Money Line Parlays in the NBA = By Far the Best Way to Bet

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  • Siresco
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-29-10
    • 334

    #491
    Curious is this a good Round Robins W/ 2s Parlay :

    Virginia -8.5
    Tenn - 13.5
    Boise St. +3
    Chattanooga +3
    Colorado -15
    Nevada +4.5

    Which means i only need hit any 2 and its a win ?
    Comment
    • balman
      SBR Sharp
      • 10-29-09
      • 387

      #492
      Originally posted by brahmabull117
      lots of excellent choices today

      here is a very safe parlay


      Pacers
      Hawks
      Thunder
      Trailblazers

      all are playing absolutely atrocious road teams. Cleveland has already lost to the pacers twice this year, Charlotte has been godawful and is missing Gerald wallace today, Thunder playing the Kings and Trailblazers playing Minnesota who is 1-26 their last 27 games on the road
      agree i'm rolling the 4 teams in 2x2 n 3x3...

      best of luck
      cheers
      Comment
      • brahmabull117
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-08-10
        • 8622

        #493
        tomorrow is just unbelievable if you like ML parlays


        Heat @ Wizards
        Bulls vs LAC
        Spurs at home Vs Memphis
        Nuggets vs T Wolves
        Warriors at Portland
        76ers at Orlando
        Comment
        • Siresco
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-29-10
          • 334

          #494
          Originally posted by brahmabull117
          tomorrow is just unbelievable if you like ML parlays


          Heat @ Wizards
          Bulls vs LAC
          Spurs at home Vs Memphis
          Nuggets vs T Wolves
          Warriors at Portland
          76ers at Orlando
          Everything Except portland looks good..
          Comment
          • brahmabull117
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-08-10
            • 8622

            #495
            Originally posted by Siresco
            Everything Except portland looks good..
            portland will be 8-3 at home this year after the game tonight and has won every game against bad teams


            golden state on the other hand is in the midst of a brutal losing streak. They are 1-9 their last 10 games on the road with 1 win being against the timberwolves
            Comment
            • curious
              Restricted User
              • 07-20-07
              • 9093

              #496
              Originally posted by Siresco
              Curious is this a good Round Robins W/ 2s Parlay :

              Virginia -8.5
              Tenn - 13.5
              Boise St. +3
              Chattanooga +3
              Colorado -15
              Nevada +4.5

              Which means i only need hit any 2 and its a win ?
              Please stop betting and go back to playing dungeons and dragons. This is insane.
              Comment
              • Nellyinctown
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-08-08
                • 216

                #497
                I have all 7 plays curious showed earlier into various 4 teamers. I also added the lakers into a couple. The NBA sure has a bunch of crappy teams thank god.
                Comment
                • MUHerd37
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-23-09
                  • 12816

                  #498
                  Is this a money line parlay thread or a round robin thread??? There needs to be a separate thread for the round robin stuff.
                  Comment
                  • jolmscheid
                    Restricted User
                    • 02-20-10
                    • 3256

                    #499
                    Originally posted by curious

                    No, I did not say to do them to win the same amount, I said to risk the same amount. That way the bigger favorites have more risked on them which is the way it should be. Take two parlays:
                    Parlay 1 Team A -200 Team B -290
                    Parlay 2 Team C -500 Team D -700

                    Which parlay has the best chance of winning? Parlay 2, so I want to risk more money on parlay 2. How much more? That part is easy, just bet all the parlays to win the same amount.

                    You only have 3 teams, I wouldn't do a pick 3, I'm trying to lower the risk. I am EXTREMELY risk adverse, which is why I have a good bankroll even after getting killed in the MBA.

                    Most of the players that I see on this forum either have no idea how to measure risk, don't care about risk, or love risk. It is very strange to me.

                    See I am still confused....which one is it Curious...RISK the same amount on each? Or play TO WIN the same amount on each parlay????? You say both in your explanation....so when I played my 3 parlays TO WIN the same amount on each, you say that is crazy? Thanks for the help...
                    Comment
                    • brahmabull117
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 8622

                      #500
                      Originally posted by brahmabull117
                      lots of excellent choices today

                      here is a very safe parlay


                      Pacers
                      Hawks
                      Thunder
                      Trailblazers

                      all are playing absolutely atrocious road teams. Cleveland has already lost to the pacers twice this year, Charlotte has been godawful and is missing Gerald wallace today, Thunder playing the Kings and Trailblazers playing Minnesota who is 1-26 their last 27 games on the road

                      the 2 scary ones are out of the way (pacers and hawks games), the only 2 left is the kings and t wolves, who are a combined like 3 - 25 on the road. So it seems to be a fairly safe bet
                      Comment
                      • Nellyinctown
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-08-08
                        • 216

                        #501
                        Tennessee loses again lol. Looks like I'm only up $100 on the night as opposed to $1900 oh well
                        Comment
                        • STC
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 12-03-10
                          • 195

                          #502
                          Originally posted by obamaismyuncle
                          just posting this here for the hell of it....

