real talk here guys
I have been doing some research here in the NBA over the last few weeks. Here is the thing, as much as we like to think of the NBA as a league where "amazing happens", in reality, true upsets very rarely happen
I have gone through the road records of bad teams in the NBA last year (IE teams that only won 20-30 games) and most of these teams literally have maybe 1 or 2 wins vs good opponents all year on the road (you are looking at a road record of like 1-16 against good opponents). It's pretty much the same thing this year, true road upsets of good teams are VERY VERY rare
it basically comes down to this, you can put down a big chunk of money on MoneyLine Parlays of good home teams playing bad road teams in the NBA and you will come out a winner about 70-80% of your days
people don't realize just how generous ML plays really are. These lines of say -500 when it's San Antonio playing Golden State are just fantastic value. Why?? because teams like San Antonio will probably win 10-15 games for every home loss they have to a bad team like Golden State over the course of a 5 year period
I have been experimenting with this the last 2 days and Have had terrific success - so far 2-0
I had a 3 team ML yesterday and a 5 team ML today and both of them succeeded
I have been doing some research here in the NBA over the last few weeks. Here is the thing, as much as we like to think of the NBA as a league where "amazing happens", in reality, true upsets very rarely happen
I have gone through the road records of bad teams in the NBA last year (IE teams that only won 20-30 games) and most of these teams literally have maybe 1 or 2 wins vs good opponents all year on the road (you are looking at a road record of like 1-16 against good opponents). It's pretty much the same thing this year, true road upsets of good teams are VERY VERY rare
it basically comes down to this, you can put down a big chunk of money on MoneyLine Parlays of good home teams playing bad road teams in the NBA and you will come out a winner about 70-80% of your days
people don't realize just how generous ML plays really are. These lines of say -500 when it's San Antonio playing Golden State are just fantastic value. Why?? because teams like San Antonio will probably win 10-15 games for every home loss they have to a bad team like Golden State over the course of a 5 year period
I have been experimenting with this the last 2 days and Have had terrific success - so far 2-0
I had a 3 team ML yesterday and a 5 team ML today and both of them succeeded