Bankers 2015 NFL

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #351
    week 7


    nyj+10 -125 (2x)..this my favorite play of the week, as i mentioned i dont think we need 10 but i cant stand taking a dead number like 9 so im willing to pay the juice to get +10. i think jets will have every opportunity to win this game, they match up incredibly well and facing pats at a time their oline has some real issues. ivory is running like a wild man and pats run defense is sherman soft at 29th in the league allowing 4.8 ypc. jets should be able to limit brady's chances and harass him when pats do have the ball. being 100% honest here where are the pats advantages in this game outside of qb and te? jets better on both lines of scrimmage, better wrs, better rbs, far better secondary. i like bowles as a coach and think the days of hoodie outsmarting jets coaching staff left when fat boy went to buffalo. as long as fitzpatrick doesnt make too many stupid mistakes jets should be in this game to the final whistle. i make pats 3-4 points better on a neutral so anything more than 7 is a gift imo.. pats most likely find a way to win but the ml is very tempting to me as i think jets give them everything they want in this game.. both teams have been great capping off drives with tds in the red zone, the difference being jets d is the best in the league in those spots while pats rank near the bottom. if jets can hold brady to some fgs down there this game comes down to the wire. 26-24 im gonna say pats but could go either way i think..




    bucs+3.5 (1.5x)... i dont think the hook gonna last long here so playing this one now. evans abused this secondary last season and i really see no way skins secondary holds up against him and jackson. i think shamis will continue to improve and hopefully build some continuity with evans he wasnt able to in the preseason since evans was hurt. the biggest silver lining for me here is that cousins is every bit as turnover prone as shamis. i think tampa sports the better defense and the offense with far more upside. i like them to win outright but will happily take the points. 22-20 bucs..
    Comment
    • Time is Money
      SBR MVP
      • 12-03-07
      • 2255

      #352
      Originally posted by 2daBank
      yea i dont think so either. i can still get +10 -125, debating whether i want to pay that juice for it as i agree jets could very well win. not the team you want to face when you have issues on the oline..
      where do you bet?
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #353
        Originally posted by Time is Money
        where do you bet?
        i have several i use. 5d, bookmaker, bol, youwager, and bovada..
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #354
          here a shocker, i like the jags over. lol. hate london games and waiting to make sure allen robinson will play but it another game bortles is gonna be forced to air it out which as we have seen tends to lead to points for his team and the opponent which typical of young qbs forced to do too much. really feeling jags overs of late and bills secondary has proven beatable, just need to know their big play threat is good to go in order to make the play.
          Comment
          • survive
            SBR MVP
            • 01-08-11
            • 2388

            #355
            Really like jets too. I had the line at 7. I know we hate Thursday games but is SF catching a little too many points at 6.5?
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #356
              Originally posted by survive
              Really like jets too. I had the line at 7. I know we hate Thursday games but is SF catching a little too many points at 6.5?
              if i had to play it sf prob be my choice but seriously doubt i get involved. really sick of starting the week in the hole when i been pretty damn good on sundays.. lol.
              Comment
              • R.P. McMurphy
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-15-12
                • 9654

                #357
                Btw thanks bro for helping pushing me over edge to Philly. Banker one of sbr finest no doubt! Far as Jets/Pats gm goes don't you think 1h backing Jets maybe safer play? Seems Pats always lag early in these div meeting with Jets and Buff especially and blow up late after being down like 13-6 at half. Obviously that +10 for gm seems sweet but 1h including ml worth a look I think!
                Comment
                • la cara
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 04-24-13
                  • 337

                  #358
                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                  it def atl or nothing, im in no hurry cause i dont think marriota changes the spread honestly. i certainly dont change my mindset about the play whether he plays or not.
                  If mettenberger ends up starting and the spread stays where it is then something stinks like yesterdays diapers... ATL is on the road but it was a huge letdown game against the saints...I wouldnt touch ATL unless they are giving up at least a td
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #359
                    Originally posted by la cara
                    If mettenberger ends up starting and the spread stays where it is then something stinks like yesterdays diapers... ATL is on the road but it was a huge letdown game against the saints...I wouldnt touch ATL unless they are giving up at least a td
                    i bet based off numbers and logic, if i think a spread is short i play it. it makes no sense whats so ever that you wouldnt back atl -4 but you would -7.. i believe in "traps" about as much as i believe in ghost and jesus. far as spread goes im quite positive marriotta isnt worth any points in the books eyes over a backup..
                    Comment
                    • la cara
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 04-24-13
                      • 337

