Money Line Parlays in the NBA = By Far the Best Way to Bet

[Siresco]

Curious is this a good Round Robins W/ 2s Parlay :

Virginia -8.5
Tenn - 13.5
Boise St. +3
Chattanooga +3
Colorado -15
Nevada +4.5

Which means i only need hit any 2 and its a win ?

[balman]

lots of excellent choices today

here is a very safe parlay


Pacers
Hawks
Thunder
Trailblazers

all are playing absolutely atrocious road teams. Cleveland has already lost to the pacers twice this year, Charlotte has been godawful and is missing Gerald wallace today, Thunder playing the Kings and Trailblazers playing Minnesota who is 1-26 their last 27 games on the road

agree i'm rolling the 4 teams in 2x2 n 3x3...

best of luck
cheers

[brahmabull117]

tomorrow is just unbelievable if you like ML parlays


Heat @ Wizards
Bulls vs LAC
Spurs at home Vs Memphis
Nuggets vs T Wolves
Warriors at Portland
76ers at Orlando

[Siresco]

tomorrow is just unbelievable if you like ML parlays


Heat @ Wizards
Bulls vs LAC
Spurs at home Vs Memphis
Nuggets vs T Wolves
Warriors at Portland
76ers at Orlando

Everything Except portland looks good..

[brahmabull117]

Everything Except portland looks good..

portland will be 8-3 at home this year after the game tonight and has won every game against bad teams


golden state on the other hand is in the midst of a brutal losing streak. They are 1-9 their last 10 games on the road with 1 win being against the timberwolves

[curious]

Curious is this a good Round Robins W/ 2s Parlay :

Virginia -8.5
Tenn - 13.5
Boise St. +3
Chattanooga +3
Colorado -15
Nevada +4.5

Which means i only need hit any 2 and its a win ?

Please stop betting and go back to playing dungeons and dragons. This is insane.

[Nellyinctown]

I have all 7 plays curious showed earlier into various 4 teamers. I also added the lakers into a couple. The NBA sure has a bunch of crappy teams thank god.

[MUHerd37]

Is this a money line parlay thread or a round robin thread??? There needs to be a separate thread for the round robin stuff.

[jolmscheid]

No, I did not say to do them to win the same amount, I said to risk the same amount. That way the bigger favorites have more risked on them which is the way it should be. Take two parlays:
Parlay 1 Team A -200 Team B -290
Parlay 2 Team C -500 Team D -700

Which parlay has the best chance of winning? Parlay 2, so I want to risk more money on parlay 2. How much more? That part is easy, just bet all the parlays to win the same amount.

You only have 3 teams, I wouldn't do a pick 3, I'm trying to lower the risk. I am EXTREMELY risk adverse, which is why I have a good bankroll even after getting killed in the MBA.

Most of the players that I see on this forum either have no idea how to measure risk, don't care about risk, or love risk. It is very strange to me.

See I am still confused....which one is it Curious...RISK the same amount on each? Or play TO WIN the same amount on each parlay????? You say both in your explanation....so when I played my 3 parlays TO WIN the same amount on each, you say that is crazy? Thanks for the help...

[brahmabull117]

lots of excellent choices today

here is a very safe parlay


Pacers
Hawks
Thunder
Trailblazers

all are playing absolutely atrocious road teams. Cleveland has already lost to the pacers twice this year, Charlotte has been godawful and is missing Gerald wallace today, Thunder playing the Kings and Trailblazers playing Minnesota who is 1-26 their last 27 games on the road

the 2 scary ones are out of the way (pacers and hawks games), the only 2 left is the kings and t wolves, who are a combined like 3 - 25 on the road. So it seems to be a fairly safe bet

[Nellyinctown]

Tennessee loses again lol. Looks like I'm only up $100 on the night as opposed to $1900 oh well

[STC]

just posting this here for the hell of it....

#27567099: Parlay (12-17-2010 14:08)
Toronto Raptors ( -192) (FG) 100.00 498.00
Miami Heat ( -200) (FG)
Los Angeles Lakers ( -230) (FG)
Atlanta Hawks ( -270) (FG)
Dallas Mavericks ( -300) (FG)

BOL

lots of excellent choices today

here is a very safe parlay

Pacers
Hawks
Thunder
Trailblazers

T'wolves are going to make you earn it it looks like. GL.

