2010 NFL System - JM and Modified

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  • knugen
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-09
    • 2612

    #351
    wtf happened, jaguars scored in last second?
    Comment
    • knugen
      SBR MVP
      • 12-09-09
      • 2612

      #352
      good start with broncos
      Comment
      • knugen
        SBR MVP
        • 12-09-09
        • 2612

        #353
        ooohhh yeah, goo broncos!
        20-0
        Comment
        • DustyDiamond
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-19-09
          • 772

          #354
          Looks like a good start for the cowboys too, just had a pick 6
          Comment
          • venture
            SBR MVP
            • 11-25-09
            • 1158

            #355
            that pick 6 was HUGE!!!
            Comment
            • stevex
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-02-10
              • 5122

              #356
              Bumpin this to the top as JM NFL system went 3-0 today (well 2 - 0 I guess, but Cincy did cover again today).

              steve
              Comment
              • on3
                SBR MVP
                • 08-23-10
                • 2197

                #357
                Great wins today, especially those who had to sweat out that back door cover by Cincy. We had wins from Dallas, Denver, and Seattle. Houston let that game slip away. Here is the full update:

                system record: 5-0

                system week 11 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

                A - Carolina

                system week 12 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

                None

                mod system record: 4-0 (1 series pending)

                mod system week 11 plays (.500 or better record, lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

                B - Houston
                A - Tennessee
                A - Kansas City

                mod system week 12 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                Pittsburgh
                NY Giants
                Comment
                • Kev the Brit
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-25-09
                  • 2027

                  #358
                  JM sent out an e-mail listing Cinci as a C Bet.

                  He should think seriously about changing his system to direct bettors to buy points to 3.5, 7.5, 10.5 and 14.5. Beyond that the various possible scorelines become too complicated.

                  Regards
                  Kev
                  Comment
                  • mitchp
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 07-29-10
                    • 227

                    #359
                    Originally posted by on3
                    Great wins today, especially those who had to sweat out that back door cover by Cincy. We had wins from Dallas, Denver, and Seattle. Houston let that game slip away. Here is the full update:

                    system record: 5-0

                    system week 11 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

                    A - Carolina

                    system week 12 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

                    None

                    mod system record: 4-0 (1 series pending)

                    mod system week 11 plays (.500 or better record, lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

                    B - Houston
                    A - Tennessee
                    A - Kansas City

                    mod system week 12 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                    Pittsburgh
                    NY Giants
                    I'm sorry, but what is the game n your mod system that is still pending - would it be the Washington bet in your LWL system?

                    Thanks
                    Mitch
                    Comment
                    • Kev the Brit
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-25-09
                      • 2027

                      #360
                      mitchp, the pending mod system "series result" is Houston, which will be a B Bet next weekend.

                      Washington is not a series (no chasing) and is also pending a result tonight.

                      Regards
                      Kev
                      Comment
                      • Freddo
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 04-11-10
                        • 63

                        #361
                        Would not Houston be an A bet along with Carolina for those that do not play your modified system ?
                        Comment
                        • on3
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-23-10
                          • 2197

                          #362
                          Originally posted by Freddo
                          Would not Houston be an A bet along with Carolina for those that do not play your modified system ?
                          Houston is an A bet on the JM system (oversight by me, thank you pointing that out) and is a B bet on the Modified system.
                          Comment
                          • DustyDiamond
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-19-09
                            • 772

                            #363
                            Nice wins yesterday, I gotta tell you I really thought Dallas would be our first loss
                            Comment
                            • Thirsty P
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-16-09
                              • 665

                              #364
                              Originally posted by on3
                              Houston is an A bet on the JM system (oversight by me, thank you pointing that out) and is a B bet on the Modified system.
                              If that is the case, then would Tennessee and Kansas City be pending Week 12 plays?
                              Comment
                              • alexy
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 05-23-10
                                • 217

                                #365
                                Nfl week 11 will be very interesting. Gl
                                Comment
                                • 4TH AND STUPID
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-08-09
                                  • 2349

                                  #366
                                  Originally posted by on3
                                  Great wins today, especially those who had to sweat out that back door cover by Cincy. We had wins from Dallas, Denver, and Seattle. Houston let that game slip away. Here is the full update:

                                  system record: 5-0

                                  system week 11 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

                                  A - Carolina

                                  system week 12 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

                                  None
                                  TENN?
                                  KC?
                                  mod system record: 4-0 (1 series pending)

                                  mod system week 11 plays (.500 or better record, lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

                                  B - Houston
                                  A - Tennessee
                                  A - Kansas City

                                  mod system week 12 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                                  Pittsburgh
                                  NY Giants

                                  i dont get it, if houston , tennessee, and kansas city have lost 2 SU and ATS then shouldnt they be a potential JM original system POTENTIAL plays for week 12?

