No no, 10% from b'roll 
Bulls ML very nice, but i can't bet on this game
Bulls ML very nice, but i can't bet on this game
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Wow.. Dallas.. !!!
If FC Porto win, i bet on Bulls win ^^
You like Bulls win, Kob'a?Comment -
1-2 todayOriginally posted by kobstopa
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Chicago at Atlanta
The Hawks will look to take one at home and level it up by imposing a strong physical game on the Bulls, especially on D.Rose whom will be their main target after a career 44 points. A big adjustment on offensive glass.
Take total under 179.5
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LA Lakers at Dallas
Take out the marching bands & a broom stick ready 4-0 is coming, it's a very simple equation; the Mav plays great all around basketball and at home, Lakers too plays great basketball but they're just not good enough to make good play down the stretch or at least protected their lead to the last minutes. The Lakers had game 2 & 3 to adjust to the Mav 3's shooting & they only did their best with they can do.
Dallas have a solid home record in regular season, they are consistent with their key players & their bench, Dirk had been to the final. Kidd had been to the final twice with the nets. Collectively they defended well against teams in the west. The Mav can taste it now and will close it out game 4.
Take Dallas -2.5
Take total under 189.5
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[ATTACH]27558[/ATTACH]
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Miami at Boston
With or without Rondo, Boston can still do it and level up 2-2 with defense at home.
Boston -1.5
Take Under 180.5
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OKC at Memphis
David Stern may not like it, but the Grizz is the real deal and they will seal it at home. Look like the west finals will have an interesting series after all between the Mavs and Mem is coming up.
Memphis -2.5
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under again!?Comment -
there, there. if Boston to win at home that's how they do it, control the heats' tempo and speed, defense in transition, defense for lunch and dinner = all lead to low scoring.Originally posted by lailaliciousComment -
alright alright since we didn't get the unders on tonight's game I'll have to agree with ya. Man, I woulda swept today, but the unders made me push. I suppose its better than losing...You should check out some threads over at Covers...People lost over 15U on the bulls game and are going lunatic. GL tomorrow. Any thoughts on who you like? I want to take Boston, its pk now...but I have a lot on the series and I may just ride that out.Comment -
WHOA, pinnacle is now giving celtics +1...Comment -
I didn't make any call on the Bulls line, cause i knew the hawks made a big adjustment & ready at home, but i was counting part of that adjustment was supposed to have a good lock in defense. Also picking under in these series your chance to win is a lot better than 50/50.Originally posted by lailalicious
ps. I already had my pick but here it is again
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Miami at Boston
With or without Rondo, Boston can still do it and level up 2-2 with defense at home.
Boston -1.5
Take Under 180.5
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OKC at Memphis
David Stern may not like it, but the Grizz is the real deal and they will seal it at home. Look like the west finals will have an interesting series after all between the Mavs and Mem is coming up.
Memphis -2.5Comment -
Hi, Kob'a
Today with you on Mem, Under in Mia\Bos
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good luckOriginally posted by TrafalgarLawHi, Kob'a
Today with you on Mem, Under in Mia\Bos
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Just bad luck that we didn't cash the heat under yesterday. Pierce panicked at the end.
I really like the bulls under today. We should see more of thomas and gibson to neutralize smith. As long as the bulls come out with energy on the defensive end from the start, the under should be a winning play as the hawks tend to give up target easily. Good luck tonight on your plays. I expect to see you on the under as well, but I've been surprised before lol....Comment -
LTa, I'm right with you, under is the play.Originally posted by Love The Action
I'm so flat out with work, don't have time for the write up,
Atl +8.5 is also the play, the hawks will come out strong where it least expected here. Despite underdog, they have a lot to play for & had come this far. This is a make or break it for them.
Good luck with your playComment -
We hit that under...congrats!
Looking forward to seeing your plays tomorrow if you have time to post. I lean under in the Heat/Celts game. No lean yet in OKC/Mem. Hang in there with work...I know how hard it can be to juggle family, work and capping. Keep up the great work.Comment -
[ATTACH]27633[/ATTACH]
Memphis at OKC
Over total is seem to be major trend between these two teams, and some how will continue this way, even with 3 OT which otherwise would had been under total, easily. Examine the trend below.
Take Over 197.5
As for the line itself it's looked like a 50/50 proposition which is exactly the Booker wants, they want people to gamble without clear advantage on either sides or may want majority lean toward OKC at home vs 8th spot rank road team, a team with 2 cool well known all stars upfront. Also note that this year, the team that linemaker love as their cashing cow had been the Grizz where the most public went against big time. In last 10 games the Grizz ATS 8-2 (4/1) vs OKC 5-5 (1/1).
