Then we agree. I could play Cards up to -4, same with Vikings. Vikings perhaps won't score 40 points but they can limit Kansas who need to reroute their offense towards passing with Smith. Vikings should focus on eliminating Kelce, and they should be fine. They still scored 20 points on the leagues best defense. This could end 27-14.
Bankers 2015 NFL
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The J-DizzleSBR MVP
- 03-09-10
- 1090
#281Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#282Then we agree. I could play Cards up to -4, same with Vikings. Vikings perhaps won't score 40 points but they can limit Kansas who need to reroute their offense towards passing with Smith. Vikings should focus on eliminating Kelce, and they should be fine. They still scored 20 points on the leagues best defense. This could end 27-14.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#283week 6
atl/aints un 51 -105 (1.5x).. i know i hate the thu night cash grab shit fest and truthfully rather not play it but ive been passing and decided weeks ago i would only play if i really liked a play, i really like this play and think thu night actually plays into helping our cause here. 1st and foremost i think it incredibly obvious that julio is not close to healthy and in fact got a lot worse in that dal game where he was a monster, since that game he has been incredibly avg. i was willing to look past the hou game as game flow and situation didnt really dictate falcons needing him to be the beast he is, however this past week against a crappy skins secondary he was virtually non existent for a large portion of the gm, if i recall correctly most his yards came on atl's go ahead score late in the game when they had to have him. imo atl would be better served sitting him this week for several reasons, 1st off they can most likely win this game without him, secondly if there ever a time they could afford a loss it now vs a aints team that no threat whatsoever, combine those things with the fact they be far better served trying to get him right now than still having him hobbled later in the year. obviously i dont know they will sit him, i just think it conceivable. more importantly i guess is even if he plays there no way we can expect him to be any better than he was sunday on a short week.
the reasons that all makes sense and i like this play regardless of what julio does are simple enough. as ive been mentioning since beginning of the year i love the falcons coach and not only are his fingerprints all over the improved defense but they are also a physical rushing offense that is second in the nfl in rushing attempts, have rushed for 156 per game the last 3, and 4.7 per during that span. not only has freeman emerged as one of the better backs in the league but coleman will be much closer to healthy this week as well which will only make this attack even stronger. i love what shanny has done with the offense and it has directly gone hand in hand with helping the improved d. this has went from a soft dome team into one of the more physical teams in the league who leads the league in time of possession. this game is tailor made for atl to dominate on the ground facing a weak saints defense that is bottom 5 in rushing yards against, yards per attempt, opponent attempts per game. bottom line as bad as saints pass d stinks their run d is equally as putrid and i believe falcons coach is the kind of guy that would love to stuff it down their throats to control and shorten the game on a short week they are forced to travel.
i believe it incredibly reasonable to expect falcons to give us a heavy dose of the run game and clock control on thu night, the aints defense is horrible so obviously i think atl can score basically any way they so choose and they will get points no doubt. i think 27-30 a very reasonable expectation for the falcons here as i believe they will be up a decent amount and salting the game away will become a bigger concern than scoring by half way thru the 3rd qrtr.
that leaves us to consider what the hapless saints can potentially score. lets start with the fact the last 5x these teams have played saints have posted scores of 14, 34, 17, 23, 13 all going under with the exception of the 37-34 shootout in atl last season. lets remember those unspectacular totals were posted with a much better aints offense that their current form and a much worse atl d who also didnt have the benefit of such a strong ball controlling run game. now lets look at what saints offense doing this season thus far posting totals of 17, 26 (with a ot td), 22, 19, and 19. i just cant see them getting more than 20 in this contest which is why i made this total in the 47 range with a lean to lower than higher and my high side at 50. lets call it 27-17 dirty birds..
even more than thu nights i hate betting side and total in same game but it very hard to resist here.
atl-3 -125 (1x)Comment -
The J-DizzleSBR MVP
- 03-09-10
- 1090
#284Sure but Charles is so important inte the passing game aswell. They managed to lose 15 straight points when Charles went out. He's one of the best three RB's in the league IMO. I don't believe the backup will manage 5 yards/carry and be such a contributing factor in the passing game. But I can be wrong. Like u said, I would play Vikings before Charles was injured but it makes me like Vikings so much more.
