Tulsa comes back to win in OT. Barring a meltdown by the Chargers another winner
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#422
Originally posted by curious
Okay, the Nets are sticking at -6, so let's toss them out and go with:
Boston Celtics -300 (NBA)
Tulsa -380 (NCAAB)
Rice -300 (NCAAB)
San Diego Chargers -550 (NFL)
Betting this as a straight 2 play round robin, that means all these teams in every possible combination of a 2 pick parlay.
Risk $6000 to win $3790
Let's win some money crackheads!!
Oh, and if you didn't know that the Boston Celtics are NBA and San Diego Chargers are NFL then please kill yourself. LOL Not sure why I listed those. LOL
Winner Winner !! +$3790
Unless the 49ers score 32 unopposed points in the 4th Quarter. LOL
Comment
MrShrink
SBR MVP
01-19-10
1054
#423
well? anyone hit it with me?
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#424
[QUOTE=MrShrink;7957001][quote=curious;7956412]
Originally posted by MrShrink
Good point. I have SD-3 parlayed on a few tix. Also the teased under @ 52.
The NJN play is more of a guts play, i guess. Have a good feeling about Harris and Farmar in this one and i know Avery doesn't want to see his team lose b2b @ home with rest in between, so I think they're gonna have incentive to beat up on an injured WAS squad @ home. Again, just guts. BOL.
Good win!
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#425
[QUOTE=balman;7956822][quote=curious;7956412]
Originally posted by MrShrink
i thought you only did NBA Parlays??
so you do throw in some NFL, colloge football n college basketball?
will you be poosting your halves n 1/4s posts?
Not sure where you got that idea.
I told the thread owner if he can keep the idiots off of me I might start posting my Q and Halves plays. But, you have to understand you have to search to find books that let you make any Q or H play on the ML. And I'm not going to do the searching for anyone.
Comment
MrShrink
SBR MVP
01-19-10
1054
#426
[quote=curious;7959922][quote=MrShrink;7957001]
Originally posted by curious
Good win!
you, too, bossman
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#427
Is Arizona just messing with us or do they really suck this bad?
Comment
jolmscheid
Restricted User
02-20-10
3256
#428
Ok so curious I put 5% on the nets ML and 5% on nets / celtics ML. I'm also thinking about doing 1% round Robins is that too Much ya think? Thanks
Comment
MrShrink
SBR MVP
01-19-10
1054
#429
took N AZ +17
had a pretty good night save the goalie situation of BOTH teams screwing me in the pho/nyr under5.5... ridiculous
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#430
Originally posted by curious
Don't go crazy on this it is just for fun.
(These first ones are NCAA basketball)
NC State -1400
Memphis -1100
N Dakota State -525
Missouri -1400
Arizona -1650
San Diego Chargers -550 (NFL)
Boston Celtics -310 (NBA)
$1000 to win $1471
Woo Hoo 7 teams and +147 LOL
Winner Winner +$1471
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#431
Originally posted by jolmscheid
Ok so curious I put 5% on the nets ML and 5% on nets / celtics ML. I'm also thinking about doing 1% round Robins is that too Much ya think? Thanks
No, that isn't too much. 5% on a very strong play is fine. As your bankroll grows you can gradually cut that down.
Comment
PP
SBR Wise Guy
11-27-10
816
#432
Cool thread, gonna try it out tomorrow, looking at the games Friday, looks like I may go with ATL, OKL. & Portland in NBA, I also like the Lakers for a possible 4th even though PHI is 8-5 at home, the Lakers are hungry and are on a 3 game winning streak as is Phili but 2 of their last 3 wins were vs teams with losing records. Phili is 8-5 at home while the Lakers are 9-5 on the road. Will have to see what the line is tomorrow. What do you guys think?
Comment
firehoyt
SBR MVP
12-02-10
3569
#433
Pretty good damn guess on the score. Got any thoughts on ML parlays tonight?!
