CK's Carjacking the NCAA Threads Leans for Thursday 2/5/09

[GreatDanes52]

CK I like the Michigan pick. What do you think of the line movement in the Davidson game? Its dropped a point at my book with %55 on Davidson.

[TheLemonDropKid]

man i hate going against you, but i would not trust michigan with my money right now. michigan is 2nd worst field goal % in the big ten, last in 3 ball %, penn. st defends the 3 well and the wolverine offense thrives on 3's. they have no inside game and need those j's to fall. penn st. did beat them at home by 15 a short time ago and that works in michigan's favor as it is hard to beat the same team twice in such a short timespan. conference play has been most unkind to michigan so far.

Damn.......I hate when you guys don't agree on games. Makes me feel like when I was a kid in a custody battle trying to decide if I wanted to live with my mom or my dad.........lol...

[schaapattack]

Either play the game or dont. Dont take up 50 pages by talking down the play. The reords speak for themselves regarding the secret play record.

[JGILL50]

and 52% of the public is on the lakers - RLM in affect....

I wouldn't consider 52% enough for RLM but tons more money is definitely on the Celtics

[jaymac82980]

Anyone else have the celts over at 206?

[GreatDanes52]

Either play the game or dont. Dont take up 50 pages by talking down the play. The reords speak for themselves regarding the secret play record.

nobodys going against it or talking down the play I just wanted everyones take on the movement because im thinking of taking davidson for the game too

[Dexter]

2/6/09

the nuggets are 4-1 ats the last 5 games in wash, winning by an avg margin of 16ppg. the wizards have gotten hammered 2 home games in a row by below avg teams - not a good sign. projected line of -7.

-nuggets
_______________
the suns will be looking for revenge off of the embarassing blowout (game was not as close as the final) loss at golden state last game. home and home angle at play for phx who is also 3-1 last 4 at home ats to the warriors (winning by 11ppg). projected line of -9

-suns

[50lipa]

Anyone else have the celts over at 206?

Yeah, it was down all the way to 203 and jumped to 206 right about the same time as the line did.

[Dexter]

I wouldn't consider 52% enough for RLM but tons more money is definitely on the Celtics

right, but the fact that celts are not even getting the majority of public bets (yet) and the line has moved as much as it has, speaks volumes of how the sharps are playing this one.

[jaymac82980]

any idea why the total would jump to 206?

[shoebox]

Im on the under,, nevermind public pounding over

[Dexter]

edit

[Dexter]

booked plays-

celtics -7 (big)
pacers +5.5

sounds like deron should go. i jumped on the 3.

jazz -3 (big)

http://www.sltrib.com/jazz/ci_11626606?source=rss

[shoebox]

..

[cocknocker]

To answer my email question, strange things going on with the NBA right now. It's the pre-All-Star Break jitters. Guys already have their vacation packages on their mind. If I were on the NBA tonight, I like Utah minus the chalk,then of course Boston and their referees, and Indiana.

[cocknocker]

To answer my email question, strange things going on with the NBA right now. It's the pre-All-Star Break jitters. Guys already have their vacation packages on their mind. If I were on the NBA tonight, I like Utah minus the chalk,then of course Boston and their referees, and Indiana.

[solobass]

ok enough with the chit chat from me, here are my booked plays

Davidson -12 1st H (CK)
Penn St. +4.5
Lakers +260 ML
Lakers +7
Illinois +4

and the big ten parlay penn st. +4.5 and illinois +4

and now i am going to fire up the proverbial crack pipe, i know i am going to get some flack for these plays!

[Dexter]

To answer my email question, strange things going on with the NBA right now. It's the pre-All-Star Break jitters. Guys already have their vacation packages on their mind. If I were on the NBA tonight, I like Utah minus the chalk,then of course Boston and their referees, and Indiana.

[50lipa]

Thanks Dexter and CK on the Jazz update and the green light to tonights picks, but i need your help on this one. Machine is all over Vandy -8 and TPowell is not just big but huge on Alabama +8, his 15 unit play.

Opinions?

