SSK's NFL Thread

[BetterBizness]

wow.. they just flashed a shot of Calgary... looks freekin cold!

[ChileCheese]

Hows the weekend going so far?
Im too lazy to look back through your thread, and there are too many pages.
Why all the pages? Are people fighting with you?

[ChileCheese]

Rest of my picks beginning with tonight's game


ML Parlay

Dolphins -130
Jaguars -125

Risk 4 to Win 8.7

The close lines ML parlay.


ML Parlay

Rams +145
Eagles -180

Risk 4 to Win 11.2

The close, but not very close lines ML parlay

ML Parlay

Ravens -550
Titans -325
Cheifs -380

Risk 5 to Win 4.8


The heavy favorites ML parlay.

ATS Parlay

Raiders +7.5
Ravens -10
Eagles -3
Dolphins -1.5

Risk 2 to Win 22


The "other" ATS picks parlay

Well, I decided to actually check... not looking good man.

[ScottLocke]

Looks like you finally hit that variance that you thought you'd never hit.. Oh well, thats how the NFL is, impossible to win every week.

[dwang0725]

Ouch, tough week SSK. Get em next week.

[ssk13809]

As I said about 10 times prior to this week, I'm not confident on the picks. Now I know not to ever bet if that is the case.

[ssk13809]

Looks like you finally hit that variance that you thought you'd never hit.. Oh well, thats how the NFL is, impossible to win every week.

I'm not giving up


Eagles -3
Risk 13.5 to Win 10


Eagles -195 ML
Risk 19.5 to Win 10

[bobbyk1133]

This thread has become pure comedy.

[BetterBizness]

So what you're saying is you didn't bet me the 50... cuz I noticed it wasn't in my account...

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

I'm not giving up


Eagles -3
Risk 13.5 to Win 10


Eagles -195 ML

Risk 40 to Win 20

This is when you know this guy isn't betting real money when he chases with stupid stuff like this

Hold up guys I got something funny to show all of you guys.

[ssk13809]

So what you're saying is you didn't bet me the 50... cuz I noticed it wasn't in my account...

Of course I didn't. I was too busy this weekend to reject. But I didn't accept, thus there was no deal.



Though I wanted people to know, my latest bet I'm not betting that much in real-life. It's an SBR bet. And thus I am going to adjust some figures (bet amounts) BEFORE the game begins.

[BetterBizness]

I'm not giving up


Eagles -3
Risk 13.5 to Win 10


Eagles -195 ML

Risk 40 to Win 20

so.. based on a hypothetical "large roll" say.. 100,000 ... you just wagered over 50k , or about 40-50% of your pretend bankroll on this one play...

[BetterBizness]

Of course I didn't. I was too busy this weekend to reject. But I didn't accept, thus there was no deal.



Though I wanted people to know, my latest bet is not a real-life bet. It's an SBR bet. And thus I am going to adjust some figures (bet amounts) BEFORE the game begins.

ok.. just making sure...

[ssk13809]

so.. based on a hypothetical "large roll" say.. 100,000 ... you just wagered over 50k , or about 40-50% of your pretend bankroll on this one play...

I adjusted the amounts. Try again. And remember my bankroll, assuming 100k starting amount, is 166k right now. So even then it wouldn't be 50%.


But basically I'm saying F*uck my Money Management team

[ssk13809]

Hold up guys I got something funny to show all of you guys.

Wow you really want to talk shit? Bet 100 points next week then. I only have a bad week once in a while. You got me. Good for you. I didn't expect to win every week, I expected to win 80% of the weeks anyways.



And that's all assuming I don't lose all my SBR points tonight. I lost a lot already, putting everything on Philly.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

50 points per week? I think we both can arrange that. Or do you want to do like 300 for the season?
I'm fine with either.

Kroy owes me 300 at the end of the NFL season, he is considered "trustworthy" (I am too), so he can just give you the 300 points if you win. (Not a chance). Though I already have over 300, so I would do the same.


Or we can do it weekly. 50points/week. We both can arrange for that easily I suppose.






Mighty Ducks, it's up to you. Remember, this is how much YOU want to lose.

Fine. We'll do exactly what you said.

50 Points/Week
3 Plays/Week
ATS/Totals only. No ML


Because as I said earlier. I was going to let you decide how you wanted to lose and how much you wanted to lose.



But 1 thing. If we start an SBR contest (the 50 points are held by SBR), we have to use the lines the SBR Sportsbook offers, not Pinnacle. Are you fine with that? Or do you want to use Pinnacle and no SBR Contest? Remember, you decide how you want to lose.

Whats the point? You will not be able to see the picks anyways till the games start, and we will be posting our picks in our threads anyways.


But if Mighty Ducks is too embarrassed to tell you the weekly result, don't worry I'll keep you updated.

I won't need it. Good luck to you though.

By the way I beat this clown this week. I guess YOUR to embarrassed to keep your loyal followers and your "money management" team to tell everyone the results

[Full Time Hobo]

Tough week for you. and you have a ridiculous chase tonight...

