When the spread doesn't move, follow the money

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  • McRich
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-26-07
    • 961

    #526
    Originally posted by smitch124
    well just for tracking purposes the Canucks were a play at about +150
    Go ahead and post the plays here ahead of time.
    Comment
    • Capybara
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-17-08
      • 11803

      #527
      Halftime of OK/Orlando... should I jump onto OK, they're +6.5, so essentially +12.5 for the game?
      Comment
      • Robust
        SBR MVP
        • 09-13-08
        • 3254

        #528
        Originally posted by Capybara
        Halftime of OK/Orlando... should I jump onto OK, they're +6.5, so essentially +12.5 for the game?
        i would go for it!

        but follow your own thoughts bro..

        Robust
        Comment
        • McRich
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-26-07
          • 961

          #529
          Originally posted by Capybara
          Halftime of OK/Orlando... should I jump onto OK, they're +6.5, so essentially +12.5 for the game?
          I have not been placing half time RLM wagers.
          Comment
          • Capybara
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-17-08
            • 11803

            #530
            Congrats on Okie, Boys! (I went in at halftime.)

            Now let's go, Sixers!
            Comment
            • McRich
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-26-07
              • 961

              #531
              Originally posted by Capybara
              Congrats on Okie, Boys! (I went in at halftime.)

              Now let's go, Sixers!
              Good halftime play. Now the crucial second win of the night.
              Comment
              • Robust
                SBR MVP
                • 09-13-08
                • 3254

                #532
                congrats on a 3-0 night capybara.. and 2-0 for you mcrich...

                but of course, this is just an unexplainable event as RLM is bogus..

                LOL

                Robust
                Comment
                • Capybara
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-17-08
                  • 11803

                  #533
                  Cha-ching!! A 2-0 RLM night!
                  Comment
                  • Robust
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-13-08
                    • 3254

                    #534
                    Originally posted by Capybara
                    Cha-ching!! A 2-0 RLM night!
                    oh.. thought you had ok at the beggining.. oh well.. money is money

                    CONGRATS!!!

                    Robust
                    Comment
                    • Capybara
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-17-08
                      • 11803

                      #535
                      Originally posted by Robust
                      congrats on a 3-0 night capybara.. and 2-0 for you mcrich...

                      but of course, this is just an unexplainable event as RLM is bogus..

                      LOL

                      Robust
                      Yeah, Robust, LOL!

                      (How'd you know I went 3-0? I had the Celts too in a non-RLM'er... and speaking of that, here's a new strategy that's paying dividends. It's called bet the Celtics EVERY. SINGLE. GAME. )
                      Comment
                      • McRich
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-26-07
                        • 961

                        #536
                        Went 2-0 in RLM tonight. 2-0 in NBA.

                        Overall record is 35-25-2.

                        The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:

                        NBA 13-8
                        NCAABB 14-9-1
                        NCAAF 5-5-1
                        NFL 3-3
                        Comment
                        • McRich
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-26-07
                          • 961

                          #537
                          Originally posted by Robust
                          congrats on a 3-0 night capybara.. and 2-0 for you mcrich...

                          but of course, this is just an unexplainable event as RLM is bogus..

                          LOL

                          Robust
                          Congrats to the both of you also. Let's see if we can get some RLM wins this weekend.
                          Comment
                          • apk2k6
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 06-09-08
                            • 494

                            #538
                            Originally posted by McRich
                            Went 2-0 in RLM tonight. 2-0 in NBA.

                            Overall record is 35-25-2.

                            The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:

                            NBA 13-8
                            NCAABB 14-9-1
                            NCAAF 5-5-1
                            NFL 3-3
                            58% over 60 games, I like! And it's so easy too.
                            Comment
                            • Robust
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-13-08
                              • 3254

                              #539
                              Originally posted by apk2k6
                              58% over 60 games, I like! And it's so easy too.
                              i dunno where you got your numers.. this is ALL BULLSHIT.. or some have posted.. LOL

                              wonder if they will chime in on a 3-0 night and say it was a big discrepancy..

                              LOL!!!

