Kroyrunner's Season Long NFL Thread (55-30-1 ATS in 2009)

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  • opie1988
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-12-10
    • 23429

    #631
    Kroy-

    you do s good job on your write-ups. Don't let the sore losers in here get to you. No one is holding a gun to their head to take your advice. You offer good insight, and the rest is pretty much a crap shoot. Please keep up the good work. Its much appreciated.
    Comment
    • G's pks
      Restricted User
      • 01-01-09
      • 22251

      #632
      Originally posted by opie1988
      Kroy-

      you do s good job on your write-ups. Don't let the sore losers in here get to you. No one is holding a gun to their head to take your advice. You offer good insight, and the rest is pretty much a crap shoot. Please keep up the good work. Its much appreciated.

      opie...I do not follow the picks in here...but agree they offer good insight... I finished my day at 1-0...after a crappy weekend with college ball...finished week up a little.. But I wanted to disagree on the haters point... I do not see one person saying anything wrong...they are frustrated because of the losses and they should be... They never said anything against Kroy... and I an sure he will agree...he will bounce back...

      This is the reason I think football threads are so hard the games are a week apart... Still SNF, MNF this week but I think you get my point...frustrated posters...no one hating...
      Comment
      • tonyp0387
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-11-10
        • 617

        #633
        `Nobody can hit 67% long term. You can have a great year over 60 % sure but you just give some back the next year when you go 48%. Everybody has losing years and nobody can hit near 60% over a spam of 1000 games , i don't care how selective you are. I wouldn't be to upset this happens to everybody considering your prior success I would think breaking even this year would be an accomplishment. Keep your head up i'm sure you will be just fine in the long term. BOL in the future.
        Comment
        • kroyrunner89
          SBR MVP
          • 10-25-08
          • 1191

          #634
          Looks like the Philly over is a stinker as well, never imagined it would be this kind of day. I'm going to seriously reassess my process and what's going wrong so far this year, sorry to all who tailed this week I hope the damage wasn't too horrible
          2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
          2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
          2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
          2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

          Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
          Comment
          • bypp
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-05-08
            • 664

            #635
            It's called gambling for a reason Kroy...keep your head up
            Comment
            • jhack704
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-04-09
              • 5346

              #636
              Originally posted by kroyrunner89
              Looks like the Philly over is a stinker as well, never imagined it would be this kind of day. I'm going to seriously reassess my process and what's going wrong so far this year, sorry to all who tailed this week I hope the damage wasn't too horrible
              worst weekend of my life. last yr u killed it early then kinda tailed off, hope itl be the opposite this yr
              Comment
              • kroyrunner89
                SBR MVP
                • 10-25-08
                • 1191

                #637
                Originally posted by jhack704
                worst weekend of my life. last yr u killed it early then kinda tailed off, hope itl be the opposite this yr
                As do I my friend, I've never had a week like this before in my life and hope never to again
                2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
                2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
                2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
                2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

                Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
                Comment
                • ssk13809
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-25-10
                  • 2595

                  #638
                  Originally posted by kroyrunner89
                  As do I my friend, I've never had a week like this before in my life and hope never to again


                  I heard the same things Week 1, 1-4.


                  Face it, you had a lucky year 1. And can you just transfer the 300 points right now? Unless you expect me to finish below 30% (which is what you'll hit)
                  Comment
                  • Dan
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 09-13-07
                    • 278

                    #639
                    Originally posted by ssk13809


                    I heard the same things Week 1, 1-4.


                    Face it, you had a lucky year 1. And can you just transfer the 300 points right now? Unless you expect me to finish below 30% (which is what you'll hit)
                    Hi and welcome to the forums!
                    Comment
                    • rick_213
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 11-09-07
                      • 392

                      #640
                      Kroy, tough week for most. Still curious about your ATS record vs your O/U record. Get em next week! Don't feel obligated to post 4 - 5 picks if you only see 1-2 that look good.
                      Comment
                      • kroyrunner89
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-25-08
                        • 1191

                        #641
                        Originally posted by ssk13809
                        I heard the same things Week 1, 1-4. Face it, you had a lucky year 1. And can you just transfer the 300 points right now? Unless you expect me to finish below 30% (which is what you'll hit)
                        I was 1-3 Week 1, and last year was my second year not my first. Learn some sportsmanship, I wasn't rubbing anything in your face last week when you struggled, I expect you to do the same
                        2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
                        2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
                        2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
                        2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

                        Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
                        Comment
                        • bobbyk1133
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-05-10
                          • 2245

                          #642
                          Tough week Kroy. All your picks looked solid on paper. If it makes u feel any better there aren't many people doing well after 3 weeks. The consensus picks from the Hilton are 6-8-1 after 3 weeks and the back to back champ is 7-7-1. The public went 4-9 ATS today and are 17-26-2 record overall.

