Money Line Parlays in the NBA = By Far the Best Way to Bet

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  • dom75
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-11-10
    • 779

    #316
    I'd advise anyone to keep Dallas out of any type of parlays, heck don't even bet them anymore period ! Dallas has been the kiss of death for me this year. I got to thinking and I am almost certain Mark Cuban had something to do with the Dallas loss the other night. Dallas has played well this year but I think all if not, most of their losses have been to poor teams. My theory is that Cuban sees a good dog ML of +300 or more from time to time against his team, and tells his team to make it a competitive game but lose it. I seriously think Cuban bets on his own team... he is the Pete Rose of NBA.
    Comment
    • rsnnh12
      SBR MVP
      • 09-26-10
      • 3487

      #317
      First ML parlay for tonight for me-
      Celtics, Thunder, Hornets, Grizzlies- approximately +185 payout... 3 big home faves, and IMO the best team in the NBA right now
      Comment
      • PSABB
        SBR High Roller
        • 11-19-10
        • 198

        #318
        Originally posted by Nellyinctown
        I think that every point spread favorite on the board will win tonight on ML except possibly Dallas or Chicago.
        That's what everyone thought last night too. I honestly don't like too many of these matchups this evening. Everyone I know is jumping on the surging 76ers playing the lowly Clips, and being from Philly I can tell you this is exactly the type of game the Sixers will probably wind up laying down for. Boston-NY...too damn close to call. Lakers won yesterday like I thought, but Indiana played them damn tough last outing and won...Lakers on a b2b I would stay away from. Miami...my book ain't even offering that ML, so that's out. Houston is playing better and OKC is as well...I'll stay away. Hornets-Kings...ummm, no again...Kings may just steal one against a Hornets team that isn't playing all that much better than they are. Not trusting Dallas or the Suns in these games. Memphis & Charlotte will be a tight defensive battle.

        That leaves the Bulls (with a banged up Rose) and the Spurs as the only two NBA options I like this evening. And as I speak, the Spurs are off the board on the ML.

        Guess I'll be going Bulls in the NBA...adding Wake Forest, Minnesota, and UNLV. $1000 to win $1657 and recoup the loss yesterday thanks to Louisville laying a turd.
        Comment
        • MUHerd37
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-23-09
          • 12816

          #319
          Heat, Hornets are definites for the most part. Bulls and Thunder should win as well.
          Comment
          • PSABB
            SBR High Roller
            • 11-19-10
            • 198

            #320
            FYI...the reason the Spurs are off the board on most books is that Andrew Bogut suffered a migraine headache Tuesday night and is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Spurs. Game time decision.
            Comment
            • Nellyinctown
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-08-08
              • 216

              #321
              Here is what I need to know:

              SAC 2-7 on road vs NWO 9-3 home
              CHA 3-9 on road vs MEM 7-5 home
              HOU 3-10 on road vs OKC 10-4 home
              MIN 1-13 on road vs PHX 6-5 home
              POR 5-10 on road vs DAL 11-4 home
              LAC 0-10 on road vs PHI 7-5 home

              I can see maybe 1 of these home teams losing the game straight up.
              Comment
              • balman
                SBR Sharp
                • 10-29-09
                • 387

                #322
                Originally posted by curious
                RR = round robin
                x2, x3, x4, x5, x6, x7 means that all the teams listed are in games in every possible combination of 2 pick, 3 pick, 4 pick, 5 pick, 6 pick, and 7 pick.

                When you do this make sure that you do all the parlays to win the same amount and set what you are winning for the worst odds 2 pick parlay. You can't do that at an online sports book so you have to create the RR by hand. It takes a while, so I created a spreadsheet to make all the picks for me and then I have to go fill the stupid things out 1 by 1 online. Since most people can't do this I just list it the way the online books will make you do it, all bets the same amount.

                If you are picking good teams this is a fun way to play. I am hedging this play with a 2 pick parlay to win the same amount risked here. This was mainly just for fun. If my 7 teams all win I will win $13,000 and change. If more than half win then I will win a little money. If 1 or 2 lose I will win a lot of money.
                so if my math is correct if you were doing a 7 team RR you would make
                55 bets in total
                22 2x2
                15 3x3
                9 4x4
                5 5x5
                3 6x6
                1 7x7
                Cheers
                Bal
                Comment
                • MUHerd37
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-23-09
                  • 12816

