Stock Market Discussion -- started 03/06/2018 -- updated daily !!!

[homie1975]

Happy Holidays, Homie !

[Madison]

Happy Holidays Chucky and others.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Recipe for disaster!!

The top 10 US stocks now account for roughly 35% of the overall market, up from just 18% a decade ago.

1) Nice note, Mad. Thank You!
2) Happy Holidays, everyone. This STOCK MKT thread has been one of the best long-run threads at SBR. Everyone has knowledge on a certain sector.
3) I've picked up on the tips that people list. Have picked up several tips from people. Win or lose, thank you for the knowledge.
4) Per Mad's note, I do wonder about the high P/E ratios. And the high-end Mag7 stocks may be way over-valued. Just my two cents.
5) Re: my own portfolio, I've said on here several times that I carry a higher weight on Bitcoin stocks and Metal stocks. At the moment the Metal stocks are ripping. I'm particularly bullish on Silver and Copper. Bitcoin ETFs have dipped, but I do wonder about big-players positioning themselves. I think the Silver surge has stolen some of the Bitcoin thunder.

[Madison]

Recipe for disaster!!

The top 10 US stocks now account for roughly 35% of the overall market, up from just 18% a decade ago.

[homie1975]

Mexico 50% tariff on China cutting off the "back door" to the usa.

Market dropping in futures.

[ProSportsEdge]

No idea what your saying. Interest rate rate hikes, and cuts,are always built into the market based on key data released. The trend isnt some wild roller coaster ride.

Fair point. The market usually prices in rate hikes or cuts ahead of time. I just meant that lately the data swings have been shifting expectations more than usual, so it feels a bit choppy even if the overall trend isn’t a wild ride.

[franz555]

I get what you’re saying, and you’re right that a lot of rate moves are already priced in. Markets tend to react more to surprises than the hike itself. Volatility is normal, but the long-term trend can still push higher, especially with so much sidelined cash. Let’s see how it plays out next week.

No idea what your saying. Interest rate rate hikes, and cuts,are always built into the market based on key data released. The trend isnt some wild roller coaster ride.

[ProSportsEdge]

Stocks will probably go up. Every time they have raised rates the market has gone up. Look it up. Logic would tell you that people would start investing in bonds, CDs and more money going into savings which may be true but it won't matter...even after they have raised them 3-4 times as predicted. Next week when they raise rates it won't matter either as the previous poster said. It's already baked in. Don't you think mutual fund managers, investors and the like already know about rates.

I'm sure stocks will be volatile but that's what makes a market. It's completely healthy as are corrections.
The market will continue to grind higher and will be hitting new highs by spring or early summer. The charts are shaping up nicely and plus we are nowhere near the euphoria stage when everybody is on board and thinks we are going higher. Too much money on the sidelines. Most people have missed the rally from of March '09.

I get what you’re saying, and you’re right that a lot of rate moves are already priced in. Markets tend to react more to surprises than the hike itself. Volatility is normal, but the long-term trend can still push higher, especially with so much sidelined cash. Let’s see how it plays out next week.

[guitarjosh]

The transports, especially the commercial truck makers, are performing great. It looks like the insiders think the economy is about to take off.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Anyone alive here when I recommended ALB at 50?

Hi, Mad:
1) I do hold some ALB.
2) I didn't get your entry-pt of 50.
3) Saw ALB had a +6% day. My net on ALB is about Break-even.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

ET got a bad grade from Growth Investor so be cautious.

Is that an issue? I normally don't put much credence on anyone's "rating."

[Madison]

Thx, Mad. Energy Transfer (NYSE: ET) - yield looks good.

I think it's a real issue. How to keep up with currency debasement? The game has changed.

ET got a bad grade from Growth Investor so be cautious.

[Madison]

Anyone alive here when I recommended ALB at 50?

[ChuckyTheGoat]

As stated previously, check out ET and please show where this can go wrong as far as fixed income.

What Every Energy Transfer Investor Should Know Before Buying

Thx, Mad. Energy Transfer (NYSE: ET) - yield looks good.

I think it's a real issue. How to keep up with currency debasement? The game has changed.

[Madison]

Have posted in here several times. Always appreciate the knowledge:
*Have picked up some good tips in here. Win or lose, always appreciate the insights.

Have a pretty clear view of the portfolio I'm trying to build. Sometimes tricky to get the percentages right. At the moment I'm trying to figure out the good "stabilizers." I view the Fixed Income market as being very interesting. Buffett, for example, holds a surprisingly high % of his assets in low-risk investments.

As stated previously, check out ET and please show where this can go wrong as far as fixed income.

What Every Energy Transfer Investor Should Know Before Buying

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Have posted in here several times. Always appreciate the knowledge:
*Have picked up some good tips in here. Win or lose, always appreciate the insights.

Have a pretty clear view of the portfolio I'm trying to build. Sometimes tricky to get the percentages right. At the moment I'm trying to figure out the good "stabilizers." I view the Fixed Income market as being very interesting. Buffett, for example, holds a surprisingly high % of his assets in low-risk investments.

[Madison]

Should of held onto my SYM stock is soaring today

Unfortunately I trimmed a while ago but still have some. Hard to think it's going higher from here.

