Stock Market Discussion -- started 03/06/2018 -- updated daily !!!

[KnuckleHeadz]

Madison,
What are we doing here with CRSP?
Should I be hammering this?

[Madison]

CRSP 2 minute video. If this doesn't blow your mind I don't what will??

How CRISPR works, explained in two minutes | Watch

[Madison]

Here's one to put on your radar. FYI, I have about 3% of my portfolio (speculative/gambling) 10x or more stocks.

I had been a NVDA investor and was the first here to mention "Quantum" which I am doing very well with. I own IONQ at about $2 DCA, and several others.

Be sure to watch the video. Full disclosure ... I have about 40 shares.

Can Buying CRISPR Therapeutics and Holding It Forever Make You a Millionaire?

CRISPR Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CRSP) will be releasing its Q1 2025 earnings before the market opens on Wednesday, May 14

[Madison]

When they start questioning the inevitability of your existence, I suspect you are here!!

Should We Use CRISPR to Create Disease-Resistant Species — Or Is That Playing God? | Watch

[Madison]

This place is quiet on stock discussion. I'd like to see more talk to find the hidden gems.

Here's one to put on your radar. FYI, I have about 3% of my portfolio (speculative/gambling) 10x or more stocks.

I had been a NVDA investor and was the first here to mention "Quantum" which I am doing very well with. I own IONQ at about $2 DCA, and several others.

Be sure to watch the video. Full disclosure ... I have about 40 shares.

Can Buying CRISPR Therapeutics and Holding It Forever Make You a Millionaire?

[pavyracer]

Guarantied ... i've posted more here than the original author in the last year or so. Mutiny I say. LOL

This place is quiet on stock discussion. I'd like to see more talk to find the hidden gems.

[Madison]

Guarantied ... i've posted more here than the original author in the last year or so. Mutiny I say. LOL

[Madison]

Don't anyone ever post a stock thread other than this?? (Posted a month or so ago).

Will post "Updated Daily" ... Please post or change the title.

[Madison]

Curtesy Luke Lango Investor Place

One especially powerful indicator he tracks is the Zweig Breadth Thrust (ZBT) indicator. This indicator triggers when the percentage of advancing stocks on the NYSE (measured over a 10-day moving average) rises from below 40% to above 61.5% within 10 trading days.
This rare surge in market breadth suggests that many stocks are suddenly moving higher, often marking the end of a bearish phase and the beginning of a major rally.
As you’re likely guessing, the Zweig Breadth Thrust indicator just triggered – last Thursday, to be exact.
Here’s Luke with more details:
The ZBT has only flashed 18 times since World War II. In every single instance, stocks were higher a year later — with average gains of 25%.
That’s not noise. That’s a signal.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 just last week notched three straight days of gains over 1.5%. That’s another rare signal. Since 1950, every time that’s happened, stocks have been higher a year later — every single time — with average gains of 10%.

[Madison]

Curtesy of Stansberry.

As of last Friday, the slope of the S&P 500's 200-DMA has fallen in 16 consecutive sessions.
The last time the S&P 500's 200-DMA "turned over" like this was (again) in the first half of 2022, right as a major leg down in the index took shape into summer. That year's bear market didn't bottom until that October.

[adam3]

Try to trade on a daily basis or even a weekly basis you

[marco1313]

This could be a deep debate but just some comments and notes are all I can give. The ALL-WEATHER Portfolio isn't supposed to beat the S&P 500, and it doesn't. Nor should you expect it to. From my understanding the sp500 historically returns 9% the RAY is a tick under 5%. the draw down or AKA beta factor is 40% less with RAY then the sp500. The devaluation of the dollar is what gold, silver, copper, oil, Interational stocks are for.
Today with the above example post above it only lost -$502 a tickle above 1/2%. Built in hedges are the reason. The hedges equate to 11% but are3x inverse, even if the market goes up you will get the benefit of growth. Skeptical about dividends I see! the only explanation I have for this would be say you buy in for $100 over a short term like 18 months you get the whole 100 back in whatever timed pay installments. The original 100 has now dropped to 42 well you still made 42%. If I need anything at all from an investment and that time frame is less than 5 years, It's safe to say that person doesn't belong investing
So how much money does one need to live? Thats where the problem lies.
homeowner -vs- renter
car owner -vs- leasing or payment (DRASTIC difference on the insurance side)
aldi's -vs- whole foods
private HSA -vs- traditional healthcare
debt free -vs- lets live in debt with a credit card
ect ect