Take Mem - 6.5 (or buy it to -7.5)
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Boston at Miami
Boston is in real danger zone, despite played a stellar of defensive stop in their last game where the Heats delivered a one-two knock out by their trifecta. This is why the preseason hype was all about, we loved the excitement of 3 super stars some how made it to one team, & we then hated them as 3 players is all they got and nothing in between, they don't have supported bench and yet favorite to win it all, how can it be ?, then the knicks had beaten them at home & one stretch loss they had almost thrown their head coach under the bus, finger pointed Chris Bosh doesn't play well, there was a talk of Pat Reily need to step in or a disaster is in the making etc.
I also seeing a similarity between this series and Dal-Lakers in Pac. Where Lakers were expected to claw their way back after 3-0 on the road cause they're defending champ and then that 4-0 blown out game 4. I expect the Heats will take it to Boston and will be clutch plays all around with a sense of urgency of a game 7 right here in Miami.
Boston:
BOS are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Miami:
MIA are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Take Over 182.5
Play the Heats to win
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I agree that the Heat play faster at home, and if they can continue to get to the FT line like they have, the under will have a tough time.
With that said, however, I just can't pull the trigger on the over in that one. We all know about the Heat's trouble closing games. They may just have the same closing "jitters" trying to close out this series against the Celtics. To me, the over comes down to the production of Bosh. If he hits 18 or more, the over probably cashes. If he struggles, misses some shots early and loses his confidence, I think the under will hit. Lebron and wade will get their 20+. I think the Celts and Garnett will take it to Bosh, and as we all know, Bosh isn't going to take his game inside if his jumper isn't falling. If Bosh is limited to 15 or under, the Heat should be limited to 88-94 total points and the under should cash. If Bosh rolls for 20+, the Heat will score 100 and the over should cash. In either case, I believe the Celts will be limited to under 90 tonight as I don't see them having the offensive firepower, unless they shoot abnormally well, to hang with the Heat in Miami. Because I don't think Bosh will perform well with the pressure tonight, I'm going to roll with the under for a small wager of two to three units. I want to check the refs out first, but I just can't force myself to pull the trigger on the over.
I just can't get a good handle on the OKC/Mem game right now and will probably sit that one out. Although, at this time, I probably agree with you and have a slight over lean because the pace should be pretty fast. Good luck with all your plays tonight! Keep up all the great work. Thanks.Comment -
Very valuable summary there from both you guys!
Tough decision position for Boston tonight.
Goodluck Kobstopa & Love The ActionComment -
scoreOriginally posted by kobstopa_____________________________
Boston at Miami
Boston is in real danger zone, despite played a stellar of defensive stop in their last game where the Heats delivered a one-two knock out by their trifecta. This is why the preseason hype was all about, we loved the excitement of 3 super stars some how made it to one team, & we then hated them as 3 players is all they got and nothing in between, they don't have supported bench and yet favorite to win it all, how can it be ?, then the knicks had beaten them at home & one stretch loss they had almost thrown their head coach under the bus, finger pointed Chris Bosh doesn't play well, there was a talk of Pat Reily need to step in or a disaster is in the making etc.
I also seeing a similarity between this series and Dal-Lakers in Pac. Where Lakers were expected to claw their way back after 3-0 on the road cause they're defending champ and then that 4-0 blown out game 4. I expect the Heats will take it to Boston and will be clutch plays all around with a sense of urgency of a game 7 right here in Miami.
Boston:
BOS are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Miami:
MIA are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Take Over 182.5
Play the Heats to win
score Boston 87 Miami 97Comment -
Nice cash on that over...it was close, only three points, but those threes by Bron/Bron killed the under. Congrats! Good luck tomorrow.
I like the Bulls and another under in that series.
Assuming the Bullls close it out tomorrow, as I expect, who do you like in the Heat/Bulls series. I think the Bulls will give Miami all it can handle because of it's depth, defense and pentrating PG in Rose. That has been the forumla teams have beat the Heat with all year, and with Chicago having home court, I think the Bulls can stay in that series and possibly win. I lean Bulls...Comment -
I am leaned toward the heats actually, the key to it is the match up problem where the heats will have two game changers whom can created their own shots in the 4th quarter & take it over, as we had already seen their efforts despite quality defense played by Boston & Philly. They can facilitate plays to other 3 positions when face a double etc, I am seeing this heats similar to that Chicago Bulls team with (Pippen <Bron) + (Jordan >Wade) + (Rodman>anthony) + (Kerr <Jones) + misc.Originally posted by Love The Action
The heats is undersize in front line but that will not put them in disadvantage by that much, they will bring in Haslem in time with some minutes for this series to provide extra toughness.