                  #323
                  Memphis is scary to me. They can be very good but they can also be so damn bad. They do have 1 thing going for them tonight tho. Gerald Wallace rolled his ankle pretty bad last night. He finished the game but anyone who has ever fukked up their ankle knows that it's the next day that kills ya. Kinda liking the Griz tonight.
                  Comment
                  • eddie0vedder
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 08-31-10
                    • 650

                    #324
                    Originally posted by balman
                    so if my math is correct if you were doing a 7 team RR you would make 55 bets in total 22 2x2 15 3x3 9 4x4 5 5x5 3 6x6 1 7x7 Cheers Bal
                    no you would be making 120 bets and if you are doing it using ml lines of -200 or less you will lose money even if 1 team loses
                    Comment
                    • ejfel01
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 06-17-10
                      • 301

                      #325
                      I wish you best of luck Curious, your picks looked strong but the favorites lost somehow. I took a hard hitting, too. Sticking to nfl from now on
                      Comment
                      • curious
                        Restricted User
                        • 07-20-07
                        • 9093

                        #326
                        Originally posted by eddie0vedder
                        no you would be making 120 bets and if you are doing it using ml lines of -200 or less you will lose money even if 1 team loses
                        when you do a round robin like this you have to play all matchups to win the same amount. So, the 2 pick with the worst teams has to be bet to win the same amount as the 7 pick with all the teams. Unfortunately, I can't find anyone who will do this for you automatically, so you have to do it by hand.
                        Comment
                        • curious
                          Restricted User
                          • 07-20-07
                          • 9093

                          #327
                          Originally posted by ejfel01
                          I wish you best of luck Curious, your picks looked strong but the favorites lost somehow. I took a hard hitting, too. Sticking to nfl from now on
                          It is one night and we have a lot more to go, plus I am not listing all of my quarters and half plays. I stopped listing them because too many idiots aggravated me because they were too lazy to find the places where you could make the plays. I came to suspect that many of the people on SBR are kids because of this nonsense.

                          I found that the BEST plays by far in NBA are the quarters and halves because you can find such solid matchups in them.
                          Comment
                          • curious
                            Restricted User
                            • 07-20-07
                            • 9093

                            #328
                            NBA is very strange this year. Cleveland, a 16 point underdog is winning. sacramento, a 10 point underdog is winning. Charlotte, a 9 point underdog is down by 2. Houston an 8 point underdog is tied. Clippers, a 6 point underdog are winning. Knicks, a 4 point underdog are winning. Geeze, anyone who took all the dogs on the moneyline would be rich if this holds true. LOL
                            Comment
                            • brahmabull117
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-08-10
                              • 8622

                              #329
                              best ML picks for today were

                              philly
                              spurs
                              bulls


                              I hope you guys stayed away from the hornets and OKC. OKC is playing a surging houston team and the hornets have been atrocious recently so I wouldn't be surprised if you lose
                              Comment
                              • Flexin
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-09-10
                                • 969

                                #330
                                Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                best ML picks for today were philly spurs bulls I hope you guys stayed away from the hornets and OKC. OKC is playing a surging houston team and the hornets have been atrocious recently so I wouldn't be surprised if you lose
                                I said screw it and bet on all 6. But my bets are really small on this one today.

                                James
                                Comment
                                • Flexin
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-09-10
                                  • 969

                                  #331
                                  Originally posted by curious
                                  when you do a round robin like this you have to play all matchups to win the same amount. So, the 2 pick with the worst teams has to be bet to win the same amount as the 7 pick with all the teams. Unfortunately, I can't find anyone who will do this for you automatically, so you have to do it by hand.
                                  The problem with that is your lowest odd game will really hurt if you lose just that one.

                                  In 07 I played a lot of 4 and 5 game round robins. Hit some of them too. When I played them it was for the spread so my bets would have been close to the same anyway.

                                  If your going to do that I think you have to stay away from games that are way off from your other games. If you have most games at -400 to -500 I would stay away from a -1100 or -3000. If that one loses then you are down big.

                                  I kinda miss my round robins.

                                  James
                                  Comment
                                  • balman
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 10-29-09
                                    • 387

                                    #332
                                    been crazy busy at work so didnt get to post my plays..
                                    as for parlays tonight i have
                                    boston/phill R100W120
                                    Spursn/Suns/Mavs R200W176
                                    OKC/Hornets/Spurs R300 W220

                                    best of luck
                                    Comment
                                    • curious
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 07-20-07
                                      • 9093

                                      #333
                                      Originally posted by Flexin
                                      The problem with that is your lowest odd game will really hurt if you lose just that one.

                                      In 07 I played a lot of 4 and 5 game round robins. Hit some of them too. When I played them it was for the spread so my bets would have been close to the same anyway.

