NBA Daily Picks

[WhyTheFace]

Sheeeeet Kob, unlucky on a few of todays pick, close Buddy!
We'll get'em tomorrow!

[kobstopa]

Sheeeeet Kob, unlucky on a few of todays pick, close Buddy!
We'll get'em tomorrow!

thanks, it's like this today, everybody i know had it tough

[kobstopa]

___________________________
Minnesota at Detroit
Brad Penny has been dominant at home with 5-1
Miguel Cabrera had 2 home & 10 RBI against Blackburn, even-though he is by far the twins' best available pitcher.

Starting Pitchers
Minnesota: Blackburn (4-4, 3.20 ERA)
Detroit: Penny (4-4, 4.45 ERA)

MIN are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Detroit.
Under is 6-2 in Blackburns last 8 starts vs. DET.
MIN are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
DET are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a win.
Under is 7-3-3 in DET last 13 home games.

Detroit to win
___________________________
Rangers at Rays
Tampa feels right at home when Taxas is in town. Holand is 1-3 on road in his last 4 with 3 blank losing streak in his last 3 games. Wade is also on a 3 games losing but 3-1 at night & will get plenty of help at bat where Longoria & B.J. Upton will have a home or two against Holland.

Starting Pitchers
Texas: Holland (3-1, 4.68 ERA)
Tampa Bay: Davis (4-4, 3.71 ERA)

Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 games on astroturf.
Under is 12-3-2 in TEX last 17 on astroturf.
TEX are 5-11 in their last 16 road games.
TEX are 4-14 in Hollands last 18 road starts.

Rays are 8-2 in Davis' last 10 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rays are 4-1 in Davis' last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rays are 6-2 in Davis' last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
Rays are 12-4 in their last 16 Monday games.

Rangers are 6-13 in the last 19 meetings in Tampa Bay.
TB are 12-4 in their last 16 Mon. games.
Under is 38-13-1 in TB last 52 home games.
Under is 23-10 in TB last 33 on astroturf.

take Under 8.5 Runs
Tampa Bay (W Davis)
___________________________
Giants at Cardinals
St. Louis is at home after 8 road games & will look to take advantage injuries plag Frisco.
Starting Pitchers
San Francisco: Bumgarner (1-6, 3.79 ERA)
St. Louis: McClellan (6-1, 3.11 ERA)

Cardinals are 4-0 in McClellans last 4 home starts.
Cardinals are 8-1 in McClellans last 9 starts.
Cardinals are 8-1 in McClellans last 9 starts on grass.

Giants are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.
Giants are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 5-0 in Bumgarners last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 4-0 in Bumgarners last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in Bumgarners last 6 Monday starts.
Under is 8-2 in Giants last 10 vs. National League Central.
Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
Giants are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.

Cardinals to win
Take Under 7.5 Runs
(if high risk high returns you like then go for
a double header special - St Louis/Under 7.5 Runs)

[Soon2BRich]

wow dude this thread kinda went under my radar. seeing as the nba is almost done, can i ask what your nba record was for the season?

[Love The Action]

wow dude this thread kinda went under my radar. seeing as the nba is almost done, can i ask what your nba record was for the season?

Kob is the man. He gives you great analysis, awesome trends and wins way more than he loses. One of the best on here in my opinion. Check out this thread more. I respect his thoughts in both NBA and MLB.

[kobstopa]

wow dude this thread kinda went under my radar. seeing as the nba is almost done, can i ask what your nba record was for the season?

i had earlier on keep some record but just too lazy & let it go. you may have to back track it & decide for yourself. feel free to use it as a reference & gl

[kobstopa]

Kob is the man. He gives you great analysis, awesome trends and wins way more than he loses. One of the best on here in my opinion. Check out this thread more. I respect his thoughts in both NBA and MLB.

oh thank you LT, not too good with base of late
on to tomorrow I am lock with game 1 NBA finals - over total 186.5 (yes, I still can get this at local casino) is my only play. I am looking forward to watch the game live, this gonna be exciting opening for sure. Good luck people.

[kobstopa]

[ATTACH]28521[/ATTACH]

The Heats dictated the tempo in game 1, we should see the same in 2. As in my analysis matrix, its understood that we have 2nd rank defensive team vs a top 5 in Dallas, and the Mavs has yet to taste East coast's defensive style & there it is. Also, at home the Heats had won average 7 to 8 points included Boston series.
Obviously the Mavs will adjust in the the coming game but it won't make much different until return back home in game 3, and 4. The Heats' bench can't do no worst since the Sixers' series but upside since Heslem's returned. Also it's important to note minutes production from Bosh, Wade and Bron are each average 44 mins per game.

