Fuckn blows
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Ankle injury. Suck.Comment -
Record: 16-15-2 [-1.70]
2.7.12
[8pm ET]
Minnesota Luke Ridnour Total Points Over 12.5 [-130]
Ridnour torched Sacramento for 25 in the 1st meeting on 10/14 shooting. He's been better at home for most of the year and is coming off 22 and 16 point efforts in his last two at home. It will be interesting to see if he gets more attention tonight after that 1st meeting and with Love out due to suspension. Ridnour has scored at least 20 the last three times these two teams have met.
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I see you like the players overs, so do I. Likin' that one, but I really think the Kings might surprise tonight, so I'll stay out. Someone def. needs to pickup the slack with Love out. GL
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Yeah I rarely do unders, every once in awhile when one jumps out - but I am drawn to the overs. Just hoping Ridnour gets 12 shots or more.Comment -
8 so far in the 1st quarter. Luuuuuuuuuke!Comment -
any play on gsw game?Comment -
Fukk and then o-fer the 2nd Q. I like the Dorell Wright Over 13.5 the best, but not sure if I am playing that.Comment -
0-for-7 since opening 4/5. Stuck on 8.Comment -
Can't seem to find any luck with these lately. Injuries. Hot then ice cold.
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Thunder-Warriors Total Three Pointers Made Over 14 [-130]
Warriors will have to do the heavy work here, but they are capable of double digit makes any night and made 12 in the first meeting. OKC is like a lot of NBA clubs, not great three point numbers - but several streaky shooters who are capable of filling it up. Thinking five needed by OKC and G-State can do the rest to at least push here.
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Getting f-ed on the vig every day even when going 1-1. Damn prop prices.
Record: 17-16-2 [-2.00]Comment -
2.8.12
Heat-Magic Total Three Point Shots Made Over 14.5 [-115]
Relatively low total here for a Magic-related game. Orlando as we know is the most prolific three point shooting team in the league. They average almost ten makes per game and have the potential for double digit makes in any game. Miami ranks 2nd in 3 pt. efficiency at 39%, but only average about five makes per game. Still, Miami has several shooters we know can run off a hot streak like Chalmers, Miller, Jones, Battier and even Lebron on some nights. Miami has been hot from 3 lately, hitting 42% in their last five.
Minnesota Ricky Rubio Total Assists Over 9.5 [-135]
Love this kid, great showman and assist man. He's hit for double digit assists in eight of his last ten and dished out ten the first time the T-Wolves played Memphis.
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Rubio zero assists in a half. Wow. 3 pt. prop hit easy fortunately. Gonna look at Houston-Portland for something.Comment -
Houston Kyle Lowry Total Points + Assists Over 23.5 [-130]Comment -
Record: 18-18-2 [-3.65]
Rough sledding, but I push on.
2.9.12
OKC Kevin Durant Total Points Over 28.5 [-130]
Who on Sacramento can guard Durant? Salmons too short. Thompson too slow. Durant is in a great stretch where he has scored 30+ in five of his last seven. He lit Sacto up twice in three meetings last season for over 30. Durant is also averaging almost 33 ppg @ Sacramento in his last five trips there.
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I had that rubio pick too, that guy sucked balls last night.
I have Nash > 10.5 assists vs. Rockets in what I hope to be an up-tempo game
Staying away from OKC, dont know what young teams do with their basketball games being on national tv.Comment -
Cannot catch a break here. Durant had two great quarters and then two crap quarters ... really the 3rd I blame on Westbrook taking every f-ing shot. Asshole took 26 shots to Durant's 19 and Durant only had 19 because he took a lot in the 4th Q. 27 pts. Fukk .. off!
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Record: 18-19-2 [-4.95]
2.10.12
Hawks-Magic Total Three Point Shots Made Over 14.5 [-115]
Magic are hot from deep and remain capable any night of hitting double digits from beyond the arc. Atlanta is shooting the 3 efficiently on the road @ 41%. Hawks aren't the volume shooters that Orlando are, but they've got 4-5 guys who are all capable of filling it up. Feeling for me here is if Orlando gets around their average of 9 or better, Hawks can get 5-6 needed to get this done.
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Finally some luck. OT cashes that one.