Do you dare to play under on TNF?Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#285Sure but Charles is so important inte the passing game aswell. They managed to lose 15 straight points when Charles went out. He's one of the best three RB's in the league IMO. I don't believe the backup will manage 5 yards/carry and be such a contributing factor in the passing game. But I can be wrong. Like u said, I would play Vikings before Charles was injured but it makes me like Vikings so much more.
Do you dare to play under on TNF?Comment -
Time is MoneySBR MVP
- 12-03-07
- 2255
#286yep under thu night.. im not 100% sure i am right on this but i wanna say last time charles missed significant time davis in fact did avg really close to 5ypc. im not saying charles a bum i know he incredibly talented, i just dont think there any rbs worth more than a point or 2 tops, hell even if ap went down they have a very good backup as well and i dont think min be significantly worse. proof in that statement is you know minny at least -3 even if charles playing so clearly books think along the same lines with rbs value to a game no matter the talent level we talking about..Comment -
The J-DizzleSBR MVP
- 03-09-10
- 1090
#287Perhaps they won't miss him in the running game, even though I have a hard time believing a backup will recquire the same amount of attention.. But I think they will miss him more in the passing game as he oftens lines up as a reciever or running HB routes. Without him Minnesota can put an extra defender on Kelce instead.
Charles is a big playmaker and a huge leader, it's a great loss.
Same thing with Bell being out. DeAngelo was great but Bell adds an extra dimension in their passing game aswell. Why else would you take out a RB who made 3 TDs in two games in favor for Bell. Great playmakers in the open field and great leaders.Comment -
The J-DizzleSBR MVP
- 03-09-10
- 1090
#288Cards-3. Jump on it bank?Comment -
Cross44SBR High Roller
- 10-29-12
- 102
#289yep under thu night.. im not 100% sure i am right on this but i wanna say last time charles missed significant time davis in fact did avg really close to 5ypc. im not saying charles a bum i know he incredibly talented, i just dont think there any rbs worth more than a point or 2 tops, hell even if ap went down they have a very good backup as well and i dont think min be significantly worse. proof in that statement is you know minny at least -3 even if charles playing so clearly books think along the same lines with rbs value to a game no matter the talent level we talking about..Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#290you guys do realize that reid churns out backs that put up numbers and impact games like no tomorrow right, this movie has played out before and there simply wasnt a noticeable drop off when charles was out. wish i could find a way to see kc record under reid when charles in fact doesnt play as id bet it is not much different. anyway im inclined to agree with vegas that he isnt worth a full point cause that west kid and kniles davis will produce very similar numbers imo..
cross you gotta be joking with kc defense? they been wretched this season. they stack up ok with minny cause the run d been solid but the pass d atrocious. i suspect teddy b and mike wallace have big games this week (long as wallace healthy, saw he was on injury report so gotta keep a eye on that).Comment -
Cross44SBR High Roller
- 10-29-12
- 102
#291you guys do realize that reid churns out backs that put up numbers and impact games like no tomorrow right, this movie has played out before and there simply wasnt a noticeable drop off when charles was out. wish i could find a way to see kc record under reid when charles in fact doesnt play as id bet it is not much different. anyway im inclined to agree with vegas that he isnt worth a full point cause that west kid and kniles davis will produce very similar numbers imo..
cross you gotta be joking with kc defense? they been wretched this season. they stack up ok with minny cause the run d been solid but the pass d atrocious. i suspect teddy b and mike wallace have big games this week (long as wallace healthy, saw he was on injury report so gotta keep a eye on that).
