LTA's NBA Plays for Round 2, Conf. Finals & Championship

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  • ManBearPig
    SBR MVP
    • 12-04-08
    • 2473

    #2486
    Tonight's the first night I've made any plays since last Saturday so I'm hoping to start out with a positive night. I feel confident. Although 6 outs sounds like a lot when you want no runs.
    Comment
    • Love The Action
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-08-10
      • 10952

      #2487
      Originally posted by ManBearPig
      Tonight's the first night I've made any plays since last Saturday so I'm hoping to start out with a positive night. I feel confident. Although 6 outs sounds like a lot when you want no runs.

      What did you play in the WNBA?
      Comment
      • Love The Action
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-08-10
        • 10952

        #2488
        Freeking 3 outs with no runs and we cash this big 5x TB/Hou under...
        Comment
        • Love The Action
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-08-10
          • 10952

          #2489
          We only need one more out, but it's slugger Carlos Lee...hand wringing this one for sure.
          Comment
          • ManBearPig
            SBR MVP
            • 12-04-08
            • 2473

            #2490
            Originally posted by Love The Action
            What did you play in the WNBA?
            I was on the Mercury and I'm on Seattle and the Under per ROAG. I also made a play on the under in the 2H of the Mercury game and almost did the same for the Sparks game as well but passed. I thought I tailed you on that game over as well too, but I guess I forgot. Not bad so far though.

            I may make a play on the 2H of the SEA game, but we'll see.

            2 more outs...

            Went final right as I posted...

            Thanks for the Winner!!!
            Comment
            • Love The Action
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-08-10
              • 10952

              #2491
              Originally posted by Love The Action
              MLB 6/24/11

              Devil Rays/Astros under (7) 5x (Locked) WINNER

              I may add to this play once the ump assignment comes out. This could very possibly be my biggest MLB play of the season so far if I decide to bump it 2x up to 6x.

              Shields has returned to dominance and is facing a weak hitting Astros lineup. On the other hand, Rodriguez has pitched really well going with seven quality starts in a row.

              I expect both pitchers to do well tomorrow. They both have WHIPs and ERAs under 1 in their last three games and are a collective 17 - 8 in favor of the under this year. They should both go deep into the game and stop the struggling offenses of both teams.

              Good luck.
              Cash it!
              Comment
              • Love The Action
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-08-10
                • 10952

                #2492
                Originally posted by ManBearPig
                I was on the Mercury and I'm on Seattle and the Under per ROAG. I also made a play on the under in the 2H of the Mercury game and almost did the same for the Sparks game as well but passed. I thought I tailed you on that game over as well too, but I guess I forgot...so there's 2 winners I've missed out on. Not bad so far though.

                I may make a play on the 2H of the SEA game, but we'll see.

                2 more outs...

                Went final right as I posted...

                Thanks for the Winner!!!
                Comment
                • Hawaii'sUpNcomin
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 05-28-11
                  • 20

                  #2493
                  Houston under cashes...nice call..it was a squeezer..
                  Comment
                  • nmodi
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 03-28-11
                    • 278

                    #2494
                    let us know sea 2H play
                    Comment
                    • Love The Action
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 10952

                      #2495
                      Originally posted by nmodi
                      let us know sea 2H play
                      I lean over for 2h but no play for me.

                      I cashed the 1h under and not looking to push anything. If I cash the game under in this one I will have won all of my plays except for the Twins ML play and will be up +13.5x on the night.
                      Comment
                      • alamo
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-21-09
                        • 7131

                        #2496
                        Great night LTA. I played your WNBA plays. Great job
                        Comment
                        • MrXYZ
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-18-11
                          • 2342

                          #2497
                          Thanks LTA, I cashed the Rays/Astros & Seattle/Minni totals. Outstanding day on WNBA, 3-0, congrats!
                          Comment
                          • csmkr18
                            Restricted User
                            • 04-13-09
                            • 834

                            #2498
                            Great day in WNBA ! Congrats!
                            Comment
                            • funnyman
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 05-06-10
                              • 606

                              #2499
                              Great job in both sports. Hitting your stride now.
                              Comment
                              • flush99
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 03-20-11
                                • 80

                                #2500
                                nice job yesterday LTA
                                Comment
                                • RoagBettor
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-20-09
                                  • 8355

                                  #2501
                                  Great work LTA good luck with your plays this weekend.
                                  Comment
                                  • Love The Action
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-08-10
                                    • 10952

                                    #2502
                                    WNBA 6/24/11 Recap

                                    3 - 0 = +7x

                                    WNBA Season 2011

                                    23 - 14 = +12x

                                    We continue our consistent run of profit in the WNBA to start the season. After 37 plays, we are now hitting at 62% on the season with 12x of profit. Not bad for my first season capping the ladies!

