CK's Carjacking the NCAA Threads Leans for Thursday 2/5/09

[cards52]

nah, celtics dumped on the lakers by double digits twice last year and again, no bynum for this tilt. also, why else would the line jump from 5.5 to 7 with more money on the lakers? The books want to make sure they don't lose here. As much money as boston wins their backers, the books need to take every advantage of matches like this where they can win some of it back by getting everyone off the c's.

I wanted to correct something in this post. The line moved from 5.5 to 7 in the Celtics/Lakers game because more money is on the Celtics, not the Lakers. The percentages you see at insights and other places are not the amount of money bet, but he number of bets. So, in this specific game a greater number of people like the Lakers, but more money is being bet on the Celtics, hence the line move. The books are not looking to gamble by taking a side, especially in a high profile, high volume game like this.

[johnnyP]

BOSTON MASSACRE 2009!!!

Celts playing the Lakers in Boston tonight. The best team in the league versus the team that beat them on Christmas day in front of the whole country and the media wont let them forget about it. Kevin Garnet has been so worked up about this game that Celts management had to sit him for the past 2 games so he wouldn't kill someone. Tonight he is out for blood. He might bite someone. Do not take your young children to the Boston Garden because its going to get messy.

The Celts will quiet the haters about who the best team is right now. This is THE statement game if there ever was one! Look for the Celts to go nuts on team defense and Rondo to push the ball taking a step closer to becoming a true all star point guard. Paul Pierce and Ray Allen continue to earn their big salaries tonight.

Side note:
The Ref's for tonights game are:
J. Capers
M. McCutchen (IRISH)
L. Wood

The Money Train is leaving in a few hours boys... all aboard!!

CELTICS -10

[handimann]

Glad I could add a little insight on the Brand injury Dex. Think it's the first time I've ever had any.

brand doesn't matter. they were basically playing without him anyway and the oddsmakers knew it. line moved from 5.5 to 5 after official word came out on espn.

[mixpicks]

Buying & Shopping For Points.

All Pro's Do It, Why (short answer)Because It's Smart
Amatures, Never seem to care about the pts. they also think their paying for something,
Only Losers (bets) Pay for those pts.
CK, Why bother to acknowledge, keep doing what your doing, I know (we) You have been at this and earning a pay for a long time, so keep doing what your doing. and to that guy it's cool to ask IF, your willing to learn, but to make statements with out any logic makes No Sence/ Money..
GLTA...
-------------------------------------------------------
yo, dex, dame That really makes sence with Boston tonight, Now Thats a Game IMO that the pts. is what will make all the difference, IMO It should be a tight game, ultimatly Boston will win, but by how much? That's the question, (By How Much) I also think this game is ripe for a Middle Opportunity. As pro's know it's Not just picking the winner, all about the pts. and What's The Best Combination, to play this? I think Bos. wins by just short of "DD" Bos Wins By>5-6-7-or maybe even 8// Boston M/L/or bos-?//Lakers+ pts.? Now What's The Best Value Here?

[repski]

brand doesn't matter. they were basically playing without him anyway and the oddsmakers knew it. line moved from 5.5 to 5 after official word came out on espn.

they play better without him..

[shoebox]

Johnny p irish refs, there skrewed now!!

[repski]

Penn St/Michigan

one thing to contemplate with Mich....they play #1 UConn on Sat...

usually I'd say look ahead..but they aren't good enough

no play for me as PSU could have a let down after Mich St win...

similar position to their Minnesota beat down..

[mixpicks]

"jonny p" what tout site is that write up from,? and is this their "30 dime" or GOY/ week, Is it one of those and are they Any Good? record...
Sounds Good Thro, BOL...
"Think I'll Just throw a "dollar" on BOSTON, and dollar Bos M/L (Open Par)
and root for them, because, I grew up in Brookline (Boston)
and now live in (Venice)LA
yea, That's The Ticket.
maybe if one is on da fence they may want to consider this...
Bos-pts. Fun "dollar
Bos M/L Open Par (small)
===============
maybe add: Lakers+10 open Par? (small)
Hope I'm making some sence?
--------------------------------
...and what about BOSTON 1st. Quarter Their 1st "Q" Record Is nearly perfect.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Why I'm I Not 100% conviced on Boston to make this a regular size or Big str8 Bet?