                              Robust
                              Comment
                              • I.R.B
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-12-08
                                • 3209

                                #540
                                CBB RLM is doing pretty good.
                                Comment
                                • McRich
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-26-07
                                  • 961

                                  #541
                                  Originally posted by apk2k6
                                  58% over 60 games, I like! And it's so easy too.
                                  I am not complaining.
                                  Comment
                                  • McRich
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-26-07
                                    • 961

                                    #542
                                    Originally posted by I.R.B
                                    CBB RLM is doing pretty good.
                                    You are right. I am hoping to find some gems today!!!
                                    Comment
                                    • I.R.B
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-12-08
                                      • 3209

                                      #543
                                      But knowing the team helps out alot.
                                      Comment
                                      • I.R.B
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-12-08
                                        • 3209

                                        #544
                                        Betting on a team you never heard of or with out a little research is retarted.
                                        Comment
                                        • spmurph
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 10-24-08
                                          • 32

                                          #545
                                          Originally posted by spmurph
                                          Surprised no one has mentioned the Eagles this Sunday. 2 point RLM
                                          More bets are in on the Giants and yet another 1/2 point RLM. 2 1/2 total now. I don't think I've seen a 2 1/2 point RLM in the NFL all season.
                                          Comment
                                          • McRich
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 10-26-07
                                            • 961

                                            #546
                                            Originally posted by spmurph
                                            More bets are in on the Giants and yet another 1/2 point RLM. 2 1/2 total now. I don't think I've seen a 2 1/2 point RLM in the NFL all season.
                                            I agree, that is a big movement. I have had a hard time finding a one point movement the last few weeks in the NFL.
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #547
                                              Originally posted by spmurph
                                              More bets are in on the Giants and yet another 1/2 point RLM. 2 1/2 total now. I don't think I've seen a 2 1/2 point RLM in the NFL all season.
                                              I wouldn't be too happy about that unless you jumped on Eagles +7.5. Waiting TOO long causes the dog to lose value.

                                              People that wait until game day are now in a position where if the Giants win by 7 (a key number), they lose at +6.5 while the RLM should be graded as a win, since grading should be based on when bet is placed.
                                              Comment
                                              • I.R.B
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-12-08
                                                • 3209

                                                #548
                                                Lt what did West Virgina close at the other night in CBB? If you recall... I think they opened at +1 and closed at -2.5.. Late grabers got scrwed with a .6 point loss.. if im correct about it closing at -2.5..
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #549
                                                  Originally posted by I.R.B
                                                  Lt what did West Virgina close at the other night in CBB? If you recall... I think they opened at +1 and closed at -2.5.. Late grabers got scrwed with a .6 point loss.. if im correct about it closing at -2.5..
                                                  Correct.

                                                  West Virginia 80 - Mississippi 78 12/3/2008 NSS 561
                                                  Opening Line: MISSISSIPPI -1 Opening O/U: 140.5o-105
                                                  Final Line: WEST VIRGINIA -2.5 Final O/U: 145

                                                  Spread Bets: 70% V 30% H Parlay Bets: 77% V 23% H Over/Under Bets: 45% O 55% U
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #550
                                                    But that was not an RLM since move matched the money
                                                    Comment
                                                    • patsfan2727
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-28-07
                                                      • 579

                                                      #551
                                                      I love how you post Canucks play at like 8:45 pm then stroke each other off after it wins. I'll make my BC/VTech play at the end of the 3rd quarter today!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • McRich
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-26-07
                                                        • 961

                                                        #552
                                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                        I wouldn't be too happy about that unless you jumped on Eagles +7.5. Waiting TOO long causes the dog to lose value.