                                    MLB 6/24/11 Recap

                                    3 - 1 = +6x

                                    MLB plays in this thread:

                                    151 - 145 = +10.4x

                                    We started off this week with some horribly bad beats on Monday and Tuesday which saw us lose a little under 5x, but we end up rebounding huge on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday winning a little over 11x for a +5.9x MLB profit on the week heading into our weekend plays. We are now +26x in profit on the MLB season as a whole, including our early-season MLB plays which were documented in my NBA playoff first round threads. We are well onto our way of hitting our +100x goal for profit this MLB season.

                                    Good luck on everyone's plays today!
                                    Comment
                                    • Love The Action
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-08-10
                                      • 10952

                                      #2503
                                      Originally posted by alamo
                                      Great night LTA. I played your WNBA plays. Great job
                                      Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                      Thanks LTA, I cashed the Rays/Astros & Seattle/Minni totals. Outstanding day on WNBA, 3-0, congrats!

                                      Originally posted by csmkr18
                                      Great day in WNBA ! Congrats!
                                      Originally posted by funnyman
                                      Great job in both sports. Hitting your stride now.
                                      Originally posted by flush99
                                      nice job yesterday LTA
                                      Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                      Great work LTA good luck with your plays this weekend.

                                      Thanks guys! Good luck on all your plays today!
                                      Comment
                                      • Love The Action
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-08-10
                                        • 10952

                                        #2504
                                        MLB 6/25/11

                                        Rockies/Yankees over (9) (+100) 1x (Locked)

                                        With the short right field in NY, I think these teams are read to hit on this Saturday afternoon. Yes, Sabathia is pitching, but the Rockies have hit left-handed pitching relatively well hitting over .250 in their last ten games. I'm not a believer in Cook having to face a tough American League lineup where all the hitters know this is a big TV game with everyone watching because no other games are going on and will be gearing up for a big game. The under hit yesterday, with Colorado winning 4-2 so I think we see the hitters double up on those totals. I expect the Yanks to come out strong with the bats today and rock Cook to avenge yesterday's loss. I would expect the Yanks to score at least 6 runs today. I think the Rockies will get 3. The question is whether we can exceed those totals and I'm betting the answer is yes. With Rapuano behing the plate and him being one of the better "over" umps out there, I think we see at least 10 runs in this one. Good luck!

                                        Diamondbacks/Tigers under (7) (+100) 1x (Locked)

                                        I generally never take Tigers unders unless Verlander is pitching. So far I am 3 - 0 when taking the under in his game and I think we have a pitching matchup today that can make it 4 - 0. Althout Collmenter had a rough outting in his last game, I think we see him rebound against this tough Tigers lineup. Both Verlander and Collmenter have WHIPs under 1.00 on the season and ERA's under 2.55. There are some strong team and umpire (Muchlinski) trends which point under here as well. After the huge day for the hitters in yesterday's game, I think we see some pitcher's revenge today and I'll roll with the under here for 1x. Good luck!

                                        Oakland/Philly under (7) 2x (Locked)

                                        The fact that we had a 1-0 game yesterday really scares me because I generally lean over in these spots. After not hitting in one game, teams usually have a nice offensive output in the game that follows. However, with Hamels and Cahill going today, I think that situational play goes out the window. Cahill has struggled in two of his last three starts, but rebounded well in his last start winning 2-1 over Cain and the Giants (we cashed the under in that one). You generally can't go wrong taking the under in A's games as they have been one of the better under bets all year long with their weak lineup. With Hamels pitching lights out the entire year, he should dominate this A's lineup even though they were just shut out yesterday. With Hernandez behing the plate who generally leans under, I think we have a good shot here for back-to-back unders in this series. I may add 1x to this play later on tonight. Good luck!
                                        Comment
                                        • Love The Action
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-08-10
                                          • 10952

                                          #2505
                                          Originally posted by Love The Action
                                          MLB 6/25/11

                                          Rockies/Yankees over (9) (+100) 1x (Locked)

                                          With the short right field in NY, I think these teams are read to hit on this Saturday afternoon. Yes, Sabathia is pitching, but the Rockies have hit left-handed pitching relatively well hitting over .250 in their last ten games. I'm not a believer in Cook having to face a tough American League lineup where all the hitters know this is a big TV game with everyone watching because no other games are going on and will be gearing up for a big game. The under hit yesterday, with Colorado winning 4-2 so I think we see the hitters double up on those totals. I expect the Yanks to come out strong with the bats today and rock Cook to avenge yesterday's loss. I would expect the Yanks to score at least 6 runs today. I think the Rockies will get 3. The question is whether we can exceed those totals and I'm betting the answer is yes. With Rapuano behing the plate and him being one of the better "over" umps out there, I think we see at least 10 runs in this one. Good luck!

