Sj55 wnba picks

[daneault23]

ahh fuckkk.. you beat me to it lol

[sweetjones55]

ahh fuckkk.. you beat me to it lol

Post a Crystal Langhorne and GO MYSTICS and I'll send you 15 points.

[daneault23]

GO MYSTICS!!

[sweetjones55]

Points sent

[sweetjones55]

Storm smoked sparks 1Q today 27-16, should have considered taking them again. TheGreek was juicing Seattle in the 1Q -115

[daneault23]

Thanks man.

[nomeansno]

Thanks for the points SJ, good luck tonight

[sweetjones55]

Dream -4 2H LOCKED

Dream are 5-0 in their last 5 2H at home. I expected a score close to this at half on this game, Dream are just 3-5 SU in the 1H at home. They had a bad 1Q losing by 6 and won the 2q by 6. I think they will continue that 2Q run into the next half. They should build a nice lead in the 3rd.

[sweetjones55]

Sky just played extremely well today, hopefully the Mystics can hold on to salvage the night.

[sweetjones55]

I am also liking Washington tonight. They play @ Tulsa. The line came out at Washington -6 and has gone up to -6/-7 at most sites despite the public being on Tulsa at 60%, Covers shows 56% on Washington so it may be a split game. Either way even with split betting the movement is still noteworthy. It will be rare to find another game with this many people on Tulsa. They are 3-12 this year and 2-7 at home. Their last win came over a month ago to Minnesota playing without their star Seimone Augustus. The fact that the public is not poundinggg Washington and the game being close to split is a huge reason why I really like Washington. This game would seem like a game that Vegas is trying to trap with Washington but with the public numbers it's obvious they aren't doing that. They could care less who wins the game. I don't have the numbers on it but I would assume that the majority public is on Tulsa on the moneyline, most of the time they won't want to lay the big juice on a -6.5 favorite

Washington on the other hand has won seven of their last 8 games and has been rolling. They are a decent 4-4 on the road this year and 2-1 their last 3. I just see Washington continuing their recent success on the road and win by double digits. Tulsa has lost three straight games by double digits and seven of their last eight games by double digits.

Mystics -5.5 -120 LOCKED WINNER!!

Easyyy double digit winner

[dume walker]

Easyyy double digit winner

Nice call there, SJ. I guess there are some people who like to sweat games, which might be the main dynamic behind why they gamble. Me, I prefer blowouts (for my side) or overs decided in the first quarter/inning where you can track the rest of the game with a calm smile on your face. Any chance you can give us some more of those? They will be greatly appreciated.

[sweetjones55]

Nice call there, SJ. I guess there are some people who like to sweat games, which might be the main dynamic behind why they gamble. Me, I prefer blowouts (for my side) or overs decided in the first quarter/inning where you can track the rest of the game with a calm smile on your face. Any chance you can give us some more of those? They will be greatly appreciated.

I sure hope I can but at the end of the day a winner is a winner. If you don't want to sweat then don't watch.

[mark2010]

yesterday was my first shot at wnba. I deceied to look at these games becayse i think one is getting good odd. at bet jam get -110 for the games with spred. So i took all 4 fav to win against the spread. won 3 lose 1. haha pure luck cause i have no idea about these games. i thought i know a little about mlb games and am -ve so far. looking forwad to tue's games. gl

[sweetjones55]

yesterday was my first shot at wnba. I deceied to look at these games becayse i think one is getting good odd. at bet jam get -110 for the games with spred. So i took all 4 fav to win against the spread. won 3 lose 1. haha pure luck cause i have no idea about these games. i thought i know a little about mlb games and am -ve so far. looking forwad to tue's games. gl

Just make sure you are betting small amounts that you can easily afford to lose. You will not win doing that every night.

[sweetjones55]

Take the Nationals, Braves, and Yankees today. It's July 4th so ride with them.

Put all my plays up on this thread.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/555141-sj-july-4th-mlb-plays.html

[sweetjones55]

Going to take a look at the wnba games for tomorrow now. I may post a play today

[sweetjones55]

Leaning toward the Sun +1 tomorrow. They are a perfect 5-0 off a loss so far this year. They are matched up with a very bad San Antonio team. SA is 1-3 their last 4 and 2-5 their last 7. The latest wins for SA have come against two teams playing very badly and below .500 in Minnesota and Phoenix. The other win was against Tulsa, worst team in the WNBA by far. Most sites opened up at SA -1/-1.5 and have stayed there thusfar. Connecitcut has won the last three meetings in this matchup including a 81-68 win at home vs SA June 6th. I am going to wait a little on this one to see more accurate public betting numbers and line movement.

[RoagBettor]

Yeah the Sun/Stars game is interesting. The Sun have not won a road game against a quality team this season. The question is have the Stars turned the corner from one of the worst teams in the league to at least a competitive team now that they're getting healthy? This is a very tough game to cap I think, that's why you saw the line open up at -1 for the Sun and move to +1/1.5 now.

Good luck with your plays SJ.

[sweetjones55]

I am going to roll with an early play on the Sky +3. The Sky have been hot as of late winning four of their last five. Their last loss actually came against their opponent Indiana. They lost by 6 about ten days ago at home to Indiana 70-64. Their are two reasons I think the Sky will win this game tomorrow. #1 In that Indiana win they shot nearly 60% from 3's, I don't see that happening again. #2 Jia Perkins was held to her season low of 2 points and 1 assists in that game, I do not see that happening again either. Sylvia Fowles was also held to 11 points in that game, 10 points is her low for the season. In the two games after that Sylvia dominated and scored 26 and 22 points. She will play better tomorrow night.