But as for under total game prospect, I say it's looking excellent, assuming the series go for game 6, i am seeing at least 4 games goes under or some where along - game 2, game 3, game 4, game 5
remember to take extra care in game 1 - the series opener !!!!!
Anyway for tomorrow play, i'll do my pick here as I am limited with time:
84 89 Bulls. That's my call.
Outstanding defense efforts by both teams across the board from half court to low post, from transition stop to no look at the basket. in the last 3 games of the series we had seen Rose came through + Bulls executed their D/played in the 4th & closed it out, while the Bulls played a simple basketball but the Hawks has yet to find an answer through their offense or stop Rose in the lane & will struggle just the same in game 6. Chicago will wrap it up here.
Take under 179
Take Bulls -3.5Comment -
updateOriginally posted by kobstopa[ATTACH]27633[/ATTACH]
Memphis at OKC
Over total is seem to be major trend between these two teams, and some how will continue this way, even with 3 OT which otherwise would had been under total, easily. Examine the trend below.
[ATTACH]27635[/ATTACH]
Take Over 197.5
As for the line itself it's looked like a 50/50 proposition which is exactly the Booker wants, they want people to gamble without clear advantage on either sides or may want majority lean toward OKC at home vs 8th spot rank road team, a team with 2 cool well known all stars upfront. Also note that this year, the team that linemaker love as their cashing cow had been the Grizz where the most public went against big time. In last 10 games the Grizz ATS 8-2 (4/1) vs OKC 5-5 (1/1).
Take Mem - 6.5 (or buy it to -7.5)
Comment -
scoreOriginally posted by kobstopaI am leaned toward the heats actually, the key to it is the match up problem where the heats will have two game changers whom can created their own shots in the 4th quarter & take it over, as we had already seen their efforts despite quality defense played by Boston & Philly. They can facilitate plays to other 3 positions when face a double etc, I am seeing this heats similar to that Chicago Bulls team with (Pippen <Bron) + (Jordan >Wade) + (Rodman>anthony) + (Kerr <Jones) + misc.
The heats is undersize in front line but that will not put them in disadvantage by that much, they will bring in Haslem in time with some minutes for this series to provide extra toughness.
But as for under total game prospect, I say it's looking excellent, assuming the series go for game 6, i am seeing at least 4 games goes under or some where along - game 2, game 3, game 4, game 5
remember to take extra care in game 1 - the series opener !!!!!
Anyway for tomorrow play, i'll do my pick here as I am limited with time:
84 89 Bulls. That's my call.
Outstanding defense efforts by both teams across the board from half court to low post, from transition stop to no look at the basket. in the last 3 games of the series we had seen Rose came through + Bulls executed their D/played in the 4th & closed it out, while the Bulls played a simple basketball but the Hawks has yet to find an answer through their offense or stop Rose in the lane & will struggle just the same in game 6. Chicago will wrap it up here.
Take under 179
Take Bulls -3.5
score: CHI 93 ATL 73Comment -
Cash that under
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Nice call, I'm in Brazil on holidays taking a break from betting as well, BOL guys!Comment -
Have a good oneOriginally posted by garbinComment -
good luckComment -
OKC at Memphis
KD & Co is closing out right here, they had a good drill session to box out Zibo in the post, I think they have finally solved some issue in the series where the Grizz had given them the problem. It will be a physical game and another one down to the wire as Mem too will step up the efforts at home.
Projection:
OKC 97 Mem 94
Take OKC +2.5Comment -
Bron and Wade is on the road at Chicago. Last summer, the Bulls was hoped to land either of the two, but it doesn't matter now. Both teams made it to the east finals, with both Boston and Lakers are out of the picture and the Championship is now up for grab as this is the best opportunity for the remaining teams for a long while, the marathon is now become a sprint to the finishing line.
So the heat is on, Sonny Crockett & Tub is taking it to united center, both teams can play defense at a higher level, despite Bulls had won all 3 regular season games but this is different, it's a playoff & much had been changed since, Miami is the team to beat in the east, they had escaped Boston in 5 games and had faced a some what Tom Thibodeau's defense scheme already in the process. We can expect a close one down to the wire here and the scale can tip either way with the last bucket.
Take Miami +1.5
Play total over 181.5
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Good luck tonight on all of your plays. I'm going to roll with the over tonight. I think we see a better shooting performance from Memphis at home and quicker pace. I also think there is value in a total for this series set at 195 or lower. I have it at 197 or 198.