[8ArIvd5]

tomorrow is just unbelievable if you like ML parlays


Heat @ Wizards
Bulls vs LAC
Spurs at home Vs Memphis
Nuggets vs T Wolves
Warriors at Portland
76ers at Orlando

Add the Knicks, subtract the Blazers.

[Nellyinctown]

It's looking like yet another great night in the NBA and brahma is right tomorrow looks the same. Keep cashing the ML parlays

[8ArIvd5]

Brahma, have you kept a record on these plays?

[curious]

See I am still confused....which one is it Curious...RISK the same amount on each? Or play TO WIN the same amount on each parlay????? You say both in your explanation....so when I played my 3 parlays TO WIN the same amount on each, you say that is crazy? Thanks for the help...

I was just fooling around.

Best is to play to win the same amount. Easy to figure out. The higher the odds the higher the chances that you win therefore the more you can safely risk.

I cannot find a sportsbook that let's you place bets that way automatically so you have to do it by hand.

[Pauulzcappin]

Hit a +305 ML parlay today. might start doing it more for sure will hang out more on this thread.

[curious]

Is this a money line parlay thread or a round robin thread??? There needs to be a separate thread for the round robin stuff.

Why? A round robin is just a list of parlays made at once. They are also ML if that is the way you place them. No reason to have a separate thread.

[curious]

See I am still confused....which one is it Curious...RISK the same amount on each? Or play TO WIN the same amount on each parlay????? You say both in your explanation....so when I played my 3 parlays TO WIN the same amount on each, you say that is crazy? Thanks for the help...

I was just messing with you. YOu did the right thing. Good thing you didn't bet that 3 teamer.

[brahmabull117]

Brahma, have you kept a record on these plays?

yea I'm 4-2 I believe

should be 5-2 if the blazers can hopefully finish this one

Add the Knicks, subtract the Blazers.

I don't like the knicks at all tomorrow. That was back to back devastating losses (one by a late second shot and the other a blowout) at home, I want to see how they respond tomorrow before I start putting them in my parlays again

[firehoyt]

Hey Brahma.....what books post the ML the earliest?! I've on got on SB (B-Dog) and they post the ML plays around 5:00. Just wondering if there are any other books out there that make the ML's available earlier?!?! Thanks!

[brahmabull117]

Hey Brahma.....what books post the ML the earliest?! I've on got on SB (B-Dog) and they post the ML plays around 5:00. Just wondering if there are any other books out there that make the ML's available earlier?!?! Thanks!

bodog is fukking horrible for that reason

pretty much any sportsbook is better than them for posting MLs ASAP


I personally use intertops cause they accept VC card

[Nellyinctown]

I use betjam, they post ML around 11am East time, they are 100x better than bodog.

[Nellyinctown]

I am not betting road teams anymore especially college. Tennessee was my lone loss on the night. I had a small 10 teamer , and a 7 teamer. Glad I mixed my 4 teamers up to win small on the night

Big favs are not losing often in NBA, I'm liking this round robin talk except I like doing 4 teamers and don't want to have to manually do it hehe

[brahmabull117]

^^ I agree with the avoidance of road teams


too me, you're better off just putting more money on home teams playing rather than trying to get better odds by adding a road team to your parlay


80-90% of major upsets in the NBA seem to happen on the road. Home favorites facing bad teams this year have had a fantastic record SU for the most part (I'd imagine the number is around 95%)


#1 rule of this parlay stuff. Always minimize risk, if you even have a small question mark about a game, don't touch it. You are better off getting a parlay with -140 odds that has a 90% chance of hitting rather than getting a +140 parlay that has a 60% chance of hitting

smart and steady does it

[bryant81]

Damn...hit parlays today with the following odds: +437, +573, +839, +1384, and a +1465! (+98 units for the day...NEVER happened before)

[SimonSayz]

Curious...keep up the good work bro...few questions:

Do most books offer ML for heavy NBA & NCAAB favs? My book did not have the Thunder, Colorado or Tennssee ML last night...
I know your NBA parameters for ML are -7 and greater? How about NFL, NCAAF & NCAAB?
With respect to the sportsdatabase.com, are you familiar with running a query based on 1H play this year for teams? For example, if I want to compare the bulls vs clipps matchup for tonight and see how each team has faired, do you have an idea on how to do that?

No more q's for now...

