LTA's NBA Plays for Round 2, Conf. Finals & Championship

[Love The Action]

Crazy steam on tonights wnba over. I lean over as well, but have it capped at 150-151. I will not take 154 or more, but do expect it to come back down later today.

Does anyone know what the steam is about? Is that ras guy on the over or something? Thanks.

[RoagBettor]

RAS is on the over tonight that's why it steamed. He's posting his picks to Twitter www.twitter.com/raspicks

[Love The Action]

As long as the pace and shooting percentage stays where it is, we should be ok for the liberty under. Good luck.

Roag - thanks for the update. I love the stream when I'm on the opposite side of the ras guy, but when we are on the same side it really pisses me off lol. Hopefully the total comes back down a bit. Good luck on your plays today.

[csmkr18]

Why do you like over in Sky-Suns game? Sky is playing on a slow peace.. suns is not a fast team.. so why we should see lot of points?

[Love The Action]

Why do you like over in Sky-Suns game? Sky is playing on a slow peace.. suns is not a fast team.. so why we should see lot of points?

I never said I expected a "lot of points."

However, I do expect between 150 and 155 points. I lean over for a bunch of reasons including but not limited to trends, pace, etc. In addition, in their first game Chicago shot only 39% and Conn only 43%, yet the total still ended at 151. I expect both teams to shoot better tonight which will lead to additional points. Good luck with whatever you choose.

[Love The Action]

Edit...double post.

[Love The Action]

Wow...tulsa scored 31 points in the third quarter which is their biggest quarter all year and more than they scored in a whole half for at least 4 games this year. Unreal...

[Love The Action]

At least we are looking good on that mlb under between mariners and nationals...0-0 in the 8th inning...gotta cash this one to get into the black for the week.

[Love The Action]

Wnba 6/23/11

Conn/Chicago over (156) 1x (locked)

I hate this number but I have to stick with my original instinct which said over. I was considering the 1h over, but I am weary of wnba 1h overs since my research shows more scoring in the 2h as opposed to 1h (which is the opposite of the nba). BOL...

[Love The Action]

Phillies/Cardinals under (7.5)(+105) 1x (Locked)

The Cardinals need a shutout-like performance from Carpenter and as a veteran and ace of the staff, I expect him to finally put together that type of performance in what will almost surely be playoff-like atmosphere. I don't expect the Cardinals to rip Oswalt, but they should be able to score 3 today off him. I expect a low scoring game with a Cardinals win and may play the Cards ML as well. Good luck.

Added 1x for total of 2x on cards under

[reppin_the_847]

Holy crap you are on fire. Congrats with the solid pick, it's a WINNER!

Wnba 6/23/11

Conn/Chicago over (156) 1x (locked)

I hate this number but I have to stick with my original instinct which said over. I was considering the 1h over, but I am weary of wnba 1h overs since my research shows more scoring in the 2h as opposed to 1h (which is the opposite of the nba). BOL...

[vcj16]

nice hit on the chicago over. that was my only play today

[Love The Action]

MLB 6/24/11

Devil Rays/Astros under (7) 4x (Locked)

I may add to this play once the ump assignment comes out. This could very possibly be my biggest MLB play of the season so far if I decide to bump it 2x up to 6x.

Shields has returned to dominance and is facing a weak hitting Astros lineup. On the other hand, Rodriguez has pitched really well going with seven quality starts in a row.

I expect both pitchers to do well tomorrow. They both have WHIPs and ERAs under 1 in their last three games and are a collective 17 - 8 in favor of the under this year. They should both go deep into the game and stop the struggling offenses of both teams.

Good luck.

[flush99]

Very good call Chicago Over. TY

[Krazymojo]

back on the gravy train

[GoggsViggs]

Like the under here too bro. bOL

[philipsthundergo]

good call an chicago, good luck on the next bet.

[Love The Action]

WNBA 6/24/11

Pho/Atl under (184) 2x (locked)

LA/SA over (161.5) 2x (locked)

Minny/Sea under (152) 2x (locked)


I have each game capped about 8-10pts off the posted total, so I am playing each for 2x. I really like the LA over and Minny under and may add 1x to each. Good luck.

[70kgman]

I like that Minny/SEA under as well, the 1H under in particular. Been waiting for the line movement on the game total to show some hint of dropping before locking it in, but it keeps slowly moving upward.

[Love The Action]

I like that Minny/SEA under as well, the 1H under in particular. Been waiting for the line movement on the game total to show some hint of dropping before locking it in, but it keeps slowly moving upward.