                                  since after this week if they lose SU and ATS they will both have lost 3 SU and 3 ATS qualifying them for JM system?
                                  Comment
                                  • cmdyrds
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 08-20-09
                                    • 522

                                    #367
                                    yes they are as well

                                    Originally posted by 4TH AND STUPID


                                    i dont get it, if houston , tennessee, and kansas city have lost 2 SU and ATS then shouldnt they be a potential JM original system POTENTIAL plays for week 12?

                                    since after this week if they lose SU and ATS they will both have lost 3 SU and 3 ATS qualifying them for JM system?
                                    Comment
                                    • on3
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-23-10
                                      • 2197

                                      #368
                                      Great wins today, especially those who had to sweat out that back door cover by Cincy. We had wins from Dallas, Denver, and Seattle. Houston let that game slip away. Here is the full update:

                                      system record: 5-0

                                      system week 11 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

                                      A - Carolina
                                      A - Houston

                                      system week 12 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

                                      Tenn
                                      KC
                                      Washington

                                      mod system record: 4-0 (1 series pending)

                                      mod system week 11 plays (.500 or better record, lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

                                      B - Houston
                                      A - Tennessee
                                      A - Kansas City

                                      mod system week 12 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

                                      Pittsburgh
                                      NY Giants
                                      Comment
                                      • COYLO
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-18-10
                                        • 2844

                                        #369
                                        what way does the jm system work anything like the nba????

                                        the 5-0 what were they won on a-b-c?
                                        Comment
                                        • J.M. Disciple
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-16-10
                                          • 5154

                                          #370
                                          I am new to JM system. I read that you fade the superbowl team earlier in this thread. Saints are playing seattle this week and they covered the last two spreads. This week the spread vs Seattle is -12. Will the C bet be "seattle +14 (buying 2pts)" since i read earlier that you need to get the spread close to 3, 7, 10, or 14?

                                          Can someone please update me on this NFL system since I am new to it.

                                          Thanks
                                          Comment
                                          • on3
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-23-10
                                            • 2197

                                            #371
                                            Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                            I am new to JM system. I read that you fade the superbowl team earlier in this thread. Saints are playing seattle this week and they covered the last two spreads. This week the spread vs Seattle is -12. Will the C bet be "seattle +14 (buying 2pts)" since i read earlier that you need to get the spread close to 3, 7, 10, or 14? Can someone please update me on this NFL system since I am new to it. Thanks
                                            That is only for the first 3 weeks of the season. Please please please read the entire thread before wagering any money with this system, it is in your best interest. BOL!
                                            Comment
                                            • jmjj
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 11-17-10
                                              • 172

                                              #372
                                              hi guys good post if anyone wants some right info on Johns NFL system plays from last yr and this yr let me know b/c I have both and there was no Bears play last yr or a play on the Lions either in the 2009 season NFL system and modifing it is rather silly b/c it just shows your not willing to do fully what the system says I mean I hear ya it can get very nerve racking but the Cowboys were a c bet this past sunday getting +14 and u know what happened there need I say more?
                                              Comment
                                              • J.M. Disciple
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-16-10
                                                • 5154

                                                #373
                                                I see Houston (A) for +7
                                                I see Carolina (A) for +10.5

                                                How many points do I buy on these games? Is it like the NBA system when you buy 3pts or do you just wager straight up?
                                                Comment
                                                • jmjj
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 11-17-10
                                                  • 172

                                                  #374
                                                  Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                                  I see Houston (A) for +7
                                                  I see Carolina (A) for +10.5

                                                  How many points do I buy on these games? Is it like the NBA system when you buy 3pts or do you just wager straight up?
                                                  hey J.M. do u know if Carolina is official play sent from John? considering they have absolutely no chance in making the playoffs? as under his system requirements state not to wager on teams out of the playoff hunt no matter if they win the rest of their games and obviously with them being 1-8 in the NFC not happening I mean mathetically yes they could but I mean come on so if anyone is officially on Johns list for this sytem please let us know b/c I bought it last yr didnt want refunded it and I kept the pdf file was all

                                                  and also JM yes you buy pts on thre +7 to a 1/2 pt to +7.5 only u never buy 3 pts with this system and u dont for teams that are more than +8 dogs or more I hope that helps
                                                  Comment
                                                  • J.M. Disciple
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-16-10
                                                    • 5154

                                                    #375
                                                    Whats the strategy behind buying the points. Why only buy 1/2 a pt? is it just to make sure there are no pushes? Can you give me an explanation to buying the pionts using Houston as an example?

