LTA's NBA Plays for Round 2, Conf. Finals & Championship

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • FJ_islander
    SBR MVP
    • 11-03-10
    • 1054

    #2591
    Loving your picks LTA. Keep up the great work my friend and shall be looking forward to your future picks as always.
    Comment
    • ManBearPig
      SBR MVP
      • 12-04-08
      • 2473

      #2592
      I just noticed you were on the TB play as well and just needed somewhere to bitch...I swear I've never made so many bets that I have to sweat out. Where did all these runs come from anyways? This is going to be the longest 2 innings ever!
      Comment
      • freshguy222
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-13-10
        • 421

        #2593
        hey lta i got a question to you
        what do you think of splitting bets into first five innings and full game? this works great with underdogs and 'bad teams in good spots' as their bullpen often blows
        i realized that if your under doesnt hit its usually in the later innings see yesterday and mostly because of the bullpen
        thanks in advance
        Comment
        • ManBearPig
          SBR MVP
          • 12-04-08
          • 2473

          #2594
          Originally posted by Love The Action
          MLB 6/29/11 Cincy/TB under (7.5)(+ 100) 1x (locked) Didn't have time to post this earlier...we are taking a bit of a risk here with Volqez and wanted to get 8, but both my locals opened at 7.5. Nevertheless, I like this play because of Shields and because I expect both teams to rest some players on this getaway day game after the late game yesterday. Hernandez is a good under ump and both teams trend under recently. We should have cashed the under yesterday, so they owe us one today. Good luck!
          Nice way to start the day with a little good fortune
          Comment
          • Love The Action
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-08-10
            • 10952

            #2595
            Originally posted by Love The Action
            MLB 6/29/11

            Cincy/TB under (7.5)(+ 100) 1x (locked)

            Nationals/Angels under (6.5) 1x (locked)

            Mets ML (+ 120) 0.50x (locked)

            Pirates ML (+ 168) 0.50x (locked)


            I will have a possible multi unit play in tge late Marlins/A's matchup. Good luck!
            Comment
            • Krazymojo
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-01-10
              • 444

              #2596
              Originally posted by Love The Action

              Nationals/Angels under (6.5) 1x (locked)

              Mets ML (+ 120) 0.50x (locked)

              Pirates ML (+ 168) 0.50x (locked)


              I will have a possible multi unit play in tge late Marlins/A's matchup. Good luck!
              Comment
              • Love The Action
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-08-10
                • 10952

                #2597
                Mlb

                Marlins/A's under (7)(+ 100) 0.50x (locked)

                Just a small play for the late game. Good luck!
                Comment
                • Love The Action
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-08-10
                  • 10952

                  #2598
                  We are guarantied another profitable night...make it 8 straight days with profit for over +37x in that timeframe.

                  That represents a real nice vacation for two...so anyone out there who might have tailed, please have a drink for me and my new son while you are on the beach! You're welcome!

                  Comment
                  • Hawaii'sUpNcomin
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 05-28-11
                    • 20

                    #2599
                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                    We are guarantied another profitable night...make it 8 straight days with profit for over +37x in that timeframe.

                    That represents a real nice vacation for two...so anyone out there who might have tailed, please have a drink for me and my new son while you are on the beach! You're welcome!

                    thanks you very much.. keep up the good work. cheers to you,your son, and the new happy family.
                    Comment
                    • Love The Action
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 10952

                      #2600
                      WNBA 2011 Season

                      27 - 19 = +10.4x

                      Two games on Thursday. I predict a big day...

                      Originally posted by Love The Action
                      MLB 6/29/11

                      Cincy/TB under (7.5)(+ 100) 1x (locked) WINNER

                      Nationals/Angels under (6.5) 1x (locked) WINNER

                      Mets ML (+ 120) 0.50x (locked) WINNER

                      Pirates ML (+ 168) 0.50x (locked) LOSS

                      Marlins/A's under (7)(+ 100) 0.50x (locked) WINNER
                      MLB Recap 6/29/11

                      4 - 1 = +2.5x

                      MLB in this thread:

                      167 - 150 = +27.235x

                      We continue our consistent run of MLB profit to give you guys eight straight days in the black and counting. We have provided over +37x of profit over these last eight days between WNBA and MLB and our hard working, analytical approach to capping will only continue to build upon this success. We have tweaked our MLB capping system and procedures to concentrate on our strengths by playing more totals and easing up on the ML plays. As a capper, you always need to maintain flexibility in order to counteract all of the adjustments enacted by the books. I pride myself on making these adjustments and providing consistent profit on a daily, weekly and monthly basis. Good luck on everyone's plays on Thursday. That will be a big day for us...
                      Comment
                      • alamo
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-21-09
                        • 7131

