SSK's NFL Thread

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  • The J-Dizzle
    SBR MVP
    • 03-09-10
    • 1091

    #316
    Originally posted by ssk13809
    Thanks

    But um I don't know what 1,000 dollar bet and 1,500 dollar bet on the MIN and NE you are talking about lol. I think you are confusing me with someone else.

    But yes, you are right, I am now 9-1-1 in posted ATS plays in my thread now.

    I was referring to Mighty Ducks. Come on everyone in here let's stop the trash talking and start the game talking! With your NFL-knowledge I guess you two could make a pretty good betting team
    Comment
    • ChileCheese
      SBR MVP
      • 11-07-09
      • 1957

      #317
      SSK, Are you familiar with the term VARIANCE ?
      Comment
      • ssk13809
        SBR MVP
        • 08-25-10
        • 2595

        #318
        Originally posted by ChileCheese
        SSK, Are you familiar with the term VARIANCE ?
        Yeah. It's why I don't increase bankroll 20+% every week. Because of variance, which sometimes sends me down to only minimal increases.
        Comment
        • big0mar
          SBR MVP
          • 01-09-09
          • 3374

          #319
          Originally posted by The J-Dizzle
          I was referring to Mighty Ducks. Come on everyone in here let's stop the trash talking and start the game talking! With your NFL-knowledge I guess you two could make a pretty good betting team
          [B][B]They key isn't getting rich quick. The key is getting rich slowly, and enjoying it.

          [/B][/B][SIZE=1][URL="http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points/490161-points-available-loan.html#post4633361"][/URL][/SIZE]
          Comment
          • BetterBizness
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-20-06
            • 5737

            #320
            Originally posted by ssk13809


            I find it something VERY FUNNY. Everytime I lose, you come and say you faded me. However, everytime I win, you don't say anything.

            In fact, I'm 9-1-1 ATS. And the only time I lost, was the only time you said you faded me. And most importantly, you say this AFTER the game.

            BetterBizness, do I have to describe how pathetic that is? You want me to believe that you actually faded me this game, and only this game, and every other game you never faded me, and also considering you say this AFTER the game. I can make the best capper in the world look like the worst one using your strategy.


            Whatever, 9-1-1, nothing unusual for more. My locks hitting at a 100% rate (5-0), a little higher than the projected 90%, and my "near locks" hitting at a 80% rate, as projected.
            In fairness, I only faded the Rams AFTER the write up... It quite honestly made me look at the game that much harder to see the value was in Atlanta...

            I think you should take that as a compliment, I only faded your insight into the game... Not of pure spite... that would be really stupid!

            In fact... 2 SBR points for the writeup!
            Comment
            • The J-Dizzle
              SBR MVP
              • 03-09-10
              • 1091

              #321
              I would really like to see everyone that's writing in this thread and keep doing all this trash talk to come up with a better record than ssk here. How about that? If you really think he's that bad or that he isn't familiar with the term VARIANCE. Please, give me 10 ATS-plays that gives you a record better or equal than 9-1 in that streak. I will give 500 points to the one who does this.
              Comment
              • D3 Mighty Ducks
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-17-09
                • 11939

                #322
                I was only shit talking because he was so confident he was going to win this week, and I beat him so I can do whatever I want now Its all for fun though, I know this guys a decent capper. Keep up the good work.
                Comment
                • dwang0725
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-23-10
                  • 330

                  #323
                  Originally posted by ssk13809
                  One more thing, I don't know what you did, but I knew the Eagles were going to win and cover. That's why I did what I did. I had their ML and ATS already, but in parlays that had already lost. So I already displayed confidence in them. And that's why I reloaded on them.


                  That's the thing with being so good, you can always comeback, all it takes is 1 game.
                  If you truly "KNEW" that the Eagles were gonna win, why didn't you make them your lock? Chasing and doubling down when you're down is not good money management.

                  Well, at least you didn't try and play a ML+ATS parlay on the same game.
                  Comment
                  • ssk13809
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-25-10
                    • 2595

                    #324
                    Originally posted by dwang0725
                    If you truly "KNEW" that the Eagles were gonna win, why didn't you make them your lock? Chasing and doubling down when you're down is not good money management.

                    Well, at least you didn't try and play a ML+ATS parlay on the same game.
                    Um every game I bet straight ML and straight ATS is a lock by my definition used across 2 threads now.

                    Granted it wasn't at the start of the week, but I realized (before the game started) how strong of a pick it was, and made it a lock right then and there (before the game started obviously).

                    I already displayed plenty of confidence by including them in a ML and ATS parlay a lot earlier.
                    Comment
                    • ssk13809
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-25-10
                      • 2595

                      #325
                      Originally posted by BetterBizness
                      In fairness, I only faded the Rams AFTER the write up... It quite honestly made me look at the game that much harder to see the value was in Atlanta...