But I think Charles worlds above Davis or this new kid West. Not sure about W/L stats, but in terms of production there's a clear gap: http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/eye-on-...charles-and-me
In terms of the KC defense, not saying they're good but I think you gotta consider they blew out Houston and let Mallet get a bunch of garbage yards, and then played Rodgers at home and Dalton at home. I think they're the average defense that played in the DEN/CHI games. If I'm laying points against the Chiefs, I'm worried about that pass rush for Teddy more than KC putting up points without Charles.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#292You've talk've me outta some Chiefs losses already this season, so I hear ya.
But I think Charles worlds above Davis or this new kid West. Not sure about W/L stats, but in terms of production there's a clear gap: http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/eye-on-...charles-and-me
In terms of the KC defense, not saying they're good but I think you gotta consider they blew out Houston and let Mallet get a bunch of garbage yards, and then played Rodgers at home and Dalton at home. I think they're the average defense that played in the DEN/CHI games. If I'm laying points against the Chiefs, I'm worried about that pass rush for Teddy more than KC putting up points without Charles.Comment -
WWCDSBR MVP
- 11-22-13
- 1957
#293Why people keep thinking about taking KC against anyone is beyond me. With Charles now out, anyone who bets on them must be insane. They have won ONE game. Against the Texans!Comment -
The J-DizzleSBR MVP
- 03-09-10
- 1090
#294I've already locked in Cardinals. Leaning hard against Falcons and Vikings.
WWCD sure their only win is against Texans but after that they had Broncos, Packers, Bengals. And they should have beaten that Broncos team. But their D hasn't been the same since last year. And Charles is the great playmaker on that offense.Comment -
The J-DizzleSBR MVP
- 03-09-10
- 1090
#295What's your take on Patriots? Bellichick should be able to exploit this badly playing Colts defense. Pats have won with an average of 29 points against Luck. And Luck hasn't impressed at all, if he's healthy to begin with. I like Patriots, but not sure whether to play them ATS, ML in a teaser with GB, or both..Can Colts get away with a win in this one with their and pats current form?
Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#296What's your take on Patriots? Bellichick should be able to exploit this badly playing Colts defense. Pats have won with an average of 29 points against Luck. And Luck hasn't impressed at all, if he's healthy to begin with. I like Patriots, but not sure whether to play them ATS, ML in a teaser with GB, or both..Can Colts get away with a win in this one with their and pats current form?
far as game goes i think that luck being out a few weeks actually will help indy as they established a little identity that didnt involve forcing him to sit back and do everything. i fully expect him to be back to more what we used to seeing and will have the help of a offense that a little more balanced. pats defense nothing special, sure they shut down the weeden led cowboys but i saw a stat that weeden only throws to one side of the field, hoodie can gameplan against that despite his personal. wont be as easy against luck and his weapons. of course brady and co prob look to run this bitch up after colts played snitch on the whole deflate gate bs. i havnt even looked at total yet but im thinking they probably cant make it high enough (im guessing 56).Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#297week 6
atl/aints un 51 -105 (1.5x).. i know i hate the thu night cash grab shit fest and truthfully rather not play it but ive been passing and decided weeks ago i would only play if i really liked a play, i really like this play and think thu night actually plays into helping our cause here. 1st and foremost i think it incredibly obvious that julio is not close to healthy and in fact got a lot worse in that dal game where he was a monster, since that game he has been incredibly avg. i was willing to look past the hou game as game flow and situation didnt really dictate falcons needing him to be the beast he is, however this past week against a crappy skins secondary he was virtually non existent for a large portion of the gm, if i recall correctly most his yards came on atl's go ahead score late in the game when they had to have him. imo atl would be better served sitting him this week for several reasons, 1st off they can most likely win this game without him, secondly if there ever a time they could afford a loss it now vs a aints team that no threat whatsoever, combine those things with the fact they be far better served trying to get him right now than still having him hobbled later in the year. obviously i dont know they will sit him, i just think it conceivable. more importantly i guess is even if he plays there no way we can expect him to be any better than he was sunday on a short week.
