did any1 played tex o9. was looking easy but the game looks dead.
LTA's NBA Plays for Round 2, Conf. Finals & Championship
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gtboySBR Wise Guy
- 06-15-10
- 810
#2696Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#2697Hey LTA, I thought you would've given the Dodgers/Angels under another shot. I risked way too many units on it but it cashed & rescued my MLB weekend. Seriously considering giving bases a break though, it's grinding me out. I tip my hat to guys like you who can do it so consistently.
Tough day, but it'll turn for the better soon. Good luck with your plays tomorrow.Comment -
FJ_islanderSBR MVP
- 11-03-10
- 1054
#2698Looking forward to todays plays LTA. IN you we trust. WIn or loss. All the best.Comment -
RedscotSBR MVP
- 05-16-11
- 2571
#2699Happy 4th all! Bol today. Keep up the good work LTA, I feel a good week coming.Comment -
JR007SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-10
- 5279
#2700Happy Holidays everyone....the right play does not always win
Tigers might be worth a look..10 days without a day off plus jet-lagComment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2701I disagree - the under tanked because of one bad inning when the a's scored five off kennedy in the sixth inning. There was no score through the first three innings and every inning saw no runs except the fourth, sixth and eighth. Take away that 5 run inning - which I bet was the a's highest of the year, and we cash that under easy. It seems like you only post negative stuff on losing days...what's up with that. No worries though...we will be back in the black by tonight....Comment -
alamoSBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-09
- 7131
#2702I disagree - the under tanked because of one bad inning when the a's scored five off kennedy in the sixth inning. There was no score through the first three innings and every inning saw no runs except the fourth, sixth and eighth. Take away that 5 run inning - which I bet was the a's highest of the year, and we cash that under easy. It seems like you only post negative stuff on losing days...what's up with that. No worries though...we will be back in the black by tonight....Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2703Hey LTA, I thought you would've given the Dodgers/Angels under another shot. I risked way too many units on it but it cashed & rescued my MLB weekend. Seriously considering giving bases a break though, it's grinding me out. I tip my hat to guys like you who can do it so consistently.
Tough day, but it'll turn for the better soon. Good luck with your plays tomorrow.
I actually leaned under, but both Santana and Billingsley have been untrustworthy towards the under this year. I just sat it out...nice hit though!
Baseball is a grind bud, it's a seven month, over 162 games, grind. More than any other sport, you can't get too high or too low. You are going to have days like yesterday and the day before when the house wins. There's nothing you can do but stick to what works for you. What you try to do is be profitable every week and every month. If you do that, you will be plus units after the World Series and that's all that counts. Just stick with it and you'll be fine. We won over 35 units in the last ten days preceding Thursday. Since Thursday, we have given about 15x back. That still leaves us up over 20x in the last 15 days. If can win 20x every 15 days, we'll be just fine. Remember long term is key....good luck bud!Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
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Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2707Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2708Alright guys. We had our worst week in a long time with just our second losing week over the last two months. We won over 35x in the last ten days preceding Thursday and gave 15x back since then. We are up over 20x in the last 15 days and will add to that today. I do not forsee any big plays (over 5x), but I do see at least three or four nice looking plays which we may stake up to 5x on each. Time to cap the early games and get the Independence Day profit party started. No more talking about yesterday's losses -- it's all profit from here on out!!!!!
Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2709MLB 7/4/11
Astros/Pirates under (7.5) 3.5x (Locked)
Maholm, the under machine versus my-man Myers equates to a nice public fade under play. We have 60%+ of the public on the over in this game and I really like the under here. Even though they have hit better lately, the Pirates are one of the best under bets out there. On the other side, Myers has been lights out on his last three starts and I expect the same today. Jim Wolf is the ump today and we all know he is historically a big under ump. I'm rolling with the under here for 3.5x...good luck!
Reds/Cardinals under (7)(+100) 5x (Locked)
The vet Carpenter versus the youngster Cueto, in what should be playoff-like atmosphere in St. Louis. There is bad blood between these two teams and I expect both pitchers to be pumped and prepared. Neither team is hitting there best right now and, even though I wanted to wait until the ump was released to make this play, I figured I would jump on the plus odds while I could. The line has already come down from 7.5 and I think this one stay under 5, so I would rather get the plus odds at 7 than pay the juice at 7.5 (-120). Good luck!
More plays to come...Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2710
This line opened at 6.5 and dropped down to 6. One of my locals has 6.5 (-115) so I decided to jump on the 6.5 at a reasonable price considering current market conditions. Lincecum has dominated in his last two starts and Richard has been great in two of his last three. The Giants' .300 average against lefties in their last ten starts doesn't really count because they only faced one lefty in the Cubs' Doug Davis...come on...I think we see a 3-2 or 3-1 type game today so I'm rolling with the under for 2x. Good luck!Comment -
KrazymojoSBR Sharp
- 12-01-10
- 444
#2711damn my line dropped to 6 on the Giants game got it at even thoComment -
KrazymojoSBR Sharp
- 12-01-10
- 444
#2712The Gambling Gods will be with us today!Comment -
TrafalgarLawSBR High Roller
- 03-07-11
- 134
#2713Best pick UN in Cardinals game!
I play all 3 your picks and Boston -1, Seatеду -1, Det\Laa over.