                          #27567099: Parlay (12-17-2010 14:08)
                          Toronto Raptors ( -192) (FG) 100.00 498.00
                          Miami Heat ( -200) (FG)
                          Los Angeles Lakers ( -230) (FG)
                          Atlanta Hawks ( -270) (FG)
                          Dallas Mavericks ( -300) (FG)
                          BOL

                          Originally posted by brahmabull117
                          lots of excellent choices today

                          here is a very safe parlay

                          Pacers
                          Hawks
                          Thunder
                          Trailblazers
                          T'wolves are going to make you earn it it looks like. GL.
                          My 'One play a day, eventually turn into a fade thread' thread
                          http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...de-thread.html
                          YTD: 2-0 (+1.78 units)
                          Comment
                          • 8ArIvd5
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-24-10
                            • 3175

                            #503
                            Originally posted by brahmabull117
                            tomorrow is just unbelievable if you like ML parlays


                            Heat @ Wizards
                            Bulls vs LAC
                            Spurs at home Vs Memphis
                            Nuggets vs T Wolves
                            Warriors at Portland
                            76ers at Orlando
                            Add the Knicks, subtract the Blazers.
                            Comment
                            • Nellyinctown
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-08-08
                              • 216

                              #504
                              It's looking like yet another great night in the NBA and brahma is right tomorrow looks the same. Keep cashing the ML parlays
                              Comment
                              • 8ArIvd5
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-24-10
                                • 3175

                                #505
                                Brahma, have you kept a record on these plays?
                                Comment
                                • curious
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 07-20-07
                                  • 9093

                                  #506
                                  Originally posted by jolmscheid
                                  See I am still confused....which one is it Curious...RISK the same amount on each? Or play TO WIN the same amount on each parlay????? You say both in your explanation....so when I played my 3 parlays TO WIN the same amount on each, you say that is crazy? Thanks for the help...
                                  I was just fooling around.

                                  Best is to play to win the same amount. Easy to figure out. The higher the odds the higher the chances that you win therefore the more you can safely risk.

                                  I cannot find a sportsbook that let's you place bets that way automatically so you have to do it by hand.
                                  Comment
                                  • Pauulzcappin
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-23-10
                                    • 20295

                                    #507
                                    Hit a +305 ML parlay today. might start doing it more for sure will hang out more on this thread.
                                    Comment
                                    • curious
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 07-20-07
                                      • 9093

                                      #508
                                      Originally posted by MUHerd37
                                      Is this a money line parlay thread or a round robin thread??? There needs to be a separate thread for the round robin stuff.
                                      Why? A round robin is just a list of parlays made at once. They are also ML if that is the way you place them. No reason to have a separate thread.
                                      Comment
                                      • curious
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 07-20-07
                                        • 9093

                                        #509
                                        Originally posted by jolmscheid
                                        See I am still confused....which one is it Curious...RISK the same amount on each? Or play TO WIN the same amount on each parlay????? You say both in your explanation....so when I played my 3 parlays TO WIN the same amount on each, you say that is crazy? Thanks for the help...
                                        I was just messing with you. YOu did the right thing. Good thing you didn't bet that 3 teamer.
                                        Comment
                                        • brahmabull117
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-08-10
                                          • 8622

                                          #510
                                          Originally posted by 8ArIvd5
                                          Brahma, have you kept a record on these plays?
                                          yea I'm 4-2 I believe

                                          should be 5-2 if the blazers can hopefully finish this one

                                          Originally posted by 8ArIvd5
                                          Add the Knicks, subtract the Blazers.