the reasons that all makes sense and i like this play regardless of what julio does are simple enough. as ive been mentioning since beginning of the year i love the falcons coach and not only are his fingerprints all over the improved defense but they are also a physical rushing offense that is second in the nfl in rushing attempts, have rushed for 156 per game the last 3, and 4.7 per during that span. not only has freeman emerged as one of the better backs in the league but coleman will be much closer to healthy this week as well which will only make this attack even stronger. i love what shanny has done with the offense and it has directly gone hand in hand with helping the improved d. this has went from a soft dome team into one of the more physical teams in the league who leads the league in time of possession. this game is tailor made for atl to dominate on the ground facing a weak saints defense that is bottom 5 in rushing yards against, yards per attempt, opponent attempts per game. bottom line as bad as saints pass d stinks their run d is equally as putrid and i believe falcons coach is the kind of guy that would love to stuff it down their throats to control and shorten the game on a short week they are forced to travel.
i believe it incredibly reasonable to expect falcons to give us a heavy dose of the run game and clock control on thu night, the aints defense is horrible so obviously i think atl can score basically any way they so choose and they will get points no doubt. i think 27-30 a very reasonable expectation for the falcons here as i believe they will be up a decent amount and salting the game away will become a bigger concern than scoring by half way thru the 3rd qrtr.
that leaves us to consider what the hapless saints can potentially score. lets start with the fact the last 5x these teams have played saints have posted scores of 14, 34, 17, 23, 13 all going under with the exception of the 37-34 shootout in atl last season. lets remember those unspectacular totals were posted with a much better aints offense that their current form and a much worse atl d who also didnt have the benefit of such a strong ball controlling run game. now lets look at what saints offense doing this season thus far posting totals of 17, 26 (with a ot td), 22, 19, and 19. i just cant see them getting more than 20 in this contest which is why i made this total in the 47 range with a lean to lower than higher and my high side at 50. lets call it 27-17 dirty birds..
even more than thu nights i hate betting side and total in same game but it very hard to resist here.
atl-3 -125 (1x)
i dont expect for this to be the ass kicking many are calling for tho and here is why. i fully expect luck to play and i expect him to be the luck we all used to not the one from the 1st couple weeks. i actually think that luck's absence the last few weeks was really good for this team as they were forced to establish a offensive identity that wasnt having luck sit back and get killed with everything on his shoulders, this helps in several ways, obviously the fact they figured out they can in fact run the ball a little will help keep him protected and open up the play action shots down field, the other is i think it was good for him to see that his team can actually win games where he isnt doing everything (or anything at all in this case, lol). not only has gore became involved last week they got andre johnson going as well and all a sudden i think this offense is one all world qb away from looking like many envisioned when they were making these off season moves.
neither defense is equipped to deal with these offenses. ratings gonna be insane. this has all the makings of everything the nfl wants and it gonna be a video game! luck has seen enough of hoodies defenses at this point and now he seeing it with more weapons at his disposal while the elite players from last years pats unit are gone. that all im gonna say, get ready cause even my old school defense liking ass is kinda excited for this one as i have a feeling it gonna be epic fun as colts unexpectedly give pats everything they can handle and this thing won by whoever has the ball last. 38-34 somebody (i think pats but i also feel like we ripe for a few absolute burials that kills ats, teasers, ml paralys, everything, it coming just dunno if it here)..Comment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#298pats/colts ov 55 (2x).. they cant make this total high enough imo. i said 56 above but that was just a guess where it was set, if im saying what i think these teams combine to score at the end of the night im going significantly higher. dont think either team has any problem cracking 30, my best guess is around 68-72 when the clock hits zero.. we know pats gonna score and continue to score here, after taking out the off season on everyone in their path they finally get the team that snitched them out. what you think they gonna do? they coming to prove a point and that point gets proven by brady throwing 5 tds.
