EP36's Prop Shop

Les_Nuts · 03-05-12, 09:01 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

3.5.12

Utah C Al Jefferson Total Rebounds Over 9.5 [-115]
Jefferson has double digit rebound totals in eight of his last eleven overall. He had a monster game against Cleveland when they met earlier this season with 30 pts. & 12 rebounds. Cavs have injury issues in the middle, so they have been mixing & matching players. Opposing big men have been dominating the boards mostly against them.

. When he had 7 rebounds at the half and 9 after the 3rd I thought it destined to stay at 9, reminiscent of some recent plays. Good call.

EaglesPhan36 · 03-06-12, 06:57 PM

3.6.12

Miami SF Lebron James Total Points Over 28 [-115]

EaglesPhan36 · 03-06-12, 08:34 PM

Well that is screwed. Blowout game and Lebron only took 4 shots in the 1st half.

EaglesPhan36 · 03-07-12, 07:40 PM

3.7.12

Milwaukee PG Brandon Jennings Over 18 [-110]
Good groove for Jennings with 27+ in three straight. He scored 20 last time they played Chicago. Would help greatly if Milwaukee kept the game close for three quarters.

EaglesPhan36 · 03-07-12, 10:09 PM

Nice game Jennings. 4 for 16.

EaglesPhan36 · 03-10-12, 06:18 PM

Record: 45-38-3 [-1.10]

3.10.12

Miami Lebron James Total Rebounds Over 8.5 [-105]Lebron has snared at least nine rebounds in nine of his last 12 overall and in six straight. He had nine in one meeting vs. Indiana and eight in the other this season.

Pick'nParlays · 03-10-12, 06:26 PM

+120 now at 5dimes

alex9 · 03-10-12, 06:27 PM

thx

Pick'nParlays · 03-10-12, 07:05 PM

gsw/dal over 14.5 3's -130

EaglesPhan36 · 03-10-12, 10:21 PM

I'm going with the threes prop too broseph. Unfortunately I got 15.5 @ -115. Still like it though. Curry is back and both these teams are a little lazy defending the perimeter.

Warriors-Mavericks Total Three Point Shots Made Over 15.5 [-115]

EaglesPhan36 · 03-10-12, 10:25 PM

Even OT couldn't save the Lebron prop. Damn near got double OT though until Wade hit that shot.

EaglesPhan36 · 03-11-12, 12:12 AM

Three point prop home in the 3rd.

Pick'nParlays · 03-11-12, 12:25 AM

Originally posted by Pick'nParlays

gsw/dal over 14.5 3's -130

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

I'm going with the threes prop too broseph. Unfortunately I got 15.5 @ -115. Still like it though. Curry is back and both these teams are a little lazy defending the perimeter.

Warriors-Mavericks Total Three Point Shots Made Over 15.5 [-115]

hell yes

EaglesPhan36 · 03-11-12, 04:54 PM

Pacers-Magic Total Three Point Shots Made Over 15 (-125)

Pick'nParlays · 03-11-12, 04:57 PM

bol ep

just cashed my bynum prop

Pick'nParlays · 03-11-12, 05:18 PM

EP,

I love the warriors to land at least 8/9 3's tonight.

Can we expect 7/8 from the clippers? If this was at Oracle.... no brainer. 15.5 is plenty and I want the line while it is +100 bc come game time (last game in nba tonight) the squares will juice the hell out of it.

Me and you prop bet a bunch bro... Talk me out of it if you think it doesnt add up.

EaglesPhan36 · 03-11-12, 06:16 PM

Seems a good shot. I was looking at that or David Lee Rebounds Over 9.5. Way I see the Clips and Warriors, both teams can get double digits on any night and both defenses have been pretty poor against the 3 lately. Only thing that scares me a bit on that 3 prop is G-State has been awful on the road some nights shooting the ball from deep.

EaglesPhan36 · 03-11-12, 06:36 PM

I'm going David Lee.