[mixpicks]

cards52 Good Info. I didn't check SI
WOW, I'll ck. But If that Is The Case Now I starting to Love BOSTON.
cards52, So, there should also be "Smart Money" moves on BOSTON then, right, did u see any, and is there any "Steam Moves" on Bos? I Need To Check, Thanks, for the heads up.
GLTA...

[johnnyP]

mixpicks i'm not sure what your saying but if your from Brookline then you should be rooting for the GREEN! And if you like MONEY then you should be betting on the Celts no matter where you are from.
Brookline is cool I used to hang around Kenmore Square a lot when I was younger.

I write my own silly write ups and if I share a pro's I will tell you. Good luck man! Was just kidding about KG biting someone. =) Although, Paul Gasol will feel he has been assaulted by the end of the night!!!

[nonsense48]

nba hero has turned out to be a very worthy opponent in the tourney. whomever faces him in the next round best beware as he does his homework.

[nonsense48]

CK, if you would please, call me if you get a chance to discuss an on-line service for baseball as i'd like to get in position as soon as possible and maybe throw them a little action on other than baseball before it starts.

[nonsense48]

CK, does the missus have a baseball account as well? my little lovely is interested as well.

[jtnguyen79]

is anyone else seeing -10.5 for st mary and -12.5 for davidson?

[vicmackey]

Hey mixpicks,

there are 2 steam moves on boston but both negative units (si)


vicmackey

[mixpicks]

thanks, JP Go YES GO,"Green" It's just I don't like to wager as a Fan. I would just as easy bet aganest them.
However, Now,Boston dos look like a sharp play, I see RLM and all...


P/S Nice Entertaining Write up, BOL...
----------------------------------------------------------------
"Root, Root, root for the Green Team"...

[repski]

USF/St. Mary's notes

Before its win over Loyola Marymount on Jan. 31, San Francisco had lost nine straight games to Division I opponents. Its only victory in that span came against Division II Cal State East Bay.

• USF started the Jan. 31 Loyola Marymount game 1-for-8 from the field and got behind 11-2 but held the Lions without a field goal for a span of more than 12 minutes to take control.

• San Francisco had beaten Pepperdine six straight times before the loss on Jan. 29.


Losing five in a row heading into the Jan. 29 game against Pepperdine was bad enough, but losing to the Waves at San Francisco set a new standard. It was the Dons’ most disappointing loss in a long time, considering the circumstances.

Pepperdine had won only four games overall before the Jan. 29 game and was winless on the road. It had lost its previous four games by a combined margin of 94 points.

[nonsense48]

well gang, time to close up shop and grab a bite to eat with my sweet thang and head to the ranch for a nice quite eve after i tend to my garden i'll be able to kick back and relax. my picks are locked in and posted on the first page of the thread. GOOD LUCK EVERYONE AND BLESSED BE. LET'S GET 'EM DEX AND CK AND EVERYONE ELSE TOO NUMEROUS TO LIST BUT MY FRIENDS ONE AND ALL AND ALL THE SAME. type to you when i get to the ranch.

[freeVICK]

at my book st marys 1h just went from -11 to -9.5... the game line is now at -16.5

what do you guys have

[ANDYW15]

Jazz line moving in the right direction now -3.5

[flavo-ice]

gonz-10 is the smallest spread gonz has given portland in quite sometime and gonz beat port about 3 wks.ago by 17pts. so for me gonz-10 is the obvious choice here unless i'm missing something. someone mentioned about gonz trying to get national recognition which seems odd since gonz has gone to the big dance year after year for too many years to count now and have done very well. i should think they have very good national recognition

That may have been me talking about national exposure, not recognition, as Gonzaga has a national tv game this Saturday against Memphis, which is their big opportunity to solidify a spot in the big dance. Very well may be looking past Portland to this showdown.

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

Dex, tomorrow I'm liking Memphis at home against the Clipps & Orlando away against the Pacers. Maybe a smaller play on the Suns, home and away series system but 9.5 to get against a rejuvenated Warriors team is a fair bit for the Suns.