                                          I don't like the knicks at all tomorrow. That was back to back devastating losses (one by a late second shot and the other a blowout) at home, I want to see how they respond tomorrow before I start putting them in my parlays again
                                          Comment
                                          • firehoyt
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-02-10
                                            • 3569

                                            #511
                                            Hey Brahma.....what books post the ML the earliest?! I've on got on SB (B-Dog) and they post the ML plays around 5:00. Just wondering if there are any other books out there that make the ML's available earlier?!?! Thanks!
                                            Comment
                                            • brahmabull117
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 8622

                                              #512
                                              Originally posted by firehoyt
                                              Hey Brahma.....what books post the ML the earliest?! I've on got on SB (B-Dog) and they post the ML plays around 5:00. Just wondering if there are any other books out there that make the ML's available earlier?!?! Thanks!
                                              bodog is fukking horrible for that reason

                                              pretty much any sportsbook is better than them for posting MLs ASAP


                                              I personally use intertops cause they accept VC card
                                              Comment
                                              • Nellyinctown
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-08-08
                                                • 216

                                                #513
                                                I use betjam, they post ML around 11am East time, they are 100x better than bodog.
                                                Comment
                                                • Nellyinctown
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-08-08
                                                  • 216

                                                  #514
                                                  I am not betting road teams anymore especially college. Tennessee was my lone loss on the night. I had a small 10 teamer , and a 7 teamer. Glad I mixed my 4 teamers up to win small on the night

                                                  Big favs are not losing often in NBA, I'm liking this round robin talk except I like doing 4 teamers and don't want to have to manually do it hehe
                                                  Comment
                                                  • brahmabull117
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                    • 8622

                                                    #515
                                                    ^^ I agree with the avoidance of road teams


                                                    too me, you're better off just putting more money on home teams playing rather than trying to get better odds by adding a road team to your parlay


                                                    80-90% of major upsets in the NBA seem to happen on the road. Home favorites facing bad teams this year have had a fantastic record SU for the most part (I'd imagine the number is around 95%)


                                                    #1 rule of this parlay stuff. Always minimize risk, if you even have a small question mark about a game, don't touch it. You are better off getting a parlay with -140 odds that has a 90% chance of hitting rather than getting a +140 parlay that has a 60% chance of hitting

                                                    smart and steady does it
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bryant81
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 03-23-10
                                                      • 326

                                                      #516
                                                      Damn...hit parlays today with the following odds: +437, +573, +839, +1384, and a +1465! (+98 units for the day...NEVER happened before)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SimonSayz
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-17-09
                                                        • 859

                                                        #517
                                                        Curious...keep up the good work bro...few questions:

                                                        Do most books offer ML for heavy NBA & NCAAB favs? My book did not have the Thunder, Colorado or Tennssee ML last night...
                                                        I know your NBA parameters for ML are -7 and greater? How about NFL, NCAAF & NCAAB?
                                                        With respect to the sportsdatabase.com, are you familiar with running a query based on 1H play this year for teams? For example, if I want to compare the bulls vs clipps matchup for tonight and see how each team has faired, do you have an idea on how to do that?

                                                        No more q's for now...

                                                        Thanks,

                                                        Simon
                                                        Last edited by SimonSayz; 12-18-10, 09:19 AM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • curious
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 07-20-07
                                                          • 9093

                                                          #518
                                                          Originally posted by Nellyinctown
                                                          I am not betting road teams anymore especially college. Tennessee was my lone loss on the night. I had a small 10 teamer , and a 7 teamer. Glad I mixed my 4 teamers up to win small on the night

                                                          Big favs are not losing often in NBA, I'm liking this round robin talk except I like doing 4 teamers and don't want to have to manually do it hehe
                                                          Big favs on the road in NBA have a better record than big favs at home (big fav = line <= -7).

                                                          I think the Tennessee players are getting paid off by someone.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • brahmabull117
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-08-10
                                                            • 8622

                                                            #519
                                                            Originally posted by SimonSayz
                                                            Curious...keep up the good work bro...few questions:

                                                            Do most books offer ML for heavy NBA & NCAAB favs? My book did not have the Thunder, Colorado or Tennssee ML last night...
                                                            I know your NBA parameters for ML are -7 and greater? How about NFL, NCAAF & NCAAB?
                                                            With respect to the sportsdatabase.com, are you familiar with running a query based on 1H play this year for teams? For example, if I want to compare the bulls vs clipps matchup for tonight and see how each team has faired, do you have an idea on how to do that?

                                                            No more q's for now...