Take Miami -4.5
Take under 185.5

[kobstopa]

[ATTACH]28521[/ATTACH]

The Heats dictated the tempo in game 1, we should see the same in 2. As in my analysis matrix, its understood that we have 2nd rank defensive team vs a top 5 in Dallas, and the Mavs has yet to taste East coast's defensive style & there it is. Also, at home the Heats had won average 7 to 8 points included Boston series.
Obviously the Mavs will adjust in the the coming game but it won't make much different until return back home in game 3, and 4. The Heats' bench can't do no worst since the Sixers' series but upside since Heslem's returned. Also it's important to note minutes production from Bosh, Wade and Bron are each average 44 mins per game.

Take Miami -4.5
Take under 185.5

upgraded
Take Miami -4.5
Take under 186.5

[kobstopa]

I am on tweet now, looks great on ipad - make sure you use wifi. http://twitter.com/#!/kobstopa

[kobstopa]

upgraded
Take Miami -4.5
Take under 186.5

This is one of the worst collapse by the Heats in Q4, I think they were so sure that its for them to take it at home game 2 & complacent defense in this last 4 mins. Now this is hugh for the Mavs, it's a turning point.

Our under loss by 3 points, despite a combine 102 points in the 1st half. No point to dwell on it we'll move on to the next.

opening for Game 3 - Dal -3 O/U: 188
gonna be interesting.

[kobstopa]

WNBA
WNBA Lynx at LA Sparks Season opening
Current Line: LA (-3.5)/o:u 158.5

Candace Parker is returned for LA, with 5th pick rookie Jantell Lavender. While Lynx and No. 1 overall rookie Maya Moore will make her debut. Both are excellent teams, but LA should be dominant at home.

Lynx are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
Lynx are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Prediction: Lynx 78 @ LA Spark 85

Take Sparks -3.5

[Love The Action]

WNBA
WNBA Lynx at LA Sparks Season opening
Current Line: LA (-3.5)/o:u 158.5

Candace Parker is returned for LA, with 5th pick rookie Jantell Lavender. While Lynx and No. 1 overall rookie Maya Moore will make her debut. Both are excellent teams, but LA should be dominant at home.

Lynx are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
Lynx are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Prediction: Lynx 78 @ LA Spark 85

Take Sparks -3.5

I'm on it too....it's my first year betting on females so I'm a bit leery but Candace Parker should dominate after the injury. I actually liked the under but couldn't get it at open and am not going to touch it at 157. Good luck! BTW, I lean under in game 3 of NBA...

[kobstopa]

I'm on it too....it's my first year betting on females so I'm a bit leery but Candace Parker should dominate after the injury. I actually liked the under but couldn't get it at open and am not going to touch it at 157. Good luck! BTW, I lean under in game 3 of NBA...

Hi LT,

I had some success with WNBA last year, I cashed it big time with WNBA Finals with Baseball around that time too.

In game 3, I agree under is the play, as from here on, thing are getting very intense and serious; every game is a decider as the stake is higher than previous rounds.
but if Dal wins game 3 & 4, game 5 should be an over etc vice versa for the Heats as well.

[kobstopa]

WNBA
WNBA Lynx at LA Sparks Season opening
Current Line: LA (-3.5)/o:u 158.5

Candace Parker is returned for LA, with 5th pick rookie Jantell Lavender. While Lynx and No. 1 overall rookie Maya Moore will make her debut. Both are excellent teams, but LA should be dominant at home.

Lynx are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
Lynx are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Prediction: Lynx 78 @ LA Spark 85

Take Sparks -3.5

score: Lynx 74 LA Sparks 82

[kobstopa]

[ATTACH]28661[/ATTACH]

_______________________________
Phoenix at Seattle
Two Australian stars players will go at it, this would mean a tough defensive at both ends. Storm should be dominant at home as they had sweep Phx last year playoff with pretty much the same and improved roster.

Take Storm -7.5
Take under 170.5
_______________________________
Sky-Fever
Indiana had nine of 10 all-time in the series at home against Sky, it's more of the same in this opening game.

Take Ind -7
_______________________________
Mystics-Sun
The home team has 7-0 meetings history.

Take Conn Suns -4.5
_______________________________
Shock-Silver
The Silver Stars 4-0 of last year's five meetings. But they could be in for a suprise with Tula's new secret weapon,this year 2nd pick Rookie, 19-year-old Australian Liz Cambage whom has a tremendous upside, a very physical C/Forward & quickness for dominant low post game.
SA are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Head to Head:
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in San Antonio.

Take Tula +8.5
_______________________________follow me on twitter wit same user name, gl

[nmodi]

can u plz post ur twitter link??

[kobstopa]

can u plz post ur twitter link??

hi, you can search the user name kobstopa
or
via http

http://twitter.com/#!/kobstopa

gl

[kobstopa]

[ATTACH]28661[/ATTACH]

_______________________________
Phoenix at Seattle
Two Australian stars players will go at it, this would mean a tough defensive at both ends. Storm should be dominant at home as they had sweep Phx last year playoff with pretty much the same and improved roster.