i dont expect for this to be the ass kicking many are calling for tho and here is why. i fully expect luck to play and i expect him to be the luck we all used to not the one from the 1st couple weeks. i actually think that luck's absence the last few weeks was really good for this team as they were forced to establish a offensive identity that wasnt having luck sit back and get killed with everything on his shoulders, this helps in several ways, obviously the fact they figured out they can in fact run the ball a little will help keep him protected and open up the play action shots down field, the other is i think it was good for him to see that his team can actually win games where he isnt doing everything (or anything at all in this case, lol). not only has gore became involved last week they got andre johnson going as well and all a sudden i think this offense is one all world qb away from looking like many envisioned when they were making these off season moves.
neither defense is equipped to deal with these offenses. ratings gonna be insane. this has all the makings of everything the nfl wants and it gonna be a video game! luck has seen enough of hoodies defenses at this point and now he seeing it with more weapons at his disposal while the elite players from last years pats unit are gone. that all im gonna say, get ready cause even my old school defense liking ass is kinda excited for this one as i have a feeling it gonna be epic fun as colts unexpectedly give pats everything they can handle and this thing won by whoever has the ball last. 38-34 somebody (i think pats but i also feel like we ripe for a few absolute burials that kills ats, teasers, ml paralys, everything, it coming just dunno if it here)..Comment -
sharper2SBR MVP
- 03-30-10
- 2724
#299Only thing I question here man is we don't really know what this Patriot defense is yet. Held Steelers week 1 to 21 points which doesn't mean a whole lot, gave up 19 in the 4th quarter to buffalo week 2 and between Jax and Dallas only gave up 23 last two weeks, but thats also Dallas and Jax haha. Not sure how good or bad this D actually is yet, ranked 4th in the league right now. Lot of question marks with them. GL BrothaComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#300I hear that. The defense coming into the season was my biggest question mark since Butler was going to be the top CB which is a significant drop off from Revis or even Browner. So far the secondary has exceeded expectations but I don't see how TY doesn't have success against this secondary and think Moncrief can give them trouble too. I fully expect the Colts to put up 24+ especially if Hightower doesn't play. The real question is how are the Pats gonna do without Solder protecting Brady's blindsideComment -
unitedladSBR Wise Guy
- 01-10-12
- 845
#301Chip with backs, 2 te sets, I'm sure they figure it out and let's be real colts d gonna get picked apart, hardy ain't walking in the door off suspension to wreak havoc like last week. That was the 1st week I was willing to talk about dal defense as upper tier because they were adding elite pass rusher and couple talented lbs. they got after Brady in a way colts could only dream of and pats still hung 30.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#302as i said in write up i think colts are gonna score more than their fair share as well. im not opposed to either team total over as i think they both eclipse their numbers. im just not a fan of team totals, they usually -115 juice plus game flow and number of possessions has a lot to do with how i set my totals so even if one team comes up short i still feel possessions will be there the underdog could conceivably make up the points the fav fails to get me.. generally when i like overs (especially in college with bigger spreads or in this case with more than a td spread) it means i kinda like the dog to at the very least be very competitive.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#303Only thing I question here man is we don't really know what this Patriot defense is yet. Held Steelers week 1 to 21 points which doesn't mean a whole lot, gave up 19 in the 4th quarter to buffalo week 2 and between Jax and Dallas only gave up 23 last two weeks, but thats also Dallas and Jax haha. Not sure how good or bad this D actually is yet, ranked 4th in the league right now. Lot of question marks with them. GL Brotha
before the dal game i saw something about weeden only throwing to one side of the field, that instantly got me off thinking bout boys (which i typically do when they in the dog role) and made me play the under. i mean if hoodie knows he only has to take away one side of the field you know that qb gonna struggle, lol.Comment -
The J-DizzleSBR MVP
- 03-09-10
- 1090
#304Bank what do you make out of the colts/pats total moving from 55 to 54 under the day? Whats up with that?
