LTA's NBA Plays for Round 2, Conf. Finals & Championship

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  • Love The Action
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-08-10
    • 10952

    #2521
    MLB 6/26/11

    Oakland/Philly under (7) 2.5x (Locked)

    Nationals/White Sox under (8.5)(-115) 1.5x (Locked)

    Angels/Dodgers under (6) 2x (Locked)

    I locked these in after I got home last night and right before bed. I had a few drinks, planned on posting them early this morning but overslept. So I think some of the lines may have changed and the under may be getting juiced worse that I paid, however, I would definitely still take these plays if you can still get them at the same number. No time for analysis because I still have to cap WNBA and the rest of MLB. Good luck on everyone's plays today!
    Comment
    • Love The Action
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-08-10
      • 10952

      #2522
      WNBA 6/26/11

      SA/Atl over (167) 1x (Locked)


      Comment
      • Love The Action
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-08-10
        • 10952

        #2523
        Originally posted by Love The Action
        WNBA 6/26/11

        SA/Atl over (167) 1x (Locked)


        LA/NY over (158) 1x (Locked)

        Tulsa/Washington over (153.5) 1x (Locked)

        Indiana/Minny under (151) 1x (Locked)

        Once again I miss all the steam and get stuck with horrible numbers. Nevertheless, I like all these plays but nothing worth multiple units at the current numbers. If we can get some more value later in the day, I may add units to the Ind/Minny under. I really like that one at the opener of 156.

        I know a lot of people will think under in LA/NY because of the recent high scoring game between the two teams. However, if you look at that game, it ended over 180 and neither team shot abnormally well. Both teams shot a bit above average with LA hitting 46.8% and NY hitting 49.3%. Even if both teams revert to numbers in the 44% shooting range, I think this one still hits 160. I have it capped at 162, so I'm going to roll with the over.

        I have the SA/Atl game capped at 170, so there's not much value there but I'm rolling with the over. These two teams hit the under at 160 in their first matchup with Indy shooting 38% and SA shooting 45%, so I expect better shooting today with both teams around 45%. That should be enough to get us 170 and cash the over.

        I think most people are expecting the Tulsa/Washington game to go under. In their first matchup, the game only hit 136. I think we see the opposite today with both teams pride on the line to avoid the worst in the league moniker. I believe Cambage is playing which should help Tulsa and I don't think we see Washington shoot 33% again. I don't expect this one to fly over, but I think it hits 157 which is where I have it capped.

        The game I like the most is the Indy/Minny under, but not as much at 151 which is what I was able to get upon my locals opening. There are a ton of trends pointing over, but I think we see more defense today. I have this one capped at 148 in this first matchup of the season between these two teams and can only wish I was able to get the 156 opener.

        I will be out for the day but will try to post any further plays. Good luck on everyone's plays today.
        Comment
        • Krazymojo
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-01-10
          • 444

          #2524
          im on all your plays today so far LETS GOOOOO!!!!
          Comment
          • Love The Action
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-08-10
            • 10952

            #2525
            Originally posted by Love The Action
            MLB 6/26/11

            Oakland/Philly under (7) 2.5x (Locked)

            Nationals/White Sox under (8.5)(-115) 1.5x (Locked)

            Angels/Dodgers under (6) 2x (Locked)

            I locked these in after I got home last night and right before bed. I had a few drinks, planned on posting them early this morning but overslept. So I think some of the lines may have changed and the under may be getting juiced worse that I paid, however, I would definitely still take these plays if you can still get them at the same number. No time for analysis because I still have to cap WNBA and the rest of MLB. Good luck on everyone's plays today!
            Toronto/STL under (7.5)(+100) 1x (Locked)

            Romero pitching well and McCelland must pitch well today. I like the under. Good luck!
            Comment
            • Love The Action
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-08-10
              • 10952

              #2526
              I will probably add units to the Angels/Dodgers under at some point before first pitch...
              Comment
              • FJ_islander
                SBR MVP
                • 11-03-10
                • 1054

                #2527
                Thanks for all those picks LTA. Do appreciate your insights and infor on the games and then your plays. Have followed your picks for a while now.
                Comment
                • Krazymojo
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-01-10
                  • 444

                  #2528
                  missed toronto/stl
                  Comment
                  • Dexter
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-24-08
                    • 25829

                    #2529
                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                    MLB 6/26/11

                    Oakland/Philly under (7) 2.5x (Locked)

                    Nationals/White Sox under (8.5)(-115) 1.5x (Locked)

                    Angels/Dodgers under (6) 2x (Locked)