GL!Comment -
JR007SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-10
- 5279
#2714according to the covers database under 6.5 and under 10.5 are profitableComment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2715
Bit of a gut play here, but I think both Price and Duensing get it done today. Both teams are hitting lefties great right now, but Minny has not faced the quality of Price. On the other side, Duensing has had success against TB, beating them earlier in the year and going 7 innings with only 2 earned runs. The ump has a favorable under record, if not the best strike percentage. We'll play this one for 1x based on Price coming out strong on Independence Day for the big win. Good luck!Comment -
ManBearPigSBR MVP
- 12-04-08
- 2473
#2716I've noticed that lines that come down from 7.5 to 7 have usually fallen under...this is just a blind-eye trend so I don't have stats but it's just an observation I've had. It seems that 7.5 is a key number when betting totals because on the contrary I've seen lots of games that have gone off 7.5 to 8 go over. Once again no stats but just an observation.Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2717We may have from 2 - 4 more plays, with one or two having signficant units at stake...good luck today everyone!Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2718I've noticed that lines that come down from 7.5 to 7 have usually fallen under...this is just a blind-eye trend so I don't have stats but it's just an observation I've had. It seems that 7.5 is a key number when betting totals because on the contrary I've seen lots of games that have gone off 7.5 to 8 go over. Once again no stats but just an observation.Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2719Looks like Maholm just might not have it today against a hot hitting Astros lineup...we'll see. He's going to need to limit the damage to 3 for the rest of the game.Comment -
philipsthundergoRestricted User
- 05-19-11
- 43
#2720Good luck for the next plays everybody.,Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2721
Arizona/Milwaukee under (7)(+100) 6x (Locked)
Trying to feed the baby and type at the same time, so I will keep this brief. Marcum desperately needs to return to early season form against an AZ team that has hit around .200 against righties in the last ten games. The ump has a strike percentage of 63.5% which is on the high end of he spectrum and both teams are generally solid under bets. The line dropped from 7.5 to 7 with Pinny and Greek both juicing the 7.5 under over -130 at times. This shows they were very reluctant to go down to 7 because they fear the under. We're bumping the Reds/Cards under to 6x and we're making this our second 6x play of the day. As I said, we are going to be aggressive from this point forward in MLB. I always turn it up after the 4th of July so in the immortal words of the recent Bud Light commercials, "HERE WE GO!" Good luck!
A couple more plays to come...Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2722I think it may be wise to increase the AZ/Mil and Reds/Cards unders above 6x if we continue to see the books drop the total. Regardless of the public pounding the Cards under, the books would not drop from 7.5 and then juice the under at 7 like they are starting to do unless both the sharps and the public were on the under.Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2723Looks like we're going to need a lot of luck in the Astros/Pirates under...currently 4-3 Pirates winning in bottom of the 6th. We need the score to say exactly the same for these final three innings. We need some luck guys...Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2724
Pinny went from an open of 7.5 under (+100) to 7 under (-110) with the over given away at plus odds. I'm making this addition of 1x based on some solid line movement supporting the under here. Good luck!Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2725
I like the Richard/Lincecum matchup so let's add 2x after finding out the umpire is Tim Timmons who has a 62.5 strike percentage and has umped to 3 overs and 12 unders on the season. Good luck!
Rockies/Braves under (6.5)(+100) 4x (Locked)
I was waiting all day to get 7 as the total after waking up too late and missing the line move. However, 7 never materialized and some outlets started juicing the under at 6.5 so I didn't want to miss out on plus odds at 6.5. Jimenez has had his struggles, but mainly at home. He has absolutely dominated on the road the entire year, but especially recently. On the other side, Hanson has rivaled Jurjjens for ace of that Braves staff but has done it for the last two years as well. I like Hanson to shut down the the Rockies today and Jimenez to lime the Braves as well. The ump has not been released and probably won't be until about 6pm (EST). Stay tuned..if we get a nice under friendly under, this could be a 5x play. Good luck!Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2726
MLB 7/4/11
Astros/Pirates under (7.5) 3.5x (Locked) LOSS
Reds/Cardinals under (7)(+100) 6x (Locked)
Padres/Giants under (6.5)(-115) 4x (2x under (6.5)(-115) 2x under (6) (+100)(Locked)
TB/Minny under (7.5) 1x (Locked) WINNER
Arizona/Milwaukee under (7)(+100) 7x (Locked)
Rockies/Braves under (6.5)(+100) 4x (Locked)
Comment -
JR007SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-10
- 5279
#2727a bit concerned about regression to the mean regarding overs recently.....just a glancing observation but I have seen slightly less low totals lately....as teams drift out of contention and , schedule fatigue sets in as well as the trading deadline.....you may see more overs
after the all-star breakComment -
freshguy222SBR Sharp
- 12-13-10
- 421
#27287x under already toast!unbelievable a grand slam with two outs two strikesComment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2729
Shaun Marcum the fvcking pitcher just hit a grand slam against Hudson to f\*\*k the under on an 0-2 count. WTF that pisses me off. Lincecum gives up 2 in the first to the Padres. Yeah, JR, I'm a a bit worried about the overs at this point too. However, even though there is a 30 day lean to the unders at 53%, on the year the over has hit at a slightly higher rate. Nothing you can do when the pitcher hits a grand slam on an 0 -2 count!Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#2730MLB 7/4/11
Astros/Pirates under (7.5) 3.5x (Locked) LOSS
Reds/Cardinals under (7)(+100) 6x (Locked)
Padres/Giants under (6.5)(-115) 4x (2x under (6.5)(-115) 2x under (6) (+100)(Locked)
TB/Minny under (7.5) 1x (Locked) WINNER
Arizona/Milwaukee under (7)(+100) 7x (Locked) LOSS
Rockies/Braves under (6.5)(+100) 4x (Locked)
This is the play of the day with Cueto and Carpenter. These teams hate each other and these types of games lend themselves to the under. Pinny has started juicing the under and giving away the over at plus odds so we have a lot of sharp and public money on this one. We took a bad beat when the picher hits a grand slam on an 0-2 count in the AZ/Mil game, let's just say the gambling gods owe us this one. Let's get this one. Good luck!Comment
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