                                                            Thanks,

                                                            Simon

                                                            1)It's not necessarily about having a big spread. 76ers were only a 5 point favorite against the clippers and that was a great play

                                                            2)different books offer different lines. If your book doesn't offer an ML for big favorites, I recommend switching to another one

                                                            3)stay away from ML parlays in the NFL. Big favorites have only won about 80-90% of their games this year (which is godawful compared to 95+% in the NBA)

                                                            4)I don't know anything about college basketball so I'm the last person to ask about that. In terms of college football?? the MLs usually are so gigantic that you won't make any real money doing it
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SimonSayz
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-17-09
                                                              • 859

                                                              #520
                                                              ^^ Good info here....I like the following ML Plays for tonight -

                                                              Chicago at home vs the Clipps
                                                              San Antonio at home vs Memphis (possibly w/o Rudy Gay)
                                                              Orlando at home vs Philly....

                                                              Are any of these cause for concern?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Stinger
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-31-10
                                                                • 918

                                                                #521
                                                                Originally posted by SimonSayz
                                                                ^^ Good info here....I like the following ML Plays for tonight -

                                                                Chicago at home vs the Clipps
                                                                San Antonio at home vs Memphis (possibly w/o Rudy Gay)
                                                                Orlando at home vs Philly....

                                                                Are any of these cause for concern?
                                                                I have those + Denver in the mix
                                                                Comment
                                                                • curious
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 07-20-07
                                                                  • 9093

                                                                  #522
                                                                  Originally posted by SimonSayz
                                                                  Curious...keep up the good work bro...few questions:

                                                                  Do most books offer ML for heavy NBA & NCAAB favs? My book did not have the Thunder, Colorado or Tennssee ML last night...
                                                                  I know your NBA parameters for ML are -7 and greater? How about NFL, NCAAF & NCAAB?
                                                                  With respect to the sportsdatabase.com, are you familiar with running a query based on 1H play this year for teams? For example, if I want to compare the bulls vs clipps matchup for tonight and see how each team has faired, do you have an idea on how to do that?

                                                                  No more q's for now...

                                                                  Thanks,

                                                                  Simon
                                                                  I don't know that much about online books. I can get pretty much any line I want. Just do some research, it isn't that hard.

                                                                  NCAAB you MUST cap both teams thoroughly. An NBA game is 4 12 minute quarters, an NCAAB game is 2 20 minute halves. -7 and less is good for NBA, you can cut that a little for NCAAB. -6 and less.

                                                                  For NFL and NCAAF I want the line to be greater than one touchdown, so -7 1/2 or less. You have to be careful in NCAAF, a lot of dogs win, I have made a big pile of winnings in NCAAF playing dogs. You have to cap those games carefully.

                                                                  NFL I am pretty hopeless at, I don't play it very much, usually only on Mon-Fri when not much else is going on. I only take big favorites in NFL and usually because someone I trust said so.

                                                                  sportsdatabase.com has an online forum where you can ask questions and someone might answer it. There is an online manual for sportsdatabase.com you should read that. I can't answer your question. THere is a paramater - margin at the half, to get the home team just use the parameter, to get the visiting team use o:margin at the half. You will have to figure out how to build your query.

                                                                  www.teamrankings.com will give you how each team performs for 1Q, 2Q, 1H, 3Q, 4Q, 2H, and Game.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • brahmabull117
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                                    • 8622

                                                                    #523
                                                                    Originally posted by SimonSayz
                                                                    ^^ Good info here....I like the following ML Plays for tonight -

                                                                    Chicago at home vs the Clipps
                                                                    San Antonio at home vs Memphis (possibly w/o Rudy Gay)
                                                                    Orlando at home vs Philly....

                                                                    Are any of these cause for concern?

                                                                    Orlando game scares me simply because they have been playing awful and the 76ers have been playing terrific and inspired ball recently


                                                                    the other 2 are very safe, also add Denver and Miami to the mix there
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • curious
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 07-20-07
                                                                      • 9093

                                                                      #524
                                                                      Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                                                      ^^ I agree with the avoidance of road teams
                                                                      The stats this year totally disagree with this.

                                                                      Road teams <=-7 are 19-2. This blows away home teams at <=-7.

                                                                      Check it out yourself.



                                                                      date>20100707 and site=away and line<=-7
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • brahmabull117
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                                        • 8622

                                                                        #525
                                                                        what's the ML gonna be on the Heat game today?? 1400??
                                                                        Comment
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