I also lean to jumping on the first game of the series over trend for Sunday. If that line can go down below 181, I will most likely take it. I am going to wait until Sunday, however, to make a decision.
I think you may be overestimating the Heat and understimating the Bulls in this series. The Bulls go ten deep. The Heat can barely put a solid five on the floor. If you look at the head to head matchups, the Bulls win out except for Lebron and Wade -- they can't do it alone in this series. I think the coaching plays a pretty big factor here as well. Finally, Rose's ultra-competetiveness will shine through. I believe Rose's will to win and his ability to will his teamates to victory will be the difference. Rose is the best competitor in this series and only Wade can rival the killer instinct Rose possesses. It should be interesting, but I like the Bulls. Good luck .Comment -
Oh I don't know about that LT,Originally posted by Love The Action
when you get to this stage, not just Rose has the will to win but equally Bron & Wade too wanted to win. But having the will alone will not win basketball, they have got to prove it. Got through 1st round so far is just a mile stone, every round will be different & much harder as it goes. The Heats got these three & getting it done now, they don't need solid five, cause Bron & Wade can turn any men & his dogs off the street and make it 10 deep and that is the whole point. I know all about it that basketball is a team sport. But what we have here is so unique with pedigree talents, that's why I drawn contrast back to the Bulls in the 90's where they had proven it that they can win with top two players + a bunch of role players. The funny thing is Steve Kerr had just made an interview & is thinking exactly the same thing.
If you notice in Boston series they had done everything to slow them down, even gotten them to take the jump shots, and they made these jump shots + won the games. The heats had played through Thibodeau's defensive scheme with the celtics series, but he may refine it further & i don't think it gonna work. Rose will get a lot more physical & face with better defenders(Chalmer & Wade) in this series compare to the last two.
If you ask me during round one that the heats will come this far, I would utterly disagree as I had Boston to win game 6. But it's different now, I am adjusted to what I saw, in my assessment talents do matter, Miami got two mega stars here each has a potential in taking a team to a final, the heats is going to the final.
good luck with play,Comment -
mega star so what, last time I check d rose was the MVP and bulls beat those silly ass heats this year 3-0Originally posted by kobstopaComment -
NHL
Tampa Bay at Boston (Game 1 Eastern final)
It's had been a strange situation in NHL that these two teams somehow got this far & rightfully explained why I had a big gap in posting these picks in that part of period. But doesn't matter now, these teams has identical records and both had defeated solid teams fair and square to earn their place. Boston will miss one of their key scorers in the opening but won't matter, they have a bunch of solid veteran to step up on offense at home.
BOS are 45-22 in their last 67 vs. Southeast.
TB are 3-18-4 in the last 25 meetings in Boston.
Home team is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
Projection
Tampa Bay 2 Boston 4
Take Boston to win
Take Miami +1.5
Play total over 181.5
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OKC at Mem
Memphis:
MEM are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 Sun. games.
Over is 6-2 in MEM last 8 road games.
MEM are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.
Oklahoma City:
OKC are 7-24 ATS in their last 31 Sun. games.
Take mem +6.5
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Thanks for the response. This series is going to be great for the NBA. At the end of the day, as far as a series bet goes, it all comes down to value. There is no value in the Heat at -190, but there is at Bulls +165 because it's pretty much a 50/50 situation. I think Bulls win it in 7 and a series that people will talk about for a long time. I'm excited and I know you are too. Good luck Kob.Originally posted by kobstopaComment -
It is great for TV rating & NBA, I agree, even better if the Star can cry here and there make it compelling for TV viewing. I dont play the series & the last time i did was picked the 1995 Rockets to win b2b after Clyde Drexler was acquired from portland, that was 25 to one, & had won a good chunk, as orlando was expected to win it all(Shaq/Penny) that year.Originally posted by Love The Action
The true value i think it depends from situation to situation bases & relative from game to game as they will reflect on the dynamic of events surrounding it as unfold. These are non-linear and one not easy to exact predict or compute with few incomplete new information. Like i said much earlier O/U pattern should be cosistent & good value for a few games within the series.
We all know that the league can influence a certain outcome of the game, big names, big market to go deep is an ideal situation for NBA brand. So this too is a factor, interesting to see how it all map out when it getting close to the final, but you can count that there will be at least one big market team in the final.Comment -
I think we'll have some great money-making opportunities on the totals in this series. I am most likely going to play the over in this first game because there is value in the 180 number and the "opening game over" trend this year. If this first game does indeed go over, we are then set up perfectly for a big play (10x or more) play on the under in the following game. I think the under is generally going to be the right play, but I think this first game might just squeak over. GL...Originally posted by kobstopaComment