[solobass]

Damn.......I hate when you guys don't agree on games. Makes me feel like when I was a kid in a custody battle trying to decide if I wanted to live with my mom or my dad.........lol...

it is what makes the CK mafia strong, debating everything on its merits with no ill feelings. that is what keeps us sharp. that being said, it is CK's thread, he has been at it longer than me and i am basically trying to work my way up to 'help' status.

best of luck tonight!

[Bezerk15]

It's not really classy to openly FADE a players picks...but right now, it's not a bad idea to fade MACHINE and lean towards TPowell...my 2 cents

[50lipa]

I'm leaning to fading Machine aswell..

[Dexter]

It's not really classy to openly FADE a players picks...but right now, it's not a bad idea to fade MACHINE and lean towards TPowell...my 2 cents

extremely classless

[solobass]

Thanks Dexter and CK on the Jazz update and the green light to tonights picks, but i need your help on this one. Machine is all over Vandy -8 and TPowell is not just big but huge on Alabama +8, his 15 unit play.

Opinions?

-8 is too much chalk to eat on vandy in my opinion but i am not playing that game.

[Dexter]

2/6/09

the suns will be looking for revenge off of the embarassing blowout (game was not as close as the final) loss at golden state last game. home and home angle at play for phx who is also 3-1 last 4 at home ats to the warriors (winning by 11ppg). projected line of -9

-suns

[solobass]

extremely classless

fade teams, not cappers with one caveat. if someone says alert alert or it is a lock, then fade that!

[cheesehead004]

God damnit I was too late with Boston. you guys think there's still value at -7?

[schaapattack]

Go ahead and give kobie +7 and you will pay for it after its over....very dumb to give lakers that many...show me 1 game this year the lost by 8 or more!

[shoebox]

Cheese yeah tons of value. At home no Bynum, as long as Kobe dont put up 70 we should be ok

[solobass]

also just put in this parlay


1. Basketball - Penn State - spread +4½ (-110)
for the entire game held on Feb 5 at 7:00pm [pending] 2. Basketball - Xavier - moneyline (-420)
for the entire game held on Feb 5 at 7:00pm [pending] 3. Basketball - Butler - moneyline (-380)
for the 1st half held on Feb 5 at 8:00pm [pending] 4. Basketball - Illinois - spread +4 (-115)
for the entire game held on Feb 5 at 9:00pm [pending]
$500 to win $2291

[esz04]

Go ahead and give kobie +7 and you will pay for it after its over....very dumb to give lakers that many...show me 1 game this year the lost by 8 or more!

Actually, the Lakers have lost 3 of their 9 losses by 8 or more. They also lost a 4th by exactly 7.

New Orleans(116-105)
Sacramento (113-101)
Detroit (106-95)
Charlotte (117-110) (OT and I know Kobe fouled out)

[Bezerk15]

Dex/Solo - exactly my point, my verbage was meant in that form - fade Vandy (not the capper that made the pick)

one more caveat - if you say Alert, Alert, Alert or LOCK and that capper comes back with MAD hostility and aggression when anyone posses a question or counter that play - then it is time to FADE their thread - no need to be hostile and aggressive when we all have one common goal - MAKE MONEY!

[Dexter]

Go ahead and give kobie +7 and you will pay for it after its over....very dumb to give lakers that many...show me 1 game this year the lost by 8 or more!

i'll show ya 3 -

11/14 - lost by 11 to detroit
12/9 - lost by 12 to sacremento
1/6 - lost by 11 to NO

[solobass]

Go ahead and give kobie +7 and you will pay for it after its over....very dumb to give lakers that many...show me 1 game this year the lost by 8 or more!

has happened 3 times this year with one other being 7 right on the button. so the lakers out of all of their games (48) have only lost by 7 or more 8.3% this year.

[schaapattack]

Not bad 3 out of 48 games...good luck with that...THATS 17% OF THE TIME...LIKE I SAID...BETTER BUY A FEW POINTS BECAUSE YOUR ON THE WRONG SIDE OF THAT GAME