Really solid points. I think a lot of people overlook that the All-Weather portfolio is about risk management, not outperformance. It's designed to survive different economic environments, not necessarily beat the S&P 500. And you're absolutely right living costs, lifestyle choices, and personal debt levels are huge factors that impact how much investment risk someone can or should take. Dividends might not be the silver bullet against currency devaluation, but they still have a role depending on the bigger financial picture.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

This could be a deep debate but just some comments and notes are all I can give. The ALL-WEATHER Portfolio isn't supposed to beat the S&P 500, and it doesn't. Nor should you expect it to. From my understanding the sp500 historically returns 9% the RAY is a tick under 5%. the draw down or AKA beta factor is 40% less with RAY then the sp500. The devaluation of the dollar is what gold, silver, copper, oil, Interational stocks are for.
Today with the above example post above it only lost -$502 a tickle above 1/2%. Built in hedges are the reason. The hedges equate to 11% but are3x inverse, even if the market goes up you will get the benefit of growth. Skeptical about dividends I see! the only explanation I have for this would be say you buy in for $100 over a short term like 18 months you get the whole 100 back in whatever timed pay installments. The original 100 has now dropped to 42 well you still made 42%. If I need anything at all from an investment and that time frame is less than 5 years, It's safe to say that person doesn't belong investing
So how much money does one need to live? Thats where the problem lies.
homeowner -vs- renter
car owner -vs- leasing or payment (DRASTIC difference on the insurance side)
aldi's -vs- whole foods
private HSA -vs- traditional healthcare
debt free -vs- lets live in debt with a credit card
ect ect

Hi, veri. Thx for your post. Life is about learning, and you know I respect your opinion.

I will digest a lot of what you say. A lot to consider:
1) Home Ownership has long been viewed as a solid investment with people who have extra capital available. I think that is dubious in the near future. Rent vs Own is a good debate.
2) I've written about the Car ownership. Holy shit, you talk about a money-drain. If I was on a short-lease, I'd think about selling my car and riding a bike.
3) Credit card use - The BEST users can be on the + side of things. But many of us let the interest slide, and it becomes an albatross.

We'll talk more later.

[pavyracer]

china flexed again last night, saying they will retaliate against any countries who we (the USA) try to use to isolate china.

donnie is getting boxed in.

the walls are closing in.

he can run but he cannot hide.

china is in this to win this.

heavyweight fight, Ali v Frazier.

i do not know which one we are at this point.

it is a coinflip.

I think if the big boys earnings, which gave him a million each for favors, turn out to be bad the pressure to abandon the tariffs would be immense. Like another 10% drop in a day or two and Trump would be done and ready to wave the white flag.

[veriableodds]

I wonder if Dalio still believes in that. I'm becoming a bigger skeptic on Dividend yield.

Have to do something to counter currency de-basement. But I'm not sure it's Dividends.

This could be a deep debate but just some comments and notes are all I can give. The ALL-WEATHER Portfolio isn't supposed to beat the S&P 500, and it doesn't. Nor should you expect it to. From my understanding the sp500 historically returns 9% the RAY is a tick under 5%. the draw down or AKA beta factor is 40% less with RAY then the sp500. The devaluation of the dollar is what gold, silver, copper, oil, Interational stocks are for.
Today with the above example post above it only lost -$502 a tickle above 1/2%. Built in hedges are the reason. The hedges equate to 11% but are3x inverse, even if the market goes up you will get the benefit of growth. Skeptical about dividends I see! the only explanation I have for this would be say you buy in for $100 over a short term like 18 months you get the whole 100 back in whatever timed pay installments. The original 100 has now dropped to 42 well you still made 42%. If I need anything at all from an investment and that time frame is less than 5 years, It's safe to say that person doesn't belong investing
So how much money does one need to live? Thats where the problem lies.
homeowner -vs- renter
car owner -vs- leasing or payment (DRASTIC difference on the insurance side)
aldi's -vs- whole foods
private HSA -vs- traditional healthcare
debt free -vs- lets live in debt with a credit card
ect ect

[ex50warrior]

china flexed again last night, saying they will retaliate against any countries who we (the USA) try to use to isolate china.

donnie is getting boxed in.

the walls are closing in.

he can run but he cannot hide.

china is in this to win this.

heavyweight fight, Ali v Frazier.

i do not know which one we are at this point.

it is a coinflip.

