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As Riceboi has stated already Boston 7/5 Bet 2 has passed, it was played on the 18th.Comment -
7/5 Plays DEC 19
No Plays
7/5 Plays DEC 20
No Plays
Results:
Bet 1: 7-8
Bet 2: 5-3
Utah 11/2
Portland 11/25
Boston 12/14Comment -
There was a post in the other thread that said some thing about being able to quit your job if the system keeps going the way it is. Made me think about $100 unit bettors and how much they have made so far if following 3 systems; Wallco chase110, 7/5, and Stiffs, Following 3 systems blindly even though plays overlap quite often you would be up around 94 units or $9,400 if you started with a $10,000 bankroll. Only 1/3 of the way through the season and have almost 100% return on investment. Might as well kiss any 401k, stock, or other small investments away and focus on grinding out sports betting. Of course never quit your job and become professional sports bettor unless you have a massive unit size of $300 + to have a decent living.
Keep this gravy train rolling.
Also wanted to mention MLB for a second because people always talk about fading the public etc. I have been testing public trends for the top play of the day and it will take a while to get a 5 year test on it, but flat betting against the public at least the first few months of last season is extremely profitable.
In my test I have been writing down the top team, date, and juice on each one. Lot of the public favorites range between -150 to -250 juice. Public through first few months of last season is hitting around 55% on their "top play." Which means betting the underdog other side even though lower win percentage basically prints money. Only short sample of course and maybe means nothing since bookies favorites did very poorly as we all seen through the On3 system. Just a note for those looking forward to printing money in MLB in the next few months.
When I get my full backtest done some time next month ill be sure to post the excel sheet with the graphs. I am trying to test favorites as well as dogs to see how following and fading the public goes.
GOod Luck on todays plays if any.Comment -
Limit, to avoid further questions cause I seen the Boston series mentioned twice yesterday and was answered several times. Maybe note the two losers in Red so people can see, at least some people will notice they were not a play. I'm sure questions will still be asked, but may limit the amount. Keep up the good work.Comment -
Download the spreadsheet for the JM plays and also get one for the NBA season. You will know all games for JM and if/when an "A" bet loses, Limit will tell you if it's a 7/5 play on the JM "B" bet. Not all JM "A" losses become 7/5 plays. Not quite sure exactly, something about the team losing by 3 points off that games spread. Close?, Limit, Wallco? Plus, you won't have to wait for steve to come and post the JM plays...he works late!!!Last edited by BuckeyeKaptn; 12-20-12, 05:00 PM.Comment -
The A bet has to lose by 3 1/2 points to the spread to make it a play. This allows for the JM buying three points plus an additional 1/2 point that was proven to be effective through backtest. I am back playing my 1/3/5 again. I was doing some math and it may actually outperform the others all season.Comment -
hey have any of ya'll had access to or seen JM's NBA is rigged system? And how good it is or has been? I know there's a play tonight based on the email I received from him today. Always marketing new shit, never ends.Comment -
Im on my phone so can't check exact numbers. thought stiff was +40ish, chase110 +24, and jm 24ish... ill trust your math since its precise 99% of the time. thanks for exact number.
Feel like Im missing out on profits cause i am only doing my own. Need to stop worrying about over lapping games and bet blind i guess.Comment -
Why did you decide jump back on 1-3-5? i know this year its way ahead, but overall?Comment -
Well, for starters there is 1 unit profit for every A bet win. The C bet wins in both systems are 5 units, so no losss there. The difference is the B bets. My way gets 3 units, 7/5 gets 7. The difference is 4 units for every B bet win. This is more than made up by the next three items:
1) Profits from all A bets.
2) B bet or C bet wins that the 7/5 system skipped, because the A bet covered the spread plus 3 1/2 points but did not cover the -110. (Yes, I may have a loss that 7/5 doesn't get also, I do understand that.
3) A loss in 1/3/5 is 4.39 units less than a 7/5 loss.
I am in no way demeaning the 7/5 method, I helped put it together at the beginning stages, and limit0310 did ALL the backtesting. But I am going to try this for a while and see how it goes. I did well the past two seasons and see no reason why it won't continue. There is no reason anyone should switch from 7/5 to 1/3/5 based on anything I have said. The 7/5 has been proven successful as well.Comment -
Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 25-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +25.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-3.41 units)
v1 Plays
(A) 17-9
(B) 5-4
(C) 3-0
(D) 0-0
Games for (12/21/12):
#25 Atlanta @ Philadelphia (+2½) (C) (7:05 pm EST)
#27 Washington @ Detroit (M/L) (A) (7:35 pm EST)
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.Last edited by Wallco99; 12-21-12, 03:01 PM.Comment -
I have JM's "rigged/racist" system on pdf. It's a joke. It has to do with the ratio of white to black players on a given team. He claims the refs will favor the team with more white players. He does not take into account for bi-racial players and only claims a better than 53% win ratio. Its good reading for a laugh.
P.S. we tried running it in the JM NBA thread either last year or the year before and it was difficult to keep track of and it performed lousy.Comment -
i want to be apart of this money team can someone tell me what to risk on these playComment -
Phill at +2 1/2Trying to recruit members via pm to split week subscription of a handicapper 1/11/13 annieComment -
Are you guys playing several systems @1%+ each?Comment -
you still didnt answer my questionComment -
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you are right and i will not quote the plays again but i need you to verify my output on the posted plays. i understand this is a chase system and the atlanta play has a c by it which means this is a high risk high reward pick right? and the pistions bet is the start of a chase right? so am i wrong to lay 220 on the c bet and a small play of like 55 on the start of the chaseComment -
You have to decide your unit amounts and stick with them for ALL plays. I would treat BOTH plays as an A bet if I were you. If we happen to lose this series, then you would still have two chances to win it that we wouln't have. Progressive betting method is explained in my #219 post. Please read it, I don't wish to explain the A, B, C, D bet amounts yet again.Comment -
Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 25-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +25.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-3.41 units)
v1 Plays
(A) 17-9
(B) 5-4
(C) 3-0
(D) 0-0
Games for (12/21/12):
#25 Atlanta @ Philadelphia (+2½) (C) (7:05 pm EST)
#27 Washington @ Detroit (M/L) (A) (7:35 pm EST)
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.Comment
..i don't think dr. jm get's alot of referral sales.