                      #360
                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                      i bet based off numbers and logic, if i think a spread is short i play it. it makes no sense whats so ever that you wouldnt back atl -4 but you would -7.. i believe in "traps" about as much as i believe in ghost and jesus. far as spread goes im quite positive marriotta isnt worth any points in the books eyes over a backup..
                      That's what I was thinking ....-7= no trap -4= trap
                      Comment
                      • Time is Money
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-03-07
                        • 2255

                        #361
                        assuming you're sitting this one out tonight, bank?
                        Comment
                        • Time is Money
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-03-07
                          • 2255

                          #362
                          probably being a sucker but if 9ers hits 7 or even better 7.5 I'm probably gonna lay
                          Comment
                          • GT21Megatron
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-20-13
                            • 10818

                            #363
                            Seattle -6 Banker....kapernick blows ass. D has blown late leads past two games. Kapernick is a bum. Defense sucks too. San Fran d giving up point to just about everyone. Give me Seahawks -6 large
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #364
                              Originally posted by GT21Megatron
                              Seattle -6 Banker....kapernick blows ass. D has blown late leads past two games. Kapernick is a bum. Defense sucks too. San Fran d giving up point to just about everyone. Give me Seahawks -6 large
                              there no way on earth i would bet any thu night large, i try not to bet them at all but i do agree seahags are probably the side.. mostly cause sf sux, but not like i have a ton of confidence in sea..
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #365
                                Originally posted by la cara
                                That's what I was thinking ....-7= no trap -4= trap
                                i get what you thinking i just dont agree with the thought and never have. ppl trap themselves by being prisoners of what they have seen recently, books dont set soft lines as traps. they would get picked apart by real money in doing so. they set lines based off numbers and perception, then move them based off money, nothing more nothing less. there is no grand conspiracy and ultimately if you tracked games that look "obvious" you would probably see they about as 50/50 as anything else..

                                there really no way atl should be -7 on the road. that calling them double digit favs on a neutral and damn near 2 tds at home. they dont grade out to nearly that strong of a team. granted titans are terrible but you talking bout a team that the skins took to ot and should have beat and a team that lost to the aints. not exactly cream of the crop. as i mentioned mariota isnt worth shit in eyes of the books (assumption but a strong 1) or mine (fact, lol) so dont think you should worry about any sort of trap, the number where it is cause titans are just as capable of playing them tough with a backup and whether they will bout 50/50.. i tend to think you be crazy to back ten but im not real excited bout backing a dome team who tends to play tight games and playing outside where there a chance of rain and pretty chilly temps..
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #366
                                  Originally posted by Time is Money
                                  assuming you're sitting this one out tonight, bank?
                                  Originally posted by Time is Money
                                  probably being a sucker but if 9ers hits 7 or even better 7.5 I'm probably gonna lay
                                  i think so, i kinda lean over and sea but dont love either and really hate what has turned into a weekly tradition of starting in the hole because of this fukking game, lol.. i wouldnt take sf with 10 bro, if that the way you leaning i think you better off sitting out with me, im sure im probably right since i probably wont play it. lol.. really trying to convince myself not to anyways..
                                  Comment
                                  • GT21Megatron
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-20-13
                                    • 10818

                                    #367
                                    Originally posted by GT21Megatron
                                    Seattle -6 Banker....kapernick blows ass. D has blown late leads past two games. Kapernick is a bum. Defense sucks too. San Fran d giving up point to just about everyone. Give me Seahawks -6 large
                                    Gold bro
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #368
                                      Originally posted by GT21Megatron
                                      Gold bro
                                      i rarely doubt ya my man and certainly didnt here. i laid hella juice and played seahags 1st half ml but wasnt bout to post a -210 bet. lol.. nice call, sf is really bad. i dont think sea very good, offense still struggled vs a terrible secondary and sf formerly non existent pass rush had wilson under pressure far too often..
                                      Comment
                                      • GT21Megatron
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-20-13
                                        • 10818

                                        #369
                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                        i rarely doubt ya my man and certainly didnt here. i laid hella juice and played seahags 1st half ml but wasnt bout to post a -210 bet. lol.. nice call, sf is really bad. i dont think sea very good, offense still struggled vs a terrible secondary and sf formerly non existent pass rush had wilson under pressure far too often..
                                        Good shit
                                        Comment
                                        • Time is Money
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-03-07
                                          • 2255