Take Storm -7.5
Take under 170.5
Seattle 78, Phoenix 71
_______________________________
Sky-Fever
Indiana had nine of 10 all-time in the series at home against Sky, it's more of the same in this opening game.

Take Ind -7
Indiana 65, Chicago 57
_______________________________
Mystics-Sun
The home team has 7-0 meetings history.

Take Conn Suns -4.5
Connecticut 89, Washington 73
_______________________________
Shock-Silver
The Silver Stars 4-0 of last year's five meetings. But they could be in for a suprise with Tula's new secret weapon,this year 2nd pick Rookie, 19-year-old Australian Liz Cambage whom has a tremendous upside, a very physical C/Forward & quickness for dominant low post game.
SA are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Head to Head:
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in San Antonio.

Take Tula +8.5
_______________________________follow me on twitter wit same user name, gl

Score update: WNBA: 4-1

[kobstopa]

Miami at Dallas - Game 3
A big win in game 2 on the road for the Mavs, now with momentum on their side and heading home to grab another victory in game 3. Miami committed cardinal sin with a poor defense that allow Dallas caught fire with their shooting rhythm late in the 4th, and fall for the oldest trick in basketball; take low % jumpshots in critical stage of the game while thinking they still can win it at home. Coming to this, they will live and learn from a costly mistake, let it goes and look to play a 5 game series. We can expect a game 7 like with intensity and one physical game where every possession count and both teams will go for % FG plays and set a pace for low scoring game.

Take Dal -2.5
Take under 188.5

[IceSlipper]

locking the under too kob GL!

probably make it a 5x play until refs are out, then think about upping it!

[kobstopa]

[ATTACH]28709[/ATTACH]

[kobstopa]

locking the under too kob GL!

probably make it a 5x play until refs are out, then think about upping it!

good luck, gonna be interesting game.

[kobstopa]

[ATTACH]28709[/ATTACH]

OT kill Atl game, NY just doesn't go away made clutch shots after shot
Lynx -4.5 won it

[Nielsio]

Too bad about the Atl score! Looks like the under is a sure thing here again.

[kobstopa]

[ATTACH]28707[/ATTACH]


Miami at Dallas - Game 3
A big win in game 2 on the road for the Mavs, now with momentum on their side and heading home to grab another victory in game 3. Miami committed cardinal sin with a poor defense that allow Dallas caught fire with their shooting rhythm late in the 4th, and fall for the oldest trick in basketball; take low % jumpshots in critical stage of the game while thinking they still can win it at home. Coming to this, they will live and learn from a costly mistake, let it goes and look to play a 5 game series. We can expect a game 7 like with intensity and one physical game where every possession count and both teams will go for % FG plays and set a pace for low scoring game.

Take Dal -2.5
Take under 188.5

88-86 Heats

[IceSlipper]

another total cashed! gw kob!

[nmodi]

any WNBA today?

[kobstopa]

any WNBA today?

Tulsa @ Minn
Tula to win this game is out of the question, in last their last game at SA they had 40-23 rebounding edge & rightfully so due to their interior play by the new 2nd pick rookie. Silver beaten them with their sharpe outside shots. I expect both teams here will play an equal defense but lynx will no doubt has a better offense and at home should win by 12 points. 72-84 lynx.


Tulsa Shock +14
UNDER 167.5

[nmodi]

locked both

[kobstopa]

Miami at Dallas - Game 4
Expect a game 7 intensity and physical defense. The Heats played to their strength and had a massive scoring advantage at low post. This game will be no exception, both teams will grind out high % FG & don't expect that many 3's attempts.

Take under 186.5 points

[IceSlipper]

Miami at Dallas - Game 4
Expect a game 7 intensity and physical defense. The Heats played to their strength and had a massive scoring advantage at low post. This game will be no exception, both teams will grind out high % FG & don't expect that many 3's attempts.

Take under 186.5 points

Lock and load!
Any leans for the spread? I really cant pick this series so i think ill stick to playing the totals!
Player Performance bets have been successful for me so far in this series so i may play a few of those too..

[kobstopa]

Lock and load!
Any leans for the spread? I really cant pick this series so i think ill stick to playing the totals!
Player Performance bets have been successful for me so far in this series so i may play a few of those too..

I think this one can go either way, the Heats has a load of potential to win anytime, but the Mavs got to feel the urgency now as they had just lost opening at home after stole one from the Heats in game 2. I had picked Heats to win 6 or 7 from the start. Didn't think they would have loss game 2 & expect them to win game 4 or 5. I think we'll go with a safe choice with o/u bet for now. gl

[IceSlipper]

Have to agree that no play on either team looks like the safest/right play atm! BOL to you too sir!

[Nielsio]

Took the under 1st half and the full game. Im additiona noticed also a moneyline for the Heat +130 so took that one also gl to all tonight!