                                      If your going to do that I think you have to stay away from games that are way off from your other games. If you have most games at -400 to -500 I would stay away from a -1100 or -3000. If that one loses then you are down big.

                                      I kinda miss my round robins.

                                      James
                                      I never play the spread. Never.

                                      I totally disagree with your idea that you have to stay away from games that are way off from the other games. The odds predict the winner. I would much rather have a team at -800 than a team at -200. I have lost a few -1100 or worse but the wins make up for it. When I first started doing this I lost a -15,000 college play and I was going to quit but someone pointed out that I was STILL up for the season so I bet the next day and won big. LOL. There were a few idiots who talked trash about that loss for the next couple of years. I would like to run into those aholes someplace, but I figure they are children anyway.


                                      I usually don't take a team that is better than -7, so that is usually -300 and I will take any game that a book will offer, which is usually about -1200 to -2000. Most books cut off games less than -2000.

                                      If you look at the results for the last few years for teams <= -7 you will see why this is so effective.

                                      We ran a thread for a couple of years with parlays on highly favored teams and we cleaned up.

                                      I also do a lot of quarters and halves, that is where the real money is. I don't list them because of all the stupid nonsense that idiots threw at me because they couldn't get MLs on quarters and halves and they couldn't get all quarters. You have to really hunt to find the places where you can make those plays, especially if you live in America. So, instead of doing their own work they chose to harass me. Stupid idiots. I figure that those idiots don't bet anyway, they are probably children.
                                      Comment
                                      • curious
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 07-20-07
                                        • 9093

                                        #334
                                        Wow, new orleans getting killed

                                        A 10 point favorite down 16 at the half. Wow. Did the starters all stay home tonight? Are the cheerleaders playing?
                                        Comment
                                        • JBT
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 06-26-10
                                          • 1819

                                          #335
                                          I don't like to hear people talking about "definites" as those are usually the ones ending up costing me money... just think of Atlanta yesterday! Ugh!
                                          Comment
                                          • curious
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 07-20-07
                                            • 9093

                                            #336
                                            Originally posted by JBT
                                            I don't like to hear people talking about "definites" as those are usually the ones ending up costing me money... just think of Atlanta yesterday! Ugh!
                                            Who is talking about definites?
                                            Comment
                                            • Flexin
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 10-09-10
                                              • 969

                                              #337
                                              Originally posted by curious
                                              I never play the spread. Never. I totally disagree with your idea that you have to stay away from games that are way off from the other games. The odds predict the winner. I would much rather have a team at -800 than a team at -200. I have lost a few -1100 or worse but the wins make up for it. When I first started doing this I lost a -15,000 college play and I was going to quit but someone pointed out that I was STILL up for the season so I bet the next day and won big. LOL. There were a few idiots who talked trash about that loss for the next couple of years. I would like to run into those aholes someplace, but I figure they are children anyway. I usually don't take a team that is better than -7, so that is usually -300 and I will take any game that a book will offer, which is usually about -1200 to -2000. Most books cut off games less than -2000. If you look at the results for the last few years for teams <= -7 you will see why this is so effective. We ran a thread for a couple of years with parlays on highly favored teams and we cleaned up. I also do a lot of quarters and halves, that is where the real money is. I don't list them because of all the stupid nonsense that idiots threw at me because they couldn't get MLs on quarters and halves and they couldn't get all quarters. You have to really hunt to find the places where you can make those plays, especially if you live in America. So, instead of doing their own work they chose to harass me. Stupid idiots. I figure that those idiots don't bet anyway, they are probably children.
                                              I can see how this can work in the long run. The problem is if you lost that -15000 game on your first or second day you would be in rough shape.

                                              My best win had these 5 times in a round robin (26 games)

                                              1.Win 9-Dec Charlotte Bobcats vs Detroit Pistons (-12) for Game ( -110 ) 85 - 104
                                              2.Win 9-Dec Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers (-3) for Game ( -115 ) 113 - 123
                                              3.Win 9-Dec Villanova (-3) vs Temple for Game ( -110 ) 101 - 93
                                              4.Win 9-Dec Portland State (+19) vs Washington State for Game ( -115 ) 60 - 72
                                              5.Win 9-Dec Oakland Raiders vs Green Bay Packers (-10.5) for Game ( +100 ) 7 - 38

                                              I wouldn't worry about the people bitching. You can't make everyone happy. Some will find something to bitch about no matter what is posted anyway.