                                          #370
                                          You still like Jags over with Taylor declared out?
                                          Comment
                                          • Time is Money
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-03-07
                                            • 2255

                                            #371
                                            Since 09 regular season games at Wembley Stadium are 6-3 on overs. Two of those unders fell short by a combined 5 points. Thought process to me is the NFL wants to make football seem exciting to the fans and so they tend to favor the offensive players/play a little more. Doug Martin torched this Jags D and as banker said you can hit a couple of big plays on this Bills team. Bortles should take his shots as even if Yeldon plays hes less than 100% and going against a stout run D. See this one being around 24-20 which gets it done.
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #372
                                              Not so much Taylor out as it most the freaking bills offense. Woods is a capable wr and I seem to recall him having a few nice games w ej before, but after him who the hell else ej throwing to? Obviously clay and prob shady some but I seriously don't know who the hell their #2 wr is this week? Forget if those good games from woods came when he was the 1 or more likely when Watkins was drawing attention, just worried he can't make the plays needed to keep the chains moving. Bright side is we should get several turnovers that could lead to points, just worry bills control this gm on the ground and the defense confuses a young qb.. In other words im not sure I can pull the trigger, I wouldn't consider under or a side so it over or nothing but I may pass..
                                              Comment
                                              • Da Phoenix
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 04-20-14
                                                • 489

                                                #373
                                                Bank do you bet colleges also?if so looking for 3 to 5 dogs to win outright for ml parlay. Thanks
                                                Comment
                                                • KRIT
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-11-14
                                                  • 12878

                                                  #374
                                                  Jets seem like a no brainer. They always have played Brady close, even when they've sucked the last few years.

                                                  Jets are probably better than the Pats at everything except for the QB position and the passing game. If Fitz can play a good game and not turn it over, Jets should cover.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KRIT
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-11-14
                                                    • 12878

                                                    #375
                                                    What's up with the Philly line? Philly is awful, how are they only +3. I figured Carolina would be favored by 5 or 6. Seems like a weird line with Carolina coming off the big win at Seattle and the entire country watching Bradford throw 3 picks in an unimpressive win.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #376
                                                      Originally posted by KRIT
                                                      What's up with the Philly line? Philly is awful, how are they only +3. I figured Carolina would be favored by 5 or 6. Seems like a weird line with Carolina coming off the big win at Seattle and the entire country watching Bradford throw 3 picks in an unimpressive win.
                                                      believe it or not i halfway disagree with that. yes bradford sucks donkey nuts, you know im not the biggest chip believer but i will say i really do like their defense and i think that d will give them a real shot to win here. the fact they can win games when the cross eyed clown is throwing 3 picks speaks to the defenses talent level. i honestly lean philly to win but havnt fully convinced myself cause i think the key here is early and that hasnt been a phi strength anytime under chip really. if they can avoid early mistakes and put a few points up (i do think they will move the ball) as much as like way sCam playing they asking him to do a lot, if he has a uphill climb against this d i dont think bradford be the only qb turning it over..for now i lean phi but in all seriousness i think the line is right as despite record i think they bout even on a neutral. really kicking myself for not playing under sooner but anything more than 45 is tempting to make play there.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #377
                                                        Originally posted by Da Phoenix
                                                        Bank do you bet colleges also?if so looking for 3 to 5 dogs to win outright for ml parlay. Thanks
                                                        i do but that a tall order man, 3 to 5 dogs outright? some weeks i like that many but this week i really dont see a lot of dogs i like even with the points. i suppose BC looks ok. a case could be made for duke but i hate ranked dogs vs unranked teams,, im sure plenty will win im just having a hard time seeing them this week bro..
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #378
                                                          Originally posted by Da Phoenix
                                                          Bank do you bet colleges also?if so looking for 3 to 5 dogs to win outright for ml parlay. Thanks
                                                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                          i do but that a tall order man, 3 to 5 dogs outright? some weeks i like that many but this week i really dont see a lot of dogs i like even with the points. i suppose BC looks ok. a case could be made for duke but i hate ranked dogs vs unranked teams,, im sure plenty will win im just having a hard time seeing them this week bro..
                                                          add wake to the list but i really dont love any doggies this week (if line flips and mizzou a dog i like that, no clue why line moving like it is tho cause i think anything less than 3 tigers solid).. canes would be tempting if wasnt for fact i cant stand betting their games cause no team mails it in like them when they dont feel like playing i guess, lol..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Da Phoenix
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 04-20-14
                                                            • 489