                      I think you should take that as a compliment, I only faded your insight into the game... Not of pure spite... that would be really stupid!

                      In fact... 2 SBR points for the writeup!
                      Did you honestly not read anything I just wrote? I've given write ups before. I said do you actually expect me to believe that during my 9-1 run, you only faded my loss? Come on


                      And it's not like you faded a LOCK. Now that would be really stupid. You faded a "Near Lock". You can pull that off 20% of the time.
                      Comment
                      • BetterBizness
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 05-20-06
                        • 5737

                        #326
                        Originally posted by ssk13809
                        Did you honestly not read anything I just wrote? I've given write ups before. I said do you actually expect me to believe that during my 9-1 run, you only faded my loss? Come on


                        And it's not like you faded a LOCK. Now that would be really stupid. You faded a "Near Lock". You can pull that off 20% of the time.
                        Actually I faded one of your basketball picks as well before that thread closed and won as well..... But like I said, it wasn't the writeup itself, it was the fact that I challenged the write up and capped the game myself that won... as I said, fading to fade is just stupid... unless your name is Brandon Lang... Fading because I disagreed is completely different... clearly that 20% kicked in this time, and I will obviously lose the next fade... No question...
                        Comment
                        • ssk13809
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-25-10
                          • 2595

                          #327
                          Originally posted by BetterBizness
                          Actually I faded one of your basketball picks as well before that thread closed and won as well..... But like I said, it wasn't the writeup itself, it was the fact that I challenged the write up and capped the game myself that won... as I said, fading to fade is just stupid... unless your name is Brandon Lang... Fading because I disagreed is completely different... clearly that 20% kicked in this time, and I will obviously lose the next fade... No question...
                          Yeah and you always say things like "I faded you" every time I lose. Like I said you can make even someone who hits 99% of his plays long-term look bad using this strategy. You think I believe that you only fade me when I lose and never when I win? If you want to claim you faded me try claiming it BEFORE the game starts.


                          And then I can laugh at you every week. You make it 1 way by just "claiming" you fade me after I lose. Like I said, pathetic.
                          Comment
                          • Surtainly
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 09-29-10
                            • 39

                            #328
                            honest suggestion SSK -- if this isn't a level -- quit gambling and start to focus on things that will help you gain some self-esteem. you have some serious ego problems which is why you attract all the equally insecure haters.
                            Comment
                            • ScottLocke
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-16-10
                              • 525

                              #329
                              Originally posted by ssk13809
                              Um every game I bet straight ML and straight ATS is a lock by my definition used across 2 threads now.

                              Granted it wasn't at the start of the week, but I realized (before the game started) how strong of a pick it was, and made it a lock right then and there (before the game started obviously).

                              I already displayed plenty of confidence by including them in a ML and ATS parlay a lot earlier.

                              LOL you didn't know how strong a pick it was. You were down BIG this week, panicked and tried to bail yourself out with the Eagles. This time it worked and next time it prob won't and then you'll prob disappear from this site. I think your run good is over, time for the bad variance to kick in. But of course, that doesn't happen to you lol.
                              Comment
                              • ScottLocke
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-16-10
                                • 525

                                #330
                                Originally posted by ssk13809
                                Thanks

                                But um I don't know what 1,000 dollar bet and 1,500 dollar bet on the MIN and NE you are talking about lol. I think you are confusing me with someone else.

                                But yes, you are right, I am now 9-1-1 in posted ATS plays in my thread now.

                                Hmmmm and i'm the one with poor reading comprehension...

                                And I was just reminding everyone else in the thread that your units are a puny couple of bucks, not 1000 like all the talk that was going on. Didn't want people to get confused and think you were big time.
                                Comment
                                • ssk13809
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-25-10
                                  • 2595

                                  #331
                                  Originally posted by Surtainly
                                  honest suggestion SSK -- if this isn't a level -- quit gambling and start to focus on things that will help you gain some self-esteem. you have some serious ego problems which is why you attract all the equally insecure haters.
                                  Was this supposed to make sense? How do I need to gain self-esteem while reduce my ego lol?
                                  Comment
                                  • ssk13809
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-25-10
                                    • 2595

                                    #332
                                    Originally posted by ScottLocke
                                    Hmmmm and i'm the one with poor reading comprehension...

                                    And I was just reminding everyone else in the thread that your units are a puny couple of bucks, not 1000 like all the talk that was going on. Didn't want people to get confused and think you were big time.
                                    I am a big-time winner. And quite frankly, that's all that counts HERE.
                                    Comment
                                    • ssk13809
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-25-10
                                      • 2595

                                      #333
                                      Originally posted by ScottLocke
                                      LOL you didn't know how strong a pick it was. You were down BIG this week, panicked and tried to bail yourself out with the Eagles. This time it worked and next time it prob won't and then you'll prob disappear from this site. I think your run good is over, time for the bad variance to kick in. But of course, that doesn't happen to you lol.
                                      Yeah yeah yeah

                                      Continue hating.



