Kroyrunner's Season Long NFL Thread (55-30-1 ATS in 2009)

**EXhoosier10** · 10-02-10, 03:22 PM

Originally posted by hitman2010

can you pm it for me too?

Originally posted by lukemiller20

PM to me as well?

You guys are coming to Kroy's thread to get some punk to PM you his plays that are "90% locks", yet already 0-1? Get outta here

**edge444** · 10-02-10, 03:25 PM

Does anyone know if SP has been kicked off this site as all his threads are closed

**jhack704** · 10-02-10, 04:00 PM

Originally posted by edge444

Does anyone know if SP has been kicked off this site as all his threads are closed

he left

**GoCougs!** · 10-02-10, 04:34 PM

There has been a lot of talk from SSK.
He has backed it up w/ nothing.

**kroyrunner89** · 10-02-10, 04:42 PM

Give me like an hour guys, I'll have plays up. As for SP, I have no idea what happened with him but sure don't like that he's gone now. If anyone has details lemme know I'd be curious to hear what went down

**kroyrunner89** · 10-02-10, 06:11 PM

Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 (-114 @ Pinnacle)
Steelers/Ravens UNDER 34 (-103 @ Pinnacle)

Before the season started the last thing I would have expected would've been for the Steelers to be opening the year 4-0 without Roethlisberger. However, it looks like there's a very high chance of that becoming a reality after this weekend. The Ravens enter this contest with some questions on offense, first and foremost the status of Ray Rice. While he's expected to play, how effective will he be with his injured knee? Baltimore is only running the ball for 3.14 yards per carry right now, 4th worst in the league, and with their star RB at less than 100% and against the stout Pittsburgh defense I can't see them mustering much production on the ground. As far as their passing game goes, it's been less than impressive so far this season, with their best numbers this season coming last week against a Cleveland defense that's nowhere near as good as the Steelers'. In their first two games, matched up with the Jets and Bengals, Flacco struggled handling the pressure these two defensive units put on him and he made mistakes as a result. With a Pittsburgh offense that's just as good, if not better than both of these defenses, I expect to see Flacco struggle again as the Ravens' offense fails to produce many points.

On Pittsburgh's side of the ball, their defense has been the big story so far this season. However, their offense has quietly done just enough to win games, even with their 4th string QB Charlie Batch running the offense. Rashard Mendenhall has been very effective running the ball for the Steelers, as Pittsburgh is 6th in the NFL with 4.69 yards per rush attempt. While Baltimore has the reputation of an elite run defense, their performance hasn't indicated it so far this year. Baltimore's defense is allowing a surprising 4.73 yards per carry, 7th worst in the league. This indicates to me that Mendenhall will still be able to produce on the ground this week for the Steelers, a very important aspect in this game as the Steelers then won't be forced to ask as much of their QB. Furthermore, while Baltimore's pass defense has actually held up alright so far, there are still issues in that secondary. We may see Mike Wallace get free for a big play much like last week against Tampa Bay, but overall I do think that Batch will struggle a bit against this defense and the big plays will be limited. This will stay a low scoring game, with both defenses bearing down and playing good football. However, I just see Pittsburgh with a better chance to generate offense and force Flacco into mistakes with their elite defense. Steelers should win this one and cruise to their 4-0 start.

Cleveland Browns +3 (-121 @ Pinnacle)