                                              James
                                              Comment
                                              • curious
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 07-20-07
                                                • 9093

                                                #338
                                                The quarters and halves are a FUN way to play. If Brahma will keep the idiots off my behind maybe I'll post them in here.
                                                Comment
                                                • Nellyinctown
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-08-08
                                                  • 216

                                                  #339
                                                  Sweet the Hornets came back for the win down 16 at the half!!!! Lets go Phoenix!!!!!!!!!!!!!If PHX wins the game I hit a 3 teamer, a 4 teamer, a 6 teamer and if Dal also wins I hit a 7 teamer but I am expecting them to lose because they are Dallas.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • WillC
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-10-09
                                                    • 1831

                                                    #340
                                                    Spurs getting some very lucky calls in their favor yet it's still tied.

                                                    going down to the wire
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Nellyinctown
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 12-08-08
                                                      • 216

                                                      #341
                                                      Originally posted by WillC
                                                      Spurs getting some very lucky calls in their favor yet it's still tied.

                                                      going down to the wire
                                                      What a shot by ginobli. I didn't have this one in my parlays since the line didn't come out til much later
                                                      Comment
                                                      • brahmabull117
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                        • 8622

                                                        #342
                                                        Originally posted by Nellyinctown
                                                        Sweet the Hornets came back for the win down 16 at the half!!!! Lets go Phoenix!!!!!!!!!!!!!If PHX wins the game I hit a 3 teamer, a 4 teamer, a 6 teamer and if Dal also wins I hit a 7 teamer but I am expecting them to lose because they are Dallas.
                                                        dallas will win

                                                        this is a team that has only lost back to back games once this year...

                                                        plus portland doesn't have the offensive firepower to come back late in games
                                                        Comment
                                                        • rsnnh12
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-26-10
                                                          • 3487

                                                          #343
                                                          Originally posted by rsnnh12
                                                          First ML parlay for tonight for me-
                                                          Celtics, Thunder, Hornets, Grizzlies- approximately +185 payout... 3 big home faves, and IMO the best team in the NBA right now
                                                          Winner winner chicken dinner


                                                          Hope you guys hit today... lots of faves pulling out wins
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Nellyinctown
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 12-08-08
                                                            • 216

                                                            #344
                                                            Well Phx is about to lose so oh well. I posted in here they would simply becuz I had them in so many bets. You'd think Nash would hook a fellow Canadian up!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • brahmabull117
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 8622

                                                              #345
                                                              Originally posted by Nellyinctown
                                                              Well Phx is about to lose so oh well. I posted in here they would simply becuz I had them in so many bets. You'd think Nash would hook a fellow Canadian up!

                                                              minnesota will find a way to lose this game. This team just simply doesn't have the capacity to win on the road



                                                              edit: called it, phoenix up 8 late in the 4th quarter. They will win this game with no doubt
                                                              Last edited by brahmabull117; 12-15-10, 11:13 PM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Nellyinctown
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 12-08-08
                                                                • 216

                                                                #346
                                                                The Jedi mind trick reverse jinx! If this pans out ps favorites went 11-0 tonight on ML
                                                                Comment
                                                                • riskyProps
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-11-10
                                                                  • 2201

                                                                  #347
                                                                  I have a 9 team ML parlay going with Dallas the last team needing to win. Will they do it?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Strategy
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 03-14-10
                                                                    • 28

                                                                    #348
                                                                    Ive been using this strategy since the season started with and im up +900%. Good Luck!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Flexin
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-09-10
                                                                      • 969

                                                                      #349
                                                                      Originally posted by riskyProps
                                                                      I have a 9 team ML parlay going with Dallas the last team needing to win. Will they do it?
                                                                      They did it. Nice win.

                                                                      James
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • curious
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 07-20-07
                                                                        • 9093

                                                                        #350
                                                                        Originally posted by curious
                                                                        Well, I got killed yesterday. I think I'm down about $10K for the season, which just started for me a few days ago.

                                                                        No worries. Switching to 2 pick parlays only.

                                                                        Doing a RR for all possible combinations of 2 pick parlay on the listed teams.
                                                                        Risking $19,500 to win $10,530. This is $1300 per parlay.

                                                                        Dallas -280
                                                                        Phoenix -550
                                                                        San Antonio -400
                                                                        Memphis -400
                                                                        New Orleans -700
                                                                        OKC -375

                                                                        If this wins I think I'll be about even, if my wife finds out I have lost money I am dog food so I hope this wins.
                                                                        Wow. I hate watching sports, good thing. The New Orleans game looked like a loser at one point. Then I watched some crazy movies and i come back and end up 6-0 +$10,530.00 LOL
                                                                        Comment
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