I do like the over in nearly every Colts game with Luck but I'm concerned with the movement.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#305not a whole lot, back when chip 1st arrived in philly and they were setting their totals in this range you always saw some money come in on the under. i just think there certain ppl that havnt adjusted with the times and will always look to play under on totals this high. throw in the fact it not a given that luck will play and makes sense there some money on the under. ill give ya im totally screwed if luck doesnt play but i fully expect him to.. i should have waited i guess but i felt i was better off playing cause way i looked at it i was perfectly happy with anything less than 56. bottom line with this game is i dont think they could have realistically set it where it belongs so doesnt really matter wtf they do with it, if i had to guess id say they thrilled with the under money they getting cause im sure they will take a ton of over money throughout the day sunday and i think it will tick back up. i think more times than not i get the better of totals against the closer but im certainly no line reader expert, lol.Comment -
The J-DizzleSBR MVP
- 03-09-10
- 1090
#306Yes I guess you're right. Not worried about Colts trying to control the clock, keeping Brady out of the game?
Like I said, I do like the over and Colts-Titans over were the easiest money this year.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#307i suppose indy could try and play ball control but ultimately it not really their game and the defense isnt gonna hold up enough against the pats for that strategy to work real long, at some point luck is gonna be forced to match scores with brady.Comment -
The J-DizzleSBR MVP
- 03-09-10
- 1090
#308What's your take on Jets? I really like them, think they will cover that -6 spread.Comment -
TwizSBR Sharp
- 10-22-13
- 442
#309I played the under indy/pats w/ a lot of the same logic you played the over. Think we'll see real efficient offenses for sure...just don't think you can get to a total like 55 without some big plays. Colts know brady will shred them regardless so they play some bend don't break...let them check down to lewis/edelman...make pats run a few extra plays and try to punch a ball loose. Offensively I think Colts (if luck plays) can get it done too also but you gotta think "keeping brady off the field" angle has to play some kinda factor so they'll keep gore involved.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#311I played the under indy/pats w/ a lot of the same logic you played the over. Think we'll see real efficient offenses for sure...just don't think you can get to a total like 55 without some big plays. Colts know brady will shred them regardless so they play some bend don't break...let them check down to lewis/edelman...make pats run a few extra plays and try to punch a ball loose. Offensively I think Colts (if luck plays) can get it done too also but you gotta think "keeping brady off the field" angle has to play some kinda factor so they'll keep gore involved.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#312pats/colts ov 55 (2x).. they cant make this total high enough imo. i said 56 above but that was just a guess where it was set, if im saying what i think these teams combine to score at the end of the night im going significantly higher. dont think either team has any problem cracking 30, my best guess is around 68-72 when the clock hits zero.. we know pats gonna score and continue to score here, after taking out the off season on everyone in their path they finally get the team that snitched them out. what you think they gonna do? they coming to prove a point and that point gets proven by brady throwing 5 tds.
i dont expect for this to be the ass kicking many are calling for tho and here is why. i fully expect luck to play and i expect him to be the luck we all used to not the one from the 1st couple weeks. i actually think that luck's absence the last few weeks was really good for this team as they were forced to establish a offensive identity that wasnt having luck sit back and get killed with everything on his shoulders, this helps in several ways, obviously the fact they figured out they can in fact run the ball a little will help keep him protected and open up the play action shots down field, the other is i think it was good for him to see that his team can actually win games where he isnt doing everything (or anything at all in this case, lol). not only has gore became involved last week they got andre johnson going as well and all a sudden i think this offense is one all world qb away from looking like many envisioned when they were making these off season moves.
