LB thread for NFL plays 2010-2011

[JMobile]

The more opinions, the better on the Over or Under.
Thanks!

[absolute]

Hmmmmm. LB, Strong stance on Miami.......

PACO, one of his biggest SCS plays on New Englang.....

Man this site sucks, lol.... Im more confused an hour into reading then when i started.

I think im just gonna go 1OX on each side and hope for a push.

GL ALL!

i just saw that on pacos thread. 50x is a lot on this particular game imo, but he doesnt really go into why he likes pats, which concerns me, but his scs record impressive so tough call.

i initially leaned fins, LB is leaning fins and we all know his reasoning. so im going miami

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

I'm on the Pats ML tonight, they just got to have this one. Good luck if you decide on a play LB.

[ahhlenn]

i actually like MIA at Pk or +1 tonight...the line is way too low for an explosive NE offense. and plus, 71% of ats bets are on NE, but the line went from NE -1 to NE Pk. i see Chad Henne throwing a few TD passes today to Brandon Marshall tonight to keep it a close game!

[DC]

Find it hard to ignor average points scored per game in the first 3 weeks. Pats avg 34 Mia avg 17, I agree the line seems strange considering these numbers!

[slithe]

i just saw that on pacos thread. 50x is a lot on this particular game imo, but he doesnt really go into why he likes pats, which concerns me, but his scs record impressive so tough call.

i initially leaned fins, LB is leaning fins and we all know his reasoning. so im going miami

I'm going miami as well. Lost big with Paco last monday night at 20x.

50x is way too huge on a coin toss of a game like this. Home field advantage and a good showing against the Jets makes me want to put faith in the Fins.

[tony_come]

Miami or no play! I'm playing Miami

[big0mar]

Miami is going to be without Odrick, Crowder, and McDaniel. The Pats will be able to run the ball on them.

[mangina11]

Miami is going to be without Odrick, Crowder, and McDaniel. The Pats will be able to run the ball on them.

Been without those guys almost all season my man.... Not worried about the pats running, but Welker has been dominant vs his former team... thats the matchup to watch for

[lakerboy]

Guys before you make your bets on tonights game remember that LONG term miami is the ONLY play. THink long term. I assume you plan to gamble past tonight.

[Bluedragon]

Guys before you make your bets on tonights game remember that LONG term miami is the ONLY play. THink long term. I assume you plan to gamble past tonight.

what do you mean by this???

[kmarinouofm]

Guys before you make your bets on tonights game remember that LONG term miami is the ONLY play. THink long term. I assume you plan to gamble past tonight.

Dolphins and the Under are what the books will need tonight.. However I feel like they won't hit both LB

They need the Dolphins way more then they need the O/U so i think I might just stick with the dolphins tonight..

if the o/u drops another .5 or 1pt.. or they start offering + money on it.. i am will take the under and maybe buy half a point..

what do you mean by this???

if you aren't truly a gut player.. but are actually trying to side with vegas in order to make money in the long run.. then Miami would be the play here.. people like LB and I try to play as the house.. and go after the games vegas needs the most.. as they hit at a nice clip..

[lakerboy]

what do you mean by this???

Mia -1 at home on MNF is a long term winning bet. I might not cash tonight but it will cash more than 55% of the time.

[Bluedragon]

thanks guys!

[I am Happy]

Mia -1 at home on MNF is a long term winning bet. I might not cash tonight but it will cash more than 55% of the time.

Well said, LB

[bluegg]

Dolphins and the Under are what the books will need tonight.. However I feel like they won't hit both LB

Agreed, I won the under and dog last MNF. It was Bears and under.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Mia -1 at home on MNF is a long term winning bet. I might not cash tonight but it will cash more than 55% of the time.

Thats non-sense LB. The better team of the two win the game, thats all theres to it. Your saying that sports are fixed?

[lakerboy]

Thats non-sense LB. The better team of the two win the game, thats all theres to it. Your saying that sports are fixed?

Where did i say it was fixed?

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

That came out wrong I apologize. Has the thought of what Vegas "wants" to happen ends up happening 55% of the time? If you don't understand the question don't answer, I'm kind of confusing myself.

[lakerboy]

Thats non-sense LB. The better team of the two win the game, thats all theres to it. Your saying that sports are fixed?

Your post is nonsense. The better team doesnt win every time. Give me a break bro. Mia at -1 at home on monday night football is a long term winner.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Your post is nonsense. The better team doesnt win every time. Give me a break bro. Mia at -1 at home on monday night football is a long term winner.

Honestly I've confused myself I was trying to ask a basic question and it came out completely wrong, disregard my post please. Your probably right Miami -1 on a monday would win more times then not.

[southpaw74]

So LB is betting the spot not the game necessarily. I understand it may be the long term call but I wouldn't mind winning tonight as well

[lakerboy]

No problems bro. Good luck with your ne play tonight.

[lakerboy]

So LB is betting the spot not the game necessarily. I understand it may be the long term call but I wouldn't mind winning tonight as well

Then flip a coin. Thats what this game is. A coin flip so thats why i am leaning on Miami at pk+1-1 or whatever it ends up being.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

No problems bro. Good luck with your ne play tonight.

Thanks man. Haven't seen any play from you yet but I know your leaning Fins, GL none the less.

[t-wizzle]

Brady was talking last week about how they need to prove that they are a good team by winning a tough game on the road. I think New England will be determined to do that, but I need to remind myself that these are not the Patriots of past years. Just because they will play inspired football doesn't mean it will be good enough. Miami or no play tonight. (Probably no play)

[tony_come]

Starting to like pats!

[8ArIvd5]

if you aren't truly a gut player.. but are actually trying to side with vegas in order to make money in the long run.. then Miami would be the play here.. people like LB and I try to play as the house.. and go after the games vegas needs the most.. as they hit at a nice clip..

That doesn't make sense. Vegas doesn't know the outcome of a game, like a card room doesn't know the river. The house profits because winners pay for their service.

[8ArIvd5]

Then flip a coin. Thats what this game is. A coin flip so thats why i am leaning on Miami at pk+1-1 or whatever it ends up being.

If it's a coin flip why take Mia -1 when you'd get better value out of NE ml?

[azplaya]

Games like this are the reason I'm glad we can gambool it up with sbr points....gonna throw 50 points on the fins and relax and enjoy the game

[tombrady]

hey LB , where do you get all the info , said that all the money going to carolina coming amd all most won the game , thAT WAS ALSOME LB.

[southpaw74]

Then flip a coin. Thats what this game is. A coin flip so thats why i am leaning on Miami at pk+1-1 or whatever it ends up being.

Yup, I understand and I just wanted to confirm. that's why I'm just going 1X on Miami. Good luck

[lakerboy]

If it's a coin flip why take Mia -1 when you'd get better value out of NE ml?

I wouldnt take MIA -1 because i can get +1 and pk. There is no value in NE ML. Books dont give games like this away . THey have had time to prepare for this and the line is sharp as hell. Books are beggin for you to take NE ML. Thats why it is so cheap at -105 or so. Pats are not a good road team.

[tombrady]

I TAIL YOU BIG ON SEATLE ,CLEVE, CAROLINA STILL MAKE MONEY. THANKS LB.

[Meyhem]

what is it your seeing in the fins? paco is on pats but he doesn't seem to have a reason either


think i might actually flip a coin.... or see what my pet octopus thinks