                                          Diamondbacks/Tigers under (7) (+100) 1x (Locked)

                                          I generally never take Tigers unders unless Verlander is pitching. So far I am 3 - 0 when taking the under in his game and I think we have a pitching matchup today that can make it 4 - 0. Althout Collmenter had a rough outting in his last game, I think we see him rebound against this tough Tigers lineup. Both Verlander and Collmenter have WHIPs under 1.00 on the season and ERA's under 2.55. There are some strong team and umpire (Muchlinski) trends which point under here as well. After the huge day for the hitters in yesterday's game, I think we see some pitcher's revenge today and I'll roll with the under here for 1x. Good luck!

                                          Oakland/Philly under (7) 2x (Locked)

                                          The fact that we had a 1-0 game yesterday really scares me because I generally lean over in these spots. After not hitting in one game, teams usually have a nice offensive output in the game that follows. However, with Hamels and Cahill going today, I think that situational play goes out the window. Cahill has struggled in two of his last three starts, but rebounded well in his last start winning 2-1 over Cain and the Giants (we cashed the under in that one). You generally can't go wrong taking the under in A's games as they have been one of the better under bets all year long with their weak lineup. With Hamels pitching lights out the entire year, he should dominate this A's lineup even though they were just shut out yesterday. With Hernandez behing the plate who generally leans under, I think we have a good shot here for back-to-back unders in this series. I may add 1x to this play later on tonight. Good luck!
                                          Devil Rays/Astros under (7.5)(+100) 1x (Locked)

                                          I missed the opener of 8, but I still like this play. Bud Norris is red-hot right now and has just been dominant. Even with Pence back in the lineup, I think Davis can limit the Astros lineup. I actually like the Astros to win today, but I'm just not sure about paying -120. I will roll with the under now at plus odds and wait out the ML movement. If I can get the Astros at a bit better price, I will take them on the ML. Good luck!
                                          Comment
                                          • HKT
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 05-11-11
                                            • 111

                                            #2506
                                            If anyone has a bwin account, it's still at 8. Let's have a big day LTA!
                                            Comment
                                            • Love The Action
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 10952

                                              #2507
                                              WNBA 6/25/11

                                              Conn/Ind over (153) 1x (Locked)

                                              Although these two teams' head-to-head trends point under, I think we see this one just squeak over today. I have this one capped at 154 so I don't really like the number I got here but once again I miss the steam because my locals don't open up on these games until about noon on game day. If I was getting opening number, my record would be even better. In this one, we have the Sun coming off a poor shooting percentage against Chicago where they shot 39.8% and the Fever coming off a great shooting percentage of 54%. I think we see both teams shoot in the 45% range today which should be just enough based on the expect pace. I expect the 1h to be low scoring and was contemplating the 1h under, but I just don't like the number. However, I expect a fervent 2h with a quicker pace which should push this one just over the posted total. The Sun are coming off a game over having hit 5 overs out of their last 7 games and Indiana is coming off two overs in a row. I think both teams' trends to the over continues tonight and this game just squeaks over the posted total.

                                              Pho/Chicago under (176) 1x (Locked)

                                              I am desperately trying to find information about effect of back-to-back games on scoring within the WNBA. However, my theory is that back-to-back games will hurt scoring in the WNBA and this is the first back-to-back game for the Mercury this year. I expect their bodies do not adjust well to the extra rigors of travel and b2b play and Tuarasi and Co. do not shoot well tonight against a stingy Chicago defense. Chicago is coming off a great shooting performance hitting almost 56% of their shots in their last game. On the other side, the Mercury shot over 52% last night. I think both teams' shooting performances come back down to earth tonight and these two keep it under 43% tonight. I have this one capped at 171, so there is a little bit of wiggle room here with a big number of 176 and this starting to drop. I may add 1x to this play later on. Good luck!
                                              Comment
                                              • Love The Action
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 10952

                                                #2508
                                                Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                MLB 6/25/11

                                                Rockies/Yankees over (9) (+100) 1x (Locked)