Originally posted by brahmabull117
I would strongly recommend everybody here to play the spread on this niners/chargers game
49ers haven't shown much of an ability to play close games against decent opponents on the road. They lost by 25 on the road to the seahawks, by 21 to the chiefs, by 18 to the packers, and by 21 even at home just a couple weeks ago vs Tampa bay
the chargers on the other hand have blown out 4 out of the 5 bad teams they have faced at home this year
the line on this game is 9.0. Personally I think Chargers will win this by about 24 (like 34-10)
Atlanta -325 ?? (NBA) (books are giving a line of -7 1/2 but no ML, crackheads)
Going to go ahead and give the plays on the 8 teams using -325 for Atlanta, if the line changes a lot I will update the plays. I'm making the plays for the first 7 teams now, when Atlanta becomes available I will make the Atlanta play.
Doing 2x and 3x RR (2 pick round robin and 3 pick round robin)
Betting $200 per play, that gives us $16,800 to win $11,100
Good luck everyone!
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#435
Originally posted by PP
Cool thread, gonna try it out tomorrow, looking at the games Friday, looks like I may go with ATL, OKL. & Portland in NBA, I also like the Lakers for a possible 4th even though PHI is 8-5 at home, the Lakers are hungry and are on a 3 game winning streak as is Phili but 2 of their last 3 wins were vs teams with losing records. Phili is 8-5 at home while the Lakers are 9-5 on the road. Will have to see what the line is tomorrow. What do you guys think?
I don't take any play where the line is greater than -7 UNLESS there is overwhelming evidence to say that the line is off. For the Lakers I don't see it. I would stay away from that game. Look at NCAAB, you've got Virginia, Tennessee, and Colorado tonight, easy winners. Also in NBA you've got Dallas.
Comment
jolmscheid
Restricted User
02-20-10
3256
#436
Alrighty Curious...gonna try the database for football, basketball, etc....any filters or thoughts about how you pick parlays for NHL? MLB? etc??? Thanks!
Comment
jolmscheid
Restricted User
02-20-10
3256
#437
Alright Curious....I entered in the parameters at Sportsdatabase....now I ran the numbers on SU moneylines from -1 all the way to -8 and EVERY single spread from -1 to -8 was PROFITABLE betting the ML on HOME or AWAY teams...can that be right?? So it was saying that if you bet ALL favs of -1 to -8 either home or away, then you would be profitable....that can't be right can it??
Check it out if ya don't believe me..
Comment
balman
SBR Sharp
10-29-09
387
#438
can someone explan to me the difference between a Parlay Card (this is how bookmaker describes it) versus regular parlay...
Cheers
Bal Parlay Card
What is the difference between a Parlay Card and a regular parlay?
If you are looking for value, our Parlay Cards are your best bet. All Parlay Card lines are static and do not move. Parlay Cards are based on a fixed odds payout while regular parlays are based on true odds.
REGULAR PARLAY AND TEASER CARDS # TeamsParlay Odds Teaser Odds3+550 (11 to 2)+160 (8 to 5)4+1000 (10 to 1)+280 (14 to 5)5+2000 (20 to 1)+425 (17 to 4)6+4000 (40 to 1)+600 (6 to 1)7+8000 (80 to 1)+850 (17 to 2)8+15000 (150 to 1)+1250 (25 to 2)9+30000 (300 to 1)+1750 (35 to 2)10+60000 (600 to 1)+2400 (24 to 1)Min wager: $1Max wager: $5,000Max Payout: $150,000TIE = LOSE
SWEATHEART TEASER CARDParlay Card
Comment
balman
SBR Sharp
10-29-09
387
#439
[quote=curious;7959952][quote=balman;7956822]
Originally posted by curious
Not sure where you got that idea.
I told the thread owner if he can keep the idiots off of me I might start posting my Q and Halves plays. But, you have to understand you have to search to find books that let you make any Q or H play on the ML. And I'm not going to do the searching for anyone.
i use bookmaker, they do offer 1/2s on parlays but not 1/4s... i have a pinnacle account to but thier parlay options arent as good as bookmaker as bookmaker gives you choice of huge favs like -2000 -3000 etc
what about posting only your halves parlays for now?
Atlanta -325 ?? (NBA) (books are giving a line of -7 1/2 but no ML, crackheads)
Going to go ahead and give the plays on the 8 teams using -325 for Atlanta, if the line changes a lot I will update the plays. I'm making the plays for the first 7 teams now, when Atlanta becomes available I will make the Atlanta play.