                        #2601
                        Thanks for your time LTA.
                        Comment
                        • Love The Action
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-08-10
                          • 10952

                          #2602
                          MLB 6/30/11

                          Red Sox/Philly under (7.5) (-115) 2.5x (Locked)

                          Lester v. Hamels in the battle of the lefties. I have to get some sleep, so I won't give you too much analysis here. But rest assured, both pitchers have been dominating of late. I think you always have to worry about taking the under in this matchup because of the great lineups, however, I expect both teams to rest a few regular players on Thursday. That is a day game after a night game and I would venture to say a few of the better hitters on these two teams do not play. Even if they do, you can't go wrong with Hamels and Lester right now. Wolf is a longtime under ump, if not as much this year, and carries a strike percentage of 63%. As I wrote in the first game of this series, with this being a possible world series matchup, both teams will be playing like it's the playoffs. That type of atmosphere is conducive to pitcher's duals and the under. Therefore, I'm rolling with the under in this one. Good luck!

                          Marlins/A's under (7)(-115) 3x (Locked)

                          Both teams are streaking under with the Marlins having played to 5 straight unders and 8 of their last 10 games, while the A's have played to 7 straight unders and 9 of their last 10 games. With Cahill going against Volstad, I like those under streaks to continue. Outside of a few bad starts, Volstad generally does not give up more than 3 in any one start. Cahill, on the other hand, is one of the best young pitchers in the game and has recently run hot after cooling off for awhile. Both teams trend under and the ump is young and inexperienced, but still has a respectable strike percentage. Neither team is hitting right now, so I'm rolling with the under here for 3x and may add to that stake tomorrow. Good luck!

                          Mets/Tigers under (7)(+100) 2x (Locked)

                          Everyone is going to taking the over after all the scoring in the last two games. However, Verlander and Pelfrey have been dominant so far and especially in their last 3 starts. If anyone can shut down the Mets attack, it is Verlander. With a classic pitcher's dual setting up for this one, I am rolling with the under. Good luck!

                          Rangers/Astros under (8)(-115) 2x (Locked)

                          Wandy at home has been lights-out over his entire career. Rodriguez is having the best year of his career and I expect Harrison to shut down the Astros. The question is how much Rodriguez will give up to the vaunted Rangers offensive attack. Personally, with all of the under trends in favor of Wandy here, I think he holds his own against the Rangers and this one stays under. Good luck!

                          Pirates ML (+128) 1x (Locked)

                          This price is too attractive to pass up. There is no way a hot Pirates team should be that much of a dog with my boy Karstens pitching against Cecil. I think the Pirates take this series with a win on Thursday and Karsten should dominate a struggling Blue Jays' lineup. If Cecil was not so bad, I would also take the under. However, I'm sticking with the ML here and expect the Pirates to win easily. Good luck!
                          Comment
                          • Full-Grown
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 12-15-10
                            • 243

                            #2603
                            Good work in here LTA!!!
                            Comment
                            • flush99
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 03-20-11
                              • 80

                              #2604
                              Great night. Keep it up!
                              Comment
                              • Love The Action
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 10952

                                #2605
                                I may be adding a unit or two to each of the pending MLB totals plays. Today is going to be a BIG day!
                                Comment
                                • Love The Action
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-08-10
                                  • 10952

                                  #2606
                                  Mlb 6/30/11

                                  Giants/Cubs under (9)(+ 100) 1x (locked)


                                  Good luck!
                                  Comment
                                  • funnyman
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 05-06-10
                                    • 606

                                    #2607
                                    Hoping for pitchers' duels on all games. Good luck.
                                    Comment
                                    • Love The Action
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-08-10
                                      • 10952

                                      #2608
                                      Originally posted by Love The Action
                                      MLB 6/30/11

                                      Red Sox/Philly under (7.5) (-115) 2.5x (Locked)

                                      Lester v. Hamels in the battle of the lefties. I have to get some sleep, so I won't give you too much analysis here. But rest assured, both pitchers have been dominating of late. I think you always have to worry about taking the under in this matchup because of the great lineups, however, I expect both teams to rest a few regular players on Thursday. That is a day game after a night game and I would venture to say a few of the better hitters on these two teams do not play. Even if they do, you can't go wrong with Hamels and Lester right now. Wolf is a longtime under ump, if not as much this year, and carries a strike percentage of 63%. As I wrote in the first game of this series, with this being a possible world series matchup, both teams will be playing like it's the playoffs. That type of atmosphere is conducive to pitcher's duals and the under. Therefore, I'm rolling with the under in this one. Good luck!

