John Morrison 2011-12 NBA Thread

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  • Wallco99
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-01-11
    • 7261

    #1506
    Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
    Thanks Kev. Got my 2pts for the day. Gave me a little more then what I expected.


    Det looks like it will cover the "D" if anyone made it

    --JMD
    It was an "A" bet, but I'll take it!
    Comment
    • keemosabi
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-11-10
      • 199

      #1507
      How can a team be this bad? 5 turnovers with 4 minutes left in the first quarter.
      Comment
      • dlunc3
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-31-09
        • 9129

        #1508
        ughh.. hopefully noone went all in on this garbage.. or even the 18 units required for both systems... ugly.. hope it turns around, i ended up going more then i wanted to too
        Comment
        • Riceboi
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-03-11
          • 857

          #1509
          this is ugly, hopefully the can cover by the end of game
          Comment
          • ChiLLx
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-24-11
            • 5412

            #1510
            Bobcats are pathetic, but 15 points is doable for backdoor cover.
            Comment
            • keemosabi
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-11-10
              • 199

              #1511
              When does Portland pull its starters?
              Comment
              • onacloud
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-14-10
                • 5360

                #1512
                I might refuse to play Bobcats in future plays after this series
                Comment
                • keemosabi
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-11-10
                  • 199

                  #1513
                  I'm ashamed of myself for ever putting a single dollar on the Bobcats.
                  Comment
                  • dlunc3
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-31-09
                    • 9129

                    #1514
                    not over yet boys... for any of us that was on boston last night, philly 2 nights ago, and also gs last week... we all know that coming back from 20 points in a matter of minutes is possible... not likely, but possible...
                    Comment
                    • jcygts6
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-05-09
                      • 3316

                      #1515
                      yea maybe if bobbies go on a 30-0 run lol
                      DO WORK + KROW OD
                      do work! do work! do work! do work!
                      od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                      Comment
                      • ChiLLx
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-24-11
                        • 5412

                        #1516
                        Originally posted by ChiLLx
                        Bobcats are pathetic, but 15 points is doable for backdoor cover.
                        Down 44 at the end of the 3rd forget what I said. Glad I didn't risk the normal amount on this series.
                        Comment
                        • Riceboi
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-03-11
                          • 857

                          #1517
                          this is dead almost a 50 pt lead going into 4th.
                          Comment
                          • keemosabi
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 12-11-10
                            • 199

                            #1518
                            Anyone stupid enough as me to chase this lost series by fading the Bobcats next game?
                            Comment
                            • dlunc3
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-31-09
                              • 9129

                              #1519
                              Who is ready for the JM V1 C bet on Saturday

                              Can we take 3 losses in this thread within 4 days of each other?
                              Comment
                              • Riceboi
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-03-11
                                • 857

                                #1520
                                To make my money back i'm gonna fade the bobcats the rest of season when they play on the road vs good home teams(portland, okc, clips, jazz, 76ers, etc) i'm sure they will cover about 25% of the time or less lol.
                                Comment
                                • 1gamer
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-09-11
                                  • 723

                                  #1521
                                  That was painful to watch
                                  Comment
                                  • COYLO
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-18-10
                                    • 2844

                                    #1522
                                    SBP killed my bankroll so im out for a while, good luck guy's.

                                    i think riceboi has a good idea there, bankroll rebuilder - fade bobcats
                                    Last edited by COYLO; 02-02-12, 02:32 AM.
                                    Comment
                                    • manutd19
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 05-24-11
                                      • 340

                                      #1523
                                      I took my losses in the C bet. I decided not to play the D bet cos this team is pathetic. I had 2 C losses that day and it affected my bankroll. I wish you guys betting on charlotte on JM next C bet luck. Believe me, you wil need it.
                                      Comment
                                      • manutd19
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 05-24-11
                                        • 340

                                        #1524
                                        Originally posted by onacloud
                                        I might refuse to play Bobcats in future plays after this series


                                        Lol.......they and piston are out.
                                        Comment
                                        • COBRA31
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 01-23-12
                                          • 61

                                          #1525
                                          Originally posted by manutd19
                                          I took my losses in the C bet. I decided not to play the D bet cos this team is pathetic. I had 2 C losses that day and it affected my bankroll. I wish you guys betting on charlotte on JM next C bet luck. Believe me, you wil need it.