Thanks,

Simon

[curious]

I am not betting road teams anymore especially college. Tennessee was my lone loss on the night. I had a small 10 teamer , and a 7 teamer. Glad I mixed my 4 teamers up to win small on the night

Big favs are not losing often in NBA, I'm liking this round robin talk except I like doing 4 teamers and don't want to have to manually do it hehe

Big favs on the road in NBA have a better record than big favs at home (big fav = line <= -7).

I think the Tennessee players are getting paid off by someone.

[brahmabull117]

Curious...keep up the good work bro...few questions:

Do most books offer ML for heavy NBA & NCAAB favs? My book did not have the Thunder, Colorado or Tennssee ML last night...
I know your NBA parameters for ML are -7 and greater? How about NFL, NCAAF & NCAAB?
With respect to the sportsdatabase.com, are you familiar with running a query based on 1H play this year for teams? For example, if I want to compare the bulls vs clipps matchup for tonight and see how each team has faired, do you have an idea on how to do that?

No more q's for now...

Thanks,

Simon

1)It's not necessarily about having a big spread. 76ers were only a 5 point favorite against the clippers and that was a great play

2)different books offer different lines. If your book doesn't offer an ML for big favorites, I recommend switching to another one

3)stay away from ML parlays in the NFL. Big favorites have only won about 80-90% of their games this year (which is godawful compared to 95+% in the NBA)

4)I don't know anything about college basketball so I'm the last person to ask about that. In terms of college football?? the MLs usually are so gigantic that you won't make any real money doing it

[SimonSayz]

^^ Good info here....I like the following ML Plays for tonight -

Chicago at home vs the Clipps
San Antonio at home vs Memphis (possibly w/o Rudy Gay)
Orlando at home vs Philly....

Are any of these cause for concern?

[Stinger]

^^ Good info here....I like the following ML Plays for tonight -

Chicago at home vs the Clipps
San Antonio at home vs Memphis (possibly w/o Rudy Gay)
Orlando at home vs Philly....

Are any of these cause for concern?

I have those + Denver in the mix

[curious]

Curious...keep up the good work bro...few questions:

Do most books offer ML for heavy NBA & NCAAB favs? My book did not have the Thunder, Colorado or Tennssee ML last night...
I know your NBA parameters for ML are -7 and greater? How about NFL, NCAAF & NCAAB?
With respect to the sportsdatabase.com, are you familiar with running a query based on 1H play this year for teams? For example, if I want to compare the bulls vs clipps matchup for tonight and see how each team has faired, do you have an idea on how to do that?

No more q's for now...

Thanks,

Simon

I don't know that much about online books. I can get pretty much any line I want. Just do some research, it isn't that hard.

NCAAB you MUST cap both teams thoroughly. An NBA game is 4 12 minute quarters, an NCAAB game is 2 20 minute halves. -7 and less is good for NBA, you can cut that a little for NCAAB. -6 and less.

For NFL and NCAAF I want the line to be greater than one touchdown, so -7 1/2 or less. You have to be careful in NCAAF, a lot of dogs win, I have made a big pile of winnings in NCAAF playing dogs. You have to cap those games carefully.

NFL I am pretty hopeless at, I don't play it very much, usually only on Mon-Fri when not much else is going on. I only take big favorites in NFL and usually because someone I trust said so.

sportsdatabase.com has an online forum where you can ask questions and someone might answer it. There is an online manual for sportsdatabase.com you should read that. I can't answer your question. THere is a paramater - margin at the half, to get the home team just use the parameter, to get the visiting team use o:margin at the half. You will have to figure out how to build your query.

www.teamrankings.com will give you how each team performs for 1Q, 2Q, 1H, 3Q, 4Q, 2H, and Game.

[brahmabull117]

^^ Good info here....I like the following ML Plays for tonight -

Chicago at home vs the Clipps
San Antonio at home vs Memphis (possibly w/o Rudy Gay)
Orlando at home vs Philly....

Are any of these cause for concern?

Orlando game scares me simply because they have been playing awful and the 76ers have been playing terrific and inspired ball recently


the other 2 are very safe, also add Denver and Miami to the mix there

[curious]

^^ I agree with the avoidance of road teams

The stats this year totally disagree with this.

Road teams <=-7 are 19-2. This blows away home teams at <=-7.

Check it out yourself.

http://sportsdatabase.com

date>20100707 and site=away and line<=-7

[brahmabull117]

what's the ML gonna be on the Heat game today?? 1400??