                          I like the angles you take on games and I'm sure things will turn around soon.
                          Comment
                          • Joe Dogs
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-20-09
                            • 1931

                            #643
                            Just stay focused Kroy.......Im sure your capping skills will over come this bump in the road.

                            Best of luck next week.
                            Comment
                            • ssk13809
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-25-10
                              • 2595

                              #644
                              Originally posted by kroyrunner89
                              I was 1-3 Week 1, and last year was my second year not my first. Learn some sportsmanship, I wasn't rubbing anything in your face last week when you struggled, I expect you to do the same
                              lol. There is a 2-3 struggle. And then there is a 0-4 struggle.
                              There is actually a good difference between a 2-3 and a 0-4 struggle. I still made money today (1-1 ATS and hit a ML Parlay) so I'm happy. And if GB covers tomorrow I'll be + on my ATS bets, and money overall. If they lose I'll only be + a little.

                              But like I said, difference in a 2-3 and a 0-4 week lol.



                              Why don't you just give me the 300 points now.
                              Comment
                              • Dan
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-13-07
                                • 278

                                #645
                                Originally posted by ssk13809
                                lol. There is a 2-3 struggle. And then there is a 0-4 struggle.
                                There is actually a good difference between a 2-3 and a 0-4 struggle. I still made money today (1-1 ATS and hit a ML Parlay) so I'm happy. And if GB covers tomorrow I'll be + on my ATS bets, and money overall. If they lose I'll only be + a little.

                                But like I said, difference in a 2-3 and a 0-4 week lol.



                                Why don't you just give me the 300 points now.
                                Been here a whole month eh? So did you just create another screen name because you're too wuss to speak your mind with your main or are you really a noob? Either way you will be gone once your luck runs the rest of the way out.
                                Comment
                                • daneault23
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-08-09
                                  • 3863

                                  #646
                                  Hey Kroy, I know you'll play game where you see values, but I have noticed at least IMO, that totals are very hard to cap. So many things can go wrong to **** up your total play. I think maybe you should just focus on sides and try to ignore totals cuz most of the time they are a crap shoot. Either way, good luck the rest of the season. I'll be here with ya.
                                  Comment
                                  • kroyrunner89
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-25-08
                                    • 1191

                                    #647
                                    I was killing totals last year early in the season, this year I've just made some puzzling decisions with what I've landed on though. Hind sight is 20-20 but yeesh, something in my process has to change. This caps off the worst week I've ever had, good news is things can only get better from here.

                                    Week 3 Picks: 0-4-0 ATS
                                    Overall Record: 6-8-0 ATS
                                    Leroy's Contest Picks: 6-9-0 ATS

                                    Tomorrow's another day....
                                    2011 NFL: 4-0 ATS
                                    2010 NFL: 21-31 ATS (Stopped after Week 12)
                                    2009 NFL: 55-30-1 ATS
                                    2008 NFL: 57-36-2 ATS

                                    Overall: 137-97-3 ATS
                                    Comment
                                    • Totolover1409
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-14-08
                                      • 1400

                                      #648
                                      I tailed all 4 games and lost. Its pretty devastating but any comments i've made on this thread have never been directed at Kroy's skill in picking games. It happens. Hopefully it won't happen again. LOL
                                      Comment
                                      • simonk83
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 07-31-10
                                        • 434

                                        #649
                                        Never mind, next week Kroy
                                        Comment
                                        • jhack704
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 06-04-09
                                          • 5346

                                          #650
                                          Originally posted by Totolover1409
                                          I tailed all 4 games and lost. Its pretty devastating but any comments i've made on this thread have never been directed at Kroy's skill in picking games. It happens. Hopefully it won't happen again. LOL
                                          me 2, just pist in gerneral at the outcomes
                                          Comment
                                          • Totolover1409
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-14-08
                                            • 1400

                                            #651
                                            Taking the Packs -3 tomorrow?
                                            Comment
                                            • ssk13809
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-25-10
                                              • 2595

                                              #652
                                              Originally posted by Totolover1409
                                              Taking the Packs -3 tomorrow?
                                              I'm on it. Thats all you need to know.
                                              Comment
                                              • simonk83
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 07-31-10
                                                • 434

                                                #653
                                                Originally posted by ssk13809
                                                I'm on it. Thats all you need to know.