[homie1975]

Beautiful deep green. Getting rich kicks ass

[homie1975]

Should of held onto my SYM stock is soaring today

Hindsight is always 20/20.

Remember that.

I NEVER regret a buy or sale.

We are not stock nostradamus here.

It's educated guesses with no crystal balls.

[Chiefs83]

Should of held onto my SYM stock is soaring today

[homie1975]

What a beautiful green day. Relief rally. It's a day by day watch at this point.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I posted 3/4 years ago here ... get ready for INFLATION. The devaluation of paper money and your paper assets is about to be devalued.

I think so, Mad:
1) We try to stay ahead of the game.
2) We try to diffuse it by holding assets that are beating Inflation.

[Madison]

I posted 3/4 years ago here ... get ready for INFLATION. The devaluation of paper money and your paper assets is about to be devalued.

[Madison]

No problems here. Just keep your head down and invest.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Chuck ... Lot of positive print lately on LAC. Thinking of adding more here. We're getting closer to the goal line.

Following courtesy of MarketBeat.

Lithium Americas: A High-Conviction U.S. Lithium Play at a Deep Discount

Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE: LAC) is a long-term lithium play. Not only is the company not profitable, it hasn't even begun mining operations.
LAC stock spiked higher at the end of September when the U.S. government announced it would take a 5% stake in the company, which essentially guarantees that the company will be able to complete its Thacker Pass project, providing Lithium Americas with access to one of the largest known lithium resources in North America.
The demand for U.S.-sourced lithium makes the company a national security play as well as a commercial one. Recent data suggest that global lithium demand growth could rise by between 30% and 40% in 2026.
The price of lithium is expected to rise by between 58% and 110% in 2026. Of course, Lithium Americas isn’t expected to generate revenue until 2027, and it's impossible to predict where the price of lithium will be at that time. Despite the risk, with the stock down over 24% in the last month, now may be a good time to begin a position.

Thx, Mad. I'll keep it in mind. Told you that I'm bullish on metals. Holding a nice mix of: Ag/Cu/U/Pt/Li. I have a small amount of Gold, but I think the other metals will outpace Gold.

[Madison]

First time trying this so ... RSI chart. Some really interesting stuff. I'm no chart expert, but look at the last 6-8 months especially regarding lower, lows.

Hope it copies.

Cool. Thx SBR for making this easier!!!

[Madison]

First time trying this so ... RSI chart. Some really interesting stuff. I'm no chart expert, but look at the last 6-8 months especially regarding lower, lows.

Hope it copies.

[Madison]

Chuck ... Lot of positive print lately on LAC. Thinking of adding more here. We're getting closer to the goal line.

Following courtesy of MarketBeat.

Lithium Americas: A High-Conviction U.S. Lithium Play at a Deep Discount

Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE: LAC) is a long-term lithium play. Not only is the company not profitable, it hasn't even begun mining operations.
LAC stock spiked higher at the end of September when the U.S. government announced it would take a 5% stake in the company, which essentially guarantees that the company will be able to complete its Thacker Pass project, providing Lithium Americas with access to one of the largest known lithium resources in North America.
The demand for U.S.-sourced lithium makes the company a national security play as well as a commercial one. Recent data suggest that global lithium demand growth could rise by between 30% and 40% in 2026.
The price of lithium is expected to rise by between 58% and 110% in 2026. Of course, Lithium Americas isn’t expected to generate revenue until 2027, and it's impossible to predict where the price of lithium will be at that time. Despite the risk, with the stock down over 24% in the last month, now may be a good time to begin a position.

[homie1975]

Watching like a hawk.

[Madison]

For those looking to grind out an income, I just started a position in ET (Energy Transfer). Impressive 5 year chart, well off highs, and 8% DIV.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Back in this threads hayday I did VERY well with MARA/RIOT, NVIDEA, etc. Moved onto Uranium and tried to introduce everyone to Quantum, 2 or 3 years ago. IONQ, RGTI, DWAVE, circa $2-$4.

Have been full of exciting profitable ideas the last 5/6 years. Quite frankly I'm devoid of any new exciting things currently. Miss our old crew.

Mad, you gave me good ideas. Very interesting times right now. Just my humble opinion, I see people going into metals.

[Madison]

As of December 1, the Fed will stop shrinking its balance sheet. They’ll begin reinvesting maturing Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, reversing the slow liquidity (i.e., cash) drain that’s been weighing on the system since 2022.

The Market's Biggest Headwind Is About to Disappear | InvestorPlace

[Madison]

As of December 1, the Fed will stop shrinking its balance sheet. They’ll begin reinvesting maturing Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, reversing the slow liquidity (i.e., cash) drain that’s been weighing on the system since 2022.

[homie1975]

I remember madder

[Madison]

MADder it is going to turn on a dime and head north again especially if NVDA crushes earnings and guides well on Wednesday Nov 19 after the bell

Back in this threads hayday I did VERY well with MARA/RIOT, NVIDEA, etc. Moved onto Uranium and tried to introduce everyone to Quantum, 2 or 3 years ago. IONQ, RGTI, DWAVE, circa $2-$4.

Have been full of exciting profitable ideas the last 5/6 years. Quite frankly I'm devoid of any new exciting things currently. Miss our old crew.