                                      Marlins/A's under (7)(-115) 3x (Locked)

                                      Both teams are streaking under with the Marlins having played to 5 straight unders and 8 of their last 10 games, while the A's have played to 7 straight unders and 9 of their last 10 games. With Cahill going against Volstad, I like those under streaks to continue. Outside of a few bad starts, Volstad generally does not give up more than 3 in any one start. Cahill, on the other hand, is one of the best young pitchers in the game and has recently run hot after cooling off for awhile. Both teams trend under and the ump is young and inexperienced, but still has a respectable strike percentage. Neither team is hitting right now, so I'm rolling with the under here for 3x and may add to that stake tomorrow. Good luck!

                                      Mets/Tigers under (7)(+100) 2x (Locked)

                                      Everyone is going to taking the over after all the scoring in the last two games. However, Verlander and Pelfrey have been dominant so far and especially in their last 3 starts. If anyone can shut down the Mets attack, it is Verlander. With a classic pitcher's dual setting up for this one, I am rolling with the under. Good luck!

                                      Rangers/Astros under (8)(-115) 2x (Locked)

                                      Wandy at home has been lights-out over his entire career. Rodriguez is having the best year of his career and I expect Harrison to shut down the Astros. The question is how much Rodriguez will give up to the vaunted Rangers offensive attack. Personally, with all of the under trends in favor of Wandy here, I think he holds his own against the Rangers and this one stays under. Good luck!

                                      Pirates ML (+128) 1x (Locked)

                                      This price is too attractive to pass up. There is no way a hot Pirates team should be that much of a dog with my boy Karstens pitching against Cecil. I think the Pirates take this series with a win on Thursday and Karsten should
                                      dominate a struggling Blue Jays' lineup.

                                      If Cecil was not so bad, I would also
                                      take the under. However, I'm sticking with the ML here and expect the Pirates to win easily. Good luck!

                                      Added 1x to Marlins. Tigers and Phillies under plays


                                      Good luck!
                                      Comment
                                      • Love The Action
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-08-10
                                        • 10952

                                        #2609
                                        WNBA 6/30/11

                                        NY/Atl under (165) 1x (locked)

                                        Minny/Tulsa under (160) 1x (locked)


                                        Actually able to get decent numbers from one of my locals upon opening. No time for analysis but I think we see low scoring today consistent with previous games between these teams this year. Good luck!
                                        Comment
                                        • Love The Action
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-08-10
                                          • 10952

                                          #2610
                                          Damn....Hamels got knocked out of the game by a line drive and is hurt...hopefully the bullpen can preserve our under. Good luck!
                                          Comment
                                          • Love The Action
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-08-10
                                            • 10952

                                            #2611
                                            MLB 6/30/11

                                            Added 1x for total of 5x on Marlins/A's under (7) (locked)


                                            This is my favorite play of the day...good luck!
                                            Comment
                                            • Love The Action
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 10952

                                              #2612
                                              Although we pushed on some of our units at stake in the philly and mets games, we did cash 2.5x on the philly under and 1x on the mets under. Great way to start the day, now lets cash this big 5x marlins under for a huge day! Good luck!
                                              Comment
                                              • Love The Action
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 10952

                                                #2613
                                                Farging Marlins bullpen...damn! Could have been a huge day....
                                                Comment
                                                • Love The Action
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                  • 10952

                                                  #2614
                                                  MLB 6/30/11

                                                  Cardinals/Orioles under (9)(-115) 1x (locked)


                                                  I think Matusz is better than he has pitched recently and I am hopeful that Carpenter has his season back on track. A small play here...lets keep it under 9...good luck!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Love The Action
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                    • 10952

                                                    #2615
                                                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                    MLB 6/30/11

                                                    Cardinals/Orioles under (9)(-115) 1x (locked)


                                                    I think Matusz is better than he has pitched recently and I am hopeful that Carpenter has his season back on track. A small play here...lets keep it under 9...good luck!
                                                    Poor choice backing Matusz here on the under. He proved he is mentally weak. That is bad news for Showalter and the Orioles organization as he was supposed to evolve into a top three of the rotation kind of guy.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Cannon
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 01-03-08
                                                      • 3329

                                                      #2616
                                                      Did you win or lose today?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • alamo
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-21-09
                                                        • 7131

                                                        #2617
                                                        Originally posted by Cannon
                                                        Did you win or lose today?
                                                        Small loss today but couldve been so different had our 5x play hit. Onto tomorrow now.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • GGALLERT
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 03-02-11
                                                          • 110

                                                          #2618
                                                          Very good day LTA...hows the boy doing?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Bumble Bee
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 10-26-09
                                                            • 183