                    I locked these in after I got home last night and right before bed. I had a few drinks, planned on posting them early this morning but overslept. So I think some of the lines may have changed and the under may be getting juiced worse that I paid, however, I would definitely still take these plays if you can still get them at the same number. No time for analysis because I still have to cap WNBA and the rest of MLB. Good luck on everyone's plays today!
                    boom
                    Comment
                    • Dexter
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-24-08
                      • 25829

                      #2530
                      Originally posted by Love The Action
                      Toronto/STL under (7.5)(+100) 1x (Locked)

                      Romero pitching well and McCelland must pitch well today. I like the under. Good luck!
                      boom x2
                      Comment
                      • man_of_steel
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 03-29-10
                        • 437

                        #2531
                        Boom x3 LTA on fire
                        Comment
                        • Love The Action
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-08-10
                          • 10952

                          #2532
                          Thanks guys, one more MLB play for tonight. Let's hope that Indy/Minny WNBA under can cash so we can salvage a 2 - 2 day in the WNBA. Regardless, however, we are looking at over a 5x day of profit and over +20x of profit on the week! I will update the records after the WNBA is over and the late MLB game ends. Good luck on the late games!
                          Comment
                          • Love The Action
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-08-10
                            • 10952

                            #2533
                            Originally posted by Love The Action
                            MLB 6/26/11

                            Oakland/Philly under (7) 2.5x (Locked)

                            Nationals/White Sox under (8.5)(-115) 1.5x (Locked)

                            Angels/Dodgers under (6) 2x (Locked)


                            Toronto/STL under (7.5)(+100) 1x (Locked)
                            Mariners/Marlins under (6.5)(-115) 1x (Locked)

                            Both Sanchez and Fister have WHIPs under around 1.00 in their last three start with great ERA's as well. Both teams are struggling offensively with the Marlins hitting .199 against righties in their last ten games and Seattle hitting .223. The ump is 11 - 3 in favor of the under this year with a 64% strike percentage. Both teams trend under as well, including hitting the the under in the two previous games of this series. Based on those factors, I'm rolling with the under here for the late west-coast game for tonight. Last play of the week and hopefully this one puts us over +21x in profit to the end it. Good luck!
                            Comment
                            • Love The Action
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-08-10
                              • 10952

                              #2534
                              We were on the right side with the under in Indy/Minny, but got burned by a bad number having 151. I really need access to opening WNBA lines. This is about the 4th loss on the season already where I lost by a few points because of having to bet late lines. This really sucks...that should have been a winner for us.
                              Comment
                              • Love The Action
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 10952

                                #2535
                                I'm off to bed...good luck on the late play. Let's get this Mariners/Marlins under!
                                Comment
                                • SkySkrapinEnt
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 05-23-11
                                  • 35

                                  #2536
                                  you're on a roll... congrats.
                                  Comment
                                  • philipsthundergo
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 05-19-11
                                    • 43

                                    #2537
                                    Good luck for tomorow's plays.
                                    Comment
                                    • Jimb0311
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-27-10
                                      • 481

                                      #2538
                                      Wow got hosed on the wnba picks. MLB was a great day. Thanks LT
                                      Comment
                                      • Redscot
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-16-11
                                        • 2571

                                        #2539
                                        LTA, I just wanna give you your props man. Win or lose (been a whole lot more winning than losing) your thread remains a must visit for me daily. Your levelheadedness and in depth write-ups are greatly valued bro. Amazing too that this thread has been remarkably absent from the haters and drama that plague so many year long threads.

                                        Keep up the good work my man, your efforts are appreciated.
                                        Comment
                                        • flush99
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 03-20-11
                                          • 80

                                          #2540
                                          nice job last night.
                                          Comment
                                          • Krazymojo
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 12-01-10
                                            • 444

                                            #2541
                                            well if u bet the cubs game ill miss that lol dont get outta work til 330 need that smart phone haa
                                            Comment
                                            • Love The Action
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 10952

                                              #2542
                                              Originally posted by Krazymojo
                                              well if u bet the cubs game ill miss that lol dont get outta work til 330 need that smart phone haa
                                              I lean under in that one without knowing the weather information. As you know, Cubs totals aren't released to the morning of the game because of the weather's effect upon Wrigley.
                                              Comment
                                              • Love The Action
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 10952

                                                #2543
                                                Thanks to everybody's comments.

                                                We close out another week in the black by adding another +21.125x in profit to our BR from this week alone. That makes over nine straight weeks of profit.

                                                I pride myself on consistently creating profit and always seek to limit losing streaks. Even if we have a couple losing days in a row, we always seek to turn it around by the end of the week. We lost 5x on Monday and Tuesday of this week, but then turned it around to hit for over +25x in profit on Wednesday through Sunday and turned a bad start of the week into a great finish.

