LB thread for NFL plays 2010-2011

[broadway6]

how sharp is he? My local does things like this during the NBA occasionally. He will change the line 1.5 points at times and about 65% of the time he will still come out ahead with that line change because he knows exactly how people around this area bet. Last time he did this he was offering the Lakers +4 or or something in one of those lakers road games in the finals and he had 80% of action on the Lakers.

I think Boston won that game by like 10.

fairly sharp.. and i've been able to take advantage of this when taking dogs in the nfl. i have a feeling he's getting a lot of over bets so he's raising the line. the man told me that 90% of his clients owe him money tomorrow, but not this guy

[Goat Milk]

yeah probably just getting a lot of action on the over you should ask him how much are on the over. i know my guy doesn't care how much he has on one side if he is really confident. he will play mind games with you.

[broadway6]

yeah probably just getting a lot of action on the over you should ask him how much are on the over. i know my guy doesn't care how much he has on one side if he is really confident. he will play mind games with you.

he isn't going to tell me that. he thinks i'm buying picks from a shark...when LB is giving to me for free

[HedBustah1]

o/u dropped .5 at bookmaker

[JR007]

Read somewhere that the lines always "shaded" 1 to 1/12 points to the over...public bets overs....tv games etc.....

[rockaflocka]

prop bet- MIA +6½ or game over 54½ -125* vs NE +6½ & game under 54½ @ -120

[kmarinouofm]

Read somewhere that the lines always "shaded" 1 to 1/12 points to the over...public bets overs....tv games etc.....

correct

[SimonSayz]

i also think all the squares are going to tease the hell out of this game

something like pats +7 or +8 with the over 41.

with that being said..

Pats 17

Dolphins 28

Tease....you are right. However, Dolphins +6/Over 40.

[kmarinouofm]

o/u dropped .5 at bookmaker

looks like sbr odds is slow today as i had to log in to see this..

also noticed that phoenix group of books is always off from sbr odds..

[broadway6]

looks like sbr odds is slow today as i had to log in to see this..

also noticed that phoenix group of books is always off from sbr odds..

super slow

[lakerboy]

Im thinking fins -3 +140. What you guys think?

[Gee]

2.5?

I can see this easily finishing on 3.

[lakerboy]

I am starting to think that this game wont be as close as the line indicates.

[keijo32]

it's a cool night today in Miami boys so no heat effects for the Pats. SNF - Giants was the only play yesterday and the late money proved it .I'm expecting Miami to get some action late on again today.Heard Sporano show on the radio today and he kept saying how we need this game tonight before the off week and all the difficult road games coming up.Dolphins will pound the ball and keep Brady off the field.Dolphins +1 and under 48

[ahhlenn]

Im thinking fins -3 +140. What you guys think?

i like it. if Miami wins, they win by a TD or more...

[SimonSayz]

LB...with the ML movement like the following, can you read into anything that I have highlighted below or is this game to close (unlike the Carolina game).

NE/Miami
09/27 14:19 -107 / -103
09/27 17:44 -113 / +102
09/27 17:50 -110 / +100
09/27 19:05 -114 / +103
09/27 20:52 -110 / +100
09/29 23:43 -115 / +104
09/30 08:07 -114 / +103
09/30 11:11 -113 / +102
10/01 13:12 -121 / +110
10/01 18:55 -111 / +101
10/03 03:04 -116 / +105
10/03 07:53 -114 / +103
10/03 09:17 -112 / +102
10/03 09:18 -111 / +101
10/03 11:59 -109 / -101
10/03 17:54 -102 / -108
10/03 18:07 -101 / -109
10/03 18:10 +100 / -110
10/03 22:59 -102 / -108
10/04 12:31 -103 / -107
10/04 12:56 -105 / -105
10/04 14:14 -106 / -104
10/04 14:41 -104 / -106
10/04 15:41 -106 / -104
10/04 15:42 -105 / -105
10/04 16:45 -106 / -104
10/04 17:26 -105 / -105
10/04 17:46 -104 / -106


Thoughts on this?

[DaAce]

I am starting to think that this game wont be as close as the line indicates.

paco has the Pats ML (50 pennies scs)

[lakerboy]

Simon there is really nothing to that imo. I think the line was switched on purpose to get people off the home dog trend and make them take the pats.

[broadway6]

pinny keeping the line -1 is telling. line went to -110 but never tipped to a pk.

[phillydon215]

So what's the play Miami or new England god this is like pickin between a hot blonde with no body or a brunette with a banging body..

[JR007]

the key totals. These are as follows:

30, 33, 37, 38, 41, 44, 45, 47, 48, 51.

[MidgetTossers]

what up peeps!!..im on miami and under 49...good luck to all..wish i had your bookie broadway

[MidgetTossers]

where can u get the -3 line pal?

[broadway6]

what up peeps!!..im on miami and under 49...good luck to all..wish i had your bookie broadway

paypal me some cash biatch

[MidgetTossers]

paypal me some cash biatch

u wish..your a bottom feeder this week like me

[BookieOweMe]

u wish..your a bottom feeder this week like me

u mad 49ers cant win a game?

[broadway6]

u wish..your a bottom feeder this week like me

not sure what bottom you're talking about. btw how those 49er's looking?

[broadway6]

wish pinny would stop offering dolphins -1 for + money

[MidgetTossers]

u mad 49ers cant win a game?

no im happy...are u serious?

[No coincidences]

wish pinny would stop offering dolphins -1 for + money

Still plenty of time for that to change.

Pinny's not going to throw anything out there prematurely.

[MidgetTossers]

not sure what bottom you're talking about. btw how those 49er's looking?

the niners stink and wont win a game this year

[lakerboy]

wish pinny would stop offering dolphins -1 for + money

no giveaways tonight

[absolute]

great discussion going on in this thread. ive been reading everyones post all day.

[lakerboy]

great discussion going on in this thread. ive been reading everyones post all day.

thats what is important to me. i dont care if you like x team or whatever but lets talk about it.

[broadway6]

the niners stink and wont win a game this year

look at the bright side, you have a good linebacker