Thunder-Jazz Total Three Point Shots Made Over 10 [-125]
Yes, the Jazz are near the bottom of the league in three point shots made. I know they're not going to give likely more than about four here, but again with a team with streaky shooters like Wesbrook, Harden, Durant and Cook - OKC could well do 70-80% of the damage here. Also, the Thunder have been scuffling defensively against the three point shot. They're allowing about 38% over their last five. OKC is averaging right about eight makes per game on their current four game road trip. If they hit 7 or more, I'll take my chances that even the Jazz can get three or four.
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Record: 19-20-2 [-5.20]
Spurs Tony Parker Total Points Over 19.5 [-130]
Blazers LaMarcus Aldridge Total Points Over 23 [-105]
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2.12.12
Pistons Greg Monroe Total Points + Rebounds Over 28.5 [-125]
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LBJ rebounds + assists Over 15 (+130)
gl on ur prop plays tonight!Comment -
Monroe home in the 3rd. One more for tonight.
Rockets-Warriors Total Three Point Shots Made Over 15 [-110]
Both teams have three-four shooters who can fill it up, so this number to me isn't that big considering both can get double digits any given night. Both have been hot @ 40% over their last five.
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also added: millsap Over 9.5 rebs (+135)
has had 10+ boards in 5 of last 6 games...too much value for me to pass up on
p.s. i only bet on +100 and lower props..i just dont like juiced up props.i just try and find a cherry in the stack with long odds with props...did great on NFL using that system, hoping NBA will be good too, tonight my 1st night of NBA props, just the 2 i posted
GOODLUCKComment -
Record: 22-21-2 [-3.50]
Finally got a little roll going, 3-1 the last two days. Next stop ... trying to get back to positive units won.
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2.13.12
Suns-Warriors Total Three Point Shots Made Over 15.5 [-130]
Golden State is white hot shooting the three at 48% over their last five. They've hit double digits in three of their last five and no less than eight in that same stretch. Suns are giving up close to 40% in their last five from deep, so G-State should continue to fire away. PHX for their part have enough shooters to add anywhere from 6-10 to the mix here and I think that makes this a good try for the over. First meeting saw 15 makes back in early January between these two.
Orlando Ryan Anderson Total Points Over 15.5 [-125]
I think Anderson is a tough match-up for the Timberwolves. He hit them well last year coming off the bench with 19 and 15 points. With the versatility of Anderson & Turkoglu, Minnesota has to assign Johnson or Love to pair up against those two which should be a match-up Orlando can exploit one way or the other. Anderson has played solid ball at home this year with 17 or better in four of his last five at home. If the Magic work his versatility to their advantage, he should have a shot to get this done.
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Perfectly terrible. 10 1st Q points and Anderson just now scores again with 1:00 to go. 13.Comment -
Two steps forward, two steps back.
Record: 22-23-2 [-6.05]
2.14.12
Miami Lebron James Total Points Over 27 [-125]
LBJ coming in off his best shooting night of the year, 16/21 against Milwaukee. He'd been in a bit of a lull over the last couple of weeks scoring-wise, so that could boost him. That along with playing Indiana who he has routinely abused. It's a bad match-up for the Pacers who will throw Granger at him. LBJ had 33 in the 1st meeting sans D-Wade. Last year, James still abused this club mostly [25, 27, 27] and I am expecting another solid game tonight.
Houston Kevin Martin Total Points Over 18.5 [-130]
Martin finally broke out of his slump against Golden State last time out with 21, including 5/11 of beyond the arc. Martin had four of his biggest games last year against Memphis, hitting for 28 or better all four times. He had some back spasms against the Warriors, but maybe he needed that to unslump. Feed the man the ball.
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Knicks Jeremy Lin Total Assists Over 8 [-140]
Shitty chalk, but he dished out eight or more in three of the last four and has no less than seven in his starts. Assuming A'mare can make some shots, I would guess Lin will find him tonight on plenty of opportunities.
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had this prop too
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bynum Over 12.5 rebs (+105)
GL tonight 36Comment -
Fawk. No more Houston props for me, their player rotations baffle me. Maybe Martin was hurting or something, but even outside of him I see guys who don't get enough minutes on this team routinely. Did not expect the Heat to kill the Pacers, that kills the Lebron prop. Would have hit easy if he got to play some in the 4th. At least Lin did it up.Comment -
What book do you play EP??? Seems like 5dimes doest have those nba propComment