                                                I'll steer well clear then, thanks.
                                                Comment
                                                • ssk13809
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-25-10
                                                  • 2595

                                                  #654
                                                  Originally posted by simonk83
                                                  I'll steer well clear then, thanks.
                                                  Your loss
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MexicanStallion
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 09-08-08
                                                    • 20429

                                                    #655
                                                    Best of luck next week Kroy.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • opie1988
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-12-10
                                                      • 23429

                                                      #656
                                                      You'll get 'em! Its gambling. Bad beats are part of it.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • PeePee
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-08-09
                                                        • 619

                                                        #657
                                                        Keep your head up, Kroy. It's only week 3. Let the whiners whine...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Fleeben
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-08-09
                                                          • 601

                                                          #658
                                                          Originally posted by jhack704
                                                          worst weekend of my life. last yr u killed it early then kinda tailed off, hope itl be the opposite this yr
                                                          Duh, last year had favorites covering 10 pt spreads and several teams you could fade/tail every week for easy cash.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ScottLocke
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-16-10
                                                            • 525

                                                            #659
                                                            Originally posted by tonyp0387
                                                            `Nobody can hit 67% long term. You can have a great year over 60 % sure but you just give some back the next year when you go 48%. Everybody has losing years and nobody can hit near 60% over a spam of 1000 games , i don't care how selective you are. I wouldn't be to upset this happens to everybody considering your prior success I would think breaking even this year would be an accomplishment. Keep your head up i'm sure you will be just fine in the long term. BOL in the future.

                                                            This could not be more true, and its funny cause so many posters/cappers on this forum believe they can hit 70%, 80%, 90% in the long run. Its really funny actually and makes the newbs just stick out right away. There is just soooo much variance in sports betting that 60% is the absolute ceiling in the long run... mayyybe 65% if you are very selective and only to a play or two a week.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DeluxeLiner
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-29-08
                                                              • 4132

                                                              #660
                                                              Originally posted by kroyrunner89
                                                              I was killing totals last year early in the season, this year I've just made some puzzling decisions with what I've landed on though. Hind sight is 20-20 but yeesh, something in my process has to change. This caps off the worst week I've ever had, good news is things can only get better from here. Week 3 Picks: 0-4-0 ATS Overall Record: 6-8-0 ATS Leroy's Contest Picks: 6-9-0 ATS Tomorrow's another day....
                                                              Kroy is human afterall! But seriously 6-8 doesn't mean jack and isn't even that bad. Maybe increase selectivity?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • peeteer
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 10-28-06
                                                                • 406

                                                                #661
                                                                no need to apologize, kroy. Everyone has a choice. If someone wants to follow your picks, he or she has to take the risk. You didn't force anybody to follow your picks. Keep your head up and, most importantly do not panic. Good luck next week.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Duby
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                                  • 3608

                                                                  #662
                                                                  Its a long season....you will bounce back
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dan
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 09-13-07
                                                                    • 278

                                                                    #663
                                                                    Originally posted by ssk13809
                                                                    I'm on it. Thats all you need to know.
                                                                    Lol. You're 1-3 this week with one game pending today. You are hardly a lock.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • n1co35
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 07-13-09
                                                                      • 471

                                                                      #664
                                                                      tough week kroy. i remember last year or maybe 2 years ago that u have system plays as well.
                                                                      when does that start to kick off?? anyway goodluck in week 4. like you said it can only get better from here.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Dan
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 09-13-07
                                                                        • 278

                                                                        #665
                                                                        Originally posted by ssk13809


                                                                        I heard the same things Week 1, 1-4.


                                                                        Face it, you had a lucky year 1. And can you just transfer the 300 points right now? Unless you expect me to finish below 30% (which is what you'll hit)
                                                                        You just went 1-4 this week ssk.
                                                                        Comment
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