neither defense is equipped to deal with these offenses. ratings gonna be insane. this has all the makings of everything the nfl wants and it gonna be a video game! luck has seen enough of hoodies defenses at this point and now he seeing it with more weapons at his disposal while the elite players from last years pats unit are gone. that all im gonna say, get ready cause even my old school defense liking ass is kinda excited for this one as i have a feeling it gonna be epic fun as colts unexpectedly give pats everything they can handle and this thing won by whoever has the ball last. 38-34 somebody (i think pats but i also feel like we ripe for a few absolute burials that kills ats, teasers, ml paralys, everything, it coming just dunno if it here)..Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#313Originally Posted by 2daBank
pats/colts ov 55 (2x).. they cant make this total high enough imo. i said 56 above but that was just a guess where it was set, if im saying what i think these teams combine to score at the end of the night im going significantly higher. dont think either team has any problem cracking 30, my best guess is around 68-72 when the clock hits zero.. we know pats gonna score and continue to score here, after taking out the off season on everyone in their path they finally get the team that snitched them out. what you think they gonna do? they coming to prove a point and that point gets proven by brady throwing 5 tds.
i dont expect for this to be the ass kicking many are calling for tho and here is why. i fully expect luck to play and i expect him to be the luck we all used to not the one from the 1st couple weeks. i actually think that luck's absence the last few weeks was really good for this team as they were forced to establish a offensive identity that wasnt having luck sit back and get killed with everything on his shoulders, this helps in several ways, obviously the fact they figured out they can in fact run the ball a little will help keep him protected and open up the play action shots down field, the other is i think it was good for him to see that his team can actually win games where he isnt doing everything (or anything at all in this case, lol). not only has gore became involved last week they got andre johnson going as well and all a sudden i think this offense is one all world qb away from looking like many envisioned when they were making these off season moves.
neither defense is equipped to deal with these offenses. ratings gonna be insane. this has all the makings of everything the nfl wants and it gonna be a video game! luck has seen enough of hoodies defenses at this point and now he seeing it with more weapons at his disposal while the elite players from last years pats unit are gone. that all im gonna say, get ready cause even my old school defense liking ass is kinda excited for this one as i have a feeling it gonna be epic fun as colts unexpectedly give pats everything they can handle and this thing won by whoever has the ball last. 38-34 somebody (i think pats but i also feel like we ripe for a few absolute burials that kills ats, teasers, ml paralys, everything, it coming just dunno if it here)..
bills+3 (1.5x).. this the first time this year i will be against the bungals, clearly i like cincy but this a bad spot for them coming off the big comeback over sea last week and going on road to face a bills team that matches up well...you can run on this cincy d and teams been doing it to the tune of 4.8 ypc, we all know rex's team is gonna run the football. id have rather seen carlos williams back however shady will play and between him dixon and herron i dont think bills will have much problem churning out yards on the ground. im not as worried about ej after talking with a few guys i respect from the buffalo area that all say he has made a lot of progress since last time he was starting games, he should have watkins back and cincy is banged up in the secondary. this play really comes down to me thinking while improved dalton current form just isnt sustainable and buf a good place for a qb to lay a stinker. i think fat boys d will confuse him into a couple of mistakes and the offense will limit bungals chances by pounding the rock. i like bills to win outright but will take the 3 which is more points than bills got at home against the pats, i like the bungals and all but im not ready to say they should be laying more road wood than the pats.. . 23-20 bills.
from a x's and o's standpoint this game pretty simple. since zimmer has arrived the vikings pass d has been a improving unit, they will get after smith and force some bad decisions against a terrible kc oline, i dont expect kc to convert many 3rd downs as smith will be on his ass most the day. this where no charles does come into play, captain checkdown missing the best check down back in the league is gonna struggle. offensively this a great game for teddy b to have a nice day, off a bye week and facing a miserable kc secondary. i like wallace to pick up where he left off vs the donks and shred this defense (really cheap in dfs this week, he in a ton of my lineups as is the minny d). kc rush defense has been solid but ap is ap and will do what he does. vikings control this game wire to wire and teddy b makes all the plays to keep drives moving that smith will not. 24-17 vikings.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#314Originally Posted by 2daBank
pats/colts ov 55 (2x).. they cant make this total high enough imo. i said 56 above but that was just a guess where it was set, if im saying what i think these teams combine to score at the end of the night im going significantly higher. dont think either team has any problem cracking 30, my best guess is around 68-72 when the clock hits zero.. we know pats gonna score and continue to score here, after taking out the off season on everyone in their path they finally get the team that snitched them out. what you think they gonna do? they coming to prove a point and that point gets proven by brady throwing 5 tds.