                                                        People that wait until game day are now in a position where if the Giants win by 7 (a key number), they lose at +6.5 while the RLM should be graded as a win, since grading should be based on when bet is placed.
                                                        I got the Eagles at +7 a couple of days ago. I am trying to get the best value. The other day in an NCAABB game I played a game using RLM and my local did not have an adjusted line and I received two more points in my favor. That is what I call value. The underdog I had won outright though.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • patsfan2727
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-28-07
                                                          • 579

                                                          #553
                                                          RLM went 3-0 last night woohoo!
                                                          so if it goes 0-4, I can't judge a system based on one night.
                                                          but if it goes 3-0 it is a rock solid system?
                                                          you guys crack me up. that's really not a strong argument.
                                                          still 3-4 over the last 2 days. robust do you ever log off SBR?
                                                          loser. just found the BLOCK feature, what a sweet tool!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • LT Profits
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-27-06
                                                            • 90963

                                                            #554
                                                            Originally posted by patsfan2727
                                                            RLM went 3-0 last night woohoo!
                                                            so if it goes 0-4, I can't judge a system based on one night.
                                                            but if it goes 3-0 it is a rock solid system?
                                                            you guys crack me up. that's really not a strong argument.
                                                            still 3-4 over the last 2 days. robust do you ever log off SBR?
                                                            loser. just found the BLOCK feature, what a sweet tool!
                                                            No, the system is based on long-term results, just as any angle should be.

                                                            It has won in every sport the last two seasons and is winning this year.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • McRich
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-26-07
                                                              • 961

                                                              #555
                                                              I am on NC State +8 for an RLM wager.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • McRich
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-26-07
                                                                • 961

                                                                #556
                                                                East Carolina +12.5 in NCAAF for an RLM play.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • McRich
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 10-26-07
                                                                  • 961

                                                                  #557
                                                                  Virginia Tech in NCAAF pick 'em for RLM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • losturmarbles
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 07-01-08
                                                                    • 4604

                                                                    #558
                                                                    mcrich, can we chill out with all the rlm plays?

                                                                    im not saying to stop posting picks, but my thoughts are the more people that are aware of rlm, the less impact it will actually have or occur.
                                                                    you will just have steam on a side, and line makers will account more for sharps than they do the squares. which will lead to sharper opening lines.
                                                                    you have rlm because the line maker over estimated the public money. (or underestimated the sharp money)

                                                                    if the public becomes aware then you are killing the golden goose.

                                                                    please just post your pick and if anyone asks say you have a system and leave it at that.

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • McRich
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-26-07
                                                                      • 961

                                                                      #559
                                                                      Originally posted by losturmarbles
                                                                      mcrich, can we chill out with all the rlm plays?

                                                                      im not saying to stop posting picks, but my thoughts are the more people that are aware of rlm, the less impact it will actually have or occur.
                                                                      you will just have steam on a side, and line makers will account more for sharps than they do the squares. which will lead to sharper opening lines.
                                                                      you have rlm because the line maker over estimated the public money. (or underestimated the sharp money)

                                                                      if the public becomes aware then you are killing the golden goose.

                                                                      please just post your pick and if anyone asks say you have a system and leave it at that.

                                                                      Dude, do you really think that my posts are going to impact Vegas? Yeah right.

                                                                      I am trying to live this experience here on this message board.
                                                                      For all I know, this could turn ugly. I am enjoying this, let me be.

                                                                      This system is not mine. It was posted by LT on the SBR home page as an article. I had a hard time understanding the process and LT and others really helped my looked at this angle.

                                                                      There are all kinds of angles that are discussed on this site and many more.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Bake
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 11-25-08
                                                                        • 25

                                                                        #560
                                                                        I would disagree with you lost. First, there are only 15,000 people on this board, who knows how many of them actually follow SBR on a regular basis. Millions of people participate in sports capping (and that is generous, probably in the 10's of millions). Even if every member of SBR, and even outsiders who aren't registered, know about RLM it would still be largely unaffected. I would venture a guess that most bettors are not going to take the time to nail down a system of their own (which may or may not even consider RLM) and therefore RLM will remain esoteric.

                                                                        To be sure, I would look at RLM trends past, present, and future. If more and more individuals are playing RLM, we should expect to see larger discrepencies open to close. If you see large changes, past to present, then maybe you should draw concern. Until then, I am sticking with my theory.

                                                                        The whole point of this board, after all, is to get insights that other cappers, fans, etc. have that you might not have. Prohibiting certain topics is undermining what this board is all about. After all, this isn't communist China!
                                                                        Comment
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