LB thread for NFL plays 2010-2011

[The Architect]

its just taking the home dog/home slight favorite against the public road team seems too easy on mnf...

[dodger33]

Miami is the play. There is no doubt about that. They are the right side regardless of them winning or not. Mia getting 1 or laying only 1 at home is gold on MNF.

Could not agree more.

[SpreadSniper]

Miami is the play. There is no doubt about that. They are the right side regardless of them winning or not. Mia getting 1 or laying only 1 at home is gold on MNF.

I am so gay for you right now hommie - maybe the money, maybe the alcohol, maybe the fact my old lady was born a cunt.

Whatya say?

[lakerboy]

its just taking the home dog/home slight favorite against the public road team seems too easy on mnf...

What is so easy about that for the avg bettor? He/she thinks pats are still the same team and getting a point or giving a point seems easy. NE is in tough here. Miami should run the ball at will against this terrible pats defense. NE hasnt played a good defense yet and Miami is not bad. Brady and Moss will have a tough game but at the same time the thinking might be they wont lose 2 in a row. I personally think the pats era is over and most that bet on them think they are still the old pats. This team has a lot of holes. Miami players will feel much better playing this game after a tough physical game versus the div champ Jets.

[lakerboy]

I am so gay for you right now hommie - maybe the money, maybe the alcohol, maybe the fact my old lady was born a cunt.

Whatya say?

[The Architect]

but is this line set to attract the average better or is it sharper than you think? i'm not sure with this one...miami laying 1 seems like a steal

[lakerfan420]

Feeling pretty strong about Miami as well. You think the line will go back to maybe .5 or pick by game time?

[lakerboy]

but is this line set to attract the average better or is it sharper than you think? i'm not sure with this one...miami laying 1 seems like a steal

If the books installed Mia as the nominal 3 point faves the writing would be on the wall. THe avg bettor DOES NOT think that Miami is better than NE so will bet on NE thus the avg bet will be attracted to NE money. THats the trick here. I personally think that its tough to lay too much on this game. I think the under might be worth a shot here as i expect the fins to pund the ball to keep Brady and co off the field of play.

[SpreadSniper]

What is so easy about that for the avg bettor? He/she thinks pats are still the same team and getting a point or giving a point seems easy. NE is in tough here. Miami should run the ball at will against this terrible pats defense. NE hasnt played a good defense yet and Miami is not bad. Brady and Moss will have a tough game but at the same time the thinking might be they wont lose 2 in a row. I personally think the pats era is over and most that bet on them think they are still the old pats. This team has a lot of holes. Miami players will feel much better playing this game after a tough physical game versus the div champ Jets.

Just a thought - what was MIA record vs. NE last season? The Pats era was done when the cheaters were exposed... Much like Bonds "record breaking" homers, the Pats "championships" should be "marked" as well.

[sneakerhead]

Just a thought - what was MIA record vs. NE last season? The Pats era was done when the cheaters were exposed... Much like Bonds "record breaking" homers, the Pats "championships" should be "marked" as well.

Overall since 2001, NE leads by 11-7
Last year:
Dec 6, 2009 NWE 21, MIA 22
Nov 8, 2009 NWE 27, @MIA 17

[lakerboy]

For those that want more info about this game go too these spots

http://www.patriots.com/news/index.cfm?ac=latestnewsdetail&pid=44880&pcid=47

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/479427-monday-madness-how-the-miami-dolphins-will-beat-the-new-england-patriots#page/8

Im not much into following trends and stats but i know alot of you guys do.

[lakerboy]

Dont forget that Brady fears the dolphins more than any team in the NFL. He has even admitted that in the past.

[lakerfan420]

Just saw paco put 50 super super shiny pennies on the pats +1 SCS. Thoughts LB? I personally like Miami may have to wait till half to place anything

[lakerboy]

Just saw paco put 50 super super shiny pennies on the pats +1 SCS. Thoughts LB? I personally like Miami may have to wait till half to place anything

Yeah i just saw that as well. Thats alot of coin. I wish him good luck.

[SpreadSniper]

Overall since 2001, NE leads by 11-7
Last year:
Dec 6, 2009 NWE 21, MIA 22
Nov 8, 2009 NWE 27, @MIA 17

faaack me.... for some reason I had it in me that MIA swept the cheatriots last season... thanks for settin me straight

[sportfan]

Hey LB , do you think the weather is a key factor as well? the game is in Miami , Pats are not playing well under the heat .