                                                            #2619
                                                            Been a long time follower LTA. Your hard work and analysis are always appreciated.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Love The Action
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 10952

                                                              #2620
                                                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                              WNBA 6/30/11

                                                              NY/Atl under (165) 1x (locked) LOSS

                                                              Minny/Tulsa under (160) 1x (locked) LOSS
                                                              WNBA Recap 6/30/11

                                                              0 - 2 = -2.2x

                                                              WNBA 2011 Season

                                                              27 - 21 = +8.2x

                                                              A tough three point loss in the Liberty game could have offset what turned out to be a pretty easy win for over backers in the Minny/Tulsa game. The goal is to provide consistent profit in all sports and we've been a bit off in our last two WNBA cards. I have noticed that the Books have adjusted to the exploitable lines they were putting out in the beginning of the season. At that time, it was not uncommon for the books to be off by 7 to 10 points from where I had game totals capped. Those were some of my biggest winners so far. I think the books are catching up to WNBA now and the totals have been noticeably sharper in the last four cards or so. For evidence, you need merely look at the line movement and notice there are not as many wild line movement swings like earlier in the season in relation to totals. No worries, we will adjust. The first adjustment will probably be cutting out more plays and being a bit more selective. The lines are getting too sharp and I no longer am finding as much of +ev edge in as many games. Let's take a look at Friday's card and see what investment opportunities we can find.

                                                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                              MLB 6/30/11

                                                              Red Sox/Philly under (7.5) (-115) 2.5x (plus 1x under (7) (Locked) Push for 1x WINNER for 2.5x

                                                              Marlins/A's under (7)(-115) 3x (2x at (-110) (Locked) LOSS

                                                              Mets/Tigers under (7)(+100) 2x (1x under (7.5) (Locked) Push for 2x WINNER 1x

                                                              Rangers/Astros under (8)(-115) 2x (Locked) WINNER

                                                              Pirates ML (+128) 1x (Locked) WINNER

                                                              Giants/Cubs under (9)(+ 100) 1x (locked) WINNER

                                                              Cardinals/Orioles under (9)(-115) 1x (locked) LOSS

                                                              MLB Recap 6/30/11

                                                              5 - 2 = +1.2x

                                                              MLB in this thread:

                                                              172 - 152 = +29.435x

                                                              We now have 9 consecutive days of profit in MLB. However, because we lose 2.2x in WNBA and only made 1.2x in MLB, we are down a about one unit on the day overall. That means we will not meet our goal of 9 consecutive profitable days overall in both sports. No matter, tomorrow we have a big card in both sports and we are dialed in right now. I would not be surprised to see our MLB profit streak hit 10 days tomorrow and also get back today's negligible WNBA losses. Our adjustments in MLB are paying immediate dividends and I expect our WNBA adjustments to do the same. Good luck.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Love The Action
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-08-10
                                                                • 10952

                                                                #2621
                                                                Originally posted by alamo
                                                                Small loss today but couldve been so different had our 5x play hit. Onto tomorrow now.

                                                                Yep, we actually profited +1.2x in MLB, but gave back -2.2x in WNBA for a small loss as you say. That Marlins/Oakland game was the key. I guess we can't win them all, but we sure as hell can try. Time to rebound strong tomorrow...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Love The Action
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                                  • 10952

                                                                  #2622
                                                                  Originally posted by GGALLERT
                                                                  Very good day LTA...hows the boy doing?
                                                                  Awesome! Thanks for asking. He sits on my lap while I cap the games on my laptop at my desk. It's great! Teaching him the tricks of the trade (i.e. money management LOL).
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Love The Action
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                                    • 10952

                                                                    #2623
                                                                    Originally posted by Bumble Bee
                                                                    Been a long time follower LTA. Your hard work and analysis are always appreciated.

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kobstopa
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-21-11
                                                                      • 2965

                                                                      #2624
                                                                      Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                      Yep, we actually profited +1.2x in MLB, but gave back -2.2x in WNBA for a small loss as you say. That Marlins/Oakland game was the key. I guess we can't win them all, but we sure as hell can try. Time to rebound strong tomorrow...
                                                                      I see you too got burn by WNBA over today, it's only a flesh worn, there are plenty of plays to come, on to next one. gl
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • GGALLERT
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 03-02-11
                                                                        • 110

                                                                        #2625
                                                                        Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                        Awesome! Thanks for asking. He sits on my lap while I cap the games on my laptop at my desk. It's great! Teaching him the tricks of the trade (i.e. money management LOL).
                                                                        Gotta love the bonding moments in between the turds and the tears....
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        Search
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...