I think the Sky win this game with revenge in their minds. Indy is a good team but their is a reason why the oddsmakers are giving nearly the same line in this game as in the last matchup despite Indy winning by 6 and still having the better record now.

Sky +3 LOCKED

[sweetjones55]

Yeah the Sun/Stars game is interesting. The Sun have not won a road game against a quality team this season. The question is have the Stars turned the corner from one of the worst teams in the league to at least a competitive team now that they're getting healthy? This is a very tough game to cap I think, that's why you saw the line open up at -1 for the Sun and move to +1/1.5 now.

Good luck with your plays SJ.

Well they just lost to one of the worst teams in the league, the Sparks ,in their last game. Not only did they lose but they got beat by double digits. To answer your question IMO they have definitely stayed on path to be one of the worst teams in the league. 6 of their last 7 losses have been by double digits.

As for the line movement, only one site opened at -1, almost every other site opened up at +1 Sun.

[RoagBettor]

Well they just lost to one of the worst teams in the league, the Sparks ,in their last game. Not only did they lose but they got beat by double digits. To answer your question IMO they have definitely stayed on path to be one of the worst teams in the league. 6 of their last 7 losses have been by double digits.

As for the line movement, only one site opened at -1, almost every other site opened up at +1 Sun.

Then you have to ask yourself why would the Stars open up as favorites if they are that bad?

[sweetjones55]

Leaning Mercury -2 tomorrow night. They have been playing terribly lately but did some up with a convincing win last game by 15 against NY. Bad teams win in bunches and facing a very weak opponent in the Sparks is just what Phoenix needs. They will play confidently tomorrow coming off the big win and knowing that their opponent is inferior.
The Mercury have not been favored on the road in a long time, I think they are correctly favored and will win. The Sparks simply can't keep up offensively with Phoenix. LA is averaging a pathetic 67ppg their last 5 games. Phx is averaging 90ppg their last 5 games. I feel confident about this one so I will be putting 2 units on it. All my plays are for one unit unless I say otherwise.

Mercury -2 LOCKED

[sweetjones55]

Then you have to ask yourself why would the Stars open up as favorites if they are that bad?

Because it's the WNBA and homecourt plays a HUGE part in determining the line and SA is a decent 3-3 at home. Connecticut is only 3-5 on the road.

[RoagBettor]

Because it's the WNBA and homecourt plays a HUGE part in determining the line and SA is a decent 3-3 at home. Connecticut is only 3-5 on the road.

Right. The Sun are a crappy road team and the Stars are at least competitive at home. Hence this is a very very tough game to call, it could go either way. I'm staying away.

[sweetjones55]

Also going to be taking a good look at the Storm 1Q tomorrow. Seattle is hot right now and loves to jump out on their opponents early. They are 4-0 their last 4 1st quarters vs NY. They are also 4-0 their last 4 1Q's at home vs NY with mostly BIG wins in the 1Q. Most of the home wins have come by 7+ points in the 1Q with a few double digits wins in the 1Q. This one is sure to be juiced by most sites, if not that it may be a sign to stay away.

These are NY's road 1Q so far this year. They are 1-3 their last 3 1Q's on the road. They are 4-4-1 all year with wins against TUL (worst team), SA (really bad team, especially early in the year when they played), CONN and WAS.

@PHO LOSS 22-16
@LA LOSS 22-19
@TUL WIN 29-19 (worst team in the league, this shouldn't even count lol)
@ WAS LOSS 23-12
@CHI LOSS 18-16
@IND TIE 18-18 (lost 2q)
@CONN WIN 13-12 (lost 2q by 7)
@SA WIN 18-13 (lost 2q by 2)
@WAS WIN 18-9 (lost 2q by 12)

[sweetjones55]

Right. The Sun are a crappy road team and the Stars are at least competitive at home. Hence this is a very very tough game to call, it could go either way. I'm staying away.

It definitely could go either way but Conn has been awesome off a loss and SA has just been really horrendous lately and their 3 wins at home were to Tulsa, Minne, and LA. Those three teams are nowhere near the caliber of Conn. I think the Sun win by 6.

[dume walker]

It is a pleasure -- and an education -- to read the dialogue between you and Roag. Great insights into capping. Better than going to the movies.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Whats the play tonight? I'm 1-0 tailing you this year give me a killer pick

[sweetjones55]

It is a pleasure -- and an education -- to read the dialogue between you and Roag. Great insights into capping. Better than going to the movies.

That's what this site is all about or should be at least.

[sweetjones55]

Whats the play tonight? I'm 1-0 tailing you this year give me a killer pick

So far I got the Sky +3, Sun +1.5, and the Mercury -2 for tomorrows games.

[sweetjones55]

WNBA Final Card

Mercury -2 LOCKED (x2)
Sun +1.5 LOCKED
Sky +3 LOCKED

[RoagBettor]

WNBA Final Card

Mercury -2 LOCKED (x2)
Sun +1.5 LOCKED
Sky +3 LOCKED

Good luck with these. Are you going to keep track of units won also and not just winning percentage (since you have x2 on the Mercury)?

[sweetjones55]

I will be waiting for the 1Q Storm line, will definitely be jumping on that.

[sweetjones55]

Good luck with these. Are you going to keep track of units won also and not just winning percentage (since you have x2 on the Mercury)?

Yes I will be.

[sweetjones55]

I will be waiting for the Storm 1Q line, will definitely be jumping on that.