i dont expect for this to be the ass kicking many are calling for tho and here is why. i fully expect luck to play and i expect him to be the luck we all used to not the one from the 1st couple weeks. i actually think that luck's absence the last few weeks was really good for this team as they were forced to establish a offensive identity that wasnt having luck sit back and get killed with everything on his shoulders, this helps in several ways, obviously the fact they figured out they can in fact run the ball a little will help keep him protected and open up the play action shots down field, the other is i think it was good for him to see that his team can actually win games where he isnt doing everything (or anything at all in this case, lol). not only has gore became involved last week they got andre johnson going as well and all a sudden i think this offense is one all world qb away from looking like many envisioned when they were making these off season moves.
neither defense is equipped to deal with these offenses. ratings gonna be insane. this has all the makings of everything the nfl wants and it gonna be a video game! luck has seen enough of hoodies defenses at this point and now he seeing it with more weapons at his disposal while the elite players from last years pats unit are gone. that all im gonna say, get ready cause even my old school defense liking ass is kinda excited for this one as i have a feeling it gonna be epic fun as colts unexpectedly give pats everything they can handle and this thing won by whoever has the ball last. 38-34 somebody (i think pats but i also feel like we ripe for a few absolute burials that kills ats, teasers, ml paralys, everything, it coming just dunno if it here)..
bills+3 (1.5x).. this the first time this year i will be against the bungals, clearly i like cincy but this a bad spot for them coming off the big comeback over sea last week and going on road to face a bills team that matches up well...you can run on this cincy d and teams been doing it to the tune of 4.8 ypc, we all know rex's team is gonna run the football. id have rather seen carlos williams back however shady will play and between him dixon and herron i dont think bills will have much problem churning out yards on the ground. im not as worried about ej after talking with a few guys i respect from the buffalo area that all say he has made a lot of progress since last time he was starting games, he should have watkins back and cincy is banged up in the secondary. this play really comes down to me thinking while improved dalton current form just isnt sustainable and buf a good place for a qb to lay a stinker. i think fat boys d will confuse him into a couple of mistakes and the offense will limit bungals chances by pounding the rock. i like bills to win outright but will take the 3 which is more points than bills got at home against the pats, i like the bungals and all but im not ready to say they should be laying more road wood than the pats.. . 23-20 bills.
minny -3 (-125) (1x).. i just cant leave the hook on this game even tho i dont think it will come into play, for 15 bucks extra on my $100 bet i just dont see the point in risking losing by it. that said once again i feel vikings being sold short by the books as this number several points low imo. forgetting about charles for a minute i already had minny as 2-3 points better than kc on a neutral field so i have a real hard time understanding why they only laying 3.5 at home? do they not have the standard 3 point home field adv? imo we still benefiting from that week 1 monday night ass kicking min got at the hands of the shitbag 49ers, ever since that game i been playing minny on what i felt were short home lines and getting too many points on the road and they been covering them all.
from a x's and o's standpoint this game pretty simple. since zimmer has arrived the vikings pass d has been a improving unit, they will get after smith and force some bad decisions against a terrible kc oline, i dont expect kc to convert many 3rd downs as smith will be on his ass most the day. this where no charles does come into play, captain checkdown missing the best check down back in the league is gonna struggle. offensively this a great game for teddy b to have a nice day, off a bye week and facing a miserable kc secondary. i like wallace to pick up where he left off vs the donks and shred this defense (really cheap in dfs this week, he in a ton of my lineups as is the minny d). kc rush defense has been solid but ap is ap and will do what he does. vikings control this game wire to wire and teddy b makes all the plays to keep drives moving that smith will not. 24-17 vikings.Comment -
red12soxSBR MVP
- 11-28-14
- 1034
#315Really like that jags over and minny. Good luck boss.Comment
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