                                                With the short right field in NY, I think these teams are read to hit on this Saturday afternoon. Yes, Sabathia is pitching, but the Rockies have hit left-handed pitching relatively well hitting over .250 in their last ten games. I'm not a believer in Cook having to face a tough American League lineup where all the hitters know this is a big TV game with everyone watching because no other games are going on and will be gearing up for a big game. The under hit yesterday, with Colorado winning 4-2 so I think we see the hitters double up on those totals. I expect the Yanks to come out strong with the bats today and rock Cook to avenge yesterday's loss. I would expect the Yanks to score at least 6 runs today. I think the Rockies will get 3. The question is whether we can exceed those totals and I'm betting the answer is yes. With Rapuano behing the plate and him being one of the better "over" umps out there, I think we see at least 10 runs in this one. Good luck!

                                                Diamondbacks/Tigers under (7) (+100) 1x (Locked)

                                                I generally never take Tigers unders unless Verlander is pitching. So far I am 3 - 0 when taking the under in his game and I think we have a pitching matchup today that can make it 4 - 0. Althout Collmenter had a rough outting in his last game, I think we see him rebound against this tough Tigers lineup. Both Verlander and Collmenter have WHIPs under 1.00 on the season and ERA's under 2.55. There are some strong team and umpire (Muchlinski) trends which point under here as well. After the huge day for the hitters in yesterday's game, I think we see some pitcher's revenge today and I'll roll with the under here for 1x. Good luck!

                                                Oakland/Philly under (7) 2x (Locked)

                                                The fact that we had a 1-0 game yesterday really scares me because I generally lean over in these spots. After not hitting in one game, teams usually have a nice offensive output in the game that follows. However, with Hamels and Cahill going today, I think that situational play goes out the window. Cahill has struggled in two of his last three starts, but rebounded well in his last start winning 2-1 over Cain and the Giants (we cashed the under in that one). You generally can't go wrong taking the under in A's games as they have been one of the better under bets all year long with their weak lineup. With Hamels pitching lights out the entire year, he should dominate this A's lineup even though they were just shut out yesterday. With Hernandez behing the plate who generally leans under, I think we have a good shot here for back-to-back unders in this series. I may add 1x to this play later on tonight. Good luck!

                                                Devil Rays/Astros under (7.5)(+100) 1x (Locked)

                                                I missed the opener of 8, but I still like this play. Bud Norris is red-hot right now and has just been dominant. Even with Pence back in the lineup, I think Davis can limit the Astros lineup. I actually like the Astros to win today, but I'm just not sure about paying -120. I will roll with the under now at plus odds and wait out the ML movement. If I can get the Astros at a bit better price, I will take them on the ML. Good luck!
                                                Angels/Dodgers under (7.5)(-120) 1x (Locked)

                                                Kiroda has made me some solid profit on unders this year and I expect that to continue tonight. He is red hot in last three starts with a WHIP of 1.02 and an ERA of 1.45. Chatwood is nice young pitcher with decent numbers and is 6-6 o/u on the year. The Angels have been one of the better under bets all year and with over hitting yesterday at 11 runs, I think we see more of a pitcher's dual today. Good luck!
                                                Comment
                                                • Love The Action
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                  • 10952

                                                  #2509
                                                  Cash the Yankees over to stay hot and start the day 1-0 = +1x. Let's keep it going!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Krazymojo
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-01-10
                                                    • 444

                                                    #2510
                                                    missed yankees and dodgers
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Love The Action
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                      • 10952

                                                      #2511
                                                      Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                      MLB 6/25/11

                                                      Rockies/Yankees over (9) (+100) 1x (Locked)

                                                      With the short right field in NY, I think these teams are read to hit on this Saturday afternoon. Yes, Sabathia is pitching, but the Rockies have hit left-handed pitching relatively well hitting over .250 in their last ten games. I'm not a believer in Cook having to face a tough American League lineup where all the hitters know this is a big TV game with everyone watching because no other games are going on and will be gearing up for a big game. The under hit yesterday, with Colorado winning 4-2 so I think we see the hitters double up on those totals. I expect the Yanks to come out strong with the bats today and rock Cook to avenge yesterday's loss. I would expect the Yanks to score at least 6 runs today. I think the Rockies will get 3. The question is whether we can exceed those totals and I'm betting the answer is yes. With Rapuano behing the plate and him being one of the better "over" umps out there, I think we see at least 10 runs in this one. Good luck!