                                          I do not think I can do it....this team is in a real struggle right now. They would have to be +30 for me to even think about a C bet against the Suns. Suns just hung 120 pts on the hornets . I think another beat down is coming there way.

                                          I hate to abandon the system and not "gamble" , but this one seems like common sense has to come into play at some point.
                                          Comment
                                          • Nino7
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 07-11-09
                                            • 798

                                            #1526
                                            the worst team should be filtered out its not abandonnig the system
                                            Comment
                                            • Aiwiz
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 01-13-12
                                              • 19

                                              #1527
                                              Originally posted by Wallco99
                                              Where is you typical "system bashing" post? I almost didn't recognize you!
                                              want to recognize me now?
                                              Comment
                                              • Aiwiz
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 01-13-12
                                                • 19

                                                #1528
                                                Originally posted by Nino7
                                                the worst team should be filtered out its not abandonnig the system
                                                of course it should be. but supersystemaman walcco says NO FILTERS GUYS
                                                Comment
                                                • Wallco99
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-01-11
                                                  • 7261

                                                  #1529
                                                  Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                                  2011-12 System to date: 28-1 (fin. series)
                                                  System profit/loss: +9.55 units (fin. series)
                                                  Current open series: 1 (-8.26 units)

                                                  (2/1/12):
                                                  #24 Charlotte (+15) (D) - Loss
                                                  #29 Detroit (+6) (A) - Win

                                                  v1 Plays
                                                  (A) 20-8
                                                  (B) 3-5
                                                  (C) 2-3
                                                  (D) 2-0

                                                  V2 Plays
                                                  In production


                                                  Games for (2/2/12):
                                                  #29 New Orleans (+9) @ San Antonio (A) (8:35 pm EST)


                                                  We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a zero point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change, but it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from my post. On occasion, we will have plays that go head-head. The system will grade ALL bets, regardless of opponents, how you wish to play these games is your choice.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Beazydelnegro78
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 01-25-12
                                                    • 12

                                                    #1530
                                                    Any thoughts on these plays?????


                                                    NO 505 4-18 (2-7 V) 33% 183
                                                    SA 506 14-9 (11-1 H) 67% -9
                                                    UNDER 183
                                                    DEN 509 14-7 (7-4 V) 36% 207
                                                    LAC 510 13-6 (10-2 H) 64% -1.5
                                                    OVER 207

                                                    Im new to this but I enjoy y'all knowledge of the sport and love for MONEY!
                                                    Last edited by Beazydelnegro78; 02-02-12, 09:14 AM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • thelimit0310
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-24-11
                                                      • 1233

                                                      #1531
                                                      JM Feb 1

                                                      V1 CHARLOTTE +17.5 @ Portland (B) LOSS

                                                      RESULTS PER VERSION

                                                      Version 1
                                                      A: 8-5
                                                      B: 2-3
                                                      C: 2-0

                                                      Version 2
                                                      A: 1-2
                                                      B: 2-0
                                                      C: 0-0

                                                      Version 3
                                                      A: 16-9
                                                      B: 6-3
                                                      C: 2-1
                                                      DET 1/28-1/31

                                                      Totals
                                                      A: 25-16
                                                      B: 10-4
                                                      C: 4-1

                                                      JM Feb 2

                                                      V2 MEMPHIS +7 @ Atlanta (A)

                                                      All official plays are posted with 3 points bought. ML will not be taken on favorites greater than -3.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Kev the Brit
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-25-09
                                                        • 2027

                                                        #1532
                                                        Originally Posted by Nino7:-
                                                        the worst team should be filtered out its not abandonnig the system
                                                        While I support the concept of a filter for JM systems, I'm not sure that I support it for Chase 110. Chase 110 has 4 bites of the apple to get the win. Also, it is one of the most reliable systems I've come across. We cannot expect 100% for ever. However, its worth a backtest of the few losers over the years and see if there is any merit. I suspect that the only historical league tables available on the web will be season-ending tables. But if most of the losses have occurred within the season end bottom feeders ATS, it might be worth filtering them out.
                                                        Last edited by Kev the Brit; 02-02-12, 12:14 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • teecee
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-18-09
                                                          • 6295