Memphis showed against the Lakers they could play well and have recently had large wins (>9 points) against Washington and Memphis consequtively. While the Clippers have lost their last 5 games by an average of greater than 20 points. Historically there isn't too much to compare as it's about 50-50 but Memphis won the last game, which was at home by 12 points. Liking the Grizzlies here as they have beening playing well lately and the Clippers vice versa.


Orlando are playing the Pacers who are back to back and playing their third game in four nights. The last five games against the Pacers, Orlando is 4-0-1, with 2 of the wins in Indy. The last 2 games against Indy Orlando have won by an average of 19 points. Orlando is 17-5 ATS against versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game and 14-2 versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game. Leaning Orlando here, but will review it... best case scenario is Indy win tonight and then Orlando has a blowout tomorrow.

[gameday10]

got davidson -12 1h but it has moved to -13 now.

[KingKing]

CK, thank you very much for sharing your valuable insight with us.

[Dfjay9]

I'm all over Magic tomorrow. Early spreads are only -5. I might hammer that tonight.

Anyone coming off a BTB playing the magic. Just give me the money now. Been doing it all season

[peetlui]

well gang, time to close up shop and grab a bite to eat with my sweet thang and head to the ranch for a nice quite eve after i tend to my garden i'll be able to kick back and relax. my picks are locked in and posted on the first page of the thread. GOOD LUCK EVERYONE AND BLESSED BE. LET'S GET 'EM DEX AND CK AND EVERYONE ELSE TOO NUMEROUS TO LIST BUT MY FRIENDS ONE AND ALL AND ALL THE SAME. type to you when i get to the ranch.

Enjoy you quality time non. I really like your gonzaga pick. Methinks they'll run away with this one against the pilots. They've averaged over 20 pts on their previous seven wins and the only one that came close was st marys which they took also. I think thy'll be very focused here 'cause if they take this one they stand a good chance of going undefeated since the next time they play st marys mills will be out. The pilots are playing well and thy're at home but I think the bulldogs will be looking to shut them early.

[ANDYW15]

Celtics line moved back down to -6.5 at my book now.

[peetlui]

That may have been me talking about national exposure, not recognition, as Gonzaga has a national tv game this Saturday against Memphis, which is their big opportunity to solidify a spot in the big dance. Very well may be looking past Portland to this showdown.

I think this game is more important although their memphis game WILL give them top 25 consideration. They lose this one and they'll be tied with portland which will motivate them to play hard and try to finish them off early imo.

[cocknocker]

yes, non, she does. She started one up and was amazed at how easy it is to do! She was like no way! This is like stealing!

We use Greek for the day to day wagers and Betus for the live betting. I actually think that the Greek is better for it, but you have to call and set up an alias account in order to do it the right way ifyou already have one, or just keep the one you have and let that one be it, and get another account somewhere else.

[Dexter]

CK, does the missus have a baseball account as well? my little lovely is interested as well.

girls still dig old men???!!!!!

[schaapattack]

DAVIDSON

[schaapattack]

Whats a alias acount

[Dexter]

Dex, tomorrow I'm liking Memphis at home against the Clipps & Orlando away against the Pacers. Maybe a smaller play on the Suns, home and away series system but 9.5 to get against a rejuvenated Warriors team is a fair bit for the Suns.

Memphis showed against the Lakers they could play well and have recently had large wins (>9 points) against Washington and Memphis consequtively. While the Clippers have lost their last 5 games by an average of greater than 20 points. Historically there isn't too much to compare as it's about 50-50 but Memphis won the last game, which was at home by 12 points. Liking the Grizzlies here as they have beening playing well lately and the Clippers vice versa.


Orlando are playing the Pacers who are back to back and playing their third game in four nights. The last five games against the Pacers, Orlando is 4-0-1, with 2 of the wins in Indy. The last 2 games against Indy Orlando have won by an average of 19 points. Orlando is 17-5 ATS against versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game and 14-2 versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game. Leaning Orlando here, but will review it... best case scenario is Indy win tonight and then Orlando has a blowout tomorrow.

check out the prez's nba record folks - thats filthy..

[freeVICK]

wow davidson is a joke

[cocknocker]

Nice write up, Obama Mania