Doing 2x and 3x RR (2 pick round robin and 3 pick round robin)
Betting $200 per play, that gives us $16,800 to win $11,100
Good luck everyone!
are you going to wait until atl ml comes out? or skip atl for tonight
Comment
balman
SBR Sharp
10-29-09
387
#441
ignore my last post atl ml is out now -290
Comment
PP
SBR Wise Guy
11-27-10
816
#442
Originally posted by curious
I don't take any play where the line is greater than -7 UNLESS there is overwhelming evidence to say that the line is off. For the Lakers I don't see it. I would stay away from that game. Look at NCAAB, you've got Virginia, Tennessee, and Colorado tonight, easy winners. Also in NBA you've got Dallas.
I'm a little confused, you said you don't take any play where the line is greater than -7, but you are taking Ind, OK, and Portland?
Comment
lapi7
SBR High Roller
06-08-10
230
#443
Yeah...I was a little confused by that myself.
But I believe that what Curious means by that is in using the term "greater than" he means "lower than" as those teams would be greater than (in terms of their ability) other teams ???
I could be a crackhead and be way off on this.
Either way it seems that Curious does not play ML favs. who's point spread is less then -7.
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#444
Originally posted by PP
I'm a little confused, you said you don't take any play where the line is greater than -7, but you are taking Ind, OK, and Portland?
-3 is greater than -7. -10 is less than -7.
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#445
Originally posted by lapi7
Yeah...I was a little confused by that myself.
But I believe that what Curious means by that is in using the term "greater than" he means "lower than" as those teams would be greater than (in terms of their ability) other teams ???
I could be a crackhead and be way off on this.
Either way it seems that Curious does not play ML favs. who's point spread is less then -7.
You are a crackhead.
I am using the mathematical term for negative numbers.
-3 is greater than -7. -10 is less than -7.
I don't play the following ML favs: pk, -1, -2, -3, -4, -5, -6, -6.5. I do play anything -7 and beyond, such as -8, -9, -10, etc.
Sorry for the confusion.
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#446
Originally posted by jolmscheid
Alright Curious....I entered in the parameters at Sportsdatabase....now I ran the numbers on SU moneylines from -1 all the way to -8 and EVERY single spread from -1 to -8 was PROFITABLE betting the ML on HOME or AWAY teams...can that be right?? So it was saying that if you bet ALL favs of -1 to -8 either home or away, then you would be profitable....that can't be right can it??
Check it out if ya don't believe me..
It isn't right. I'll check it when I get a chance. I think you are looking at the games W-L and not the money won/lost.
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#447
Originally posted by jolmscheid
Alrighty Curious...gonna try the database for football, basketball, etc....any filters or thoughts about how you pick parlays for NHL? MLB? etc??? Thanks!
I don't play NHL. We did great in MLB for two years, this past season I got killed. I don't know what happened. I am staying away from MLB until we figure that one out. I stopped playing MLB sometime after the all star break and before the playoffs, I think that was somewhere around game 125 or 130 for most teams.
For NCAAB and NBA you can use a line of -7 or beyond (-8, -9, -10...). Be CAREFUL with NCAAB you have to cap every game. And you have to make sure the team is not some scrub team, that does happen in NCAAB.
I don't use complicated filters any more. The -7 line and beyond is so easy there is no reason to do all that math.
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#448
Originally posted by balman
ignore my last post atl ml is out now -290
I left Atlanta in after capping the games. Atlanta at home is 5-0 SU, Charlotte on the road is 0-5 SU.
I am just going to leave Atlanta at -325 so I don't have to redo everything.
Comment
cheezhead62
SBR Sharp
04-23-10
414
#449
Originally posted by curious
You are a crackhead.
I am using the mathematical term for negative numbers.
-3 is greater than -7. -10 is less than -7.
I don't play the following ML favs: pk, -1, -2, -3, -4, -5, -6, -6.5. I do play anything -7 and beyond, such as -8, -9, -10, etc.
Sorry for the confusion.
Let me guess... these people are the product of the USA education system? They teach everything except the three R's. If you don't know what the three R's are then ask your grandmother. LOL. Don't send me hate mail, just saying...
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#450
Originally posted by balman
can someone explan to me the difference between a Parlay Card (this is how bookmaker describes it) versus regular parlay...