                                                    If Houston was +3, +4, +5, +6, +7

                                                    How many points would you buy for each?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dwang0725
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 09-23-10
                                                      • 330

                                                      #376
                                                      Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                                      Whats the strategy behind buying the points. Why only buy 1/2 a pt? is it just to make sure there are no pushes? Can you give me an explanation to buying the pionts using Houston as an example?

                                                      If Houston was +3, +4, +5, +6, +7

                                                      How many points would you buy for each?
                                                      You would only need to buy 1/2 pt for Houston to 7.5.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jmjj
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-17-10
                                                        • 172

                                                        #377
                                                        yes JM the philsophy is to not push pretty much and u only buy half pts like dwang says and the lines when u buy are as follows as well:

                                                        +2.5 +3 +6.5 +7 I hope that helps JM -)

                                                        now someone shout at me and let me know officially who is on Johns NFL email list if Carolina is considered an offical play please this coming sunday much appreciated -)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • J.M. Disciple
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-16-10
                                                          • 5154

                                                          #378
                                                          im not sure how the rules work for this NFL system. I understand your betting on a team that lost striaght up and ats for 3 straight games. All is fine and dandy, but there are rules for the nba system that would make neither houston or carolina a bet this week.

                                                          1) QB probably will be out for houston.
                                                          2) Carolina has the worst road record in the nfl.

                                                          NBA states: if top player is out for the nba team then you pass on the series.
                                                          If the team has the worst road record in the nba then you pass on the series.

                                                          Do the same rules apply to the NFL?

                                                          Please update me on some of the rules of this system please.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • surffreak
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 09-10-10
                                                            • 211

                                                            #379
                                                            quick question. so for this week i would bet on the money line for the favorites and then bet on the dogs to cover.

                                                            are the units supposed to be the same for each? or different units on each to pay out equally?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jmjj
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 11-17-10
                                                              • 172

                                                              #380
                                                              its not a unit equation it just goes by how much do u wanna win at the A bet orgininally? and then u have to carry that out throughout the whole bet series if it goes to a C bet and yes if the team is fav then ML if not get the spread........

                                                              does anyone on her know if Carolina is an offical play this week sent out by John? let me know please thanks
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Kev the Brit
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-25-09
                                                                • 2027

                                                                #381
                                                                I receive JM's e-mails. I have not received one this week.

                                                                Houston should be a play, unless JM believes that their 31-24 loss last weekend covered the spread. Covers.com has the spread at +6, so it is possible that JM's bookie, BetUS, had Houston at +7, and therefore covered.

                                                                If JM had sent an e-mail listing only Houston, I would be content that Carolina is not a play due to their play-off standing. The lack of an e-mail leads me to believe that JM is passing on both Houston and Carolina this weekend.

                                                                Regards to all
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cmdyrds
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 08-20-09
                                                                  • 522

                                                                  #382
                                                                  Originally posted by jmjj
                                                                  its not a unit equation it just goes by how much do u wanna win at the A bet orgininally? and then u have to carry that out throughout the whole bet series if it goes to a C bet and yes if the team is fav then ML if not get the spread........

                                                                  does anyone on her know if Carolina is an offical play this week sent out by John? let me know please thanks
                                                                  Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                                                                  I receive JM's e-mails. I have not received one this week.

                                                                  Houston should be a play, unless JM believes that their 31-24 loss last weekend covered the spread. Covers.com has the spread at +6, so it is possible that JM's bookie, BetUS, had Houston at +7, and therefore covered.

                                                                  If JM had sent an e-mail listing only Houston, I would be content that Carolina is not a play due to their play-off standing. The lack of an e-mail leads me to believe that JM is passing on both Houston and Carolina this weekend.

                                                                  Regards to all


                                                                  guys,

                                                                  by the "letter of the law" isn't carolina still alive. if they finished 8-8 there is a chance. i agree the odds are slim but lan doesn't even know his own filters.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Kev the Brit
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-25-09
                                                                    • 2027

                                                                    #383
                                                                    Unless I've been overlooked by JM's distribution list I believe he has either forgotten or is overworked (due to his daily picks and daily buffet services) such that he has not sent out the e-mail. Therefore, using the system rules, I will be betting on both Carolina and Houston today.

                                                                    I'm handicapping Carolina to +14.5 and Houston to +7.5.

                                                                    Rgds
                                                                    Kev
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jmjj
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 11-17-10
                                                                      • 172

                                                                      #384
                                                                      "
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • bauerranch
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 08-01-10
                                                                        • 611

                                                                        #385
                                                                        I did not receive anything from JM today either--except his explanation of why I was such a fool to bet Phoenix in the NBA last night
                                                                        Comment
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