Edit: didn't realize its for points
Good luck get that free play

[ssk13809]

Tough week for you. and you have a ridiculous chase tonight...

Edit: didn't realize its for points
Good luck get that free play

It's my fault. I've said at least 10 times I didn't feel confident on my picks this week, but even more than that I felt like eating up the juice on all my action this week. Too bad I didn't. I will not bad inconfidently again.

[big0mar]

[ssk13809]

And yes, my "ATS" Record now is 8-1-1.

Though let's see what happens in Philly tonight

[BetterBizness]

I adjusted the amounts. Try again. And remember my bankroll, assuming 100k starting amount, is 166k right now. So even then it wouldn't be 50%.


But basically I'm saying F*uck my Money Management team

ok.. for those that can't count... you lost today, a bunch... you're pretend bankroll is NOT 166k... it's significantly less...

[ssk13809]

ok.. for those that can't count... you lost today, a bunch... you're pretend bankroll is NOT 166k... it's significantly less...

The day isn't over

[BetterBizness]

The day isn't over

My point wasn't trying to clarify the time of day... It was saying, if you were betting, it would not be with a 166k bankroll now... I'm not saying you're not getting it back...

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

I think your embarrassed to talk about the butt kickin' I laid on you in that contest big guy

[ssk13809]

By the way I beat this clown this week. I guess YOUR to embarrassed to keep your loyal followers and your "money management" team to tell everyone the results

Wow. Already answered this post

Wow you really want to talk shit? Bet 100 points next week then. I only have a bad week once in a while. You got me. Good for you. I didn't expect to win every week, I expected to win 80% of the weeks anyways.



And that's all assuming I don't lose all my SBR points tonight. I lost a lot already, putting everything on Philly.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

HAHA, your a waste of my time

I win you lose!

[BetterBizness]

Also, if anyone else wants explanations on any of my picks, you can ask. I don't write write-ups unless asked. And trust me, I have good reasons on all of my picks.


Here they all are again


Raiders +290
Risk 4 to Win 11.6

Seahawks +450
Risk 2 to Win 9


Patriots -200
Risk 10 to Win 5


Rams +3
Risk 5.3 to Win 5


Titans -7
Jaguars -125

Risk 2 to Win 4.9


Rams +145
Eagles -180

Risk 4 to Win 11.2


Ravens -550
Titans -325
Cheifs -380

Risk 5 to Win 4.8

Raiders +7.5
Ravens -10
Eagles -3
Titans -7

Risk 2 to Win 22.5



Though as I've said 2-3 times now, I'm not as confident as I usually am this week. No LOCKS (and they really help me a lot every week, so without a LOCK I'm hurting), and only 1 other ATS Play (Which also help me since I"m 8-0 this year ATS). Lines just sharp this week.

so in effect..you've lost 25.3 units before the chase...I'm not picking on you.. I'm only saying it because you said you were playing with a 166 unit bankroll which it isn't...

[ChileCheese]

I noticed you said that you do not care about money management anymore.
Well guess what.. If you were really up $166,000 this year on NFL... NOT a single chance you would bet $50,000 on 1 game. No one has the balls for that... Do you not agree...

Your thoughts, BetterBiz??

[ChileCheese]

Congrats on a strong first Week D3. I was willing to put up my points on your behalf, so you know I think you are ahead of the game.

[ssk13809]

For the 2nd time people, I don't have 50k on this even assuming 1 unit = 1k. Read again. I have just 33k.

Which, even after BetterBizzness so called "adjustments" less than 25% of my bankroll

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Congrats on a strong first Week D3. I was willing to put up my points on your behalf, so you know I think you are ahead of the game.

I knew I was going to win this week. This KID is nothing special making up unit amounts and talking about his "money management team".

What the fuk is a money management team Like do you guys have jerseys?

[ssk13809]

I knew I was going to win this week. This KID is nothing special making up unit amounts and talking about his "money management team".

What the fuk is a money management team Like do you guys have jerseys?

You realize I'm still 8-1-1 in posted ATS plays in my thread. And the week you beat me was the week of my only ATS loss.


You also realize, this so far has been the worst day of my whole season? You are bragging about beating me in the worst week/day of my whole season?



Wow that's kind of pathetic. I told you I would win 80% of the weeks. You won this week. Ok? Consider yourself lucky.

[ChileCheese]

You are missing my point SSK.
I dont care if its 25% of your bankroll. You would never put $33,000 on a game.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Are you making excuses? Thats sad.

Quote of the week..."Falcons secondary sucks".

[ssk13809]

You are missing my point SSK.
I dont care if its 25% of your bankroll. You would never put $33,000 on a game.

That's ASSUMING 1 unit = 1k, and I started with 100k.


See that's the whole point of "units". There is a reason I started with 100 units and not 100k. 1 Unit can be anything. It doesn't necessarily have to be 1k.

That's why, at the end of the day, the % is all that matters. For example, what if I started with 25k instead. Then it would be just 8k on the game. And okay whatever people do that. Or 10k, then it would be just like 3k. And so on.