Golden State PF David Lee Total Rebounds Over 9.5 [-140]

Pick'nParlays · 03-11-12, 06:56 PM

agreed as stated earlier... at oracle no brainer

Les_Nuts · 03-11-12, 07:00 PM

What's with the insane juice you pay? Can get that exact bet on pinnacle at -120

Pick'nParlays · 03-11-12, 07:00 PM

took both

if they arnt making the 3's then Dlee will be there for that 10th board.

however, EP.... My bets are based on the idea that both can hit. 16 3's and DLee for the boards. Leaning 3's. Wish you the best

Pick'nParlays · 03-11-12, 07:02 PM

Les- EP is not far off the props line sway closer to game time (duh)

5d is -135. I always shop and this was at -115 30 minutes ago. It varies my brotha.

Pick'nParlays · 03-11-12, 07:03 PM

Showing Wagers 1 - 2 of 2

113065405-1

3/11/12 7:58pm

$253.88

$230.80

Pending

3/11/12 9:30pm Props Basketball 8711 3-Pt FG's made over 15½ -110*<small style="padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; ">vs</small> 3-Pt FG's made under 15½

113065273-1

3/11/12 7:56pm

$135.00

$100.00

Pending

3/11/12 9:30pm Props Basketball 8719 D.Lee rebounds over 9½ -135*<small style="padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; ">vs</small> D.Lee rebounds under 9½

Totals:

$388.88

$330.80

Showing Wagers 1 - 2 of 2

Pick'nParlays · 03-11-12, 07:03 PM

sorry for the mess.

Les_Nuts · 03-11-12, 07:04 PM

I just think that is a lot a juice to give up at the cost of placing it a different book. Of course I know they sway a bit towards the game but shopping around pays

Pick'nParlays · 03-11-12, 07:07 PM

shopping lines is always important. late juice is more vital. this was +100 earlier

5mike5 · 03-11-12, 07:23 PM

5dimes odds are so much better om the +props, but thats all i play

Pick'nParlays · 03-11-12, 07:24 PM

les- let me clarify. shopping lines is vital but a smart player prop capper would without doubt cap his own players within the matchup and get on that line earlier prior to squares which we all know kill our lines last 30 minutes. That was my point. get away from last minute prop bets. At that point we are already squares.

5mike5 · 03-11-12, 07:26 PM

i hit ALOT of my last minute prop bets...and i mean alot more than my early prop wagers, but usually when i get my best odds too is last min....but im on opposite side of the juice on every prop play i make so its different circumstances than most prop players

GL tonight EG36 and company!!

Les_Nuts · 03-11-12, 09:57 PM

I don't think you understand my point. I was saying why take it at -140 when you can get it at -120 at another book? I have no idea what you are going on about tbh

EaglesPhan36 · 03-11-12, 11:17 PM

I play where I have my money right now and that's only at one book because it's an easier out. Bottom line for me, pick winners and you don't have to hassle over 10 or 15 cents if that's the difference.

Lee hit barely with 10 boards, thought it was gonna be a fukk job with all the foul trouble he was in and the blowout. Thank goodness G-State let them back into the game. Tough beat on the 3 prop, just not enough shots taken.

Les_Nuts · 03-11-12, 11:27 PM

Good hit EP, the fouling must have been a worry but he ground it out. LAC did you in on the 3 point prop they were pretty inefficient from downtown - CP3 not hitting all game is madness! Thanks for the explanation, its no big deal was just suggesting you can get a better price. As you say, though, keep hitting them and it doesn't matter. GL

EaglesPhan36 · 03-12-12, 06:25 AM

Yeah that's why I skipped the 3 prop for the Lee prop. Since the Billups injury, Clippers seem hard to gauge to me on the threes. They have had plenty of nights where they hit double digit threes, but they also have nights like yesterday. Not very consistent it seems.

Record: 47-40-3 [-1.30]

FlaxMartin · 03-12-12, 01:54 PM

Any thoughts on boozer over/under 16.0 points?

FlaxMartin · 03-12-12, 02:01 PM

Am I the only one, to believe that rondo over 13.5 points is a good play at +105? Seems like he should be able to get a few easy layups today.