CK/wangichu's Think Tank

[melincrea]

yeh but public is orl ml

Where do you see that? I only know about covers.com for the public bets on the spreads.

[cocknocker]

Piling it on HEAVY on the under 202 Lakers/Orlando game 2.

[oso]

whats the word for the 2nd half

[slk08]

Piling it on HEAVY on the under 202 Lakers/Orlando game 2.

any thoughts on the 2H CK?

[texhooper]

Piling it on HEAVY on the under 202 Lakers/Orlando game 2.

dammit i was thinking this too but left it alone. i didn't check the board until now. goddammit, shit.

[peeiempee]

Same here I saw the RLM, but didn't jump on it.

[HoulihansTX]

That Under looks imminent. Damn. As long as Orlando covers I'll be even for the day

[slk08]

dammit i was thinking this too but left it alone. i didn't check the board until now. goddammit, shit.

yea i know what you mean i actually played the over. Bad choice on my part. Shoulda checked on what other people thoughts were =(

[gyftosgreek]

orlando better show up ,i got orlando and the under on a parlay heavy.

[texhooper]

well i'm going to ride with over 100 in the second half on principle...i bet it loses by a point or two though.

[texhooper]

they need to put the red light on alston from three. he's trying to build him a house out there.

[HoulihansTX]

they need to put the red light on alston from three. he's trying to build him a house out there.

Exactly. He really doesnt bring shit to the team. Cant hit open jumpers, doesnt finish at the rim. Jameer with one leg is better than Skip to my Lou.

[cocknocker]

Whew! that was close!

[UndersSuck]

Sweated that one out!! Good call CK!!!

[texhooper]

i guess i'm cool with orlando +6.5 and over 100 2nd hitting (in regulation, mind you ) even though i passed on that under...bout goddamn time i have a good night in these playoffs!

[lakerboy]

Where do you see that? I only know about covers.com for the public bets on the spreads.

pregame

[melincrea]

Orlando +6.5 and the Under.. a little scared for this play because of the whole J. Nelson crap... bought 3 points for security.

It makes me feel better that about 60% of the public is on LAL spread tonight.. according to Covers.com

My prediction of first half score:

LAL 51 - ORL 44

Final Score:

LAL 102 - ORL 98

Cashed, cashed, and cashed (7-Jun-09 Basketball Spread Orlando Magic vs Los Angeles Lakers (-4) for 1st Half)!

OT had me sweating though... was quite scared for my under bet.

[cocknocker]

Lakers+6.5 Game 3 with a 3 point buy as promised.

[cocknocker]

I will, however, be taking Orlando -whatever for the first quarter

[X-Rated]

CK don't you think Orlando can blow out the Lakers like the Nuggets did in game 4?

Lakers+6.5 Game 3 with a 3 point buy as promised.

[JustFlipACoin]

Whew! that was close!

that was a great pick man, even with overtime they couldn't get the total over. Thanks for all the great picks yesterday, i hit everything, det, oak, tex, orl, orl under. thanks it was a very "HEAVY" day. great work!

[ValHallaYoung]

l.a. on the game

[gyftosgreek]

a big thank you to ck for the great picks yersterday

[cocknocker]

CK don't you think Orlando can blow out the Lakers like the Nuggets did in game 4?

The Magic will blow out the Lakers in Game 4, but they will lose game 3 outright to the Lakers. As I stated in the beginning of the Finals the Lakers will beat the Magic in 5 games 6 tops. They are just the more dominant team.

However, truth be told, if Yao and McGrady were healthy, I think that the Rockets are a better team than the Magic, too.

[danychaos]

Hey CK, what happened to this recomendations pointed out by you?
Automatically fade any team that has scored 100 or more points in two straight games.
Fade any overtime winner in the following game.

That would lead to take orlando, doesn´t it?

and what about:
Automatically play the under after two straight overs, and the over after two straight unders.

So the right call for game 3 would be the over?

Thanks!

[lakerboy]

The Magic will blow out the Lakers in Game 4, but they will lose game 3 outright to the Lakers. As I stated in the beginning of the Finals the Lakers will beat the Magic in 5 games 6 tops. They are just the more dominant team.

However, truth be told, if Yao and McGrady were healthy, I think that the Rockets are a better team than the Magic, too.

one question brother- why do the books have the magic at -4 if the lakers are going to win. dont they want the public to take la and then orlando will cover?