A heavyweight fight is a good analogy of the situation. I'm still betting the walls close in on China and most countries align with the US.
So I'm selling more out-of-the-money puts on stocks I'd like to own along with some selective buying. But trying to keep enough ammo dry to buy more if the market keeps going lower.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

RAY DALIO ENHANCED AI PORTFOLIO (stability, growth, diversification) w/breakdown of % allocation, and current div. yield
-BONDS-55%
TLT 10% //4.3%
IEF 10%//3.7%
TYO 6%//4.2%
AGGH 9.66%//8.1%
TLTW 9.66%//15.3%
LQDW 9.66%//15.4%
-COMMODITY-15%
GOLDX 3%//1.4%
DBC 3%//5.2%
CMDT 3%//8.4%
SLVO 2%//30%
USOI 2%//23%
GLDI 2%//13%
-EQUITY-30%
VTI 9%//1.4%
VYM 3%//3%
SDOW 1%/6.4%
SPXU 1%//6.4%
SQQQ 1%//7.3%
UVIX 1%// no div.
ISPY 4%//12%
GPIX 4%/9.4%
GAB 4%//11.4%
AIPI 2%//31%
You average almost 9K per year in div. based on 100k

I wonder if Dalio still believes in that. I'm becoming a bigger skeptic on Dividend yield.

Have to do something to counter currency de-basement. But I'm not sure it's Dividends.

[homie1975]

china flexed again last night, saying they will retaliate against any countries who we (the USA) try to use to isolate china.

donnie is getting boxed in.

the walls are closing in.

he can run but he cannot hide.

china is in this to win this.

heavyweight fight, Ali v Frazier.

i do not know which one we are at this point.

it is a coinflip.

[veriableodds]

RAY DALIO ENHANCED AI PORTFOLIO (stability, growth, diversification) w/breakdown of % allocation, and current div. yield
-BONDS-55%
TLT 10% //4.3%
IEF 10%//3.7%
TYO 6%//4.2%
AGGH 9.66%//8.1%
TLTW 9.66%//15.3%
LQDW 9.66%//15.4%
-COMMODITY-15%
GOLDX 3%//1.4%
DBC 3%//5.2%
CMDT 3%//8.4%
SLVO 2%//30%
USOI 2%//23%
GLDI 2%//13%
-EQUITY-30%
VTI 9%//1.4%
VYM 3%//3%
SDOW 1%/6.4%
SPXU 1%//6.4%
SQQQ 1%//7.3%
UVIX 1%// no div.
ISPY 4%//12%
GPIX 4%/9.4%
GAB 4%//11.4%
AIPI 2%//31%
You average almost 9K per year in div. based on 100k

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Pretty big disconnect today:
*BTC stocks and Hard money up
*Most everything else Down

[homie1975]

4D chess for the win !! LOLOL

[homie1975]

What a shitshow

[ex50warrior]

Sure am tempted to buy NVDA on sale. How low do we go??

[homie1975]

trading sideways.

NVDA down over 6% in after hours after sharing info on massive expenses on chip exports due to tariffs

[homie1975]

1% whimper so far. 60 mins left in the session. meh

[homie1975]

NASDAQ might jump 10% Monday.

no way

rips are selling

that is not a good sign

market is very shaky

[guitarjosh]

NASDAQ might jump 10% Monday.

I hope so.

[d2bets]

Anyone buying right now ???

NASDAQ might jump 10% Monday.

[guitarjosh]

Anyone buying right now ???

Yeah I bought options in some sectors that were really washed out and they're already up over 100%

[johnnyvegas13]

Anyone buying right now ???

[getlucky2win]

Buy high. Sell higher

[kyhawk]

Anyone here just scalp the one minute Nasdaq, the mini nq? Nasdaq 100 emini futures on my TradingView.

On my TOS or think or swim with Schwab the symbol is /nq for the "bigger nq" or mnq for the mini.

I have been scalping on my paper trading account with TOS and doing OK. Getting in and out quickly.

I have a funded account at TakeProfitTrader and will use their money starting next week.

The max you can lose then is if you blow your account or in my case for the 25k under 100.

Hard to blow just trading one emini. Goal is to scale up slowly.

I.e. make a minimum of 100 a day. Then get out PERIOD. Scale up slowly to making 1k a day trading the NQ

[johnnyvegas13]

Glad I am not in the stock market

[homie1975]

Trump capitulated on tariffs. You can play the bully so much until you get punched in the face. The party took the tariff toys away from him.

not against China, he escalated v them

[homie1975]

I’m gonna need some follow through on this move

this is far from over

it’s basically open extortion and market manipulation at this point

Going into earnings season here so the move might be legit

the guides will be very low or removed altogether so even if the earnings hit for most companies, the guides will be the issue.