily controlled by as little as a Trump tweet.

But at least they are so predictable that in makes this investing environment pretty easy in general.

[KVB]

Here are the top 20 Decliners so far today with last trade over 5 and avg 5 day trading volume over 250,000...

Symbol	Last Trade	Change	% Change	Description
TSLA	293.86	-26.02	-8.13	TESLA INC
NTNX	34.72	-15.37	-30.69	NUTANIX INC
AZO	925.38	-13.59	-1.45	AUTOZONE INC
WUBA	63.52	-9.39	-12.88	58.COM INC -ADR
WDAY	188.56	-9.37	-4.73	WORKDAY INC
NTES	214.66	-8.56	-3.84	NETEASE INC
ALRM	58.53	-7.10	-10.83	ALARM.COM HOLDINGS INC
SPG	174.76	-6.40	-3.54	SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC
WBA	66.58	-4.61	-6.48	WALGREENS BOOTS ALLIANCE
NKTR	36.63	-3.91	-9.64	NEKTAR THERAPEUTICS
CARG	38.87	-3.86	-9.03	CARGURUS INC
DGAZ	90.40	-3.66	-3.89
NOC	286.43	-3.52	-1.21	NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP
SQ	77.95	-3.28	-4.04	SQUARE INC
BMA	47.30	-3.20	-6.34	BANCO MACRO SA
GWW	301.63	-3.14	-1.03	GRAINGER (W W) INC
LIN	170.14	-3.10	-1.79	LINDE PLC
EBIX	55.30	-2.97	-5.10	EBIX INC
AVGO	272.46	-2.90	-1.05	BROADCOM INC
SPOT	137.26	-2.87	-2.05	SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA

[KVB]

$TSLA puts again

Well darn. TSLA was $309 down $10 already. I'll give a short a shot above $303 but looks like it could be lower.

Transitioning to all online puts a LOT of uncertainty in the mix.

[homie1975]

Big open based on potential trade deal

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Do u guys put any stock in current CD market? 8-month 2.2% available.

Do u think that's value? Feel free to debunk.

[homie1975]

Do u guys put any stock in current CD market? 8-month 2.2% available.

Do u think that's value? Feel free to debunk.

Chuck it's too low for me. 2.2% does not even beat historical inflation of 3%. i need to at least try and do more by giving the stock market a fair shot to get me much higher than that

[KVB]

Do u guys put any stock in current CD market? 8-month 2.2% available.

Do u think that's value? Feel free to debunk.

Agree, to low for me but I suppose it depends on what else you plan on doing with your cash.

I've seen a couple of CD offers come through that are getting there, but we need more. Some of these dividend plays we've been discussing in here seem so attractive if you can bear a little risk.

We're talking about 5-12% some tax free.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Chuck it's too low for me. 2.2% does not even beat historical inflation of 3%. i need to at least try and do more by giving the stock market a fair shot to get me much higher than that

Fair enuf. Appreciate the reply. Just trying to figure best way to balance my portfolio.

[homie1975]

Fair enuf. Appreciate the reply. Just trying to figure best way to balance my portfolio.

Chuck I think u can get 3% thru Robinhood or 2.49% thru CIT bank (not Citibank but CIT Bank) which is online only. I've heard both are FDIC insured but I cannot guarantee that.

I can see why someone would want to keep a small amount in there and grow it whilst at the same time investing in higher returrn positions. Of course it all depends on age etc.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Chuck I think u can get 3% thru Robinhood or 2.49% thru CIT bank (not Citibank but CIT Bank) which is online only. I've heard both are FDIC insured but I cannot guarantee that.

I can see why someone would want to keep a small amount in there and grow it whilst at the same time investing in higher returrn positions. Of course it all depends on age etc.

Thx for the heads-up. Not bad.

[KVB]

Yeah Chucky, UBS Bank USA has 12 month CD's at 3%, it's offered to me. Minimum is 10K.

You can get 3, it's out there.

[RoyBacon]

Do u guys put any stock in current CD market? 8-month 2.2% available.

Do u think that's value? Feel free to debunk.

You can ALWAYS do better in the bond market with a little risk and no guarantee of course.

Alcoa has a bond with 15 months left on it paying 3.4% for example. Plus you can sell it at anytime with interest if you need/want the cash.