[absolute]

If the books installed Mia as the nominal 3 point faves the writing would be on the wall. THe avg bettor DOES NOT think that Miami is better than NE so will bet on NE thus the avg bet will be attracted to NE money. THats the trick here. I personally think that its tough to lay too much on this game. I think the under might be worth a shot here as i expect the fins to pund the ball to keep Brady and co off the field of play.

agree, miami seems like the right side, but i think this one goes over. pats have allowed no less than 24 pts this season. their defense is terrible

[sportfan]

agree, miami seems like the right side, but i think this one goes over. pats have allowed no less than 24 pts this season. their defense is terrible

30% chance of rain tomorrow night , this favors the under i think

[sportfan]

Hey LB , do you think the weather is a key factor as well? the game is in Miami , Pats are not playing well under the heat .

I guess not cuz it will be at night , I was thinking something else lol..

[absolute]

30% chance of rain tomorrow night , this favors the under i think

i believe its 30% chance on tuesday not monday. monday shows a 10% chance

[tony_come]

Pats=square bet
I like Miami and gl

[JR007]

Thanks for the Giants LB...!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Tommy_de1st]

Patriots went from being favs -1 to dogs +1. They are +1 @-105 at Pinny right now. Are bookies begging us to take Pats?

[JACK MATZ]

Hmmmmm. LB, Strong stance on Miami.......

PACO, one of his biggest SCS plays on New Englang.....

Man this site sucks, lol.... Im more confused an hour into reading then when i started.

I think im just gonna go 1OX on each side and hope for a push.

GL ALL!

[Tommy_de1st]

Hmmmmm. LB, Strong stance on Miami.......

PACO, one of his biggest SCS plays on New Englang.....

Man this site sucks, lol.... Im more confused an hour into reading then when i started.

I think im just gonna go 1OX on each side and hope for a push.

GL ALL!

How about to come up with your own play?

[JACK MATZ]

How about to come up with your own play?

I did.
I'm betting both sides and going for the push!!

You must have missed that.

[hawley]

could always just sit the game out and enjoy watching it



bloody degens

[JACK MATZ]

could always just sit the game out and enjoy watching it



bloody degens

Sit out???
Yea right..... Nothing enjoyable about watching a game with no money on it.
Man, your a loser!!

JK... GL

[BL]

Patriots went from being favs -1 to dogs +1. They are +1 @-105 at Pinny right now. Are bookies begging us to take Pats?

they aren't. The "sharps" were all over Miami when the line came out. Just look at the guys
participatin the hilton contest.

PHIL LAURINO
STATMANDO
KM SPORTS
YASGIN
SPORTSMEMO TIM

All those topcappers of the hilton contest are on Dolphins. No one of the leading cappers over there is
on NE.
So you can imagine how the big bettors are treating this game. I do like NE in this spot.

My book offeres me Patriots ML +100 ! Like it

[ShivaBowl]

For those that want more info about this game go too these spots http://www.patriots.com/news/index.c...=44880&pcid=47 http://bleacherreport.com/articles/4...atriots#page/8 Im not much into following trends and stats but i know alot of you guys do.

Good Work Lakerboy!
BOL tonight.

[dwang0725]

I'm with you on this one LB. I think MIA will run a lot and throw the ball at the opportune times. Pats D looks very weak and MIA will be ready to play after losing their home opener to the Jets.

[keijo32]

LB and guys quick question...we do expect the dolphins to pound the ball right? i'm thinking of takeing the brown/ricky rush+receiving total over 120 1/2 prop.if they want to win they need to run and after last weeks loss i expect them to hand it to the RBs till the NE can stop the run.NE is 24th in league with 119 avg rushing yards allowed.any opinions much appreciated

[JMobile]

Over or Under today guys??

[keijo32]

So Monday night's meeting with the Patriots is kind of important -- like breathing is kind of important to living.
``This is the most important game; I mean, there's no doubt about it,'' quarterback Chad Henne said. ``If we lose this game, we're setting ourselves back in the division. So, this is a must ``
The timing of this fork-in-the-road game also adds intrigue to its importance. The Dolphins, you see, will have no opportunity to immediately wash a defeat off their shoes if they step in it against New England.
That would mean coach Tony Sparano would be in a bad mood for two weeks if the team loses. His players would be in a bad mood for two weeks.
``I've had [situations] where we lost the week before a bye and it wasn't cool. It wasn't cool at all,'' linebacker Karlos Dansby said. ``You're looking to get back out there and right all your wrongs but you can't. You get kind of [peeved] off. You don't want to go into your bye week [peeved] off. You have to win.''


Read more: http://www.miamiherald.com/2010/10/0...#ixzz11PEOOhvh

[absolute]

Over or Under today guys??

if you want my opiniion, i think over is the play. pats defense is no good, has allowed at least 24 pts in each of its 3 games so your half way there and pats still have one of the best pass offense in the league so they should be able to score. it just depends on how long fins plan on holding the ball on their possessions i guess