I find wnba line movement to be very unpredictable and untrustworthy. If you think about it, joe public doesn't bet wnba. Those who bet wnba are generally sharper or at least do their homework. Let's face it, no one is betting these games because they want to sit at the bar and watch the big wnba game. Therefore, I'm not sure you can take that much away from which way the line moves or rlm. There are sharps on both sides of every wnba game and people that make limit bets both ways. I'm not going to pay much attention to wnba line movement for the time being and just make my bets based on when my locals open, where I think most value remains after all the steam occurs and where I have the game capped. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

MLB 6/24/11

Devil Rays/Astros under (7) 4x (Locked)

I may add to this play once the ump assignment comes out. This could very possibly be my biggest MLB play of the season so far if I decide to bump it 2x up to 6x.

Shields has returned to dominance and is facing a weak hitting Astros lineup. On the other hand, Rodriguez has pitched really well going with seven quality starts in a row.

I expect both pitchers to do well tomorrow. They both have WHIPs and ERAs under 1 in their last three games and are a collective 17 - 8 in favor of the under this year. They should both go deep into the game and stop the struggling offenses of both teams.

Good luck.

Twins ML (+ 129) 1x (locked)

Orioles ML (+ 109) 1x locked)

Fading Volquez and Wolf here. BOL...

[Krazymojo]

anything else tonight?

[Love The Action]

anything else tonight?

Yes...later games to come...

[vcj16]

good luck on la/sa over. i am also on it

[Love The Action]

Update:

Adding 1x for total of 5x on Devil Rays/Astros under (7)

Blue Jays/Cardinals over (8) 1x

Adding 0.50x for total of 2.5x on wnba LA/SA over (161.5)

All locked. Good luck! Later games to come...

[MrXYZ]

I find wnba line movement to be very unpredictable and untrustworthy. If you think about it, joe public doesn't bet wnba. Those who bet wnba are generally sharper or at least do their homework. Let's face it, no one is betting these games because they want to sit at the bar and watch the big wnba game. Therefore, I'm not sure you can take that much away from which way the line moves or rlm. There are sharps on both sides of every wnba game and people that make limit bets both ways. I'm not going to pay much attention to wnba line movement for the time being and just make my bets based on when my locals open, where I think most value remains after all the steam occurs and where I have the game capped. Good luck.

I'd also add general sports bettors looking for action to the pool of WNBA betting funds. I agree there's it's a good idea to ignore line movements, It doesn't take much to move them, any gambling addict chasing a big loss will do it.

[Love The Action]

WNBA 6/24/11

Pho/Atl under (184) 2x (locked)

LA/SA over (161.5) 2x (locked)

Minny/Sea under (152) 2x (locked)


I have each game capped about 8-10pts off the posted total, so I am playing each for 2x. I really like the LA over and Minny under and may add 1x to each. Good luck.

Adding 0.50x for total of 2.5x on Minny/Sea under (0.50x under (151) and 2x under (152) (Locked)

Not part of the records, but also playing 1h under in Minny/Seattle. I am trying out some experimental plays so I'm throwing 0.50x on this one. Good luck.

[ManBearPig]

Looks like OT is gonna help you out in the LA/SA game...

[Love The Action]

Holy crap...after 20 unders which lost this year because of overtime, I finally get lucky to win my first NBA/WNBA over because of OT in the LA/SA game. Nice...variance is actually helping us here. Sweet.

[funnyman]

Tied up at end of 4th quarter of LA/SA game. Only need 6 points.Nice to be on right end of an overtime.

[Love The Action]

Looks like OT is gonna help you out in the LA/SA game...

Haha, yeah but the gambling gods owe that one to me after they stole 20 winners from me on unders that lost because of overtime since October 2010 in NBA and WNBA. Think how much more money I would be up if even half of those 18 games ended up cashing as they should have. At least three of those OT losers were big 10x plays in the playoffs.

[Love The Action]

Shit...I wanted to bet the Braves/SD under and missed it. WTF!

[Love The Action]

How did the Astros just score in the bottom of the 7th...fricking meaningless run. Now it's 5-1, and we have absolutely no cushion for the final two innings. We are going to need some luck here.

[ManBearPig]

How did the Astros just score in the bottom of the 7th...fricking meaningless run. Now it's 5-1, and we have absolutely no cushion for the final two innings. We are going to need some luck here.

I tailed you on this one so here's all the luck I got. Let's get some positive love here baseball gods

[Love The Action]

I tailed you on this one so here's all the luck I got. Let's get some positive love here baseball gods

6 outs MBP...let's do this

Could be the difference between a HUGE night or just a break even type night. We had some horribly tough bad MLB beats earlier in the week, so perhaps variance is on our side here...