                                                      Diamondbacks/Tigers under (7) (+100) 1x (Locked)

                                                      I generally never take Tigers unders unless Verlander is pitching. So far I am 3 - 0 when taking the under in his game and I think we have a pitching matchup today that can make it 4 - 0. Althout Collmenter had a rough outting in his last game, I think we see him rebound against this tough Tigers lineup. Both Verlander and Collmenter have WHIPs under 1.00 on the season and ERA's under 2.55. There are some strong team and umpire (Muchlinski) trends which point under here as well. After the huge day for the hitters in yesterday's game, I think we see some pitcher's revenge today and I'll roll with the under here for 1x. Good luck!

                                                      Oakland/Philly under (7) 2x (Locked)

                                                      The fact that we had a 1-0 game yesterday really scares me because I generally lean over in these spots. After not hitting in one game, teams usually have a nice offensive output in the game that follows. However, with Hamels and Cahill going today, I think that situational play goes out the window. Cahill has struggled in two of his last three starts, but rebounded well in his last start winning 2-1 over Cain and the Giants (we cashed the under in that one). You generally can't go wrong taking the under in A's games as they have been one of the better under bets all year long with their weak lineup. With Hamels pitching lights out the entire year, he should dominate this A's lineup even though they were just shut out yesterday. With Hernandez behing the plate who generally leans under, I think we have a good shot here for back-to-back unders in this series. I may add 1x to this play later on tonight. Good luck!

                                                      Devil Rays/Astros under (7.5)(+100) 1x (Locked)

                                                      I missed the opener of 8, but I still like this play. Bud Norris is red-hot right now and has just been dominant. Even with Pence back in the lineup, I think Davis can limit the Astros lineup. I actually like the Astros to win today, but I'm just not sure about paying -120. I will roll with the under now at plus odds and wait out the ML movement. If I can get the Astros at a bit better price, I will take them on the ML. Good luck!

                                                      Angels/Dodgers under (7.5)(-120) 1x (Locked)

                                                      Kiroda has made me some solid profit on unders this year and I expect that to continue tonight. He is red hot in last three starts with a WHIP of 1.02 and an ERA of 1.45. Chatwood is nice young pitcher with decent numbers and is 6-6 o/u on the year. The Angels have been one of the better under bets all year and with over hitting yesterday at 11 runs, I think we see more of a pitcher's dual today. Good luck!
                                                      Braves/Padres under (6)(+100) 1x (Locked)

                                                      A lot of unders today and here is one more. Yes, there is a history of these two teams going over in San Diego, but I really don't think results from previous years matter. Both Jurrjens and Moseley are pitching well and both offenses are on the weaker side. Both teams lean under as does the ump. Line movement points under and I'm rolling that way too. Good luck!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Love The Action
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                        • 10952

                                                        #2512
                                                        We were sailing right along in the Angels/Dodgers under until the eighth inning when the Angels put 4 runs on the board. Now it's 6 -1 and we need nine outs with no more runs...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • funnyman
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 05-06-10
                                                          • 606

                                                          #2513
                                                          Down to 6. Maybe, just maybe.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Love The Action
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-08-10
                                                            • 10952

                                                            #2514
                                                            Originally posted by funnyman
                                                            Down to 6. Maybe, just maybe.
                                                            Looks like we're going out with 1 out in the bottom of the ninth. First and second, hopefully we can pitch out of this
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Love The Action
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 10952

                                                              #2515
                                                              First and second, with two outs now. One more
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Love The Action
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-08-10
                                                                • 10952

                                                                #2516
                                                                Nice...we start the day 2 - 0 = +2x. Some of these close ones are starting to go our way with a little more consistency. Heading out for the night.

                                                                I may play a 0.50x play on the 1h under in WNBA Pho/Chi. I am experimenting with some 1h plays to see how they play out.

                                                                Good luck to everyone on their plays tonight. Let's keep the profit train rolling!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Love The Action
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                                  • 10952

                                                                  #2517
                                                                  Late loss in the padres under with a three run eighth inning....but we still have a great night with + 3x of profit. That gives us over +16x in profit over the last two days. Big wnba and mlb cards tomorrow...let's stay hot and keep the profit train rolling!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Krazymojo
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 12-01-10
                                                                    • 444

                                                                    #2518
                                                                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                    Late loss in the padres under with a three run eighth inning....but we still have a great night with + 3x of profit. That gives us over +16x in profit over the last two days. Big wnba and mlb cards tomorrow...let's stay hot and keep the profit train rolling!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • flush99
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 03-20-11
                                                                      • 80

                                                                      #2519
                                                                      nice picks as usual.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • funnyman
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 05-06-10
                                                                        • 606

                                                                        #2520
                                                                        Good luck today.
                                                                        Comment
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