                                      I'm 9-1-1 ATS now. Like Kroy did, I suggest you just give me the 200 points now. 70% at this point can be done flipping coins. You don't even need my long term 80+% selective ATS rate
                                      Comment
                                      • ScottLocke
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-16-10
                                        • 525

                                        #334
                                        Originally posted by ssk13809
                                        Yeah yeah yeah

                                        Continue hating.



                                        I'm 9-1-1 ATS now. Like Kroy did, I suggest you just give me the 200 points now. 70% at this point can be done flipping coins. You don't even need my long term 80+% selective ATS rate

                                        Amazing you still think your 80%+, only reason I keep responding to you in this thread is cause I wanna be here when you come to the realization that it isn't possible. You still have to go 7-6, thats gonna be harder than you think.

                                        And yes, you are a BIG TIME winner. Up 320 bucks this year!!!!!!
                                        Comment
                                        • wquine
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-30-09
                                          • 2047

                                          #335
                                          always find myself reading this thread. wishing ssk all the success in the world.
                                          Comment
                                          • BetterBizness
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-20-06
                                            • 5737

                                            #336
                                            Originally posted by ssk13809
                                            If you want to claim you faded me try claiming it BEFORE the game starts.
                                            .
                                            Lets not get silly... As long as the books keep paying me, I don't think it matters WHEN I tell you I faded you...

                                            For the record I didn't say I'll fade you EVERY week... and really, because you read da bad engliz... I didn't fade you because you're cocky and egotistical... but because you actually put something intelligent in the thread that I simply disagreed and it encouraged me to analyze the game further... I know... It feels like a LONNNNG time ago since that post...
                                            Comment
                                            • BetterBizness
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-20-06
                                              • 5737

                                              #337
                                              I hate to be the one to say this.. But before the Mods do.. How about we actually forget about who faded what, who chased what, and how much we like to lay into you ssk...

                                              How about we actually... for a moment... talk about football again...

                                              Does anyone actually have anything riding on tonights game... I'm on the Sheeity azz Chargers myself...
                                              Comment
                                              • Tree Rollins
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-16-09
                                                • 3968

                                                #338
                                                Ever since i joined this site, I've been keeping my eye out for a guy who hits 80% consistently. I've finally found him. I just can't believe is took this long. SSK, keep it up man. I'm sure you are already extremely wealthy, but I hope you keep posting your picks for us little guys who are trying to reach your level. Thanks man.
                                                Comment
                                                • ssk13809
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-25-10
                                                  • 2595

                                                  #339
                                                  Originally posted by ScottLocke
                                                  Amazing you still think your 80%+, only reason I keep responding to you in this thread is cause I wanna be here when you come to the realization that it isn't possible. You still have to go 7-6, thats gonna be harder than you think.

                                                  And yes, you are a BIG TIME winner. Up 320 bucks this year!!!!!!
                                                  Winning does not equal making money. You can be a big winner, say 10-1, but make less money than the 1-10 guy.


                                                  I'm a winner. Having a small bankroll limits me from become rich.


                                                  So once again, I'm here because I'm a BIG WINNER. And quite frankly, that's all that matters. I don't post my plays because I set high limits on them, I post them because they are winning plays. No one cares if you put 10k on each of your plays if you lose them all. And so on.


                                                  All that matters is the win or lose.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ssk13809
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-25-10
                                                    • 2595

                                                    #340
                                                    Originally posted by Tree Rollins
                                                    Ever since i joined this site, I've been keeping my eye out for a guy who hits 80% consistently. I've finally found him. I just can't believe is took this long. SSK, keep it up man. I'm sure you are already extremely wealthy, but I hope you keep posting your picks for us little guys who are trying to reach your level. Thanks man.
                                                    Well they are highly selective. But yeah I can hit 80% ATS Long-Term if I wanted to. But I'd average only like 2picks/week.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ssk13809
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-25-10
                                                      • 2595

                                                      #341
                                                      I'm going to cut down my Parlays now. I went overboard with them. Still will have 1-2 max, but that's it.


                                                      As of now, I only bet "Locks" ATS (90+%) and "Near Lock" ATS (80+%), but I'm thinking of adding "Near Near Locks" ATS (70+%). The thing is though the farther away from LOCK, the more variance there is. So I don't know about adding those into the mix, because I can't take losing.