[cocknocker]

Hey CK, what happened to this recomendations pointed out by you?
Automatically fade any team that has scored 100 or more points in two straight games.
Fade any overtime winner in the following game.

That would lead to take orlando, doesn´t it?

and what about:
Automatically play the under after two straight overs, and the over after two straight unders.

So the right call for game 3 would be the over?

Thanks!

Yeah, you're right, and what's more, I was coming to the thread to update that I like the over for game 3. I saw the totals line and it looks like it dictates an over due to the size of the adjustment. I will watch the trail of money for a bit before I pull the trigger. But the over looks like the correct call from our playoff rules guide.

It's true about fading the Lakers after scoring over 100 points two straight games, but the advantages that the Lakers have over this team are so glaringly obvious that I can only put that theory to work with some money on Orlando in the 1st quarter of this game, which is basically as far as it goes. I will take Orlando in game 4 if they fall flat in game 3. I just can't see myself wagering against the Lakers in game 3. I think that he wants to sweep the Magic. It's looking just that serious. I mean who are the Magic going to put on Kobe to stop him in the last few minutes? I think in this instance I am going to go with my gut feeling and buy the Lakers up instead of Orlando down. It just seems like a smarter way to spend my money

[cocknocker]

one question brother- why do the books have the magic at -4 if the lakers are going to win. dont they want the public to take la and then orlando will cover?

Well, I'll ask you a question and what I am doing will become painfully obvious to you.

Would you feel better about your wager if you

A.) Buy Orlando down to 1 buying three points at -170
B.) Play Orlando -185 ml (a moneyline for a spread of 3.5)
C.) Buy the Lakers to +7 by buying 3 points at -170
D.) Play Orlando-4 -110
E.) Play the Lakers+4 -110
F.) Leave the game alone altogether and knit a sweater
G.) Ignore the side and play the total

It doesn't take a whole day to recognize sunshine. I choose "C". I am buying my three points and playing the Lakers+7. I am also going to tease the Lakers with the over as well as play the over straight. Which one do you choose?

[SexyMit]

I love the over in Game 3!

[lakerboy]

Well, I'll ask you a question and what I am doing will become painfully obvious to you.

Would you feel better about your wager if you

A.) Buy Orlando down to 1 buying three points at -170
B.) Play Orlando -185 ml (a moneyline for a spread of 3.5)
C.) Buy the Lakers to +7 by buying 3 points at -170
D.) Play Orlando-4 -110
E.) Play the Lakers+4 -110
F.) Leave the game alone altogether and knit a sweater
G.) Ignore the side and play the total

It doesn't take a whole day to recognize sunshine. I choose "C". I am buying my three points and playing the Lakers+7. I am also going to tease the Lakers with the over as well as play the over straight. Which one do you choose?

because i have a bookie i cant buy points. i might just play the total as over is due to hit with the big move in the line and both teams are going to shoot better. i follow your posts and have gone with you the first 2 games so i will go for the over. thanks for your help

[melincrea]

Hey cocknocker, where do you post your WNBA plays? I'm interested in tailing!

[X-Rated]

I agree about Yao and McGrady being healthy. The Rockets swept Magic 2-0 this season, and it seems like they just have the Magic's number. If T-Mac comes back next season I'm sure he'll play with more passion and aggression. This guy feels bad enough that his team were embarassed and got knock the f*ck out by the Kobe and the Lakers, but suprising they made past the first round without him. This just tells T-Mac that if he's healthy, the Rockets can go much further. Next season will for sure be T-Mac head-to-head versus Kobe.

The Magic will blow out the Lakers in Game 4, but they will lose game 3 outright to the Lakers. As I stated in the beginning of the Finals the Lakers will beat the Magic in 5 games 6 tops. They are just the more dominant team.

However, truth be told, if Yao and McGrady were healthy, I think that the Rockets are a better team than the Magic, too.

[lakerboy]

t-mac is a loser-he wont win anything in his career thats why the rockets were better when he got injured watch they will get rid of him

[X-Rated]

I agree bro. He has no passion nor desire to win a championship. This is supposed to be a guy that mastered pretty much at least 99.9% of the fundamentals like Kobe. The Rocket's series lost should teach him a lesson.

t-mac is a loser-he wont win anything in his career thats why the rockets were better when he got injured watch they will get rid of him

[lakerboy]

being from toronto i saw him first hand when he was young i saw the sorry attitude. the raptors had

Vince Carter, Marcus Camby, Damon Stoudemire and Tracy McGrady and they still sucked. now we see years later why