                                                            #379
                                                            Thanks went with k st,g tech,duke,N mex,wash st gl this weekend
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #380
                                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                              week 7


                                                              nyj+10 -125 (2x)..this my favorite play of the week, as i mentioned i dont think we need 10 but i cant stand taking a dead number like 9 so im willing to pay the juice to get +10. i think jets will have every opportunity to win this game, they match up incredibly well and facing pats at a time their oline has some real issues. ivory is running like a wild man and pats run defense is sherman soft at 29th in the league allowing 4.8 ypc. jets should be able to limit brady's chances and harass him when pats do have the ball. being 100% honest here where are the pats advantages in this game outside of qb and te? jets better on both lines of scrimmage, better wrs, better rbs, far better secondary. i like bowles as a coach and think the days of hoodie outsmarting jets coaching staff left when fat boy went to buffalo. as long as fitzpatrick doesnt make too many stupid mistakes jets should be in this game to the final whistle. i make pats 3-4 points better on a neutral so anything more than 7 is a gift imo.. pats most likely find a way to win but the ml is very tempting to me as i think jets give them everything they want in this game.. both teams have been great capping off drives with tds in the red zone, the difference being jets d is the best in the league in those spots while pats rank near the bottom. if jets can hold brady to some fgs down there this game comes down to the wire. 26-24 im gonna say pats but could go either way i think..




                                                              bucs+3.5 (1.5x)... i dont think the hook gonna last long here so playing this one now. evans abused this secondary last season and i really see no way skins secondary holds up against him and jackson. i think shamis will continue to improve and hopefully build some continuity with evans he wasnt able to in the preseason since evans was hurt. the biggest silver lining for me here is that cousins is every bit as turnover prone as shamis. i think tampa sports the better defense and the offense with far more upside. i like them to win outright but will happily take the points. 22-20 bucs..
                                                              indy -4 (1x).. pretty much continuation of my thoughts bout colts and luck last week. the coach a idiot and should have been fired more than once during the game (just felt like bringing up, dont care he beat cancer, that great but it clear has no correlation to being a competent coach) . i think luck looked much better off rest and other than some rust that showed itself in some overthrows i see what we expected coming into the season, i stand by thinking it was good all around for these guys that he sat those 2 games and i like the way the entire assortment of playmakers has started to come together. no point talking defenses, give me luck and co to score then score some more till the aints just cant stay with them..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • The J-Dizzle
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-09-10
                                                                • 1091

                                                                #381
                                                                I like Colts aswell. But what about that line movement? Money on Colts but spread goes from 5 to 4 and saints ML dropped.
                                                                Over 52? Can Brees perform in Indy?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Madison
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 09-16-11
                                                                  • 6467

                                                                  #382
                                                                  Hey Banker,

                                                                  You trust your Rams to get the win for survivor. AZ my other choice but figure they'll get a lot of play and have better QB. THX and good luck
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Time is Money
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-03-07
                                                                    • 2255

                                                                    #383
                                                                    On Falcons/Colts ML parlay. Pays a little better than 1:1

                                                                    Staying off this early morning game huh?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #384
                                                                      Originally posted by The J-Dizzle
                                                                      I like Colts aswell. But what about that line movement? Money on Colts but spread goes from 5 to 4 and saints ML dropped.
                                                                      Over 52? Can Brees perform in Indy?
                                                                      never been one to be scared off over line movement when i like the play. bet 1x with thought if it actually dropped to 3.5 i would most likely buy the hook and make second unit on -3.. no idea if it will drop further and was happy at -4. we'll see what happens. if it doesnt come down any further i will prob add a unit on the colts tt over.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • 2daBank
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                                        • 88966

                                                                        #385
                                                                        Originally posted by Time is Money
                                                                        On Falcons/Colts ML parlay. Pays a little better than 1:1

                                                                        Staying off this early morning game huh?
                                                                        i started a little bs parlay with jags ml but not close to confident enough to play it straight for enough to mention. lol.
                                                                        Comment
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