                                                      But hopefully next week's lines will be better than this week. Will see tomorrow.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Tree Rollins
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-16-09
                                                        • 3968

                                                        #342
                                                        Originally posted by ssk13809
                                                        Well they are highly selective. But yeah I can hit 80% ATS Long-Term if I wanted to. But I'd average only like 2picks/week.
                                                        Hell yeah man. Do it then. Why wouldn't you? Just bet those 2 plays really big. Why make 10 picks a week and hit 50% if you can make 2 a week and hit 80%?

                                                        If i could hit 80% on just 1 or 2 plays a week, I'd do it. Only an idiot wouldn't.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ssk13809
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-25-10
                                                          • 2595

                                                          #343
                                                          Looking through the games, I might have a potential lock. I just need to confirm with my LOCK team. As you know, it's not easy to make 90+% ATS picks, thus I have a whole team that confirms them. I need a consensus of 90% to agree for it to be a LOCK. I think I will get it, I will present a good argument. And as you know, I always provide Write-Ups for my LOCK picks on SBR too.


                                                          I post LOCKS early. So will do so by the end of Tuesday, because the lines usually same direction as my LOCK picks, so I make them early.


                                                          Stay tuned. If not a "LOCK" (5-0 so far), it will at least be a Near Lock (4-1 so far)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dugdogg
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-10-10
                                                            • 2708

                                                            #344
                                                            Originally posted by ssk13809
                                                            Looking through the games, I might have a potential lock. I just need to confirm with my LOCK team. As you know, it's not easy to make 90+% ATS picks, thus I have a whole team that confirms them. I need a consensus of 90% to agree for it to be a LOCK. I think I will get it, I will present a good argument. And as you know, I always provide Write-Ups for my LOCK picks on SBR too.


                                                            I post LOCKS early. So will do so by the end of Tuesday, because the lines usually same direction as my LOCK picks, so I make them early.


                                                            Stay tuned. If not a "LOCK" (5-0 so far), it will at least be a Near Lock (4-1 so far)

                                                            your "LOCK" team...hilarious...and your money management team....double comedy...

                                                            do you have board meetings with all the directors as well?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • franklt
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 11-02-10
                                                              • 158

                                                              #345
                                                              ssk, don't worry, keep it up
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Numb
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 11-18-10
                                                                • 115

                                                                #346
                                                                Yeah and can we get back to the Falcons secondary please?

                                                                A rookie QB (although playing so well) and I'd say no name receivers, but I can't pronounce any of their names, really had this game covered. For me, a very fortunate outcome. Overall, the better team won by about the right margin.

                                                                That being said, I know the Falcons and their secondary are 18-1 at home and all that, but it's currently a red hot Green Bay Packers who have lost three games, all by three points with two in overtime, who are getting +3. It's my opinion this is the +3 play, as opposed to last week.

                                                                A factor that won't ever be talked about is that the Packers picked up Dmitri Nance off the Falcons practice squad about six week ago, he plays running back and has nothing to do with the Falcons secondary. He hasn't been cut yet and had some carries against the Vikings, and I think his knowledge will give the Packers a nice, silent advantage.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • wquine
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-30-09
                                                                  • 2047

                                                                  #347
                                                                  good info numb. appreciate the insight!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-17-09
                                                                    • 11939

                                                                    #348
                                                                    Originally posted by ssk13809
                                                                    Looking through the games, I might have a potential lock. I just need to confirm with my LOCK team. As you know, it's not easy to make 90+% ATS picks, thus I have a whole team that confirms them. I need a consensus of 90% to agree for it to be a LOCK. I think I will get it, I will present a good argument. And as you know, I always provide Write-Ups for my LOCK picks on SBR too. I post LOCKS early. So will do so by the end of Tuesday, because the lines usually same direction as my LOCK picks, so I make them early. Stay tuned. If not a "LOCK" (5-0 so far), it will at least be a Near Lock (4-1 so far)
                                                                    What the fuk is a "Lock Team" Your making yourself look dumb with these stupid terms. We all know theres no such thing as lock kid. Your just lucky to be 5-0 on those so called "lock picks". Are you here to help people win money and post picks or are you still makin up BS that you have a money management team and a lock team. Please take a picture of these 2 teams and tell me where I can buy a jersey
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ScottLocke
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-16-10
                                                                      • 525

                                                                      #349
                                                                      Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                                      What the fuk is a "Lock Team" Your making yourself look dumb with these stupid terms. We all know theres no such thing as lock kid. Your just lucky to be 5-0 on those so called "lock picks". Are you here to help people win money and post picks or are you still makin up BS that you have a money management team and a lock team. Please take a picture of these 2 teams and tell me where I can buy a jersey
                                                                      He may have to talk to his Photography Team before this can be arranged.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-17-09
                                                                        • 11939

                                                                        #350
                                                                        Originally posted by ScottLocke
                                                                        He may have to talk to his Photography Team before this can be arranged.
                                                                        LMAO That gave me a good laugh this morning.
                                                                        Comment
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