                                                Now this week is over and it's time to start fresh. Let's stay hot and keep the profit train rolling!
                                                Comment
                                                • Love The Action
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                  • 10952

                                                  #2544
                                                  WNBA Recap 6/25/11 - 6/26/11

                                                  2 - 4 = -2.4x

                                                  WNBA 2011 Season

                                                  25 - 18 = +9.6x

                                                  We take it on the chin over the weekend in WNBA due primarily to getting some bad numbers with three of those losses losing by 5 points or less. These close losses are tough, but at least they show our capping numbers are pretty accurate. Very rarely are we losing by blowout margins, so I am pleased with the start of the season. Let's just stay consistent and keep grinding out WNBA profit.

                                                  MLB Recap 6/25/11 - 6/26/11

                                                  9 - 2 = +10x

                                                  MLB plays in this thread:

                                                  160 - 147 = +20.4x

                                                  We end the week with a huge MLB hot streak. We had a tough start to the week but a great close-out which saw us profit over 21x this week. We are heating up in MLB after making a few tweaks and look for this success to continue. On the MLB season as a whole, we are over +36x in profit, including our MLB plays from our first round NBA playoff threads. We continue grinding out profit on our way to the 100x in profit that we set for our goal this season.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RoagBettor
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-20-09
                                                    • 8355

                                                    #2545
                                                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                    Thanks to everybody's comments.

                                                    We close out another week in the black by adding another +21.125x in profit to our BR from this week alone. That makes over nine straight weeks of profit.

                                                    I pride myself on consistently creating profit and always seek to limit losing streaks. Even if we have a couple losing days in a row, we always seek to turn it around by the end of the week. We lost 5x on Monday and Tuesday of this week, but then turned it around to hit for over +25x in profit on Wednesday through Sunday and turned a bad start of the week into a great finish.

                                                    Now this week is over and it's time to start fresh. Let's stay hot and keep the profit train rolling!
                                                    LTA, other than SJ you are probably the hardest-working situational capper on this forum with your writeups, analysis, comments, advice, and most importantly winners.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • aussieH
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-04-11
                                                      • 1188

                                                      #2546
                                                      Agree with roags comments on your hard work lta
                                                      Comment
                                                      • funnyman
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 05-06-10
                                                        • 606

                                                        #2547
                                                        The most enjoyable , profitable thread on the internet.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Redscot
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-16-11
                                                          • 2571

                                                          #2548
                                                          Zona/Clev line looks high at first glance. What am I missing?

                                                          Kennedy been lights out/Clev ice cold. Travel for both sides...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • csmkr18
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 04-13-09
                                                            • 834

                                                            #2549
                                                            LTA, you would have huge profit in WNBA if you could catch the opening lines at pinnacle ( they open at 6am est one day before games start). If you have an european trusted friend, it would be gold to open an account for you there.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Love The Action
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 10952

                                                              #2550
                                                              MLB 6/27/11

                                                              Nationals ML (+ 125) 1x (locked)

                                                              Nationals/Angels under (7)(+ 105) 1x (locked)

                                                              Braves/Mariners under (6)(+ 105) 2x (locked)


                                                              I will be adding to the Mariners under later today. Good luck!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • GGALLERT
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 03-02-11
                                                                • 110

                                                                #2551
                                                                There are alot of clowns that are on here posting plays and predictions. I tend to read more than i post and i must say LTA is 100% legit and not just shooting it out there for a popularity contest. I do follow the plays and the in-depth is remarkable. Keep up the quality!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Love The Action
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                                  • 10952

                                                                  #2552
                                                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                  MLB 6/27/11

                                                                  Nationals ML (+ 125) 1x (locked)

                                                                  Nationals/Angels under (7)(+ 105) 1x (locked)

                                                                  Braves/Mariners under (6)(+ 105) 2x (locked)
                                                                  Rockies/Cubs under (12) 0.50x (locked)

                                                                  That number is too big and an overreaction to the weather. I think it stays under 10. Can't trust cubs pitching so just a small play for these road weary teams. Good luck!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Redscot
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-16-11
                                                                    • 2571

                                                                    #2553
                                                                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                    Rockies/Cubs under (12) 0.50x (locked)

                                                                    That number is too big and an overreaction to the weather. I think it stays under 10. Can't trust cubs pitching so just a small play for these road weary teams. Good luck!
                                                                    I like it. Wind is blowing out but Chacin has done a good job of keeping the ball out of the air, missing bats and getting gb's, 80% over last 3, and a good percentage throughout the year.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Love The Action
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                                      • 10952

                                                                      #2554
                                                                      Thanks guys...let's just keep working hard and grinding out profit on a weekly and monthly basis. We will have losing days, but long term profit is key. Good luck on everyones plays today!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • nickos86
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 03-08-11
                                                                        • 400

                                                                        #2555
                                                                        Quality. That's the difference in this thread. Keep up the great work.
                                                                        Comment
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