It's very strange to me to be picking the Browns rather than against them for once, however I love their chances in this situation. The Bengals are currently one of the most overrated teams in football in my opinion. Their offense is nothing special at all, and Carson Palmer's current level of play is making it look like he's lucky to be a starter. The Bengals currently have the 8th worst passing game and 6th worst running game in the NFL, and the Browns' defense may not be great, but it's definitely on the rise from where it was last year. While Palmer has only thrown three interceptions so far this year, he really should have thrown about 10 now as defenders keep dropping easy interceptions. Palmer will continue making these bad decisions, and sooner or later his luck is going to run out. I think this is that week, and he turns the ball over at least two times against this improved Cleveland defense. On Cleveland's side of the ball, while it's uncertain who will be starting at QB for them this week I don't think it really makes much of a difference as both Delhomme and Wallace play at a very similar level. I think the real area that the Browns can excel at offense though this week is running the ball. Peyton Hillis has been running the ball great so far this year, as he's running for 5.6 yards per carry. The Browns finally got him more involved in the offense last week, giving him 22 carries for 144 yards. Matched up this week against the Bengals, I think we could see another game in the vicinity of 150 yards for Hillis, as the Bengals are allowing 4.5 yards per carry on defense, 10th worst in the league. The Browns will be able to move the ball on the Bengals, and given that Cinci has a habit of playing down to the level of their opponents I think there's a great chance the Browns win this game outright.

I'm still mulling over a Monday night play, I'll post it up tomorrow if I decide on it. Good luck this week everyone!

**bobbyk1133** · 10-02-10, 06:36 PM

Love the PIT/BAL picks. I don't see how BAL will be able to win with a banged up Rice either. Brave pick with the Browns. GL this weekend.

**Soderman** · 10-02-10, 07:33 PM

Excellent write-up Kroy, BOL! I'll be tailing

**ssk13809** · 10-02-10, 07:52 PM

1. Don't like Steelers -2.5. Ravens will win that game.
2. I like your under/over pick on Bal/Pit, but I such at Totals so it doesn't matter.
3. Bengals will win by at least 3.

**spargament** · 10-02-10, 08:09 PM

Originally posted by ssk13809

1. Don't like Steelers -2.5. Ravens will win that game.
2. I like your under/over pick on Bal/Pit, but I such at Totals so it doesn't matter.
3. Bengals will win by at least 3.

Only one of those things is kind of true..and its still off by a letter.

**Scully** · 10-02-10, 10:05 PM

Bol on the picks tomowwow Kroy.

Where might the other guy's picks be posted or does he have to post them?

**phillybadboy** · 10-02-10, 10:18 PM

SK, KROY good luck in that contest this weekend i think u both are gona do great

**Scully** · 10-02-10, 10:23 PM

Where are SK's picks not posted

**hitman2010** · 10-02-10, 10:26 PM

good luck Kroy...Maybe I need to go out and refresh my mind for new ideas.

**cowboyfan08** · 10-02-10, 11:04 PM

Bol,kroy

**hitman2010** · 10-03-10, 12:06 AM

why i can't see anypick from ssk vs kroy contest? is it just the two contestants see it? or no body see it except sbr?

**phillybadboy** · 10-03-10, 12:24 AM

who is winning the contestz?

**hitman2010** · 10-03-10, 12:28 AM

Originally posted by phillybadboy

who is winning the contestz?

ssk big lead now

**ssk13809** · 10-03-10, 12:58 AM

Btw, to all my fans

I am going to start my own thread starting next week. As I said it usually takes me 4 weeks to get a hang of each team, after that I actually can talk confidently about my picks each week and take off. So the wait is almost over...

And BOL this week Kroy. Because with your picks, you'll definitely need a lot of it.

**kroyrunner89** · 10-03-10, 01:04 AM

Originally posted by ssk13809

Btw, to all my fans I am going to start my own thread starting next week. As I said it usually takes me 4 weeks to get a hang of each team, after that I actually can talk confidently about my picks each week and take off. So the wait is almost over... And BOL this week Kroy. Because with your picks, you'll definitely need a lot of it.

Thanks SSK, good to see you pick a team this week that isn't a favorite

**simonk83** · 10-03-10, 01:13 AM

Originally posted by ssk13809

Btw, to all my fans I am going to start my own thread starting next week. As I said it usually takes me 4 weeks to get a hang of each team, after that I actually can talk confidently about my picks each week and take off. So the wait is almost over... And BOL this week Kroy. Because with your picks, you'll definitely need a lot of it.

Good luck with that, don't let the door hit you on the way out

**ssk13809** · 10-03-10, 01:21 AM

Originally posted by kroyrunner89

Thanks SSK, good to see you pick a team this week that isn't a favorite

What do you mean? And how do you know my picks?