Cheers
Bal Parlay Card
What is the difference between a Parlay Card and a regular parlay?
If you are looking for value, our Parlay Cards are your best bet. All Parlay Card lines are static and do not move. Parlay Cards are based on a fixed odds payout while regular parlays are based on true odds.
REGULAR PARLAY AND TEASER CARDS # TeamsParlay Odds Teaser Odds3+550 (11 to 2)+160 (8 to 5)4+1000 (10 to 1)+280 (14 to 5)5+2000 (20 to 1)+425 (17 to 4)6+4000 (40 to 1)+600 (6 to 1)7+8000 (80 to 1)+850 (17 to 2)8+15000 (150 to 1)+1250 (25 to 2)9+30000 (300 to 1)+1750 (35 to 2)10+60000 (600 to 1)+2400 (24 to 1)Min wager: $1Max wager: $5,000Max Payout: $150,000TIE = LOSE
SWEATHEART TEASER CARDParlay Card
Is this parlay card coming from Canada? Parlay cards usually suck really bad, but every once in a while you can get something that is really off in your favor. In some places letting gamblers use the true odds is considered "gambling". But, selling a parlay card where the odds are not true odds is not considered "gambling". I know, its stupid. SOMETIMES you can get a parlay where the odds have really moved against the card since the opening. When this happens you have to jump all over that play.
Personally I don't waste time with parlay cards. If you use them use them to find an edge in your favor.
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#451
Originally posted by cheezhead62
Let me guess... these people are the product of the USA education system? They teach everything except the three R's. If you don't know what the three R's are then ask your grandmother. LOL. Don't send me hate mail, just saying...
That was my guess. My grandparents both had less than high school education and would have smacked you upside the head with a piece of firewood for asking a question so stupid.
It is sad that these crackheads do not know that -10 is LESS than -7. I worry about the USA a lot because of nonsense like this.
Comment
jetsjets1028
SBR MVP
02-10-10
1234
#452
go knicks tonight rebound vs heat pleaseee
Comment
c1onebell
SBR Rookie
12-17-10
9
#453
Ncaab
Originally posted by curious
You need to learn how to do this yourself. I'll show you the queries, it isn't that hard. The query will be the same for any sport. I'm not going to do them individually, I'll do <= -7 (less than or equal to -7).
Here is the query for NBA
date>20100707 and line<=-7
You have to set a date that gets you beyond last year but before this year.
The result for NBA is:
SU: 128-16
You can run the query yourself for NFL and NCAAF and NCAAB.
where can you find the data for NCAA basketball; I only found NCAA football in sportsdatabase.
and i check the results of NCAAB games for last 3 week, and the ML winning% is less than 80% for <= -7.
is NCAA good enough to play ML?
Comment
curious
Restricted User
07-20-07
9093
#454
Originally posted by jolmscheid
Alright Curious....I entered in the parameters at Sportsdatabase....now I ran the numbers on SU moneylines from -1 all the way to -8 and EVERY single spread from -1 to -8 was PROFITABLE betting the ML on HOME or AWAY teams...can that be right?? So it was saying that if you bet ALL favs of -1 to -8 either home or away, then you would be profitable....that can't be right can it??
Check it out if ya don't believe me..
For NBA sportsdatabase does not give the $$ won/lost for the query you run. Which is stupid.
They do give you the games won/lost, I did all plays < 0 and > -7, this came out to:
125-100
They don't give you the $$ won/lost. I can't prove it but I believe that with an average line of -3.5 125-100 would be a losing proposition. -3.5 is -175. Risking 175 to win 100 on 225 games would give you wins of $12500 and loss of 17500, so you would be down $5000.
For games <= -7 the average line is -9.5 which is roughly -500. The win/loss is 129-16, so if you were risking 500 to win 100 then you have won 12900 and lost 8000 for a gain of $4900.
Capping these games properly you would probably do better than 129-16, I saw a few games in there that a person would have to be smoking some pretty heavy crack to be on that team.
Because we are doing parlays we do better than this. I'll let you figure that part out.
Comment
PP
SBR Wise Guy
11-27-10
816
#455
Gotcha thanks for the clarification. This is what I'm most likely be going with tonight, Thunder, Blazers, Tenn(Vols).