                                                          #1533
                                                          Originally posted by Nino7
                                                          the worst team should be filtered out its not abandonnig the system

                                                          my logic may be flawed, and i'm willing to accept that some might not agree, but why filter out the worst team? they will inevitably get the most favorable lines. i'd more readily filter out the best team(s), b/c that's when you're most likely to get the worst lines. does this make sense to anyone else?

                                                          this charlotte series is the first chase 110 series i've seen lose. you should be up with this system if you got in when it began last season. fortunately, i had to work late and missed the charlotte loss @ L.A., so i'll play my D wager on friday.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • hagball52
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-22-10
                                                            • 3053

                                                            #1534
                                                            Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                                                            While I support the concept of a filter for JM systems, I'm not sure that I support it for Chase 110. Chase 110 has 4 bites of the apple to get the win. Also, it is one of the most reliable systems I've come across. We cannot expect 100% for ever. However, its worth a backtest of the few losers over the years and see if there is any merit. I suspect that the only historical league tables available on the web will be season-ending tables. But if most of the losses have occurred within the season end bottom feeders ATS, it might be worth filtering them out.
                                                            Even before this season started I knew there would be a lot of irregularity because of the condensed schedule, coaching changes and inability of new players to gel with their teams. I fully expect some chase 110 losses and some JM system losses. This is where the handicapping part comes into play. I'm not saying you should pick and choose on these system plays because ultimately it will cost you but at the same time it is your money you're laying out there so you should feel comfortable doing it. I didn't jump on Charlotte until the (C) bet and I did wager only a standard unit play on the (D) bet so I didn't lose very much. When I see a system play come up I look at the whole play (A) through (C) or (D) and then if I feel comfortable with it I jump in at (A). If not then I jump in at a later point in the series but I always play it.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Maxi_EV
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 05-11-10
                                                              • 535

                                                              #1535
                                                              Guys, any system WILL get some losses. Chase 110 is no exception. The idea of a system is to produce enough wins to show a profit despite these losses.
                                                              ACCEPT variance.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Riceboi
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-03-11
                                                                • 857

                                                                #1536
                                                                Originally posted by Maxi_EV
                                                                Guys, any system WILL get some losses. Chase 110 is no exception. The idea of a system is to produce enough wins to show a profit despite these losses. ACCEPT variance.
                                                                truth
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Nino7
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 07-11-09
                                                                  • 798

                                                                  #1537
                                                                  i was talking about JM system...of course there are some losses in any system
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • xgame
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 07-21-10
                                                                    • 675

                                                                    #1538
                                                                    JM just first losses no big deal. normally JM drop 5 in all v1 v2 and v3 every season.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Wallco99
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-01-11
                                                                      • 7261

                                                                      #1539
                                                                      Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                                                                      While I support the concept of a filter for JM systems, I'm not sure that I support it for Chase 110. Chase 110 has 4 bites of the apple to get the win. Also, it is one of the most reliable systems I've come across. We cannot expect 100% for ever. However, its worth a backtest of the few losers over the years and see if there is any merit. I suspect that the only historical league tables available on the web will be season-ending tables. But if most of the losses have occurred within the season end bottom feeders ATS, it might be worth filtering them out.
                                                                      Keep in mind, we are playing a system based on losing streaks. The majority of the time it will be the bad teams on losing streaks, hence, we will be betting on the bad teams quite often. Only one loss in the past 114 series (and I'm not even sure how many games won to finish out the 2009-10 season, the streak could be much longer), and people want to rethink the whole system, well, I think not.
                                                                      Last edited by Wallco99; 02-02-12, 05:26 PM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Wallco99
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 01-01-11
                                                                        • 7261

                                                                        #1540
                                                                        Hey Maxi Ev,

                                                                        There is one NHL Gold play for tonight, I missed the date. I updated the NHL thread, check it out.
                                                                        Comment
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