**simonk83** · 10-03-10, 01:23 AM

Originally posted by ssk13809

What do you mean? And how do you know my picks?

What, you mean these picks?:

TENNESSEE -6.5 (-110)
SEATTLE -1 (-110)
ATLANTA -6.5 (-110)
SAN DIEGO -8 (-110)
CHICAGO +4 (-110)

**mvp123** · 10-03-10, 01:26 AM

Originally posted by ssk13809

Btw, to all my fans

I am going to start my own thread starting next week. As I said it usually takes me 4 weeks to get a hang of each team, after that I actually can talk confidently about my picks each week and take off. So the wait is almost over...

And BOL this week Kroy. Because with your picks, you'll definitely need a lot of it.

i thot that was funny

**ssk13809** · 10-03-10, 01:32 AM

Originally posted by simonk83

What, you mean these picks?:

TENNESSEE -6.5 (-110)
SEATTLE -1 (-110)
ATLANTA -6.5 (-110)
SAN DIEGO -8 (-110)
CHICAGO +4 (-110)

Why are you laughing? They are golden.

Btw, to those wondering. I'm only betting Tennessee, Atlanta, and Chicago. The other 2 are recommended too though. And to be honest, I put those bets in early this week, and I'd say now Chicago is probably the weakest pick out of the 5.

**kroyrunner89** · 10-03-10, 01:38 AM

Originally posted by ssk13809

What do you mean? And how do you know my picks?

You've made 15 picks so far (10 in this contest 5 in the one we started Week 2), 14 have been favorites. The Bears are the first dog you've taken. I know because even though I had the original setting to not show pending plays for some reason SBR still let me see yours, not sure what that was about. So in case it was just a thing where I could cuz I was the contest creator I made it public just so I could be sure that you could see mine too for fairness sake.

**ssk13809** · 10-03-10, 01:53 AM

Originally posted by kroyrunner89

You've made 15 picks so far (10 in this contest 5 in the one we started Week 2), 14 have been favorites. The Bears are the first dog you've taken. I know because even though I had the original setting to not show pending plays for some reason SBR still let me see yours, not sure what that was about. So in case it was just a thing where I could cuz I was the contest creator I made it public just so I could be sure that you could see mine too for fairness sake.

Well that's good because you are going to need all the advantages you can get to beat me. But I'm disappointed you didn't tail any of my picks.

**TheThreeKings** · 10-03-10, 02:10 AM

Originally posted by ssk13809

Why are you laughing? They are golden.

Btw, to those wondering. I'm only betting Tennessee, Atlanta, and Chicago. The other 2 are recommended too though. And to be honest, I put those bets in early this week, and I'd say now Chicago is probably the weakest pick out of the 5.

A real capper would bet every game he felt he had an edge on. You sir are a fraud.

**stuiees** · 10-03-10, 02:23 AM

as always, bol kroy. thanks for taking the time to post your insight.

**kroyrunner89** · 10-03-10, 02:24 AM

Originally posted by ssk13809

Well that's good because you are going to need all the advantages you can get to beat me. But I'm disappointed you didn't tail any of my picks.

I'm never going to look before I submit my picks, honestly it doesn't matter to me what you pick I do my own work

**gogogo** · 10-03-10, 03:53 AM

**gogogo** · 10-03-10, 03:54 AM

good luck all

**chanellygurl** · 10-03-10, 05:17 AM

gl 2 ya

**mark2010** · 10-03-10, 06:52 AM

dont know that much about capping games but to me only the under in pit games seens good, but what do i know. aways gl to all today. had a nice winning day with ncaaf yesterday, hoping to find some nfl picks today. I am taking the under in pit games and cinci to win. lets see.

**tendog** · 10-03-10, 09:04 AM

Originally posted by kroyrunner89

I'm never going to look before I submit my picks, honestly it doesn't matter to me what you pick I do my own work

Yes, what kind of contest would it be if you looked at his selections? Having followed you for quite some time I know you are focused on your capping, not anyones else.